9/6

The writing was on the wall and this is the problem I have with making a decision without the very latest market moves. Locum out to 4/1 at the off and was a short priced favourite when I wrote . The place only price of 1.3 when I wrote signalled a " going day" but the alarming drift at the off to nearly 1.6 to place ( and remember this is a 7 horse race for 3 places) signalled something was afoot. The likelihood is that a horse at the head of the market will place and hence his odds will reflect that, but a drift to 1.6 nearly spelt trouble.

But how on earth do I convey this to you in order to avoid a potential lay gamble? Simple answer is that I cannot. It was simple bad luck that I had to choose the horse who was primed for a lay -5/2 out to 4/1

1	Golden Waters	10-3	3	11-4	5-2	9-4	2		3.40	1.60	Bet!
5	Art Scholar (IRE)				3	11-4	3		3.20	1.80	Bet!
4	Locum	5-2	11-4	3	10-3	7-2	4		4.20	2.60	Bet!
2	Spiritual Art				5	9-2	4

The first and 2nd in the betting were 1 and 2 in the race and the fav came 2nd - I thought Locum was the fav hence my choice. Right race, right to choose the favourite, but the favourites changed just before the off. And notice the money for Golden waters 10/3 - - - -2/1 and contrast that with Locum and you can see we got caught out by a lay sting!