Sunday 3 May 2009

3/5 send again

Sunday, 3 May 2009

3/5 resend

Here now and why was affected by a late non runner so his price disintegrated -M ourad and Naiad de Misselot both placed. Basel scored first ,and went 2-0 up in a tradeable game so no excuses not to profit from that despite he 2-2 final scoreline. No luck for munster, but the philosophy is ONE A DAY and the one a day obliged

145 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Hajoum, 7/2 Hightime Heroine, 13/2 Print, 8/1 Avertor, 10/1 Akabar, 14/1 Bahkov, Rapid Water, 20/1 Phoenix Rising, Wotasparkler, 25/1 Viva Averti, 33/1 Captain Peachey, 40/1 Tiger Trail, 100/1 Dancing Rhythm.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should be monitored with regard to the newcomers, notably Hightime Heroine and Avertor, but HAJOUM looks the one to beat on what he achieved in two outings as a 2yo and, on pedigree at least, there should be plenty more to come from him this season.[SB]

A real price gapper in the live market, now odds on and Ted Durcan did it yesterday with palacefield placing - reliable jockey this one 1.16 - reminds me of Native ruler who was equally as short with reservations about time off and he dotted up


210 GOWRAN PARK
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Air Chief Marshal, 9/2 Love Lockdown, 6/1 Purple Land, 8/1 Gypsy Rose, Woodrow Call, 14/1 Market Puzzle, Redimir, 16/1 Red Fighter, 25/1 City Cat, Rigid Rock, Suas An Staire, 33/1 Kimberely Bay, Lucky Beguine.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: AIR CHIEF MARSHAL should collect for Aidan O'Brien, who has won seven of the last ten runnings of this event, although only one of the last four - Henrythenavigator two years ago. The Danehill Dancer colt can be expected to show the benefit of his debut second behind Gold Bubbles over 6f at Leopardstown and is likely to appreciate the extra furlong.\n

Already a recent 2nd , ballydoyle's air chief should place at least - but where's Murtagh? Aiden using Heffernan today 1.1 to place in an illiquid market.

215 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Dark Mischief, 9/2 Cheviot, Global City, 11/2 Felday, 10/1 Instalment, 16/1 Daddy´s Gift, Ginobili, 20/1 Timeteam, 25/1 Smokey Ryder, 33/1 Countrywide City.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Henry Candy has seen the likes of Kyllachy and Corrybrough progress through the handicap ranks into Group-class sprinters in recent years and the unexposed DARK MISCHIEF (nap), who justified good support to land a useful event at the Craven meeting on his reppearance, is another who could be making his mark in better company before too long. He can follow up despite a 9lb rise.[SB]

A definite price gapper but a class 2 handicap is likely to be competitive especially for a last time out winner carrying a penalty 1.23 to place

315 NMKT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Rainbow View, 6/1 Serious Attitude, 10/1 Cuis Ghaire, 14/1 Lahaleeb, 16/1 Ghanaati, Heart Shaped, Shimah, 20/1 Again, 25/1 Nashmiah, 33/1 Aspen Darlin, Pursuit Of Glory, Super Sleuth, 50/1 Devotee, 66/1 Penny´s Gift, 100/1 Seradim.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: RAINBOW VIEW (nap) looked clear of the other fillies as a 2yo and although there is the now familiar Guineas question to answer over how she has trained on, as this is her first race as a 3yo, she has to be the first place to turn. It looks highly competitive among the remainder, Lahaleeb having done most to set out her case this season but with Serious Attitude unbeaten at two and bred to come into her own at three, and the Irish fillies Again, Pursuit Of Glory and Cuis Ghaire all having looked lively candidates on their best days last season.[RA]

Price gapper here inthe 1000 guineas. Highly competitive race and a fav who has not run since Summer 2008. Obvious ability from 4 consecutive wins is factored into the short price - leap of faith that horse is wound up and ready on 1st run in 2008 1.35 to place belies he competitive nature of the race

400 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Clowance House, 13/2 Comprimario, Talimos, 8/1 Cape Marien, 16/1 Haafhd Time, 25/1 Lucy´s Perfect, 33/1 Googoobarabajagal, 100/1 Jasper Cliff.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a much weaker maiden than the ones that CLOWANCE HOUSE has been contesting and, unless one of the newcomers turns out to be above average, he should prove difficult to beat.[SB]

Now battered into 1/4, has a recent run and Ted Durcan onboard 1.06 says it all!

FOOTBALL
20:00 Bordeaux vs Sochaux 1/4
2nd against 4the from bottom - 0-0 head to head - Bordeaux and drawn once and won the others at home against botom of the league - Bordeaux have won their last 6 and NOT LOST at home this season
Sochaux have only won one away from home all season.Have lost away to all of the top 7 sides
19:30 Tubize vs Anderlecht 8/1 9/2 1/5
2nd v 2nd from bottom in a game Anderlecht MUST win to take advantage of their game in hand and go top - 5-1 head to heads and have beaten all of the bottom 5 away from home.Have only lost 1-0 to top 3 sides at home.
19:15 Hajduk Split vs Varteks 1/6

16:30 FC Copenhagen vs AaB Aalborg 1/3
Have won all bar one draw at home. Lost 3-1 to this team last time
14:30 Salzburg vs Austria Karnten 2/9
lost to this team in head to heads so wouldn't trust
14:00 Juventus vs Lecce 4/11
3rd v 2nd from bottom. 2-1 head to heads - Juve have drawn 3 and lost one of last 4 - looks like "foot off the pedal" COS NOTHING TO PLAY FOR
13:30 Liverpool vs Newcastle 1/4
Everything to play for for both sides and it's hard to see where Newcastle can get anything from this game at all.
13:30 PSV vs NEC 1/4

13:30 Heerenveen vs Den Haag 4/11
13:00 Freiburg vs FSV Frankfurt 4/11

SHORTLIST
210 Gowran - air chief marshal is 1.1 to place here -very stingy odds may rise as the market is illiquid
315 NMKT - Rainbow view is a very enticing 1.35 to place - a fav for the 1000 guineas months ago, this is a special filly and remember we're not looking for her to win, just to place
400 SALIS - Clowance House at 1.06 says it all really
Liverpool look to have outstanding claims against the joke that is Newcastle. If Shearer doesn't work, they'll get Jackie Milburn's grandson in to manage the remaining fixtures
Anderlecht look very enticing at 1/5 and with a must win game 1.21
Laying Sochaux at 13.5 is the ssame as backing at 1.08 and this should come in

ONE A DAY
The obvious contenders are Clowance House and Air Chief Marshal today and ,to get your one a day out the way, these would be the ones to focus on. The odds are poor and not really good enough for target profit per dayers although level stakes backers can get 6% return at least.
A risk could be taken on Rainbow view, though, today at 1.35 to place in the 1000 guineas. An exceptional filly. Question mark as this is first run as a 3 year old and we are gambling on the horse training on
Anderlecht at 1.21 would be another selection. as would Liverpool at 1.25 ( in running as well to trade)
Liverpool are the earliest today at 130pm and I will back to trade in running if they score first (hopefully) and hope to get my one a day in before the others come about

No comments: