25/7

*****ONE A DAY - 430pm - CSKA Moscow v Kryliya Sovetov - back CSKA in the match odds at 1.17***** - speculators might look to correct score 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 if the odds are generous enough. Kryliya have not scored in their away defeats and 3 of last 4 were 2-0 defeats.




Celtic read the script and that could be an important win, even with a whole season to go, as Rangers are rarely going to drop points at home.

430pm - CSKA Moscow v Kryliya Sovetov - 1.17 home - a nice 2-0 away win last time should augur well for this home match for solid CSKA.

25.05.2011	D1	Krylia Sovetov Samara	0-3	CSKA Moscow
07.11.2010	D1	CSKA Moscow	4-3	Krylia Sovetov Samara
19.07.2010	D1	Krylia Sovetov Samara	0-1	CSKA Moscow
12.09.2009	D1	CSKA Moscow	3-0	Krylia Sovetov Samara
03.05.2009	D1	Krylia Sovetov Samara	1-3	CSKA Moscow

Expectation for a comfortable win for CSKA in keeping with the 1.17 quote.

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 16th. Both sides have played 16 matches to everyone else's 17.

HOME TEAM - CSKA

RECENT HOME FORM - WDWLWDWW - loss v 6th was a 0-1 78th minute goal. Draws were both 1-1's and against both Krasnador sides ( coincidence?) Last 2 wins CSKA have scored 3 goals at home. 3 wins and a draw in last 4 home. REcent wins against 5th and 7th so should cope with 16th.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWWWWWW - super recent form has seen CSKA scoring 3,1,4,3,2,3,2,2 -very consistent and remember sub 1.2 quotes should signal an easy 3-4 goal win, with the hope of a clean sheet. 4 of CSKA's last 5 matches have seen clean sheets.

GOAL TRENDS - 5 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws , 3 clean sheets, 1.75 scored, 0.63 conceded at home.

STREAKS - 7 without a draw, and 5 at home without a loss( all matches not just league)

AWAY TEAM - KRYLIA

RECENT AWAY FORM - LDLDLLL - draws against 11th and 12th - in all 5 away losses, Krylia failed to score.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDWDLDDLLLDLWLLL - wins against 7th and 8th, draws against 12th, 9th, 4th, 11th, 15th .4 losses in last 5 matches has seen team unable to score in those losses and 3 of the losses 2-0 and one 3-0.

GOAL TRENDS - 5 losses, 2 draws , 0 clean sheets, 0.29 scored and 1.57 conceded away from home.

STREAKS - 4 games without a win.8 away matches without a win.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this really looks like a win to nil and perhaps an opportunity to back correct scores 3-0, 4-0 ( although 3 of last 4 losses have been 2-0)

430pm - Klubi-04 v KTP - 1.19 home - Finnish 3rd tier unlikely to be liquid enough to allow trading. A quick glance suggests goals in this match and a potential for over 2.5 / 2.5 goals

6pm - Elfsborg v Djurgardens - 1.51 home
HEAD TO HEADS

26.05.2011	D1	Djurgårdens IF	0-1	IF Elfsborg
24.10.2010	D1	Djurgårdens IF	4-4	IF Elfsborg
15.04.2010	D1	IF Elfsborg	3-1	Djurgårdens IF
26.07.2009	D1	IF Elfsborg	3-1	Djurgårdens IF
19.07.2009	D1	Djurgårdens IF	1-2	IF Elfsborg

Elfs tend not to lose head to heads. A draw and a 1-0 win last time perhaps signals Djur are getting tighter?

LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 11th. Elfs go top with a win today ( provisionally anyway)

HOME TEAM - ELFS

RECENT HOME FORM - WDWWWWWW - draw against 2nd in the league. Scored 2 4 times, 3 3 times and 4 goals once at home. Ultra consistent at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLWWWLDWWWW - all losses have come away from home.Last 4 wins saw Elfs score 2,3,3,2

GOAL TRENDS - 100% over 2.5 goals at home thanks largely to ultra consistent scoring record from Elfs. Scored in all home matches. 2.62 average scored and 0.87 conceded. Have failed to score in only 3 matches - all away and all losses. Inference is that Elfs score, they should not lose at the very least.

STREAKS - 6 match home winning streak, 8 overall without defeat.

AWAY TEAM - DJUR

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLDLWWL - wins against 9th and 10th, and more importantly, have lost 3-0, 2-1, 3-2 to 1st, 4th and 5th in the league.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWDLLWWWWDLW - 2 away wins only and 3 wins were at home against bottom 3 sides. The other was a 1-0 at home to 6th in the league. Have not beaten any of the top 4 home or away - home draws against 1st and 3rd.

GOAL TRENDS - 88% over 2.5 goals away from home but only 1 of last 4 matches overall over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - only lost 1 of last 6 overall. BUT the away form against top sides is poor.4 away without a draw

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - you don't need to be Sherlock Holmes to deduce that over 2.5 goals has a chance here with 100% and 88% figures for both sides. Couple with Elfsborg's ability to score 2 or more in all home matches . How important was the last head to head, only 1-0 ( but Djur seem to be better at home , having drawn v 1st and 3rd, but away lost 3-0, 2-1, 3-2 to 1st , 4th and 5th)

6pm - IFK Goteborg v Halmstads - 1.35 home
HEAD TO HEADS

26.05.2011	D1	Halmstads BK	1-2	IFK Göteborg
25.07.2010	D1	Halmstads BK	1-0	IFK Göteborg
17.07.2010	D1	IFK Göteborg	3-0	Halmstads BK
27.10.2009	D1	IFK Göteborg	2-2	Halmstads BK
06.07.2009	D1	Halmstads BK	0-0	IFK Göteborg

LEAGUE POSITION - 9th v 16th - 21 points plays 7th and Halms obviously in difficulty.

HOME TEAM - GOTEBORG

RECENT HOME FORM - LLWWDLDW - losses against 1st, 1oth and 11th, draws against 2nd and 12th and wins against 4th, 5th, 14th.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDDWLWDLWWL - only 3 losses in last 13 matches, and last 2 losses were aways. Most recent home loss was against 14th in the league.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs at home so may be reliant on goal trends of today's opponents.

STREAKS - 4 overall without a draw. Have won all matches home and away against bottom 3 sides.

AWAY TEAM - HALMSTADS

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLLDLL - sole draw against 14th, conceded 2 3 times, 3 3 times and 4 once away from home. Playing 9th today and have lost 3-1, 2-1, 3-1 against 6th, 7th and 8th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLDDLLLLL - recent draws against 10th and 14th were 0-0's

GOAL TRENDS - 62% over 2.5 goals away from home. Failed to score in half of away matches.Last 5 matches, all losses, and all over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 8 away without a win, 9 overall.5 away without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Halmstad just looks point blank opposable. Sole draw away against 14th ( bottom 3 side) and conceded 2 minimum away. Lost 2-1 or 3-1 against 6th - 8th inclusive hints at potential correct score . BUT Goteborg's home form not all that - losses against 10th, 11th and draw against 12th and playing 16th today, BUT that 16th have only 7 points

300 AYR

BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Questionnaire, 5/1 Chambers, 6/1 Beckermet, 7/1 Apache Ridge, 7/1 Royal Blade, 9/1 North Central, 14/1 Distant Sun, 16/1 Weetentherty, 20/1 Speed Dream.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Apache Ridge is well worth another chance back on quicker ground but QUESTIONNAIRE (nap) could still be ahead of the handicapper despite going right up the weights for her two wins and she is preferred.[Emily Weber]

7/4 - - -5/1 price gapper but a multiple handicap winner. CAn we eek another place out of questionnaire?

610 GALWAY

BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Riviera Poet, 7/2 Learn, 11/2 Fight, 10/1 Thirsty Bear, 14/1 Shukhov, 20/1 Aaronkayzo, 20/1 Mad For Road, 33/1 Pierre D´or, 66/1 Green Alligator, 100/1 Anto Blues.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Any market moves for expensive purchase Flight would be of interest but this maiden could well develop into a match between the once-raced pair from Ballydoyle and Rosewell House. Curragh third RIVIERA POET shades the verdict over Learn who also filled the same berth when behind his better-fancied stablemate first time out. [Brian Fleming]

Dermot Weld worth following at the festival so therefore if he has an odds on shot with top jock Pat Smullen onboard, then take the hint? 3 under 16/1 and Learn interesting at 7/4 currently.

645 GALWAY

BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Natural High, 11/2 Praxiteles, 8/1 Oneeightofamile, 9/1 Rattan, 10/1 Admiral Barry, 10/1 Kalann, 12/1 End Of The Affair, 12/1 Fosters Cross, 12/1 Prospectorous, 12/1 Zaralabad, 14/1 Cry For The Moon, 14/1 Fantasy King, 16/1 Eagle´s Pass, 16/1 Silk Hall, 20/1 Table Mountain, 25/1 Baron De´l, 25/1 Much Acclaimed, 33/1 Bremen, 33/1 Gretzky, 50/1 Blue Ridge Lane.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: As competitive as ever, this features an interesting British-trained hopeful in Praxiteles and a strong Dermot Weld-trained contender in Natural High. A realistic alternative to the pair at a likely better price is ONEEIGHTOFAMILE. Others to consider are Rattan, and Kalann. [Alan Sweetman]

4 places in this handicap and again Dermot Weld's Natural High could be a good placer?

900 UTTOXETER

BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Bahr Nothing, 5/1 Zepnove, 13/2 Nawow, 8/1 Dream Risk, 10/1 Allperksonice, 10/1 Coolagad Wonder, 10/1 Me Fein, 10/1 Torran Sound, 12/1 Friendly Love, 12/1 Prideus, 14/1 Monkhair, 14/1 Nono Le Sage, 20/1 Saddlers´ Supreme.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BAHR NOTHING showed only bits of promise for Henry Daly but it's conceivable that a change of environment, switch to handicap company and fitting of a tongue-strap will prompt improvement on his debut for a trainer who does well with recruits from other yards. Zepnove can be uncomfortable to watch but she's fairly treated if building on her latest effort.[Steve Boow]

Ello, Ello , Ello what's all this then? A Barney Curley horse, 10/1 in the betting forecast , now 7/4 favourite. This Me Fein was one of the legendary 6 figure betting coup last year.

710 WINDSOR

BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Royal Red, 9/4 Teth, 11/2 Maltease Ah, 8/1 Artistic Jewel, 12/1 Mae Rose Cottage, 14/1 Emerald Smile, 25/1 Periwinkle Way, 33/1 Little China.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Possible they will all be blown away by the well-bred newcomer Teth but ROYAL RED is going the right way and sets a fair standard.[Emily Weber]

8 runners - 3 places - 5 under 14/1 here and Royal Red has 3 runs under his belt - important for a maiden I suppose. Good probability chance of placing?

215 YARMOUTH

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Swing Alone, 7/2 My Sharona, 5/1 Lady Tycoon, 13/2 Hamble, 9/1 Gold Coin, 10/1 Island Melody, 12/1 Indian Lizzy, 25/1 Always A Sinner, 25/1 Bojangle, 25/1 Cheviot Quest, 33/1 Karma Chameleon, 50/1 Ocean Tempest.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The form of this year's Chesham is on the ropes after a few knocks but SWING ALONE was making his debut at Royal Ascot and is clearly talented. This doesn't look at all strong and My Sharona could prove most troublesome despite doubts over what she actually achieved here last week.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]

4 under 20/1 now and Swing Alone 8/11 - - - -5/1 price gapper now.

315 YARMOUTH

BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Greyfriarschorista, 11/4 Long Awaited, 4/1 Victorian Bounty, 5/1 Seek The Fair Land, 6/1 Ursula, 14/1 Ceremonial Jade, 14/1 Miss Polly Plum.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Victorian Bounty overdid it from a good draw at Chester and should run a lot better but he might struggle to reverse form with LONG AWAITED (nap), who was never far away off that strong pace himself and is the one open to further progress for his in-form yard. Greyfriarschorista, formerly very smart and quite possibly on the way back, could be the danger.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]

Greyfriars is a good horse and from the right stable, but the 0's in the form is a worry. Only 2 places too for this handicap but could really be worth a speculative punt on past glories.

SHORTLIST

430pm - CSKA Moscow v Kryliya Sovetov - 1.17 home - a degree of solidity about it for CSKA. yes they will be caught short at some point but home advantage should see a comfortable enough afternoon.

6pm - Elfsborg v Djurgardens - 1.51 home - I normally translate a 1.51 quote as worse case home draw. But Elfs are rock solid at home, scoring a minimum of 2. Slight concern with 0-1 in last head to head pointing to a tight match, BUT Djur seem different at home than away.

6pm - IFK Goteborg v Halmstads - 1.35 home - backing Goteborg today is not really based on generally poor home form, rather on the fact that Halmstad are really bad at present. The potential for a 2-1, 3--1 home win could hint at a safer over 2.5 goals which covers any "surprises"

610 GALWAY - Riviera Poet v Learn here? I would go for the Weld horse - illiquid market at present.

710 WINDSOR - Royal Red looks ideal for the place here. comes with the usual warnings as regards maidens.

215 YARMOUTH - interesting market here - 4 under 22/1 but another maiden. Swing alone has had one run in the Chesham, and these are pot luck really - will this 2 year old run as per his promising debut or will he still be inexperienced on only 2nd outing? The market indicates the potential for a 4 horse race only where Swing Alone, if running under par, should worse case place?