Better prices can be had courtesy of Betis ( Spanish 2nd Division and I have not really focussed there) at 1.47 ( big drift) , Inter v Bologna over 1.5 goals at 1.3 , and Rennes at home at 1.41
*****ONE A DAY 8pm - Rennes v Arles - back Rennes at match odds of 1.44. Place an insurance bet on 0-0 at odds of 11.5 with enough stake to cover the match odds stake.
e.g. I bet Rennes at 1.44 with £100.
I go to the correct score market. I back 0-0 at odds of 11.5 for £10 -this will return me £99 if the match is 0-0 .*****
This should result in a 1.34 bet and with Arles only winning once all season, the likelihood is for a Rennes win, but with Rennes home matches so sparce goalwise, a cover of 0-0 is recommended.
Today sees any number of solid bets in my eyes, and perhaps a multiple in the football might pay off.
| 1 | Betis v Alcorcon (Laying Alcorcon @ 10.56) |
| 2 | Chelsea v Blackburn (Laying Blackburn @ 17.14) |
| 3 | Rangers v Hamilton (Backing Rangers @ 1.13) |
| 4 | Olympiakos v Panserraikos (Backing Olympiakos @ 1.13) |
| 5 | Inter v Bologna (Laying Bologna @ 18.54) |
| 6 | Rennes v Arles (Laying Arles @ 13.13) |
| 6-Folds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selections | Odds* | Stake | Potential win | |
 | 1,2,3,4,5 and 6 | 1.73 | €100.00 | €73.00 |
Yesterday's advice
***** ONE A DAY 7pm - Zwolle v Emmen - back Zwolle at 1.29 in the match odds*****
This carries a risk today as Emmen are unbeaten in 6 and I would suggest perhaps trading if Zwolle lead at any stage. The match is in running.
Yesterday's scoreline
| 20:00 | FT | ' |  Zwolle | 3 : 4 | Emmen | h2h |
Danny Schreurs 10'  | ||
| Pepijn Kluin 13' | ||
| 19' Tjarron Chery | ||
| Bram van Polen 26' | ||
| 38' Guus de Vries | ||
| 44' Eldridge Rojer | ||
Joey van den Berg 71'  | ||
| 90' Hans Denissen |
Zwolle scored the first goal. 1-0 - trading point number 1
Zwolle were leading 2-0 after 13 minutes - trading point number 2
Zwolle were leading 3-1 after 26 minutes - trading point number 3.
Tell me you traded - - PLEASE!!!! 3 chances to trade if you were umming and ahhing at 1-0 or even 2-0!
That's precisely why I mentioned trading yesterday as Zwolle score at home but Emmen were unbeaten in 6.
Hibs have been comfortably beaten at home by 2nd and 3rd in the league.
I can't have Celtic today. It shows what a poor state Scottish football in that has beens are seen as strengthening the side.
Rangers look better today with 3 games in hand and at home to bottom .
6 match unbeaten run.
Last 2 January matches have been 1-0 and 1-1 , a little out of character goal wise.
7 losses and 2 draws away for Alcorcon. Betis in their 4 matches against bottom 4 have scored 3 on 3 occasions.
7 wins , 2 draws and a loss at home masks a recent poor run of LLDDDLWDL for Chelsea.
Still out of form but what boost will that 7 goal drubbing of Ipswich do?
4 losses and a draw against top 7 sides away and Blackburn have shipped 7,1,4,3,2 in those away matches.
LLLWL away in last 5 for Blackburn. They should find Chelsea a step too far as has been the case against top 7 away but this Chelsea has one win in 9 matches and that was 1-0 v Bolton at home.
WLWW at home for City includes 2 1-0 wins so not that overwhelming!
8 losses, a draw and a win away for Wolves. Against top 5 they have lost 2-1, 3-1, 2-0 - indeed this is the type of away scoreline we see down to 10th place. A step too far away for Wolves. Over 1.5 goals includes both sides.
Man City seem to be Jekyll and Hyde - either scoring 3, 4 goals or winning 1-0 or drawing 0-0. Who shows up this afternoon?
2nd old Firm match on the trot for Hamilton and it should be too much to expect them to take more points , this time away from home.
WWWW for Rangers in head to heads, but look at the scorelines! 4-1, 1-0, 1-0, 2-1. Tight recent matches.
No win in 8 for Hamilton and recently DLDD hint at a tightness at the back with scorelines 0-0, 0-1, 0-0, 1-1.
1.18 signals goals but the form and head to heads don't.
3-1, 2-0, 3-0 away results against top 4 though augurs well for Rangers today.
Goals here today? In 9/10 home matches, West Brom have conceded.
5,3,2,2, scored in last 4 home matches, Oly have won last 5. All losses for Oly have been away and they don't do draws.
6 of 8 wins at home have seen a shut out so if Oly score they tend to win.
Against 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 6th ( Oly are top) away, Pans have lost 2-0, 2-0, 3-2, 2-0 .
Head to heads at home Oly won most recent but away has seen 2 1-0 wins for Oly
Pans have lost their last 3 away matches 2-0 ( see a theme forming here!!!)
Oly will have winning sequence ending home match at some point, but it looks like they will continue winning today at least.
3,2,2,4,0,2,3 goals scored in last 7 away matches by the Arse augurs well today.
West Ham are bottom and against top 8 teams at home it is LWLLL( 1-0 win v Spurs - another London side!!!!) - the losses, though, have been emphatic 1-3, 1-3, 1-3 1-2 - any coincidence the Hammers have conceded 3 at home v 2nd, 5th and 7th in the league.
This vulnerability may point to goals?
DDWLDW at home though in last 6 may signal a turning point for the Hammers? BUT remember they have not been playing top 10 sides generally in those matches.
A sign of change for Inter? None of that invincibility at home that was apparent under Mourinho
Bologna are vulnerable to top sides away - 4-1, 3-1, 2-2, 4-1 losses and Inter may be meeting them at the right time having beaten Napoli 3-1 at home recently.
Over 1.5 goals here?
7 losses and 2 draws away for Arles and they have only won 1 all season so the expectation is for a plucky defensive display and eventual capitulation this evening.
-
1150 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 A Media Luz, 7/4 Brampour, 6/1 Kazzene, 11/1 New Code, 16/1 Jolly Roger, 20/1 Mavalenta, 25/1 Kuilsriver, 28/1 Killusty Fancy, 50/1 Finch Flyer, 66/1 Aldorable, 66/1 Cuckoo Rock.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Useful Flat recruit Brampour has to be respected, though it may be worth noting Paul Nicholls' recent caution regarding the overhyping of the horse. Preference is for A MEDIA LUZ, who is getting her act together over hurdles judging by her second at Newbury last time and can make her previous experience count. [Mel Cullinan]
3 only under 20/1 here.
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Kauto Star, 13/2 Long Run, 10/1 The Nightingale, 11/1 Nacarat, 14/1 Riverside Theatre, 16/1 Forpadydeplasterer, 16/1 Planet Of Sound, 33/1 Albertas Run, 33/1 Madison Du Berlais.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: King KAUTO STAR can raise the roof with a record-busting fifth win in this race. This, rather than the Gold Cup, is surely his Cup Final and victory in this would be just deserts for one of the post-Arkle steeplechasing greats. Connections regard the softened ground as a potential plus and seem perfectly relaxed about the race taking place three weeks late. There are stamina, going or jumping issues surrounding many of his rivals, with Planet Of Sound, despite his trainer's reservations about the track, and course specialist Nacarat looking the best each-way options.[Paul Johnson]
4/6 - - - 7/1 price gapper the mighty Kauto Star and immediately this has the makings of a good each way race.
9 runners and 3 places, a clear round should see the Kauto in the places. Slight concern the absence of Ruby Walsh.
205 NAAS
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Ballyhaunis, 3/1 Tornedo Shay, 7/2 Ballyburke, 8/1 Darwins Fox, 8/1 Wee Giant, 10/1 L´ami, 10/1 Tavern Times, 12/1 Forty Foot Tom, 12/1 Stay, 20/1 Sligo.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Willie Mullins and Paul Townend have enjoyed a profitable campaign so far and the pair hold a strong hand with BALLYHAUNIS who shades the verdict over Tornedo Shay, Ballyburke and Darwins Fox. [Brian Fleming]
Ballyhaunis for Mullins/Townend could place again.
110 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Peveril, 5/1 Shalimar Fromentro, 6/1 Fruity O´rooney.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: All four have shown plenty of ability and/or plenty of promise but it may well rest between the improving Peveril and Grade 1 novice hurdle winner WAYWARD PRINCE, with the latter marginally preferred.[Richard Austen]
3 horses and 2 places again. Heavy ground at Dionne Warwick today
345 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Young Mags, 5/1 Newdane Dancer, 6/1 Reveal The Light, 13/2 Doynosaur, 9/1 Tobetall, 33/1 Skiddaw Secret, 50/1 Cottam Chocolate.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: YOUNG MAGS, a promising second at Newbury last month on her debut, can go one better here. Reveal The Light is weighted to reverse Towcester form with Doynosaur on this less demanding track and may be the main danger, though that could change if either Newdane Dancer or Tobetall attracts strong market interest.[Paul Johnson]
Only 2 places but Young Mags maintains price gapper status in this bumper. Bumper placed form has tended to result in a place in next race - same again today despite only 2 places?
SHORTLIST
3pm - Betis v Alcorcon - 1.38 home - it looks like a home win today for a home side scoring 3 in 4 matches against bottom 5 teams, and Alcorcon have lost 7 and drawn 2 away.3pm - Chelsea v Blackburn - 1.3 home - 4 losses and a draw against top 7 away but Chelsea are in poor form still in the league -1 win in 9 matches.
3pm - Man City v Wolves - 1.37 home - IN RUNNING - Wolves away cannot cope with top 5 sides , but which City shows up today - the 1-0 er's or the team that can score 3 and 4? Hard to predict!!
3pm - Rangers v Hamilton - 1.18 home -low probability that bottom side can take points against Old Firm team for 2nd game on the trot. Hamilton struggle away to top 4 sides.
315pm - Olympiakos v Panserraikos - 1.17 home - looks one of the safer bets today but slight concern that Oly's home win sequence will end at some time. Should be around 2-0
745pm - Inter v Bologna - 1.31 home - IN RUNNING - sign of a revival with 3 wins in last 4 - 1.3 over 1.5 goals looks big here
8pm- Rennes v Arles - 1.41 home - perhaps back 0-0 and 1-0 here for Rennes as this could be a tight match. They are the likeliest winners as Arles have only won 1 match all season.
300 KEMPTON - 1.21 to place for Kauto Star. A clear round should ensure competitive at the business end. No Ruby a problem?
205 NAAS - Ballyhaunis is around 1.28 to place and should do so again albeit in a competitive race ( check out the 1's in the form columns)
110 WARWICK - 3 horses and 2 places and Peveril is the market leader at 1.14 to place.Heavy ground though.
345 Wetherby - Young Mags is a price gapper in a bumper - 1.28 to place is generous as 1) it is a bumper and 2) there are only 2 places.
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
3pm - Betis v Alcorcon - 1.38 home - -having won all bar one draw at home, and lost 2 all season, Betis should win against a team who have lost all bar 2 draws away.
3pm - Rangers v Hamilton - 1.18 home - - surely Hamilton cannot take points off another Old Firm team for the 2nd game in succession? And away from home!
315pm - Olympiakos v Panserraikos - 1.17 home - looks a safe bet this one if the form is to be relied upon.
745pm - Inter v Bologna - 1.31 home 1.3 over 1.5 goals is a suspiciously big price , especially for a home team whose last 4 matches have seen 7,4,4,3 goals , BUT Bologna's last few matches have seen 3,0,2,2 goals. Last head to head was 0-0 at Bologna BUT under different management.
300 Kempton - 1.21 to place for Kauto Star - a clear round should suffice here.
110 Warwick - 3 horses and 2 places - another probability bet.
345 Wetherby - better tackled nearer the off but Young Mags is expected to be competitive - only 2 places means 1.28 to place or higher.
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NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
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