HEAD TO HEADS
| 18.02.2011 | |||||
| 28.07.2010 | |||||
| 14.05.2010 | |||||
| 05.02.2010 | |||||
| 17.10.2009 | |||||
| 19.07.2009 |
Tampines Rovers have not lost.
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 5th
HOME TEAM -TAMPINES
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWDWW in the league and have only lost 1 in last 12 overall in the Cup against Bangkok Glass.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWWWWW – rock solid recent form.
GOAL TRENDS – average 2.36 goals at home and 3.2 at home. No losses at home yet.
STREAKS – 18 games without a loss.5 match winning streak. 4 match home winning streak. 9 home matches without a draw.
AWAY TEAM – GOMBACK UNITED
RECENT AWAY FORM – DDWDWDLWDWW – recent loss was 3-0 to Home United. -2nd in league
RECENT OVERALL FORM – DLWWWLLDWWW – recent losses against 2nd and 3rd in the league any coincidence? It was a tight 1-0 v Singapore Armed forces.
GOAL TRENDS – average 1 goal scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. 6 clean sheets in 11 matches overall.
STREAKS – 3 wins in a row – 4 without a loss. 2 away wins in a row. 4 away matches without a loss.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – I cannot see Tampines losing this but then I cannot discount a draw. A tough match to call, but with Gomback losing eventually to 2nd and 3rd recently, it might be worth backing Tampines here. I must say though that the research here is wholly inadequate as it does not use www.soccerstats.com.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 25.02.2011 | |||||
| 15.10.2010 | |||||
| 30.07.2010 | |||||
| 06.04.2010 | |||||
| 12.03.2010 |
Pretty comprehensive and reminds me of Rangers recently against Motherwell.
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 9th. – Must win for Admira as they are a point behind leaders. Must win too for Gratkorn who are 2nd bottom and 4 points behind 3rd bottom.
HOME TEAM.
RECENT HOME FORM– ADMIRA WACKER – WWWWWWLWWLDD - since the return from the Winter Break WLDD – where has that home invincibility gone? Recently lost 3-1 at home to bottom side
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWWWLLDLDL -all gone wrong recently and wholly inconsistent too, losing, for instance, 3-1 to Grodig, then drawing 1-1 with them the next time they meet.
GOAL TRENDS – Average 2.47 scored and 1 conceded at home.
STREAKS – 6 games without a win. 3 home games without a win.
AWAY TEAM - GRATKORN
RECENT AWAY FORM – WLLLLWLLDLD – last 2 draws 0-0’s –recent win was against 3rd placed
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLDDWLLDLW – 5,4,2,0,7,4 the total goals in last 6 matches.
GOAL TRENDS – score an average of 1 and concede an average of 1.67 away.
STREAKS – 5 away games without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Admira have been terrible of late and do not seem backable at 1.36 on current form. But like Rangers v Motherwell, they are backable based on head to heads.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 13.12.2010 | |||||
| 24.04.2009 | |||||
| 10.10.2008 | |||||
| 31.07.2008 |
Over 1.5 goals an obvious starting point Most recently over 2.5 goals a goer.
LEAGUE POSITION -16th v 1st – and a must win for Waalwijk with Zwolle only 2 points behind them.Only one team goes down in this league I believe, and Fortuna are only one point above bottom side so this match is equally as important for them.
HOME TEAM – FORTUNA
FORTUNA RECENT HOME FORM – LDLLWLDWLWDW – Fortuna have scored 3-0-3-0-2 in their last 5 – a little inconsistent. A surprisingly good record against the top teams at home. 0-0 v Zwolle, 3-1 win v Helmond, 3-3 v Veendam, 1-2 loss to Volendam and 2-1 win against Caambur.
FORTUNA RECENT FORM OVERALL – LDDDWLLWWDLWLD – 3 of last 4 wins have come at home. 3 of last 5 draws are 0-0 with the others 1-1. Home and away against top 6, 2 wins, 1 was 2-3 away at Waalwijk and one was 3-1 home win against 3rd. 10/11 matches home and away against top 5 have been over 2.5 goals.
FORTUNA GOAL TRENDS – 69% over 2.5 goals. 73% overall. This percentage used to be 100% at home time from 13th August to 21st jan 2011.Only 2 of last 6 matches were over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in 4 of last 6 matches. Have scored in 9 of last 12 matches.
STREAKS – 3 at home without defeat. Have not conceded in 2 .
AWAY TEAM - WAAWLIJK
RECENT AWAY FORM – WWWLWWWW – only 2 losses away have come against 10th and 14th.Against bottom 4away, have won 2-3, 2-4, and 1-3 but did lose 2-3 at home to Fortuna.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LWWWWWWDWWW – recent draw was a 0-0 at home against 7th place.
GOAL TRENDS – 81% over 2.5 goals away from home is superb Score an average 2.25 and concede 1.56. 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored 2,4,4,3 in last 4 away matches. Have kept 4 clean sheets in the last 6 matches. Have failed to score in only 1 of last 10 matches. All matches home and away against bottom 4 sides have been over 2.5 goals.
STREAKS – won last 4 away, no draw in 10 away, no defeat in 10 overall,.no goal conceded in 2 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – with Cardiff and Celtic firmly in mind, this time of the year, and the very end of the seasons, becomes an unpredictable time.This is the quintessential 6 point top v bottom match . This is made more so by Fortuna’s unexpected good recent form and unexpected positive home form against top 5 sides. It screams out neutral goals bet because of the unpredictability ( and this tack would have worked in Cardiff and Celtic matches. 73% over 2.5 goals overall for Fortuna against 81% away from home over 2.5 goals for Waalwijk. Both sides ,too, have posted almost unanimous over 2.5 goals records when playing top and bottom teams respectively.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 25.10.2010 | |||||
| 08.05.2010 | |||||
| 21.11.2009 | |||||
| 06.04.2009 |
Sparta should not lose if head to heads are any good record of form.
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 6th and top 2 are considerably ahead of the rest. Must win as Sparta are some 4 points from top team.
HOME TEAM - SPARTA
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWWW – 4 wins since Winter Break return. – have not conceded since the return of the winter break.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWLWLWWWD – 2 losses have come away and recent 2-2 draw away at Teplice.
GOAL TRENDS – 7 clean sheets in 12 home matches.
STREAKS – 8 home matches without a loss.4 home games winning streak.
AWAY TEAM - SLOVAN
RECENT AWAY FORM – LWDLLDW – last 3 matches 1-0 loss, 0-0, 1-0 win.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLLWDWWWW – 4 match winning streak – last 2 away matches 0-0 and 1-0 win.
GOAL TRENDS – score an average 0.62 away so we can sense their vulnerability with that stat.
STREAKS – 2 away without a loss.4 match winning streak – 6 overall without a loss
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – slight concern with away team’s obvious winning form of late but away last 2 were draw 0-0 and 1-0 win. Are playing a side yet to concede in the 4 home wins since the Winter Break which hints that Sparta are the team most likely to score first.Again this is a match where we cannot go indepth with the research so have to make do.
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Rainbow Springs, 3/1 Parvana, 9/2 Creme Anglaise, 8/1 Floral Beauty, 9/1 Marie Rose, 12/1 Trend Line, 14/1 Bint Nas, 20/1 Satwa Sunrise, 50/1 Blazing Field, 50/1 Formal Dining.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Up in trip after a major reappearance flop at 1m, RAINBOW SPRINGS is given another chance to show her Marcel Boussac 2yo form wasn't a fluke but fellow Ribblesdale entries Parvana and Creme Anglaise will be serious rivals.[Paul Johnson]
5 under 16/1 hint that we can narrow our sights a little but note race time.
515 AINTREE
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Phoenix Flight, 9/4 Oasis Knight, 4/1 Neltara, 7/1 Quiet Whisper, 20/1 Cool Steel, 20/1Dont Forget Bob, 20/1 Half Mast, 100/1 Pergamon.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Oasis Knight could hammer these if all the better for blinkers but that's too big an 'if' andPHOENIX FLIGHT (nap) is a lot safer, returning to novice company after respectable efforts handicapping.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
4 under 25/1 here and 8 runners and 3 places makes this an ideal race for place only betting
255 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Harris Tweed, 6/4 St Nicholas Abbey, 100/30 Allied Powers, 25/1 Chink Of Light, 33/1Fanditha.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Course winner Harris Tweed should be hard to pass but ST NICHOLAS ABBEY is a class apart if able to refind anything resembling his best form and though way below par on his recent reappearance, Aidan O'Brien has brought plenty of horses back from similar displays to win next time out in the past. [Mel Cullinan]
This should be 2 horses for 3 places, but which of the main 3 will not place in the first 2?
With Allied Powers out to 5/1 the market hints at a 1-2 between Harris and St Nicholas.
330 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Ahtoug, 3/1 Face The Problem, 5/1 Jamesway, 6/1 Bold Bidder, 9/1 Julius Geezer, 11/1Mappin Time, 16/1 Ballista, 25/1 Scarlet Rocks.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: AHTOUG (nap) was clear of the rest when second to a highly progressive winner on his reappearance at Sandown recently and, from the same mark, is very much the one to beat. Face The Problem is just preferred to Jamesway as the main danger. [Mel Cullinan]
8 horses and 3 places and a good favourite here with a recent run and Dettori up. 4 under 12/1 hint at the placers coming from these 4. Ahtoug and Face the Problem currently share favouratism at 9/4
705 HAMILTON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Fine Style, 5/1 Countrywide Flame, 5/1 Operateur, 7/1 Allez Leulah, 10/1 Sandpipers Dream, 10/1 Silver Tigress, 14/1 Smart Violetta, 20/1 Arashone, 20/1 Playful Girl.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Fine Style is the one to beat on recent form but he has more to do under a penalty - especially if it rains - and a chance is taken with SMART VIOLETTA, who didn't do much in maidens last year but will be suited by the step into handicaps and the step up to this trip. [Richard Young]
Price gapper in a class 6 0-65 handicap seem to run consistently into the places. Rain may come?11/10 - - - 9/2 current price gap but note race time.
425 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Nahab, 5/1 Sasheen, 5/1 The Big Haerth, 10/1 Catchanova, 10/1 Leelu, 12/1 Emeebee, 16/1Beat Up, 16/1 Tilsworth Glenboy, 20/1 Pytheas, 33/1 Focail Eile.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The outside stall and drop to an easy 1m might still not be enough to stop NAHAB (nap), who won well on her return and is open to further improvement. The Big Haerth looks best of the rest.[Graham Wheldon]
Price gapper in a class 5 0-70 handicap and an eyecatching Ted Durcan onboard.Slight concern that win last time was 1 mile 1 and analysis hinted a rise in trip more likely suit
NAHAB proved all the rage for this seasonal/handicap debut and she got on top late on to open her account at the fifth attempt. The way the race unfolded was totally against her over this sharper test, but she overcame that and is clearly a cut above this level. Stepping back up to 1m2f should only suit and there ought to be more to come.
530 PUNCHESTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Hurricane Fly, 7/2 Binocular, 6/1 Menorah, 10/1 Thousand Stars, 16/1 Blackstairmountain, 33/1 Alaivan.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: HURRICANE FLY looks bullet-proof here and can copper-fasten his place at the summit of the two-mile hurdling division. Binocular might have something to say about that, but his Aintree run needs to be exonerated and the small field looks a negative for him. He still looks the only threat to Hurricane Fly. Tactics will be interesting, with Willie Mullins providing half the field. [Johnny Ward]
"looks bullet proof" - some synopsis of Hurricane's chances! 4/7 - - - -4/1 price gap
SHORTLIST
530pm - Admira Wacker v FC Gratkorn - 1.36 home - my recent enthusiasm for Rangers against Motherwell was because Rangers scored 10 goals in last 2 meetings. In this match, Admira have scored 9 in last 2 head to heads without reply. They have not won last 6 though, drawing 4 of those matches.
5,4,2,0,7,4 the total goals in last 6 matches for Gratkorn could see a goals bet 1.21 over 1.5 goals involves both sides and has a good chance of coming in given 1) Admira scored 12 without reply in last 3 matches and 2) there have been 22 goals in Gratkorn's last 6 matches, an average of over 3 per match.
7pm - Fortuna Sittard v Waalwijk - 1.46 away - 73% and 81% over 2.5 goals stats hints at the obvious. This is toppish v bottomish and both teams needing goals. They shared 5 last time they met - that damn market has seen the same thing quoting only 1.11 over 1.5 goals. 1.35 over 2.5 goals.
515 AINTREE - although still a few hours until the race is off, this looks a superb place only race - 8 runners, 3 places and only 4 under 25/1 1.24 to place Phoenix Flight as ever depends on a clear round. Probability wise, he should have a great place only chance with only 4 runners, it seems, likely to dominate.
255 CHESTER - faith in the market here? Harris Tweed and St Nicholas Abbey dominate but can we dismiss Allied Powers? harris Tweed is currently 1.37 to place fav in a race which should involve these 3 horses for 2 places.
330 CHESTER - 8 runner race and 3 places and 4 under 14/1 again makes this, like the 515 Aintree, a superb probability race. As this is Chester and 5 furlongs, joint fav Face the problem as the best draw but Ahtoug has Dettori onboard In a currently illiquid market, it is 1.4 the pair. Choose the better drawn, or the one Spotlight fancies the best?
425 LINGFIELD - nahab is the only horse under 2.2 in the place only market, at 1.42, has Ted Durcan back on , is 11/8 - - - -11/2 in the betting and looks to be able to place at least in the first 3.
530 PUNCHESTOWN - considering Willie Mullins has half the field in this race, his Hurrican Fly must gain the advantage of any tactics and at current 1.25 to place, looks a good proposition, albeit with only 2 places .
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
All look solid from the above but I am taken by over 1.5 goals in the Admira v gratkorn match despite Admira's poor recent form.
The 330 Chester and 515 Aintree are ideal 8 runners, 3 place races with 4 under 25/1 and 14/1 respectively. The 330 Chester may be favoured as it does not involve obstacles and Ahtoug and Face the Problem are the 2 I would shortlist to place.
The 530 Punchestown is my last race of interest with Hurricane Fly set to dominate.
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NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
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