31/3

A day to leave alone and no need to jump in with the weekend afoot and the hope for better opportunities.

I think Retainer in the 420 Leicester is a great placer bet today, but am put off by the near year absence. Still, probability wise, if fully tuned up, he should place in the first 2 in what looks a 3 horse race.

Big gamble in the 645 Wolves is of interest, but nearer the time.

*****ONE A DAY - NO BET TODAY**** I will try and update for the 645 Wolves at 630pm ONLY on the blog, and only if I feel it is worthwhile and solid enough. The blog is www.cliveoneaday.com

password stable634

A drift on the selection yesterday saw a nice 1.41 Betfair SP but 1.23 when I wrote. That is the advantage of Betfair SP. It will capture drifts in price.

e Street boy went out to 5/6 in the betting which was a great surprise, but the horse won.

1230pm - Woodlands Wellington v Etoile - 1.22 away - more exciting Singapore league football. - Etoile have won last 4 head to heads , last 2 matches 2-0.

Woodlands have only won one of their last 11 matches, losing 8 and drawing 2 so this should be Etoile's all things being equal. 4 1-0 losses and a 0-0 hinted at defensive progress until Singapore armed forces scored 5 against them and then they lost 2-0 in their next match.

At home, Woodlands have lost 9 and drawn 2 of their last 11 matches.

It looks as if the league started in February where its been LLDLL for Woodlands

WDLWWW for Etoile since Feb sees only one loss and that was care of a 91st minute goal

WLW away from home in the 3 matches since February. 2-0 , 1-0 loss ( mentioned above), 1-0 win - the 1-0 win latest was a 90th minute Etoile winner.

And that, folks, is that as far as the football is concerned.

Cork is a no go area this evening with huge fields.

Leicester kicks off its turf flat campaign with a debutant only maiden for 2 year olds ( yikes) and a class 6 selling stakes ( where's that Samaritans number?)

420 LEICESTER

BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Retainer, 5/2 Glas Burn, 3/1 Breedj, 20/1 Restless Bay.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: RETAINER made a highly promising start to his career when winning easily in a race which worked out well at Newmarket last April and if in the same sort of form again, will be tough to beat despite conceding 10lb to a couple of fillies with Listed-race form to their name. Glas Burn may be the main danger, ahead of Breedj.[Mel Cullinan]

1 horse at 25/1 means this should revolve around the 3 others for 2 places - pure probability bet therefore.

The top 2 in the market have 351 and 321 day absences to overcome but Retainer has the great combo of Hannon/Moore.

545 WOLVES

BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Lord Avon, 2/1 Second Encore, 5/1 Sugar Beet, 6/1 Speedy Joe.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: LORD AVON looked far superior to Second Encore when they met here last week and should be able to see off his old rival once more, but both were returning from a break that day and how they are affected by that run could prove crucial.[Stuart Redding]

Odds on this Lord Avon who has a win at this course to his name last time out. 4 horses and 2 places makes this a good 50/50 race for the placings.

645 WOLVES

BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Take Your Partner, 5/1 Local Diktator, 7/1 Da Ponte, 8/1 Consistant.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It's hard to look beyond TAKE YOUR PARTNER, who had little difficulty landing a similar contest at Southwell last week and is set for a big hike in the weights. Not easy to split the other three but Local Diktatorhas proven fitness on his side and is the suggestion for Exacta purposes.[Stuart Redding]

A huge move for Da Ponte into 7/4 makes him extremely interesting as a potential gamble, what with returning from a 226 day absence.

SHORTLIST

As you can see it is a very difficult day where perhaps the market will be a key player here with Leicester's turf flat card.

1230pm - Woodlands Wellington v Etoile - 1.22 away - I always like backing teams who have a clear dominance in head to heads but I am stretching it a bit professing to be some kind of an expert on Singapore Football.

420 LEICESTER - typical of the conundrum faced with early season flat races. 300+ days absences for the front 2 market leaders although Retainer is tempting given his impressive debut win in April 2010 and Ryan Moore in the saddle. This is also an apparent 3 horse race for 2 places so ideally he only has to beat one to place if we are dismissing the outsider at 25/1

Around 1.2 to place, we would need faith in the jockey and trainer here after nearly a year's absence.

645 WOLVES is a race to return to nearer the off as it looked all over a race to side with Take your partner but a whopping gamble is unfurling on Da Ponte and yes, he has a 226 day absence to overcome so it could be that the stable fancy him today.

A lot can happen in the 7 hours between me writing this and the race time .

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