16/7

*****ONE A DAY - 1230pm - Hangzhou Greentown v Arsenal - back Arsenal in the match odds at 1.14*****





Camponology was the horse yesterday yet I went for the illusion of the safety of a 4 horse race for 3 places. The probability was that the horse would place as not place, but place 4th he did. Hindsight? 5 furlong handicap and a front runner .

1215pm - Accrington S v Blackburn - 1.47 away - 3-1 to Blackburn back in 2009 and a halftime/fulltime result for them too, makes this 1.47 of some appeal. This is one of 2 matches today for Blackburn , the 2nd v Morecambe at 3pm. Of course, 2 separate teams will play you would think.
1230pm - Hangzhou Greentown v Arsenal - 1.15 away - ruthless against a poor Malaysian XI, and expected to win comfortably enough in China. Only 2 matches on this Asian tour, and this is the 2nd match.
2pm - Kaizer Chiefs v Tottenham - 1.5 away - a 2-1 Spuds win in 2007 , Kaizer Chiefs are a South African side.
2pm - Linfield v Rangers - 1.36 away - Linfield recently lost 3-1 to Kilmarnock in a friendly which makes the 1.36 for Rangers of appeal. Be ware a wholesale change to the team - as was seen in the recent loss v Sportfreunde Lotto.
2pm - Metalist v Zorya - 1.29 home - funnily enough the short prices all won yesterday - I did not get involved in the Ukrainian match as it was the 2nd match of the season. This is the case today. All we have currently is one result to go on, and head to heads.
08.04.2011 D1 Zorya Lugansk 0-2 Metalist Kharkov
12.09.2010 D1 Metalist Kharkov 3-0 Zorya Lugansk
05.05.2010 D1 Zorya Lugansk 1-4 Metalist Kharkov
21.11.2009 D1 Metalist Kharkov 2-0 Zorya Lugansk
21.11.2008 D1 Metalist Kharkov 2-1 Zorya Lugansk
20.07.2008 D1 Zorya Lugansk 1-1 Metalist Kharkov

These head to heads hint at dominance historically for Metalist in this particular fixture, scoring 3 and 2 recently without conceding. The head to heads are all that we can really base our decision making on this early in the season ( and that will apply to weeks 1 - 5 in the premiership)

3pm - Crewe v Wolves - 1.58 away - 2-0 win 2006 and 1-0 win 2009 for Wolves -Wolves beat Monaghan 3-2 in a recent friendly, and it could signal again a weakened Wolves side.
3pm - Newport County v Stoke - 1.35 away - Newport manager not expecting anything out of the game apart from a tough fixture. Stoke's Tony Pulis unlikely to be accomodating? County are blue square bet premiership outfit.
3pm - Oleksandria v Dinamo Kiev - 1.21 away - again only one match played so far in this Ukrainian top flight, but the odds suggest an easy away win for Kiev.
12.04.2003 D1 Poligraftekhnika Aleks. 0-2 Dynamo Kiev
28.09.2002 D1 Dynamo Kiev 2-0 Poligraftekhnika Aleks.
11.06.2002 D1 Poligraftekhnika Aleks. 0-3 Dynamo Kiev
07.07.2001 D1 Dynamo Kiev 5-0 Poligraftekhnika Aleks.

Head to heads tell us that Oleksandria are newcomers to the Ukrainian top flight, playing perennial league leaders, ergo 1.21 away Head to heads are inconclusive as they are 8 years ago, but recall 4 easy wins without conceding.
3pm - Portsmouth v Chelsea - 1.47 away - new manager to get to know the squad? to stamp his authority with the insistence of a win? Last season, Chelsea were dire in pre season friendlies so caution advised.
430pm - HJK Helsinki v VPS - 1.19 home
HEAD TO HEADS
5.05.2011 D1 VPS Vaasa 0-2 HJK Helsinki
31.07.2010 D1 HJK Helsinki 3-0 VPS Vaasa
10.06.2010 Cup HJK Helsinki 2-0 VPS Vaasa
02.05.2010 D1 VPS Vaasa 0-3 HJK Helsinki
20.09.2009 D1 HJK Helsinki 2-0 VPS Vaasa
01.07.2009 D1 VPS Vaasa 3-4 HJK Helsinki
5 wins without conceding in recent head to heads -scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of last 6 head to heads. Warning - last win was 2 goals in the 88th and 90th minute. 0-0 cover perhaps?

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 11th of 12.

HOME TEAM - HJK HELSINKI

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWW, scoring 4,1,1,6,5,6,4

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWWWLWWWWWWWWW - no draw.losses v 4th and 5th away from home.

GOAL TRENDS - 5 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals.Last 4 home matches over 2.5 goals totalling 8,6,6,6.

STREAKS - 7 wins at home, 3 clean sheets, average 3.86 scored and 0.86 conceded.

AWAY TEAM - VPS

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLLLLLDD - last 2 draws score draws against 4th and 12th ( of 12). The most they have scored in any one match away from home is 1 goal.Last 2 draws were 1-1, one a 95th minute equaliser against bottom side.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWLLLLWLDLDDDD - last 5 draws all 1-1 draws against 4th, 6th, 7th, 9th, 12th and loss was 1-0 v 8th.

GOAL TRENDS - 5 losses, 3 draws, 1 clean sheet, 0.5 scored, 1.5 conceded away.

STREAKS - 9 away matches without a win, 7 overall without a win.4 consecutive draws, all 1-1.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - looks a straightforward potential win to nil for the home side. What chance another 1-1 for VPS? Surely this sequence will end soon, and against the right opponents. Last 5 draws have been 1-1's. Could be a tough fought eventual 1-0, 2-0 Helsinki win.

5pm - Metalurg D v Shakhtar - 1.27 away
7pm - Cork City v Birmingham - 1.62 away - the Irish leagues are very poor quality, and any semblance of a strong Brum side from Chris Hughton could see that 1.62 looking a good price.
745pm - Finn Harps v Shelbourne - 1.37 away

No appeal at all from the horse racing today.






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