HEAD TO HEADS
| 02.04.2011 | D1 | FC Kuressaare | 0-1 | Flora Tallinn | |
| 23.10.2010 | D1 | FC Kuressaare | 0-2 | Flora Tallinn | |
| 17.07.2010 | D1 | Flora Tallinn | 6-0 | FC Kuressaare | |
| 15.05.2010 | D1 | FC Kuressaare | 1-2 | Flora Tallinn | |
| 10.04.2010 | D1 | Flora Tallinn | 4-0 | FC Kuressaare | |
| 21.11.2009 | Cup | FC Kuressaare | 0-4 | Flora Tallinn |
A clean sweep from Flora although the last 2 scorelines are not quite in keeping with 1.06 shots today.Home scorelines tell a completely different story 3-0, 3-0, 4-0, 6-0 in the 2009 and 2010 head to heads is far more in keeping with 1.06
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 9th of 10 - as we saw yesterday in small leagues the form reading can be suspect. Flora are on 91, their nearest rivals 86 points. Although that is for last season is it not as viewing their fixtures there is plenty of matches to be played.
HOME TEAM - FLORA
RECENT HOME FORM - WDWDWW recent home form intermingled with a number of other match commitments including the Estonian Cup and International Baltic League. A 2-2 draw against 5th saw Flora 2-0 up in the first half.
RECENT FORM OVERALL -
GOAL TRENDS - tough to decipher without soccerstats. Only 2 goals conceded in last 8 overall. It seems to new league is 13 matches old with 10 wins and 3 draws for Flora.Average 2 scored and 0.38 conceded. 6 matches played at home, 4 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.33 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in 6 home matches.
STREAKS - unbeaten in the league so far.
AWAY TEAM - kureessaar
RECENT AWAY FORM - DLLLLLD -
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLLLLLLWDLL -
GOAL TRENDS - have conceded 4-4-2-2-2-1 in their last 6 away matches.
STREAKS - 7 away without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the odds suggest a 3/4 goal win today for Flora. This is a league of 10 teams so as you saw yesterday form may not be as strong as in a league of 20+. Looking at the points for last year, Flora dominated along with Levaddia. Home head to heads are in keeping with the 1.06 quote which means we can increase odds with a goals bet - markets totally illiquid as I write.
1am - USA v PANAMA - 1.25 home - a 1-1 in the last meeting in Gold Tournament in 2009. So far, in this year's tournament, the USA have beaten Canada 2-0 and Panama beat Guadeloupe 3-2 after being 3-0 up and Guadeloupe having a man sent off. Surely vulnerable to a Premiership strike force of Altidore and Dempsey?
Not much to go on though.
220 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Art Scholar, 6/1 On The Cusp, 9/1 Goose Green, 12/1 Chief Exec, 16/1 Corrib, 16/1 Lucky Diva, 16/1 Queenie´s Star, 20/1 Christmas Coming, 20/1 Love In The Park, 20/1 Market Puzzle, 25/1 Dauntsey Park, 50/1Spacecraft, 100/1 Mistress Shy.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Two recent winners but ART SCHOLAR (nap) makes much more appeal than On The Cusp. The former has been brought back to form since joining his current stable and is very difficult to oppose after winning easily at Yarmouth on Wednesday.[Chris Wilson]
You will recall Art Scholar won the race where Locum took not so much a walk as a long amble in the market and finished shock horror out of the places.
3rd run in quick succession might catch him out? 13/8 - - - - 5/1 - 1.4 to place
325 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Arnold Lane, 3/1 Red Hearts, 8/1 Betty Fontaine, 12/1 Cape Moss, 12/1 Steady The Buffs, 12/1 The Dancing Lord, 33/1 No More Shoes.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Red Hearts should be good enough to make a race of it but ARNOLD LANE has already achieved more and has the scope to progress from his decent effort at Beverley last time.[Chris Wilson]
10/11 - - - - 9/2 price gapper in such a small field a good sign? - 1.32 to place and only 2 places.
510 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Lunar Promise, 6/1 Zagarock, 7/1 Fastinthestraight, 10/1 Le Corvee, 12/1 Jocheski, 12/1 Tt´s Dream, 14/1 Duneen Dream, 20/1 Bussell Along, 20/1 Dancing Primo, 25/1 Pascalina, 40/1 Waldsee.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: More strength in depth than most races in this grade but LUNAR PROMISE still stands out after his easy win at Kempton on Wednesday. He should be very hard to beat unless the bounce factor comes into play.[Chris Wilson]
5/4 - - - - 5/1 price gapper in a class 6 0-6- handicap. - 1.36 to place
230 HEXHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Ely Brown, 4/1 Crop Walker, 7/1 Soleil Malta, 10/1 Be My Deputy, 50/1 Kayaka.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ELY BROWN looked a stayer with a future on his hurdling bow last month and he should defy his penalty with McCoy now taking over. Crop Walker appears the one for the forecast. [Dave Orton]
1/4 now and McCoy takes over - 1.27 win, 1.09 place
305 HEXHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Newdane Dancer, 9/4 Desolait, 7/2 Catawollow, 13/2 Wood Fair, 33/1 Harrys Whim, 66/1Legbeforewicket, 80/1 Thistledown Rose, 100/1 Tobayornottobay.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Newdane Dancer must be respected despite her penalty, but the returning DESOLAIT can improve past her if ready to go and gets the vote in receipt of 6lb. Catawollow is also considered. [Dave Orton]
4 under 25/1 makes this an ideal place only race.
555 HEXHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Golden View, 4/1 Over And Above, 5/1 Jacob Mccandles, 6/1 Shanroe Society, 9/1 Snare, 25/1 Consigliori, 33/1 Bear With Rupert, 40/1 Astitchintime, 50/1 Now Then Sam.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GOLDEN VIEW sets the clear standard among those with any previous form and makes his debut for a yard well known for success in bumpers, so is taken to make it third time lucky. The market should guide as to expectations of the newcomers. [Dave Orton]
5 under 20/1 and Golden View has experience which could ensure the horse places? A bumper so not fences.
330 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Night Carnation, 9/2 Dinkum Diamond, 5/1 Margot Did, 15/2 Ahtoug, 17/2 Move In Time, 12/1 Pabusar, 16/1 Button Moon, 16/1 Googlette, 20/1 Arctic Feeling, 20/1 The Thrill Is Gone.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NIGHT CARNATION (nap) scrambled home with three of these close behind at York last time but had shown much better form when beating subsequent impressive winner Ahtoug in a handicap here previously and will set a good standard if the return to Sandown sees her back to that level. Luckless Margot Did is capable of giving her a good race if getting the breaks from stall one and may be next best, ahead of the still improving Move In Time. [Mel Cullinan]
11/8 - - - -5/1 in a listed race.
350 YORK
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Sea Moon, 5/1 Tasheyaat, 7/1 Flag Officer, 8/1 Mariachi Man, 10/1 Adlington, 16/1 Adaria, 16/1 Iceblast, 20/1 Angelic Upstart, 50/1 Waltz Darling.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: All eyes will be on SEA MOON, who figured prominently in the ante-post lists for the Derby in the spring but did not come to hand in time, and it will be disappointing if he cannot take this off a mark of 92 en route to better things. Tasheyaat is feared most.[Adrian Cook]
Big price gapper with a big reputation coming off a big layoff.
2nd fav a non runner increases the price gap.
SHORTLIST
305 HEXHAM - perfect race - 8 runners and 3 places - 4 under 33/1 and the favourite should surely have a great chance of placing with a clear round? Newdane dancer is the favourite 1.22 to place in a race which should involve 4 horses for 3 places.
555 HEXHAM - Golden View last ran 5th August 2010 but has a lot of experience for a bumper which could hold him in good stead. 5 horses only under 25/1
350 YORK - Sea Moon is missing 2nd fav which makes him even stronger. A 228 day absence and Ryan Moore onboard. Around 1.23 currently, Sea Moon should place with ease if all is well.
NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
------------
Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
----------------
One A Day
oneadayclive@canonburypublishing.com
Subscription Line: 0208 597 0181
-------------------------
Canonbury Publishing Ltd
Unit 1, Hainault Works, Hainualt Road, Little Heath,
Romford, RM6 5SS
Registered office address:
Canonbury Publishing Ltd, Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ
Registered in England No: 193 7374 Vat No: GB 629 7287 94
No comments:
Post a Comment