Multiple was a success yesterday - another possible today incorporates all lays so the draws are covered in all matches. A couple of Cup matches make it a slight risk.
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Standout stats today? Well Benfica have not had a draw in their last 37 matches in all competitions. Will this continue this evening? Rangers have beaten Motherwell 4-1 home and away in this year's league so the 1.4 is very tempting, and tradeable if Rangers score first or lead at any stage.
With the Cup matches today, look out for enhanced trading ( e.g. back Man Utd 1-0 down at Southampton yesterday) - I could see Notts county scoring and then Man City equalising for instance. Or watch Alves incase they score first against Benfica.
Barca were never going to be beaten again, and made sure of it with a late flurry from the Messi-ah.
Pana were the better priced of the football teams and I wish I had faith in the head to heads as they won again. United were another excellent enhanced bet after going 1-0 down ( much like the Blackpool match) - they became very backable and delivered almost inevitably.
155 FAKENHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 1/10 Line Freedom, 8/1 Farewellatmidnight, 14/1 Colleens Pride, 33/1 Mater Mater, 66/1 Ericaceous.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This should be nothing more than a stroll for LINE FREEDOM, with Farewellatmidnight possibly leading the chase.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
Interesting start. Looks like Farewell and Colleen are the 2 to focus on for the better paying 2nd place market.
325 FAKENHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Caught By Witness, 100/30 Uncle Keef, 6/1 Alonso De Guzman, 8/1 Sunny Spells, 14/1 Get Ready To Go, 20/1 Maccool, 25/1 Salut Honore, 66/1 Humbel Times, 100/1 Patrick Dee, 200/1 Flag Dancer.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CAUGHT BY WITNESS brings respectable handicap form into a weak maiden and there's no great temptation to take him on. Alonso De Guzman is a possible alternative, with his Market Rasen run no reflection of his true ability.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
Only 5 under 25/1 should make it a little easier for Caught to be placed
135 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Cucumber Run, 6/1 Easter Meteor, 7/1 Dovecote Wood, 8/1 There And Then, 10/1 Generous Bob, 10/1 Stolen Thunder, 25/1 Bennys Mist, 25/1 Ledbury Star, 25/1 Mr Windmill, 33/1 Mudita Moment, 33/1 Radmores Oscar, 40/1 Bridge Street Boy, 50/1 Solo Roma, 66/1 Just Richie, 100/1 Rich Live, 100/1 Roman Landing.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A weak race and, despite reservations over the longer trip, CUCUMBER RUN should defy the penalty. Easter Meteor will be the danger if bouncing back from a poor last-time-out effort, while Generous Bob appeals most of the remainder. [Mark Brown]
Only 3 horses under 25/1 here should be considered for the places.
Easter and Dovecote are the 2 against the obvious favourite.
315 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Super Frank, 11/2 Vhujon, 6/1 Italian Tom, 16/1 Desert Strike, 16/1 Lord Of The Reins, 25/1 Mind The Monarch.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Vhujon and Super Frank are more reliable than most and should give their running but ELHAMRI comes here in good form and is the one to beat.[Graham Wheldon]
8 runners now down to 6 and still 3 places? Original fav remains in those 6 runners.
150 PUNCHESTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Big Zeb, 3/1 Golden Silver, 7/2 Sizing Europe, 20/1 Scotsirish, 200/1 Changing Course.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BIG ZEB has done nothing wrong this season since landing the Queen Mother Champion Chase last March and Colm Murphy's runner gets the vote over Golden Silver and last season's Arkle Chase hero Sizing Europe. [Brian Fleming]
Should be 3 horses for 2 places and no immediate reason to desert Big Zeb
12pm - Arsenal v Huddersfield - 1.14 home - should be a simple job for the Arse with a good team out. 1.14 signals goals130pm - Twente v Feyenoord - 1.28 home - a win takes them a point behind a very lucky PSV yesterday beating 9 man Willem II with nearly the last kick of the match. Feyenoord used to be one of the contenders but no so this season with a poor 15th place. Generally tight head to heads 1-0 ( Fey home win), 1-1 , 2-1 ( Fey home win Cup) , 2-0 ( Twente home win) , 0-1 ( Twente away win)
Lost 2-0 v Ajax recently away and this should be within Twente's grasp.
We have to weigh up poor away form as against reasonable head to heads against Twente.
2pm - Notts Co v Man City - 1.41 away - is the romance of the Cup all but dead now we have squillionaires in the Premiership ensuring the gulf in class is much more marked?
8 match unbeaten away run ended at Villa last time out for City, and that was only 1-0.
3pm - Rangers v Motherwell - 1.4 home - Scottish League Cup, home advantage, and like Panathanaikos yesterday, a team who have scored 3,4,4 in last 3 head to heads . Only 3 wins in their last 12 for Motherwell in all compeitions signals it is more likely to be a home win or draw than an away win.
Motherwell have beaten 3rd, 4th and 5th away in the league, but have succumbed to the Big 2.
4pm - Eibar v Zamora - 1.33 home - Spanish 3rd flight and no real reason Eibar are so short
6pm - Osasuna v Real Madrid - 1.41 - just when I thought Real were becoming real consistent betting propositions, they fecked up against Almeria and all but wrapped up the La Liga title in a lovely purple and red bow for Barca.
No win in 8 matches though for Osasuna signals a draw at best against 2nd placed Real.
615 - Aves v Benfica - 1.45 away - 9 wins on the trot for Benfica, and 11 wins in last 12 matches - last draw for Benfica came 37 matches ago!!! They either win or lose ( logically!!) Aves are lower league opposition - Aves have scored 2,3,2,2 in their last 4 home matches.
7pm - Cabofriense v Fluminense RJ - 1.3 away - worth investigating when a team is so short away from home - away side unbeaten in last 12 and have won their last 6 matches.
1-0, 6-2, 3-1 for Fluminense in 2011 signals why they are short priced favs.
325 FAKENHAM - the place only market is unanimous that Caught by witness will place - 1.14 to place
If there was some value way to lay Feyenoord, I would. Laying the draw to trade is a consideration. No draw in 13 for Twente.
2pm - Notts Co v Man City - 1.41 away - team news will determine confidence here but surely this is too much of a gulf in class for Notts County.
3pm - Rangers v Motherwell - 1.4 home - league cup but is it any coincidence that Rangers have beaten Motherwell home and away in the league by the same scoreline - 4-1?
615 - Aves v Benfica - 1.45 away - no draw in 37 matches - make of that what you will!! Benfica are obviously the form team , but the same could be argued as regards Porto yesterday and they only drew.
7pm - Cabofriense v Fluminense RJ - 1.3 away - this looks a case of out-of-depth promoted home side v rock solid away side. Goals an interesting neutral bet if your Brazilian football knowledge is as weak as mine.
--------------------
NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
------------
Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
----------------
One A Day
oneadayclive@canonburypublishing.com
Subscription Line: 0208 597 0181
-------------------------
Canonbury Publishing Ltd
Unit 1, Hainault Works, Hainualt Road, Little Heath,
Romford, RM6 5SS
Registered office address:
Canonbury Publishing Ltd, Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ
Registered in England No: 193 7374 Vat No: GB 629 7287 94
No comments:
Post a Comment