Monday 20 June 2011

20/6

So what to do? I must have Argentina today, and I think it is worth increasing the return with a secondary early bet from either the Tennis or the 300 Wolves - Trumpington street was a neck 2nd at Lingfield last time out, and 6 lengths clear of 3rd placed. he runs in a perfect race - 8 runners - 3 places - 4 under 16/1 and should place at 1.1
Alternatively the tennis match to take from today would be Hantuchova v Diatchenko - simply based on the whopping gulf in rankings - 23rd v 168th. 1.12 to win, but no head to heads .


*****ONE A DAY AFTERNOON 300 WOLVES - TRUMPINGTON STREET TO PLACE ONLY 1.1. THEN 1010pm ARGENTINA V ALBANIA - BACK ARGENTINA IN THE MATCH ODDS AT 1.09*****


Poor price but safe bet on Atalanta Falcon .

730pm - Zamalek v Tala ea El Gaish - 1.45 home - I certainly get about. Egyptian league this one. Favs are playing a team who have conceded just once in their last 5 matches. Not for me this one.
9pm - Brazil U17 v Denmark U17 - 1.44 - we saw the English take a while to overcome Rwanda yesterday in the u17 World Cup and this might be the case today. Brazil have the advantage of the climate I suspect. The FIFA blog echoes the point that this is likely to be a tough match for Brazil today and therefore, I would suggest the lay of Brazil for the first 20 minutes or so might pay off, as may a 0-0 back to lay trade as Denmark keep the scoreline barren and hope to nick a goal? A very important game as it could determine who goes through to the next round.
1010pm - Argentina v Albania - 1.09. This is a pre cursor to the Copa America and is one of a series of friendlies that has involved teams like Costa Rica and Chile last night against Estonia ( an easy 4-0 Chile win)
The Argies are likely to field a strong enough side and really this should replicate what Chile did to Estonia and then some.
It was 1.12 last night an a real one a dayer at those odds. I suppose at 1.09 it could form part of a one a dayer along with a First Round tennis match?

WIMBLEDON FIRST ROUND


Amanmuradova v V Williams - starts at Midday. 1.03 for Venus and a look at 2-0 set betting to up the odds? 1.16 for 2-0 to Venus
97 ranked v 30th ranked - quite a shock to see venus ranked 30th!
F Lopez v Berrer at midday and Lopez is 1.16

Fish v Granollers at midday. Fish is 1.15

- 9th in the world plays 48th - no head to heads -
Fognini v Raonic at midday - Raonic is 1.16

Wickmayer v Lepchenko at midday. Wickmayer is 1.14 - 19th v 85th in the world


Nadal v Russell - Nadal , at 1pm, is 1.01 - what is he to win 3-0? 1.17

Riske v Zvonareva at 1pm . Zvonereva is 1.07 which could be coupled with Argentina later on?

Gasquet v Giraldo at 115pm - Gasquet is 1.17 to win

- 13th plays 64th - 1 win for Gasquet on carpet saw him lose the first set, and go 7-5 in another best of 3.
Monfils v Bachinger at 115pm - Monfils is 1.1 to win-8th plays 98th - no head to heads


Starace v Wawrinka at 115pm - Wawrinka 1.11 to win - 49th v 14th -met on clay last 2 wins for Wawrinka.

Zhang v Kuznetsova at 2pm - Kuz is 1.14 to win

Volandri v Berdych - at 215pm - Berdych is 1.03 to win - 3-0 sets? is 1.35

Del Potro v Cipolla at 315pm - Del Potro is 1.03 -3-0 sets is 1.42 which signals he may be pushed in 1 or 2 sets.


Haase v Riba at 315pm - Haase is 1.14 to win.


Pospisil v Hanescu at 35pm - 1.17 for hanescu

Stakhovsky v Cox - at 315pm -Stak is 1.08 to win

Pavlyuchenkova v Tsurenko at 4pm - Pav is 1.08

A Murray v Gimeno Traver at 415pm - 1.01 Murray and 1.23 3-0 in sets. Knowing Murray he is likely to make a spectacle
out of the match.


Hantuchova v Diatchenko - at 430pm at 1.13 - 23rd v 168th - nice gulf in the rankings.

Kvitova v Glatch at 5pm - 1.11 for Kvit


Foretz Gacon v Petkovic at 515pm - 1.11 for Pet.

630 CHEPSTOW

BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Galivant, 11/4 Cluain Dara, 12/1 Captain Sharpe, 18/1 Band Of Thunder, 20/1 Ballina Blue, 50/1 Miskin Diamond.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GALIVANT raised her form a notch switched to soft ground when going very close over C&D last time and sets a clear standard. The danger is Cluain Dara who has plenty of useful soft-ground winners in her pedigree and could leave her debut form behind on this second run. [David Moon]

Can we trust Cluain Dara to show? Only 2 under 20/ 1 here


245 KEMPTON

BETTING FORECAST: Evs Banksy, 7/2 Piranha, 11/2 Papal Power, 12/1 Mr Hendrix, 16/1 Clarkson, 25/1 Flying Kitty.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BANKSY was beaten favourite here on his second outing but confirmed he has ability all the same and, the only runner with experience of the surface, looks worth another chance. Market confidence behind newcomer Papal Power should be noted.[Steve Boow]

3 under 14/1 for 2 places.

550 KILBEGGAN

BETTING FORECAST: 9/10 Glenstar, 4/1 Granaruid, 5/1 Ninth Legion, 12/1 Ahead Ahead, 14/1 Craigs Dream, 14/1 Jack The Hat, 16/1 Moymore Lad, 16/1 One Direction, 25/1 Garlough, 33/1 Dromin Crystal, 33/1 Silver Sheeba, 50/1 Clan Cora, 50/1 Shuil Sharp, 66/1 Ella Mia, 66/1 Remain Talkin, 66/1 Scenic Cruise.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GLENSTAR (nap) is an absolute stand-out here and should win if he runs to form. The consistentGranaruid can chase him home, having shaped nicely here on his seasonal return. [Johnny Ward]

Where have I heard that before?( Mossey Joe?) 232 last 3 races augurs well for a place. A maiden hurdle in IReland though.

300 WOLVES

BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Trumpington Street, 5/2 Starbound, 7/2 Inklet, 10/1 Budley, 10/1 Rawaki, 20/1 Silk Lingerie, 50/1 Tigerbill.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TRUMPINGTON STREET was 6l clear of the third when just losing out at Lingfield recently and it seems only a matter of time before he gets off the mark. Starbound and Inklet both have potential to improve, though.[Chris Wilson]

Another ideal race - 8 runners - 3 places - 4 under 16/1



SHORTLIST

1010pm - Argentina v Albania - 1.09. - if Argentina lose to Albania on the eve of a Copa America and with home advantage then I'll take the hit!!

1pm - Nadal v Russell - 1.17 3-0 sets to Rafa is tempting.


115pm - Monfils v bachinger - nice big gap in the rankings suggests an easy enough time for the 1.1 fav.

Hantuchova v Diatchenko - at 430pm at 1.13 - 23rd v 168th - nice gulf in the rankings

630 CHEPSTOW - Galivant is currently 1.08 to place with Cluain dara a surprising 1.5 or thereabouts - a surprise given that the horse is only other horse under 25/1 and comes from the Mark Johnston stable. Concern re soft ground?

300 WOLVES - 8 runners - 3 places - 4 under 16/1 makes this another ideal place only race. Alas the market sees this as a great opportunity for Trumpington street to place - 1.1 - 4 under 16/1, 3 under 10/1 and Trumpington Street is odds on, and has all weather experience courtesy of Lingfield.


SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST

Well Argentina must be bang in there. I hate friendlies but put into context this is near a major Tournament. Expect goals and stars to start.

Again we have an embarrasment of riches today with First Rounds of Major tournaments offering a lot of strong bets. I think the 2 I would take from this afternoon are Monfils against Bachinger and Hantuchova v Diatchenko. Although there are no head to heads, the gulfs in the rankings are such that the shorties should oblige if staying injury free.

as to Nadal, will he win in 3 straight sets? If so, then 1.17 looks worth backing, and so with Murray at 1.23, but we already know about how Murray somehow manages to make an easy victory look like a climb up Everest.

As to the horses, well the 300 WOLVES is just ideal, with Trumpington Street one of 3 under 10/1, 4 under 16/1 in a race where there are 3 places and 8 runners.

Galivant too looks ideally placed to, erm, place!




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