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HEAD TO HEADS
12.03.2011 | D1 | Trans Narva | 4-0 | FC Kuressaare | |
18.09.2010 | D1 | Trans Narva | 5-1 | FC Kuressaare | |
14.08.2010 | D1 | FC Kuressaare | 1-4 | Trans Narva | |
12.06.2010 | D1 | Trans Narva | 3-0 | FC Kuressaare | |
20.03.2010 | D1 | FC Kuressaare | 0-1 | Trans Narva | |
26.09.2009 | D1 | Trans Narva | 10-0 | FC Kuressaare |
LEAGUE POSITION - estonian league - 9th v 4th in the league ( a league of only 10 sides)
HOME TEAM - KURES
RECENT HOME FORM - DLLLWLLW - wins against 8th and 6th in the league.Losses against 1st, 2nd 3rd, 5th and 7th. Guess who they are playing today - yes 4th! A positive sign for Trans Narva if kures are losing at home to the top 5. Losses against 1st, 2nd and 5th were only 1-0's so something to note! In 4 of those 5 home losses, Kures could not score a goal.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLDLLLLLLLWDLLLWD - again let's look at the recent positive results. The 2 wins were the home wins mentioned above.Draws were both away, both score draws against 2nd and bottom ( 10th) The draw v bottom was a very messy match.
GOAL TRENDS - 0.88 scored and 1.5 conceded on average at home. 5 losses in 8 home matches. Inconsistent and inconclusive as regards over/under 2.5 goals.
STREAKS - 7 at home without a draw ( in all competitions)
AWAY TEAM - TRANS NARVA
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDDLWLWW - 3 away wins in last 4 - the loss was against top of the league. Recent wins of 3-0 v 5th, 1-0 v 6th and 7-0 v 10th augurs well against 9th today.
Away losses came against both tallin sides ( 1st and 3rd)
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWDWDWLLWWLDWWWL - last 4 matches have seen 3 consecutive wins then that loss v 2nd in the league.All losses have come against 1st, 2nd or 3rd - any coincidence? implication is that trans narva can cope admirably with the rest of the league with a draw the worse case.
3 draws at the start of the season all came away from home against 7th, 5th, 8th. Remember we are playing 9th today. Which scoreline will it be? The 7-0 thrashing of 10th or the 1-1 draw v 8th?
GOAL TRENDS - last 3 matches all over 3.5 goals with one over 4.5 and one over 6.5 goals. 4 of the last 5 away matches over 2.5 goals. Trans have scored in 6 of their last 7 away matches.They have only lost away against top 3 sides.
STREAKS - 2 match away winning streak - 4 away without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this could be a 7-0 , a 1-0 or a 1-1. The head to heads suggest a win. The fact kures have gone 7 without a draw indicates an away win as I cannot see them winning. Kures have lost at home against 1st, 2nd , 3rd, 5th and 7th and are playing 4th today ( do note the 1-0 losses against 2 of top 3 which is why I mentioned the 1-0 possibility). Kures were unable to score in 4 of those 5 losses.
3 away wins in last 4 for Trans Narva - the loss against a top 3 side. Scored 3,1,7 in those away wins. All losses for Trans against top 3 indicating worse case today a draw against a team who have not had a draw in last 7 and Trans no draw away in last 4.
HEAD TO HEADS
12.03.2011 | D1 | Ajax Lasnamae | 1-5 | JK Sillamae Kalev |
Scoreline signals that Ajax are newcomers to the Estonian League.
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 10th ( of 10)
HOME TEAM - SILLAMAE
RECENT HOME FORM - DWWLLLDL - and they are 1.1 to win today having not won in last 5. Tells you how poor ajax are. Losses against 8th, 4rd, 3rd and 1st and 1-1 draw against 2nd, so to be fair they have played all of the top 4 at home which does not flatter their form.Wins against 6th and 7th. In the context of playing bottom side today, I would not be concerned about losing to top 4.
STREAKS - 6 at home without a win not of great concern as they were playing top 4.
AWAY TEAM - AJAX
RECENT AWAY FORM - LDLLLLLL - look at the scorelines -
RECENT OVERALL FORM -
GOAL TRENDS - overwhelmingly over 2.5 goals where ajax is concerned -One anomoly was a 1-0 loss to Paide.
STREAKS - 18 games overall without a win. 10 away without a win and 5 match away losing streak.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - looks wholly justified this 1.1 quote and the ideal should again be a win to nil, 3-0, 4-0, 5-0.
HEAD TO HEADS
02.05.2011 | PR | St Patrick's Dublin | 5-2 | Galway United | |
04.03.2011 | PR | Galway United | 0-3 | St Patrick's Dublin | |
03.09.2010 | PR | Galway United | 1-1 | St Patrick's Dublin | |
02.07.2010 | PR | St Patrick's Dublin | 4-2 | Galway United | |
26.04.2010 | PR | Galway United | 0-2 | St Patrick's Dublin | |
05.03.2010 | PR | St Patrick's Dublin | 2-0 | Galway United |
nearly a clean sweep for St Pats
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th of 10 v 2nd. goal difference -38 to +14
HOME TEAM GALWAY
RECENT HOME FORM - LDLLLLLLL - emphatically poor.Have lost 3-0 and 5-2 already to St Pats this season.
Only lost 1-0 v top side at home though again highlights potential inconsistencies in Ireland.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - 12 losses on the trot. Only win has come away at Bohemians.
GOAL TRENDS - 56% over 2.5 goals at home. Have failed to score in 78% of matches. 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals with the exception a 2-0 loss.Have conceded in 16 of 18 matches this season.Have failed to score in 9 of last 11 matches.
STREAKS - 7 match home losing streak - 9 at home without a win - 12 match overall losing streak -
AWAY TEAM - ST PATS
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLDWWWWW - hugely contrasting with Galway.Losses away have come against 1st and 4th.Have scored 3-4-3 against the bottom 3 away.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLWDLDDWWWDWWWDWW - superb form.3 of last 4 draws have come at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 44% over 2.5 goals. 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Away to bottom 3, 2 over 3.5 and 1 over 4.5 goals.Have conceded in all of last 5 matches. Have scored in 11 of last 12 matches.
STREAKS - 5 match away winning streak.6 away without defeat, 12 overall without defeat.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - dare I say it, this looks straightforward? Remember this is the Irish Premier league where anything can happen, and usually does! A bias towards goals this evening , but a poor show in over 2.5 goals figures for galway at home. That said, St Pats away to bottom 3 have scored 3 minimum.
Foretz Gacon v Petkovic - 1.09 Pet - 139th v 13th - 1 head to head on clay straight sets win for Petkovic. |
Hantuchova v Diatchenko - 1.1 hant - 23rd v 168th. |
Kvitova v Glatch - 1.08 Kvit - 8th v 173rd -Glatch won sole head to head on hard in 2009 when kvit ranked 48th - a marked change in rankings now. |
Pavlyuchenkova v Tsurenko - 1.07 Pav - 14th v 141st in the rankings. 1pm |
A Beck v Roddick - 1.05 Rod - 156th v 10th in the rankings.No head to heads. |
Rezai v S Williams - 1.05 for Mike Tyson's twin sister - 61st v 25th - Tysonette on the decline but too much today? RAnkings suggest Rezai can put some some resistance? 215pm |
Kukushkin v Federer - 1.01 - again look to 3-0 sets ? - 61st v 3rd in the world - could put up some resistance? Or are the Top 10 a class apart? |
Malisse v Zverev - 1.14 Mal - 42nd v 103rd - no head to heads. 230pm |
Ferrer v Paire - 1.05 Fer - 6th in the World v 115th should open the doors for a 3-0 potential sets win although the 1.49 signals a battle.You can dutch 3-0 and 3-1 for a 1.11 return. 3pm |
Wozniacki v Parra Santonja - 1.03 - look to 2-0 sets for Woz? 1st v 105th -1.22 for 2-0 sets must be a goer with such a gulf in rankings - outside the top 100! 330pm |
Soeda v Tsonga - 1.03 - 3-0 sets or is Tsonga too unreliable for 3-0 straight sets. He was very good at Queens reaching The Final - 131st v 19th 345pm |
Chardy v Djokovic - 1.02 Djok - reliable enough for a 3-0 set win?54th v 2nd in the World. 5-0 head to heads for Novak - 4 hard and 1 clay and he has not dropped a set.1.25 for 3-0 sets. 430pm |
Bartoli v Pliskova - 1.06 Bart - 9th v 229th and 1-0 head to heads 2007 clay 6-1 6-2 |
Li v Kudryavtseva - 1.09 li - 4th v 72nd - you would hope the top 4 in the world are, well, a world apart from those outside the top 50. 445pm |
Govortsova v A Radwanska - 1.11 Rad - 101st v 11th and 1 head to head 1-0 win hard 2010 6-2 6-3 5pm |
Chakvetadze v Sharapova - 1.06 Shar - 52nd v 6th in the world 6-0 in head to heads for Sharapova - no grass head to heads - last 3 meetings in 2007 all 2 set wins for Sharapova. Is that too long ago to be relevant and applicable today? 515pm |
Nalbandian v Reister - 1.12 Nalb - 23rd v 135th - no head to heads. 630pm |
Ivanovic v Oudin - 1.15 Iv - 18th v 87th - 1 head to head 2009 on hard -ivanovic went a set down. |
Zheng v Ondraskova - 1.13 - 84th v 110th - short odds for such a small gulf in rankings. There are many ways we can create a one a day here. 3 x 1.06 shots makes 1.18, or a 1.12 shot and a 1.06 shot ( ideal as only 2 to rely upon?Or rely on one match such as Ivanovic at 1.15? Or a 3-0 sets for one of the big boys playing today such as Federer or Djokovic ( and the ladies - Wozniaki) 550 BALLINROBE |
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Dorset Square, 6/1 Lucky Spring, 8/1 Gudnis Gracious Me, 9/1 Apache Drums, 10/1Hearthstead Dream, 12/1 Kristal Komet, 14/1 New Destination, 14/1 Sky Pilot, 16/1 Brog An Ri, 16/1 Mosman Park, 20/1Moby Dick, 20/1 Playdate, 33/1 Carlowsantana, 33/1 The Pott Reidy, 50/1 Blaze Trailer, 50/1 Canulos.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: DORSET SQUARE stands out like a sore thumb in this company, but even without him in it, this is an above-average contest for this grade, with Lucky Spring, Apache Drums and Sky Pilot all appealing as ones that could well prove much better than their marks in time. [Kevin Blake]
6/5 - - - - 7/1 - huge price gap but 19 runner handicap in Ireland and 4 places - possible traffic problems? Smullen /Mullins combo though is very tempting.
245 BEVERLEY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Palomar, 9/2 Porgy, 13/2 Hel´s Angel, 10/1 Kames Park, 12/1 White Deer, 33/1 Jenny Soba, 33/1 Miss Wendy, 50/1 Kathindi.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It can be a little unnerving to see a fairly useful performer dropped into this grade but PALOMAR (nap) has held his own in hot handicaps on the Flat and over hurdles and it will be disappointing if he can't take this.[Chris Wilson]
2 non runners now makes this a good race - 5 under 25/1 for 3 places. Surely Palomar can be competitive?
400 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Megalala, 7/4 Penang Cinta, 9/2 Sanctum, 14/1 Battle Axe.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MEGALALA was just caught after going clear at Newbury last time and could be tough to reel in off just 1lb higher. Penang Cinta is 5-10 at this track and could be a big threat if back near the form of his C&D win last month. [David Moon]
4 runners, 3 under 16/1 and 2 places. An interesting probability race.
600 NEWTON ABBOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Zakatal, 5/2 Ambrose Hill Lad, 7/2 On The Bridge, 15/2 Roanstar, 16/1 Our Double Diamond, 33/1 Cheekychap, 33/1 Lannacombe Clover, 50/1 Praise Hymn, 66/1 Court Finale, 80/1 Cladding, 100/1 Pitton Flight.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Ambrose Hill Lad has a bit to prove switched to hurdles by his leading trainer and looks vulnerable. Irish point winner On The Bridge should go well, but this could well be the day that ZAKATAL comes good for current connections and he gets the vote. [Dave Orton]
4 under 16/1 and 5 under 25/1
SHORTLIST
445pm - Kuressaare v Narva Trans - 1.22 away - this looks an obvious away win. My concern is that the home side have kept 2 of the top 3 to 1-0 losses at home. 1-0 is always a precarious scoreline. Kuressaare have not scored in 4 of their 5 defeats against top 5 sides. They are playing another top 5 side today and this really should be a Trans away win.745pm - Galway Utd v St Patricks - 1.23 away - St Pats have scored 8-2 in 2 matches this season against Galway. Poor home form plays winning away form. Take away the fact irish football is poor and the form points the way to a nice away win.
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