ONE A DAY *****530pm - Arsenal v Blackburn - back Arsenal in the match odds at 1.28*****
Hope I have made the right choice.
HEAD TO HEADS – 0-0 Caley Home, 0-1 Caley Home, 6-0 Celtic home league cup, 2-2 Celtic home, 1-2 Celtic away cup win.
Interesting head to heads here and something of a thorn for celtic whenever they meet bar the 6-0 league cup defeat. 0-0 and 0-1 Celtic away win at Caley in last 2 Premiership meetings might signal Celtic are a bit short at 1.38?
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 7th - Celtic have played one more than Rangers and are only 2 points ahead so this is a must win. As far as I can see, it’s middle table safety for Caley.
HOME TEAM
RECENT HOME FORM – WDLLDLWLW – against top 5 at home it’s LDLLL ( 1-1 draw v Rangers and already lost 1-0 to Celtic this season – 2 wins in last 3 home matches against 6th and 8th but just looks as if top 5 are a step too far.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLLDLDLDWLLWL – no draws in last 5 – 1 win in last 4 – 7 of last 8 matches have seen one team scoring 2 or more in Caley matches.
Only 2 wins in last 16 matches
GOAL TRENDS – only 40% of home matches over 2.5 goals.Concede an average 1.4 goals per home match.only 2 overs in the last 11 matches. Have failed to score in 3 of the last 4 matches.Have only conceded one goal when each of Rangers and Celtic visit.
STREAKS – have not beaten the top 5 at home.No draw in 4 at home, 5 in total.Won 2 of last 3 home matches. No scored in 3 of last 4 matches.
AWAY TEAM - CELTIC
CELTIC RECENT AWAY FORM – 10 wins, 1 draw , 2 defeats – WWWWLWWDWWWL – recent loss at Motherwell showed a celtic team that was just poor and unworthy of the shirt. Hopefully an aberration.
CELTIC RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWDWWWWWWLW – great form – draw away to Hamilton and loss away to Motherwell both very surprising.
CELTIC GOAL TRENDS – 4 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals ( the other matches were 2-0’s!!)Clean sheet in 6 of last 8 matches Celtic have scored 2,3,3,3,0 in last 5 away matches.Have failed to score only twice in 28 matches this season.
Scored 22 and conceded 8 away all season.Only 46% over 2.5 goals away.
CELTIC STREAKS – 4 away without a draw, 8 matches in total. Have won 7 of last 8 matches. Have scored 4,3,3,3,0,2 in last 6 matches – the 0 looks like an anomaly.
CONCLUSION – well Caley at home have kept the Old Firm down to scoring just the one goal each which is no mean feat. It would seem they raise their game, as they concede 3 ,2,3,against 3rd, 4th and 5th at home. Celtic immediately look too short . Maybe the need to win is factored in here?
HEAD TO HEADS – 4-0 United away, 3-0 United Home , 3-0 United home, 4-0 West Ham home - ;last 4 head to heads saw a clean sheet for the victor and a minimum of 3 goals scored.
LEAGUE POSITION – Top by 5 points having played an extra game play 4th from bottom only on 1 goal difference and only 2 points from safety. Upton Park will be the place to be this weekend I suspect. A win can take West Ham as high as 12th ( other results pending)
HOME TEAM
WEST HAM - RECENT HOME FORM – WLDWLLWW – putting up a fight that’s for sure. Only 3 loss in their last 8 home matches – 50% wins. 2 of the 3 losses ominously against Man City and Arsenal ( 2nd and 4th)Against the top 4 at home, 3-0 loss Arsenal, 3-1 Loss Chelsea and 3-1 loss Man City.
WEST HAM - RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWLLDWLDWWD – only 1 loss in last 7 and West Ham have scored 2,3,0,3,3,3,0 – the 0 were against Brum and Spurs. They seem capable of goals. Unbeaten in last 4 matches.
GOAL TRENDS – 60% home matches over 2.5 goals – score 1.33 , concede 1.4 on average at home.Goals scored 20, goals conceded 21 at home!
3 of last 4 matches have been over 2.5 goals. Against top 4 at home, have conceded 3 each time.
Clean sheet in last 2 matches. Have failed to score in only 2 of last7 matches.
STREAKS – 5 at home without a draw, current winning streak 2 at home, scoring 3 on both occasions. Matches against Man Utd last 4 times has finished either 3-0 or 4-0.
AWAY TEAM
MAN UTD RECENT AWAY FORM -DDDWDWLWLL – losses against Wolves ( bogey team for top 4), Chelsea, and Liverpool ( Champions League factor?) Last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.Away against bottom 4
West Ham – to play
Wolves 2-1 loss
Brum -1-1 draw
Wigan – 4-0 win
MAN UTD RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWDWWWLWWLLW – all coming apart in last 6 matches. No draw in 9. 8 draws, 3 defeats and 4 wins away the cause!
MAN UTD GOAL TRENDS – 73% of away matches over 2.5 goals – surely a chance of goals with the stakes so high for both sides. 0-0 useless for West Ham and United
MAN UTD STREAKS – 8 match over 2.5 goals streak ended with 1-0 home win over Bolton. Interestingly only 2 clean sheets in 8 matches.
United have failed to score in only 3 matches all season – Spurs, Man City, Sunderland - all 0-0’s.
CONSIDER – the time of year! Must Must wins for both sides for differing reasons. Recall Man City 1 Wigan 0 for an idea of how a team can suddenly find that fight.
I could consider goals as they are obviously in need at present. Whenever West Ham have scored in their last 13 matches they have got something from the game. 3 losses they did not score. 0-0 v Spurs they got something. Note an important Champions League match on 6th April for United may leave them vulnerable in this match and may see some changes and an air of complacency from old Red Nose?
If the form is accurate, this should be a United victory 3-0, 3-1 .
Top v bottom now and no wonder 1-0 only victors are 1.34
ATALANTA RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWDWDWDW - 11 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat at home - 3 of those draws coming recently.
2-1 win 0-0 draw against 2 of the bottom 3 they have played at home.
ATALANTA RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWDDWWDDWWDDWD - talk about a strange sequence without losing.
GOAL TRENDS - only 29% of home matches over 2.5 goals. 3 1-1 draws in last 3 matches.
Only 2 of last 14 matches have been over 2.5 goals.
Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 matches.Have scored in all of last 6 matches.
STREAKS - no defeat in 8 at home and 16 overall.
TRIESTINA - RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDDWLLD - general trend - NOT winning - 2 wins, 7 draws, 7 defeats away hence my careful choice of wording - have lost to 3 of the top 4 they have played away ( playing the 4th of that quartet today)
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDDLWDLLLDDD - no win in 6 but we see that persistence in the draws - last 4 draws all score draws - 2 of 3 recent losses were 1-0's.
GOAL TRENDS - 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. HAve not kept a clean sheet in last 7 matches . Last 3 matches score draws. 38% of away matches only over 2.5 goals.
STREAKS - 3 away without a win - 7 in total.This could be a typical Italian 1-0 match or at least a stab at under 2.5 goals. I would have to consider covering the draw although suspect Atalanta will edge it 1-0 or 2-1.
HEAD TO HEADS 2-1 home win, 2-1 home win, 1-1 away draw, 3-3 away draw for Bayern in head to heads. 5 of last 6 head to heads have been over 2.5 goals. 3 of the 4 matches in 2009 and 2010 over 2.5 goals, the exception a 1-1 draw with goals post 60 minutes so maybe not tradable success for over 2,5 goals backers.
LEAGUE POSITION – 4th against 18th – 3rd place definitely up for grabs, and 2nd if Leverkusen collapse. Monch are routed to the bottom.
HOME TEAM
BAYERN RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWWWWLW – loss was against Dortmund which is not strictly a surprise. Have beaten 4 of the bottom 6 they have played at home scoring 5,4,3,2. Scored 3,4,3,4,3,5,4,1,6 in recent home matches.
BAYERN RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWLWWLLWW – no draw in 9 matches – losses against top, 3rd and 11th away where Bayern were 2-0 up and lost 3-2, so should have been a home win.
BAYERN GOAL TRENDS – last 9 matches all over 2.5 goals ( infact 8 of the 9 matches over 3.5 goals) –only 2 clean sheets in last 11 matches – great recipe for overs backers? 85% of home matches over 2.5 goals.Scored 36 and conceded 10 goals. 2.76 goal average per home match. Bayern scored whopping 18 goals in the last ¼ hour of their matches.
BAYERN STREAKS – 10 home matches without a draw – 9 matches overall without a draw. Last 9 matches ( 11 of last 12 matches) over 2.5 goals – 8 of last 9 matches over 3.5 goals.
AWAY TEAM
MGLADBACH RECENT AWAY FORM – LLWWLLD – have only played 2 of the top 6 away from home, 4-1 defeat to Dortmund and 3-6 win over Leverkusen. Have scored 1 goal in each of the last 5 away matches.
MGLADBACH RECENT FORM OVERALL – LWLWLLWLWDL -more inconsistency .Against top 5 home and away, here are the goal totals, 5,4,9,3,6,5 – huge bias towards goals playing the big teams.
MGLADBACH GOAL TRENDS – goal trend above v top 5 home and away.Conceded a massive 40 goals in the 2nd half this season.77% of away matches over 2.5 goals.Concede an average 2.38 goals per away match. Last 3 matches under 2.5 goals.Only 1 clean sheet in last 7 matches. Scored in 10 consecutive matches until last match played.
MGLADBACH STREAKS – 3 away without a win.
CONCLUSION – looks “bleedin’ obvious” that we should be siding with goals, but do remember this is silly season where top v bottom encounters can be unpredictable.
HEAD TO HEADS 2009 and 2010 head to heads interesting – 4-4 draw at Hannover, 1-1 draw at hannover, 4-1 Dortmund win at home, 4-0 Dortmund win at Hannover. A different Dortmund in 2010?
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 3rd
HOME TEAM
DORTMUND RECENT HOME FORM – WWWDDWWD – no defeat in 12 at home. Have only played one of the top 3 at home , losing 2-0 to Leverkusen.
DORTMUND RECENT FORM OVERALL – LWDWDDWWWLD -3 losses all season and 5 draws all season and look at the 2 losses and 4 draws in last 11 matches – pressure showing?
DORTMUND GOAL TRENDS – wow!! Only 15% of home matches over 2.5 goals.Scored 23 and conceded 6 at home all season. Have kept clean sheets in 62% of home matches. Only one match in last 7 over 2.5 goals. Only 2 times in last 7 have they failed to score. Have only conceded 7 goals in the first half all season. Conceded only 2 goals in the first half hour of the 2nd half. Conceded 7 goals in the last quarter of an hour of matches.
DORTMUND STREAKS – no defeat in 12 home matches
AWAY TEAM
HANNOVER RECENT AWAY FORM – LLWWLWLDWL – against the top 6 away from home, 2-0 loss to 2nd, 3-0 loss to 4th, 1-0 win v 5th and 3-1 loss v 6th. Generally struggle away to top 6 sides.
HANNOVER RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLWDWWWLW – good recent form -4 wins and one loss.
HANNOVER GOAL TRENDS – 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Only failed to score in one of last 7 matches. 545 overs away from home. Have scored 0,1,1,0 in last 4 away matches.
HANNOVER STREAKS – no draw in 2 matches, no draw in 5 overall.
CONCLUSION – Interesting that Hannover struggle away to top 6 sides. They have not scored away against 2nd and 4th. Dortmund stepped on the gas in 2010 head to heads. Concern that only 15% of Dortmund’s home matches have been over 2.5 goals.
HEAD TO HEADs DDD Aston Villa 1-0 home win. The draws were all score draws - change of manager syndrome and post transfer syndrome with the signing of Bent for Villa possibly changing their dynamic as regards earlier head to heads.
8th play 14th - mid table comfort zone plays one of many sides on 33 points - one foot in the grave and Villa the needier of the 2 teams.
EVERTON RECENT HOME FORM - DLLDWDWWDW - nice solidity about the last 4 home matches. - Everton have drawn at home against all of the bottom 4 and lost 4-1 to West Brom - these I would class as struggling teams and Villa are certainly in that category so an element of caution here for Everton backers.
EVERTON - RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDDLWLWWDW - 4 wins and a drawn in last 6 matches. Last 3 losses suffered have been away from home.
EVERTON - GOAL TRENDS - 47% overs at home - 7 of last 13 matches over 2.5 goals but 13 of last 13 over 1.5 goals.
Have only kept one clean sheet in last 13 matches.
Have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches.
EVERTON - STREAKS - 7 at home without defeat, 4 overall. 2,2,5,2,1,2 the goals scored by Everton in their last 6 home matches.
VILLA
VILLA RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLDDWLDL - inconsistent forma way from home - the only wins away have come against the bottom 4 sides.
VILLA RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLDWWLDDWLL - again inconsistent and the 2 losses on the trot have to be curtailed or Villa re in the scrap.
GOAL TRENDS - Villa have conceded in all away matches this season -and odds on Everton are in great home form at present - 5 of the last 7 matches have been over 2.5 goals. Villa have conceded in 19 of their last 20 matches. 67% of away matches over 2.5 goals.
Villa concede most regularly in the last quarter of an hour of the first half and 2nd half ( 11 and 17 goals) so perhaps lay if 0-0 coming up to the 75th minute?
STREAKS - no win in 3 away
I suspect the best Villa can hope for here is a draw
2 cup and 3 league head to heads and the latter are 0-0 Rangers away , 1-2 Rangers away and 4-0 Rangers home - today's match is the re running of the postponed match on 3rd March
2nd v 4th - Rangers can go top in real terms ( on same number of games played) with a win today as they have a game in hand and are only 2 points behind.
RANGERS RECENT HOME FORM - WLWWWWWW - only 2 defeats at home all season.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWWLWWWLWWW - no draw in 12 matches
GOAL TRENDS - 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals - 64% overs at home - 50% home matches clean sheets - score on average 2.35 at home - have scored 6,4,2 in last 3 home matches. 5 clean sheets in last 7 matches. Have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches this season ( twice against Celtic)
STREAKS - 6 match home winning streak - no draw in 9 at home - no draw in 12 in all.
DUNDEE UNITED
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDDDDLDDW - 6 of the 7 draws away were score draws - possibility of over 2.5 goals therefore?
Against top 3 away, 1-1 Celtic, 4-0 loss Rangers and 2-1 loss Hearts.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLLDDWWWWW - great recent run of form but 4 home wins on the trot
GOAL TRENDS - 33% of away matches over 2.5 goals
Only 2 of the last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored in all of last 6 matches
STREAKS - 5 match winning streak, 7 without defeat but always seem to be unable to beat the top 3.
6/6 in head to heads both home and away make this 1.72 immediately appealing. 2-1 and 2-0 wins for Chelsea when they visit.
3rd v 10th - can Chelsea challenge for the title/ well they have to win and the others falter. CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ALERT - 6th April Chelsea have a match and realistically I do not think they can win the title so must prioritise the Champions League - TEAM CHANGES!!!
Stoke are mid table mediocrity and I feel they are safe from a relegation fight.
STOKE RECENT HOME FORM - DLLWWWDW - some solid recent home form scoring 2,2,3,1,4 - what has happened to hit and hope Stoke?
2-1 loss United, 1-1 draw City, 2-1 loss Spurs against top 5 at home
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWLLWLLDLW - poor overall form - only one win in last 5. Home form may redeem them against Chelsea.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs at home - clean sheet in 33% of home matches - only 3 over 2.5 goals matches in last 9 - only 1 clean sheet in their last 8 matches - scored 13, conceded 10 in last 15 minutes this season.
STREAKS - 5 home matches without defeat.
CHELSEA
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDDLLWWDW - coming to the boil away it would seem?
3 against Blackpool, 4 against Sunderland and Bolton who are in close proximity to Stoke in the league.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLDWWW - loss to Liverpool and draw v Fulham
GOAL TRENDS - have scored 4,4,0,3 in last 4 away matches. Failed to score in only 2 of last 8 matches.
HMMM - What do we make of Stoke's recent winning run at home? But we need to note they are loss draw loss against top 5 at home. Are Chelsea threatening a spanking, scoring 4,4,0 ( fulham), 3 in last 4 away matches?
HEAD TO HEADS WDWW for Real Madrid. At home, 3-1 is the most recent head to head in 2010.
LEAGUE POSITION 2nd v 15th. With 3rd from bottom only 3 points behind Gijon, this is as important to them as it is to Real who are 5 points behind Barca and waiting for a slip up. Also note an important CHAMPIONS LEAGUE match on 5th April . Team news vital for Real Madrid.
HOME TEAM
REAL MADRID RECENT HOME FORM – 14 match winning home record under Mourinho – have scored 6-6-7-2 in the matches they have played against bottom 7 sides ( of which Gijon is one)
REAL MADRID RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWLWWWDWWWW – all dropped points were away from home . The Osasuna loss, I believe, was prior to a Champions League match.
REAL MADRID GOAL TRENDS – Average 3.28 goals per match at home – 50/50 overs/unders. 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, But only 4 of last 11 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored 46 and conceded 6 all season at home. Have failed to score only 5 times all season, and all away from home.
Have conceded only 7 goals in the first half of all matches this season , scoring 33 goals!!
Opponents lead at half time in only 6.9% of matches. Real score first in 72% of all matches. Real have scored first in 13 of their 14 home matches. Ronaldo key at home – 20 of his 27 goals have been scored at home. Benzema coming into it increasingly. Benzema has scored 7 goals and scored in 5 of the last 6 Real matches.
REAL MADRID STREAKS – 14 matches at home winning sequence – last 3 home matches no concession of goals – no defeat in 8 matches overall.
AWAY TEAM
GIJON RECENT AWAY FORM – only 1 win away all season – 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0 against top 5 away from home.LLDDWLDLD – inconsistent – 4 of last 7 aways have been draws. Have played 3rd, 4th 6th and 7th away from home recently , losses were both 3-0 losses against 6th and 7th sides.
GIJON RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWLDDDLWDW – only 1 loss in last 7 matches.
GIJON GOAL TRENDS – scored 10 away and conceded 22 away.43% over 2.5 goals away.Only 28% of points accrued away.6 of last 7 matches have been under 2.5 goals.Have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 6 matches. Have only scored 6 goals in last 10 matches. LDDL all under 2.5 goals against top 5 away. Infact, 3 of those matches were under 1.5 goals.
GIJON STREAKS – 4 away without a win. Have not beaten top 5 away. – 3 matches without defeat.
CONCLUSION – Real will not lose , based on Mourinho factor. Important Champions League match on 5th April may temper team selection. Gijon historically tight against top 5 in home and away matches. Recently though, Gijon have lost 3-0 to 6th and 7th sides. A little Jekyll and Hyde. Benzema to continue scoring? 2-0 perhaps a tradable scoreline inbetween 1-0 and 3-0.
HEAD TO HEADS WWLW for Arsenal in head to heads – last 2matches were 2-1 results. All 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Arsenal have won the last 2 at home, scoring an aggregate 10 goals.
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 13th - game in hand over Man Utd who have a tricky away match at a pumped up West Ham. Blackburn are one of 4 teams on 33 points ( bottom team has 30 points) so points are absolutely vital for Blackburn. This becomes one of those matches where it’s a 6 pointer for both sides, and a neutral goals bet might be safer. Arsenal are out of the Champions League now so can concentrate wholly on the League title . United have one eye on the Champions League midweek match.
HOME TEAM
ARSENAL RECENT HOME FORM – LLWWDWWWWD – only 3 defeats all season at home.Against bottom 8 sides, have only lost 1 match at home, 2-3 v West brom ( should have won) and won the others. Have not played 13th ( today) and 14th but the pattern is obvious enough.
ARSENAL RECENT FORM OVERALL – LWDWDWWWDWWDD – unbeaten in 12 matches.Includes the 4-4 draw v Newcastle when 4-0 up at halftime, and 2-1 v wigan where an own goal made it 2-2.
ARSENAL GOAL TRENDS – score an average of 2 goals at home and concede 0.8 per match.Have kept clean sheets in an impressive 47% of home matches. 60% home matches over 2.5 goals.
3 of the last 4 matches under 2.5 goals. Clean sheet in 3 of their last 4 matches.
Have failed to score in only 2 of last 12 matches. Arsenal can get off to a flyer, scoring 11 and conceding only 1 goal in the first quarter of an hour of matches.
ARSENAL STREAKS – no defeat in 8 at home, have not conceded in 3 at home – undefeated in 12 matches in total.
AWAY TEAM
BLACKBURN RECENT AWAY FORM – LLLWLLLLL – says it all really. New Manager is not impacting at all.Win was a 3-1 win against West Brom.
BLACKBURN RECENT FORM OVERALL – LWLWLWLLDLLD - 5 of the last 6 wins have come at home. 7 losses and a 1-1 draw away to top 10 sides. 1-1 draw was against Man City.
BLACKBURN GOAL TRENDS – last 5 Blackburn away matches have seen the following scoreline ( all losses) – 3-0, 2-0, 4-3, 4-1, 3-2. Last 3 away matches have been over 4.5 goals.
4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. 805 of Blackburn’s away matches have been over 2.5 goals. They concede an average 2.53 goals per away match. Only 2 clean sheets in their last 15 matches. Have conceded a whopping 36 goals in the 2nd half of matches. Have conceded in all away matches this season.
Have conceded 4,0,4,3,2 in last 5 matches.
BLACKBURN STREAKS – 13 matches without a draw away from home.current losing streak – 5 matches away from home – no win in 5 away matches, 6 matches overall. 4 of last 5 matches over 3.5 goals.
CONCLUSION- lest we forget the time of year, and that top v bottom matches are not necessarily that clear cut ( necessity for points), this looks all over an easy win for Arsenal with goals to boot. Over 3.5 goals for the speculative trader perhaps. Blackburn have scored first in 50% of matches this season, so enhanced traders take note!
500 CHEPSTOW -
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 E Street Boy, 6/1 Speedy Directa, 8/1 Lightening Fire, 12/1 Crackerjac Boy, 12/1 Gainsborough´s Art, 20/1 Bob Casey, 20/1 Immense, 20/1 Jeanry, 20/1 Kings Story, 25/1 Attainable, 25/1 Big Knickers, 25/1 Silent Jo, 33/1 King Kasyapa.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these bring recent form to the contest but if E STREET BOY doesn't feel the effects of a third race in six days he is clearly going to take some beating in the hat-trick bid.[Jonathan Neesom]
Dare we go to the well again? E Street boy still an eyecatching price gapper - 4/5 - - - 8/1 - potentially vulnerable with so many runs in so few days though.
Doncaster heralds the start of the flat proper but picking a winner is no easy task.
210 GOWRAN PARK
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Shot From The Hip, 5/1 Sir Vincent, 11/2 Canaly, 6/1 Days Hotel, 6/1 Joe Smooth, 7/1 The Bull Hayes, 12/1 Baily Dusk, 12/1 Knockcroghery, 12/1 Wood Lily, 14/1 Definitely Marble, 16/1 Rourke´s Cross.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SHOT FROM THE HIP, placed in a Grade 1 at Leopardstown in February, makes most appeal to win this with The Bull Hayes and Canaly two capable of reaching the frame. [Brian Fleming]
8/11 - - - 7/1 price gapper as I write ( the market may unfold a bit more)
220 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Penitent, 5/1 Bikini Babe, 5/1 Saphira´s Fire, 7/1 Shamali, 8/1 Pink Symphony, 10/1 Chapter And Verse, 10/1 Cumulus Nimbus, 20/1 Resentful Angel, 25/1 Mr Willis.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Penitent is the class act in the line up and should make a bold bid to overcome his penalty but there is a slight doubt about him at this trip and it might be worth taking him on. Both Bikini Babe and SAPHIRA'S FIRE come here on long losing runs but a case can be argued for both and the latter is marginally preferred this time.[Paul Smith]
That's an early eyecatcher - Dettori on Penitent.
330 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Dan Breen, 5/1 Five Out Of Five, 6/1 Causeway King, 7/1 What´s Up Doc, 66/1 Waldo Winchester.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This revolves around whether DAN BREEN has recovered from his exertions in the Arkle, as with a mark of 148 he really should be much too good for these. Five Out Of Five is the one who could have better days ahead of him.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
2/5 - - -6/1 price gap in such a small field! Novice chase though and only 2 places
SHORTLIST - still trepidation with the start of the flat and would much rather take cues from the betting market at this early season stage.
1245pm - West ham v man Utd - over 1.5 goals looks the call here with both teams needing points for differing reasons. Neutral bet here because United have Champions League next week
530pm - Arsenal v Blackburn - 1.28 home - Blackburn are in poor form and Arsenal really need a win, more so with knowledge of the United and Chelsea results before they go into play.
NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
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