HEAD TO HEADS
| 08.10.2010 | ECQ | Slovenia | 5-1 | Faroe Islands |
If 5-1 is a realistic assessment of the gulfs here, then 1.23 is a steal. Faroes, though, tend to be stronger at home.
LEAGUE POSITION - well Group C Position.2nd v 6th of 6. Germany lead on 13 points, Slovenia have 8 points, Serbia, 8 points and Estonia 7 points so you would think matches Slovenia are entitled to win, must be won.
HOME TEAM FAROES
RECENT HOME FORM - LLWLD - most recent home matches since 2009. All matches of importance ( no friendlies) Win was 2-1 against Lithuania in Sept 2009 and draw was recent 1-1 v Northern Ireland.The Faroes generally do not get spanked at home, and concede around 2 against the better sides ( France 6-0 was anomolous)
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWDLLLLDLL - win was in a friendly against B1908Amanger!Draw was a friendly 0-0 v Luxembourg. Last draw was 1-1 v Northern Ireland in a Euro qualifier.
GOAL TRENDS - none readily available
STREAKS - 8 without a win - 2 at home without a win
AWAY TEAM - SLOVENIA
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLWWLWDWWD - solid away form of late. REcent loss was 2-1 away to Russia in a World Cup qualifier. In the 2010 Euro qualifiers, matches have been relatively tight away - 1-1 v Serbia, 0-1 win v Estonia, 0-0 v Northern Ireland. this latter scoreline is a slight worry as faroes drew with NI recently at home, and scored first.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDLWLDWWLWLD - a mixed bag really. Recent losses at home were 1-2 v georgia, and 0-1 v Italy ( late 73rd minute Italian winner)The 5-1 win at home v Faroes really stands out here .
STREAKS - 5 away without a loss.
HEAD TO HEADS - none
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 4th in Group I liechtenstein have no points.
HOME TEAM - LIECHTENSTEIN
RECENT HOME FORM - LLLDLLLL - Liecht have scored 1 goal in the last 9 home matches.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDLLLDLLLDWL - recent win against San Marino was a 1-0 in a friendly after San Marino got a man sent off. Perhaps tells you all you need to know about the state of this nation!
STREAKS - 9 at home without a win. Lost last 4.
AWAY TEAM - LITHUANIA
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLWLLLWLL - no draw since 2009.WIns against Andorra, Luxembourg and Czech republic. 1-0 against Luxembourg and I would put Leichtenstein on the same footing.
RECENT OVERALL FORM -LWLDWLDWLLWL - 3 losses in last 4 matches.Win was a 2-0 friendly win against Poland.
STREAKS - 5 without a draw, 9 away without a draw
HEAD TO HEADS
| 17.11.2010 | ECQ | Finland | 8-0 | San Marino |
LEAGUE POSITION - GROUP E - Finland 2nd bottom, San Marino bottom.
HOME TEAM - SAN MARINO
RECENT HOME FORM - have lost their last 12. Last goal scored at home was against Slovakia in 2008!!
RECENT FORM OVERALL - lost last 12 ( probably more!) conceding 3,10,7,5,7,3,5,6,8,2,8,1 ( against the might of Liechtenstein)
GOAL TRENDS - likely to lose heavily without scoring.
STREAKS - there for all to see!
AWAY TEAM -FINLAND
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDDWLDLLDWL - surely we have to treat San Marino as separate as they are unique in being shocking! Recent losses for Finland v Holland, Moldova and Portugal so a high enough calibre of side.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWLDWLLLWDWL - in the Euro Qualifiers LLLW ( win v San marino) Losses were 2-0 away to Moldova, 2-1 away to Holland, and 1-2 at home to Hungary
STREAKS - no standout streaks
HEAD TO HEADS
| 16.06.2008 | EC | Austria | 0-1 | Germany | |
| 06.02.2008 | FRL | Austria | 0-3 | Germany |
No recent head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - GROUP A -Germany top and Austria 4th 15 points play 7 - clean sweep for the Germans.
HOME TEAM - AUSTRIA
RECENT HOME FORM - WLWWLWLLWWLL - no draw in last 12 in all competitions.In Euro qualifiers at home, 2-0 v kazaks, 3-0 v Azerbaijan, and lost 0-2 to Belgium.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLWLLWWDLLLL - last 2 losses in the Euros were 2-0 home Belgium and 2-0 away Turkey
STREAKS - 17 home matches without a draw!
AWAY TEAM - GERMANY
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWWWWLWDWWD- superb away form.Some of these were World Cup matches as was the 1-0 Spain win, the germans' sole loss.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWDWWWWDDWLW - recent loss was in a friendly against Australia. Last 3 matches in Euro qualifiers all wins and all without conceding.
GOAL TRENDS - in 5 matches in the Euros, Germany have won 4 without conceding and conceded only 1 in the other match. Performances built on solid defence.
STREAKS - 5 away without a loss.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Klose, Ballack and Schweinsteiger out for Germany a major blow? I don't know. They seem based on NOT conceding and these players are more attack minded - I hope for a Germany away win without conceding and may over the 0-0
HEAD TO HEADS
| 03.09.2010 | ECQ | Estonia | 1-2 | Italy |
Italy 1-0 down won with 2 away goals
LEAGUE POSITION GROUP C - 1st v 4th Italy on 13, Estonia on 7 points.Italy have a game in hand over 2nd and 3rd on 8 points so this represents a fine opportunity for a side at home to consolidate 1st place.
HOME TEAM - ITALY
RECENT HOME FORM - LWWDWDLDDLW - mixed bag of competitions -recently lost to Ivory Coast and Mexico in friendlies.5-0 home win in Euro qualifiers against Faroes.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDDDWW - post World Cup. - in Euro qualifiers 1-2 away win v Estonia, 5-0 home win v Faroes, 0-0 away draw with Northern Ireland and home match v Serbia abandoned. New manager in Cesare Prandelli may see a shift from the old guard to newcomers like Guiseppe Rossi.
STREAKS - 7 overall without a loss
AWAY TEAM - ESTONIA
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLDLWLL - most recent win a Euro qualifier away to Serbia - 1-3 - the rest were friendlies.
STREAKS - 4 away without a draw
HEAD TO HEADS
| 03.09.2010 | ECQ | France | 0-1 | Belarus |
context is important. Belarus were playing a France side light of a few first teamers and suffering in the aftermath of a horrifying World Cup. Expect a different France tonight.
LEAGUE POSITION GROUP D - 1st v 2nd, 12points v 8 points.Since that defeat, it's been solidity from France.2 away wins and 2 home wins and guess what? All 2-0 scorelines. So solidity in defence ( a defender as manager helps)
HOME TEAM - BELARUS
RECENT HOME FORM
RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWLWWDDWWDLL - last 2 losses both 1-0's against Albania and Canada. In fact 2 of last 3 wins were against Albania. Draw recently 0-0 v Belarus again a good sign for what should be a revitalised France side.
GOAL TRENDS - Euro qualifiers have been 1-0, 0-0, 0-0, 1-0 -tight affairs.
STREAKS - 3 without a win, 2 away without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - FRANCE
RECENT AWAY FORM - DWWDWDDLLWWW - good winning streak at the end there included wins against Bosnia, England and Luxembourg.Losses in a World Cup match and a friendly but this I feel is a new France.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWWWWWD - the loss? 1-0 at home to Belarus. Great response and the only goal conceded was by v England at Wembley ( a match they won)
GOAL TRENDS - emphasis on defensive capabilities here
STREAKS - 7 without a loss in a row, 3 away winning streak, 5 without a draw
BETTING FORECAST: 1/5 King Of The Celts, 10/1 Tasman Tiger, 14/1 December, 20/1 Jersey Joe, 20/1 Rosie Raymond, 33/1 Good Faith.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It'll be a major surprise if clear form-pick KING OF THE CELTS is beaten in this ultra-uncompetitive event. [Richard Young]
Small field, huge price gapper should mean just one thing
140 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Antara, 9/4 Timepiece, 17/2 Clinical, 14/1 Nabah, 16/1 First City, 16/1 Saddlers Bend, 25/1 Skyway, 28/1 Mountain Rose.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ANTARA and Timepiece have a sizeable edge on the others and may have this between them. Antara made a winning return in this last year before running well in Group 1 and 2 company and will be hard to beat if refinding that form after a low-key end to 2010. Nabah may be best of the rest.[Mel Cullinan]
3 under 14/1 and the market taken up by 2 horses in this class race.
245 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 5/6 St Nicholas Abbey, 6/4 Midday, 10/1 Dandino, 33/1 Clowance, 33/1 Indian Days.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There is no guaranteed pacesetter, so this could become tactical, though Indian Days has front-run in the past. Multiple Group 1 winner Midday commands plenty of respect on her first run against the males since her reappearance here as a 3yo but ST NICHOLAS ABBEY looked back to his best when streaking away with a Chester Group 3 last time and is potentially a class apart if in the same form again.[Mel Cullinan]
A 2 horse race surely? St Nicholas Abbey was superb last time out and surely should place here? Dandino the each way spoiler in what looks a 3 horse race for 2 places.
825 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Rougette, 9/4 Brinmore, 9/2 Another Whisper, 9/1 Iztaccihuatl, 11/1 Queen Of Epirus, 16/1Adaeze, 40/1 Summerandlightning, 50/1 County Hotel, 50/1 Ondeafears, 66/1 A B Celebration.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ROUGETTE finished on the heels of her two main market rivals who raced more prominently in a stronger 7f Newbury maiden last month. She has leading claims in a race that lacks strength in depth and can make it third time lucky. The chief threat is Brinmore, who outran her 66-1 odds when an eye-catching fifth over 7f here on debut last month. [David Moon]
4 over 50/1 and 3 under 12/1 . Rougette threatening odds on status here.
235 MUSSELBURGH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Violent Velocity, 5/1 Mangham, 6/1 Ra Junior, 7/1 Amno Dancer, 14/1 Shunkawakhan, 16/1 Cold Quest, 16/1 Military Call, 16/1 Safari Guide, 20/1 Drive Home, 25/1 Walleyd, 33/1 Second Reef, 33/1 Spread Boy.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Mangham, Ra Junior and Amno Dancer are all capable of winning off their current mark butVIOLENT VELOCITY bolted up at the weekend and should prove hard to beat under his penalty.[Paul Smith]
Ra Junior now 3/1 here to threaten what was a price gapper in a class 6 0-65 handicap
425 MUSSELBURGH
BETTING FORECAST: 5/6 Motivado, 5/1 Lexington Bay, 6/1 Cosmic Moon, 8/1 Szabo´s Destiny, 10/1 Quiz Mistress, 20/1 Piave, 20/1 Sky Falcon.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Some interesting and lightly raced 3yos in opposition but none appeals more than MOTIVADO (nap). Sir Mark Prescott's son of Motivator stepped up on his juvenile form when running away with a Ripon handicap on his reappearance and this longer trip should suit him very well.[Paul Smith]
Huge price gapper here 8/13 - - - -- 8/1 now
SHORTLIST
630pm - Faroe Islands v Slovenia - 1.23 away - Slovenia should not lose, and should win but a draw may be a possibility with both sides recently drawing against Northern Ireland.
730pm - San Marino v Finland - 1.05 away - halftime/fulltime is 1.25 and slight risk as Finland are away. 1.3 over 2.5 goals should be manageable. New manager syndrome may see a more effective Finland today?
735pm - Austria v Germany - 1.37 away - only conceded 1 in 5 matches shows us German strengths. Back Germany with 0-0 cover?
745pm - Italy v Estonia - 1.18 home - can Italy take advantage of Estonia's missing key midfielder and top scorer in qualifying?
750pm - Belarus v France - 1.6 away - french on the drift to 1.64 . why? No major injuries for France and I see this as a good price. 0-0 cover on the match just as insurance. Are the Belarussians as injured as UEFA makes out? If so, then this makes France doubly strong.
415 CATTERICK - 1.18 King of the Celts - it's on the flat, it's a small field and we could chance the win.
245 EPSOM - St Nicholas Abbey 1.4 to place, Midday 1.3 to place. Great odds, albeit slightly suspiciously high, but then glass half full sees them as value!
425 MUSSELBURGH - 1.14 to place, the best price gapper of the day.
730pm - San Marino v Finland -1.3 over 2.5 goals is very reasonable here for a finnish team under new management against a side, let me remind you, who have conceded 3,10,7,5,7,3,5,6,8,2,8,1 in their last few matches and 8 against Finland prior. It will, though, mean Finland have to score 3 minimum as San Marino are unlikely to score.
735pm - Austria v Germany - 1.37 away - out to 1.41 now I would back Germany and cover my stake by backing 0-0 at 21.
745pm - Italy v Estonia - 1.18 home - Estonia missing key personnel including their top scorer in qualifying so Italy score, they should win
750pm - Belarus v France - 1.6 away - drift now to 1.65 for the french but they seem newly revitalised and Belarus have injuries galore. Again back France with a 0-0 insurance bet, although with 0-0 at 10.5, the market expects a tight match,.
245 EPSOM - 5 runners , 2 are 40/1, one 11/1 and 2 are 5/4 and 11/8 ( or rather they cannot be split). Dandino the fly in the ointment. This should be St Nicholas or Midday and backing either to place will assume both do place as it is difficult to choose.
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http://www.cliveoneaday.com
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