29/6

No bet today alas as I am viewing the markets too early but some examples below of what I would focus on to get my one a day. The Norwegian ladies odds, if correct, points to goals. The tennis sees the seeded top 4 all in action. Will they all prevail? I would focus on the shortest priced ( Djokovic and Murray both 1.12) - caveat - the later on we go in a tournament, the stronger the opponents get which , logically, points to a lay of short prices where the liabilities are miniscule and the upside ( remember this is 5 sets) can be great. REmember to lay only to trade not as an outright bet.

Horse racing wise, it is far too early to be definitive about anything as the betting markets are all showing SP and not odds. As you know I like 8 runner, 3 place races and the 430 Catterick ticks the boxes there, and it is on the flat, and as a bonus, we have a Mark Johnston favourite in Coax ( I would like to have seen Fanning or Fairley onboard)

Normal service resumed tomorrow as I am back in Ireland

The probability of Camberley Two and Waydownsouth failing to place in their respective races was low so the prices, albeit small, were worth it. Triviality won in the 800 Southwell too for good measure.

2pm - Norway (W) v Equatorial Guinea (W) - 1.04 Norway - only one value angle in here and it is GOALS! Guinea have been good in their African Division, and not trounced at all. So perhaps a lay of 1.04 initially? I don't know. The odds are so short as to not exactly make the liability worry money.

Norway can score against the right opponents - 7 against Macedonia, 4 against Holland, 5 against Finland. How much worse than Finland are the Guinea players? We will never know as there is no collateral form. This market on Betfair, I suspect, will not grab usual football traders' attentions and thus be illiquid in those goals markets we want to exploit. 1.04 signals an over 4.5 goals bet /trade

515pm - Brazil (W) v Australia (W) - 1.32 Brazil - 10 wins and 2 draws in their last 12 - Brazil drew with Canada in a friendly. Watch out for Marta, she is likely to be amongst the scorers. The Aussies are likely to be fit and enthusiastic and offer some resistance but eventually succumb?

REcent Aussie losses against South Korea and Germany were 2-1 results and friendlies. If they can keep the Germans tight ( and Aussies scored first) they could do the same for BRazil. Remember these FIFA tournaments outside of the men's first teams, are great for layers of short odds ( FIFA under 17 mens world cup for instance).

THe Aussies have beaten MExico and England recently.

9pm - Brazil U17 v Ecuador U17 - 1.36 home - speaking of the under 17's, the BRazilians appear here. As recently as the 4th April this year, Brazil beat Ecuador 3-1 and this is recent enough of course to be valid, and provide us with a guideline. I suspect goals here if recent Brazil and Ecuador matches and historic head to heads are anything to go by. A goals bet also covers the potential of a shock. If the 3-1 in April was accurate though, this 1.36 could be a good price.

430 CATTERICK

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Coax, 3/1 Al Burkaan, 6/1 Azimuth, 6/1 En Fuego, 10/1 Adorable Choice, 10/1 Dan´s Martha, 10/1 No Quarter, 14/1 Johannesgray.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these have plenty to prove but that's not the case with COAX (nap), a reliable sort who has a good chance at the weights and who should be suited by the return to a sound surface back at a course that suits his style of racing.[Richard Young]

8 runners - 3 places, and as I write ( 820am), 3 under 10/1 makes the Mark Johnston trained Coax interesting for a place.

750 KEMPTON

BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Iceni Girl, 11/4 Parley, 4/1 Costa Del Fortune, 10/1 Make Up, 12/1 Gooseberry Fool, 14/1Reemeya, 16/1 Gypsy Ballad, 33/1 Accustomed, 40/1 Catherine Laboure.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Parley takes the eye on paper and the betting should give an idea of what may be expected butICENI GIRL sets a fair standard on her second at Sandown and can make her experience tell.[Frank Carter]

A good race to look at nearer to 750pm

220 PERTH

BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Brave Beauty, 9/2 Latin Connection, 8/1 Bob´s Ticket, 8/1 Money Tree, 33/1Legbeforewicket, 100/1 Supreme Dawn.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BRAVE BEAUTY sets the clear standard and, assuming she stays this trip, should be able to land her second win over hurdles.[Chris Wilson]

There are only 4 horses under 33/1 here for 2 places.

WIMBLEDON

1pm - TOMIC v DJOKOVIC - 1.12 Novak

1pm - TSONGA v FEDERER - 1.18 FEDERER

3pm - A MURRAY v LOPEZ - 1.12 MURRAY

FAith in these seeded players to eventually get through. At this stage of a major tournament surely such short odds would be layable for traders as the opponents will be competitive?

I have neglected Nadal as he had a foot injury which might resurface.

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