Friday 15 May 2009

15/5 UPDATE evening

630 AINTREE
Still 3 under 20/1 and Coin of the REalm is he mover at present. Thumbs up maintains 4/9 with some firms and 1/2 , 8/15 with others
1.09 the fav to place and 1.37 Coin of the realm. A short price for the fav in a novices hurdle given the thought that eventually one of these will fall.

645 NEWCASTLE
3 under 20/1 still and Sana Abel maintains status at the head of the market. Leceile is the mover at 15/8
1.27 and 1.34 the front 2 to place.

730 HAMILTON - Parthenon is the mover here making this 2 the place race a lot less clear cut. The market move could relegate Stately Home or popmurphy out of the places

805 HAMILTON - Dubai echo and Matraash are the only 2 under 16/1 here - both have had recent runs in April 2009 which is what we want to see. I cannot split them, given the 2nd fav is a Mark Johnston horse and could be tough to peg back.
1.11 and 1.19 to place the front 2 - the market sees these as nailed on. A biggish field maiden but 4 are 100/1 or bigger , one 66/1, one 25/1 and 3 16/1 or bigger

925 DUNDALK - Rockhampton maintains 1/2 status at the head of the market. 4 runner field. One at 25/1 can hopefully be discounted
1.13 to place is reasonable given that he seemingly has 1 to beat to place

ONE A DAY
The 925 looks the best probability wise of the day. 2 horses though cannot be discounted so hope lies in the market and jockey ability for a big stable and Rockhampton beating one horse to place.

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