Bayern won their last home match of the season. Right choice yesterday as there were some underperforming horse.
1230pm - Aachen v Bielefeld - 1.49 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 17.12.2010 | D2 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1-3 | Alemannia Aachen | |
| 12.03.2010 | D2 | Alemannia Aachen | 2-1 | Arminia Bielefeld | |
| 16.10.2009 | D2 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1-0 | Alemannia Aachen |
Over 2.5 goals last 2 matches and both in favour of Aachen
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 18th - nothing to play for for both sides so beware dead rubber - Aachen I think have a superb goals trend so I will do the research with a goals bias in mind.
HOME TEAM - AACHEN
AACHEN RECENT HOME FORM - LDWDWLLWLW - no draw in 6 - against the bottom 7 it's 6 wins and 5 over 2.5 goals - 2 goals scored on 4 occasions with 4 goals scored twice.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLLLWWLLWWL - 12 overall without a draw and that is one angle in already - lay the draw
GOAL TRENDS - I thought I remembered this mob- check it out girlfriend! 88% over 2.5 goals at home. Have scored 29 and conceded 31. Last 17 matches over 2.5 goals and 24 of last 26 matches over 2.5 goals. 14 of 16 home matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored in 14 of 16 home matches. 85% over 2.5 goals overall average.
STREAKS - 6 home matches without a draw - 12 overall without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - BIELEFELD
BIELEFELD RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLLWDDLL - have only won 1 away from home. 2 draws against 9th and 11th ( playing 10th today)
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLDLDWLDLDDLLW - 2 wins were 2 of only 4 wins all season.
GOAL TRENDS - 62% over 2.5 goals away from home - Have failed to score in 56% of matches away from home. Have conceded in 14 of 16 away matches - 4 of last 6 matches under 2.5 goals - have only kept 3 clean sheets all season. . Have not scored in 4 of the last 6 matches.
STREAKS - 4 without a win. 3 without a draw overall. Have not scored in last 3 away matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this is a dead rubber but boy those are some goal stats from Aachen which makes 0ver 2.5 goals a goer surely? Bielefeld leayable but osdds probably too big to lay
1230pm - Celtic v Motherwell - 1.17 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 7.02.2011 | PR | Motherwell FC | 2-0 | Celtic FC | |
| 29.12.2010 | PR | Celtic FC | 1-0 | Motherwell FC | |
| 29.08.2010 | PR | Motherwell FC | 0-1 | Celtic FC | |
| 01.05.2010 | PR | Celtic FC | 4-0 | Motherwell FC | |
| 13.04.2010 | PR | Celtic FC | 2-1 | Motherwell FC | |
| 12.12.2009 | PR | Motherwell FC | 2-3 | Celtic FC |
Motherwell won 2-0 last time out but that was a shocking Celtic performance and this is must win match today.
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 7th - the easier job of the 2 Old Firm matches as it is at home?
HOME TEAM - CELTIC
RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWWWWWW – great run at home which should keep them in the title hunt.have won all bar 2 draws against 5th and 6th at home. Have scored 47 at home and conceded 11.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWLWWWWWDWLWW – draw was away at Rangers and loss was a season defining 3-2 away at Caley.
GOAL TRENDS – 61% over 2.5 goals at home. Have scored in all home matches this season and kept a clean sheet in 56% of matches. 4 of the last 6 matches over 2.5 goals bar the 0-0 with Rangers and 0-2 away win over Kilmarnock. – have kept a clean sheet in 6 of the last 8 matches, and in 15 of the last 21 matches.
STREAKS – 9 match home winning streak – 13 at home without defeat.
AWAY TEAM - MOTHERWELL
RECENT AWAY FORM –.LLWLLDDL – only 1 win away was 1-2 v Aberdeen –have lost 6-0 away to Rangers and 1-0 away at Celtic already , drew 3-3 with Hearts, lost 4-0 to Dundee Utd, ,3-0 to Caley, and 3-1 v Kilmarnock. Poor shape away and exploitable surely in this must win match.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWLWLLWWDDLLD – recent loss includes a 5-0 loss when Rangers visited. This could put down a marker regarding what Celtic are capable of.
GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 over 2.5 goals away –scored 16 and conceded 32 goals away from home. 7 of the last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. 5 of the 6 matches against top 6 away have been over 2.5 goals. All 6 have been over 1.5 goals. Have conceded in 8 of the last 9 matches. Have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches,and in 4 of their matches against top 5 away from home.
STREAKS – 5 away without a win, 5 overall without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Celtic have scored 47 at home and conceded 11 goals only. They are on a solid winning run at home at the right time of the season and this is a must win. Clean sheet in 6 of last 8 matches and are 13 without a draw - I cannot see Motherwell winning, ergo Celtic win by default if this is unlikely to be a draw. Motherwell have lost 5 of last 8 away matches and have already lost to Old Firm away this season , albeit only 1-0 to Celtic. Motherwell have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches. have failed to score in 4 of 5 away to top 5. Looks like a Celtic win to nil for me perhaps?
1230pm - Kilmarnock v Rangers - 1.26 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 13.03.2011 | PR | Glasgow Rangers | 2-1 | Kilmarnock FC | |
| 10.01.2011 | Cup | Glasgow Rangers | 3-0 | Kilmarnock FC | |
| 20.11.2010 | PR | Kilmarnock FC | 2-3 | Glasgow Rangers | |
| 27.10.2010 | LC | Kilmarnock FC | 0-2 | Glasgow Rangers | |
| 14.08.2010 | PR | Glasgow Rangers | 2-1 | Kilmarnock FC | |
| 09.03.2010 | PR | Kilmarnock FC | 0-2 | Glasgow Rangers |
Kilmarnock have lost the last 3 at home in head to heads, conceding 3 minimum. This is a clean sweep in head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION – 6th v 1st.
HOME TEAM - KILMARNOCK
RECENT HOME FORM – DLDWWDLDL – last 2 losses at home were against Celtic where Kilmarnock could not score. Have lost 2-3 and 0-2 against Old Firm at home. Have not beaten any of the top 5 at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLWWLWDDLLDLD – no win in last 7 matches. 3 of last 4 losses have come against Rangers and Celtic twice.
GOAL TRENDS - 61% over 2.5 goals at home. Last 2 matches under 2.5 goals but 3 before were over 2.5 goals. Have conceded in all of the last 6 matches .
STREAKS – 4 at home without a win, 7 overall without a win.
AWAY TEAM – RANGERS
RECENT AWAY FORM – LWLWWWWWW – superb recent run away sees Rangers keep 6 clean sheets on the trot. They carry on in that vein and of course simply need to score!Have lost away to 2nd and 3rd and drawn with 5th and won the rest.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWLWWWWWDWWW – draw was v Celtic, and interrupted a run of scoring 2,4,5,4,2 goals in matches.
GOAL TRENDS – 4 of the last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. 61% over 2.5 goals away from home. Have conceded only 14 goals away from home. Have kept a clean sheet in last 5 matches and in 8 of last 9 matches, and in 15 of the last 20 matches. Superb defensive displays.
STREAKS – 6 match away winning streak, 10 away without a draw, 9 without defeat overall, no goal conceded in 6 away and 5 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Kilmarnock have recently lost to Celtic twice which is good news for a Rangers side who have scored 2 minimum in last 3 head to heads at Kilmarnock. 3 of last 4 losses overall have come against Rangers and Celtic ( twice) . 61% over 2.5 goals for both sides. Rangers have won last 6 away matches. Have kept a clean sheet in 5 of last 8 matches and 15 of last 20. Have scored 2,4,5,4,2 recently inbetween a 0-0 with Celtic. Rangers have the momentum I feel and are scoring more goals more regularly which I hope makes them better betting propositions than Celtic, despite being away from home.
130pm - Chelsea v Newcastle - 1.25 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 28.11.2010 | PR | Newcastle Utd | 1-1 | Chelsea FC | |
| 22.09.2010 | LC | Chelsea FC | 3-4 | Newcastle Utd | |
| 04.04.2009 | PR | Newcastle Utd | 0-2 | Chelsea FC |
Carroll the scorer in last match perhaps telling ? Ignore the cup match as the teams were changed.
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 12th – dead rubber match with United winning the title yesterday.
A win could take Newcastle an unlikely 7th ( if all teams inbetween fail) Chelsea would like to seal 2nd and a loss today and a win by Arse will see them 2nd still only on goal difference.
HOME TEAM - CHELSEA
RECENT HOME FORM – WDWLWWWWWW – 6 wins on the trot at home and in the groove.Last loss was against Liverpool and 0-1.Have only been beaten by Liverpool and Sunderland at home ( Sunderland are a place lower than Newcastle). Chelsea have scored 2,2,1,3,3,2 in their last 6 home matches.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – LDWWWDWWWWWL – loss was against Man Utd away.
GOAL TRENDS – 44% over 2.5 goals at home. Have scored 37 and conceded only 11 at home. Average 2.05 scored and 0.61 conceded. Last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 61% clean sheets at home.Chelsea have conceded in 4 of last 5 matches. Chelsea have scored in last 10 matches.
STREAKS – 6 match home winning streak. 8 at home without a draw and 6 overall without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - NEWCASTLE
RECENT AWAY FORM NEWCASTLE – LWDLDWLLDL – 3 losses in last 4 away matches against Stoke, Villa and Liverpool. Newcastle did not score in those 3 losses. Against the top 11 away from home, Newcastle beat Arsenal 1-0 and Everton 1-0 and lost the rest conceding 3,2,3,2,4,5,3,1 – pretty consistent concession rate .
RECENT OVERALL FORM – DDLDDWDLLWLDDLW – inconsistent –only 1 win in last 5 was a home win v Brum in a dead rubber.
GOAL TRENDS – 39% over 2.5 goals away from home. Have scored 13 and conceded 28. Have failed to score in 39% of away matches. Last2 matches over 2.5 goals but 3 of last5 under 2.5 goals. Have conceded in 8 of last 9 matches. Have failed to score in 4 of the last 7 matches.
STREAKS – 4 away without a win. 2 overall without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – DEAD RUBBER ALERT - a match you feel means little after the events at Blackburn bar sending the home fans away happy against a side with an overall poor record against the top 11 – only beating Arsenal and Everton and a feeling that those matches were very anomalous. A tough one to call as I have been advocating leaving dead rubbers alone. From a form perspective though, Chelsea could replicate their top 11 colleagues and score 2 minimum.
2pm - Cesena v Brescia - 1.26 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 06.01.2011 | D1 | Brescia Calcio | 1-2 | AC Cesena | |
| 23.03.2010 | D2 | Brescia Calcio | 0-1 | AC Cesena | |
| 17.10.2009 | D2 | AC Cesena | 2-0 | Brescia Calcio |
Cesena 2-0 up in last match.
LEAGUE POSITION – 16th v 19th. And that is a very short price for a side so low in the league.
HOME TEAM - CESENA
RECENT HOME FORM – DLDLWDDWL – recent losses against 6th, 5th and 2nd and the last one, against Inter Milan, was pure bad luck. 1-0 and losing 2-1 to 2 Inter Milan 90+ minute goals. The last 3 home draws have been score draws. Against the bottom 4 at home, we have 2 1-0 wins and a 1-0 loss. Again not really the scorelines of a 1.26 shot.5 of the 6 wins at home have been 1-0 so if expecting Cesena to win today, should be back the 1-0?
RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWWDLDDWWLW – 3 wins in last 4 matches , 2 of those were away wins . Last 4 draws have been 2-2’s and last 6 draws have been score draws.
GOAL TRENDS – 33% over 2.5 goals at home. 3 of last 4 matches under 2.5 goals but 2 of those matches were 2-0’s although with a 2nd goal in the 84th minute in each of those matches, this was not a successful over 2.5 goals trade. Have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 4 matches bar the Inter match which should have been a clean sheet. Have conceded in 10 of the last 11 matches.
STREAKS – 2 at home without a draw, 4 overall without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - BRESCIA
RECENT AWAY FORM -LLDDDLDLD - no win away in 16 fpr Brescia. Have played 3 of bottom 5, losing 2-1 twice and drawing 3-3. Only 1 win away all season was a 0-1 against Chievo.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDDDLWDLLDL - recent win was at home to 15th placed Bologna.
GOAL TRENDS - 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. 39% over 2.5 goals away from home. Have failed to score in 50% of away matches. Score an average 0.66 away from home. Have conceded in last 8 matches. Have conceded in 15 of 18 away matches.
STREAKS - no win in 16 away , 5 overall
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 33% and 39% over 2.5 goals stats is poor and hints at a typical Italian scoreline where we back 0-0 initially in the hope this is as dour as the stats indicate. Surely only 1 win away all season for Brescia makes them opposable? Not top of my list - recent clean sheets for Cesena should continue.
2pm - Chievo v Udinese - 1.35 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 06.01.2011 | D1 | Udinese Calcio | 2-0 | ChievoVerona | |
| 24.03.2010 | D1 | Udinese Calcio | 0-0 | ChievoVerona | |
| 01.11.2009 | D1 | ChievoVerona | 1-1 | Udinese Calcio | |
| 25.04.2009 | D1 | ChievoVerona | 1-2 | Udinese Calcio |
Udinese unbeaten in last 4 matches in head to heads , winning and drawing away at Chievo -last win was 2-0 win with 10 men for the 2nd half
LEAGUE POSITION - 12th v 5th - nothing to play for for Chievo but Udinese go 4th with a win today.
HOME TEAM - CHIEVO -
RECENT HOME FORM - DDDWLDLDWW - only 4 losses at home , and 3 have been 1-0 losses - against top 5, lost 1-2 to AC MIlan, beat Inter 2-1, beat Napoli 2-0, and lost 1-0 to Lazio, decent enough form at home.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLDLWDLWLWD - inconsistent
GOAL TRENDS - 28% over 2.5 goals at home. 50% clean sheets at home and 50% failed to score at home. Quite unique stats. Have scored 15 and conceded 11 all season at home. 8 of last 10 matches under 2.5 goals - have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 6. Have failed to score in 6 of last 10
STREAKS - 2 match home winning streak. No goal conceded in 3 at home.
AWAY TEAM - UDINESE
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWWWLWL - recent loss away to Lecce (4th from bottom) and Fiorentina (9th) -no draw in 8 away. have only drawn 2 away all season so lay the draw an option here. Playing 12th today and lost against 13th, 14th, 15th but beat 10th and 11, scoring 4 in each match.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDWWWWLLWLLW - 2 losses at home and 2 losses away.
GOAL TRENDS - 4 of last 5 over 2.5 goals. 67% over 2.5 goals away. Have conceded in all of last 6.
STREAKS - no draw in 8 away, and 10 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - mixed messages with the goals stats on average and Chievo look difficult to beat at home. The odds for Udinese must factor in the fact this is a meaningless match for Chievo and very much a match of meaning for Udinese. On form, I would lay Udinese at such a short price as Chievo could frustrate, but this could be a day where circumstance supercedes form and Udinese get the win they need so bad. The draw looks layable too?
3pm - FC Basel v Thun - 1.35 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 06.02.2011 | D1 | FC Thun | 2-3 | FC Basel | |
| 13.11.2010 | D1 | FC Basel | 1-3 | FC Thun | |
| 21.08.2010 | D1 | FC Thun | 1-1 | FC Basel |
Thun have scored 1st in last 2 head to heads and beat Basel last time
LEAGUE POSITION - joint top v 6th - one 1 goal separates the top 2 and Basel currently 2nd.
HOME TEAM BASEL
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWDWW - draw was a 2-2 v Grasshoppers - solid at home and unbeaten.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWWDDDWLWD - 2 draws and loss all away.
GOAL TRENDS - 75% over 2.5 goals at home. Have scored in all home matches 23 of last 29 matches over 2.5 goals. Have conceded in 6 of last 7. Have failed to score in only 2 all season.
STREAKS - 8 without defeat at home.
AWAY TEAM - THUN
RECENT AWAY FORM - only lost 1 away all season - DDWLDWWW -
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLDDWLWWW - 3 1-0's and a 0-0 in 4 of last 6 matches.
GOAL TRENDS - 38% over 2.5 goals awy from home.
STREAKS - 4 without defeat away
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - messy stats as this is a league of 10 - again as with time of season, circumstance above stats here - must win in order to try and break the parity with Zurich at the top.
4pm - Arsenal v Aston Villa - 1.41 home - DEAD RUBBER ALERT - not for me thanks, especially the way the Arse are at the moment. Eminently layable surely with trading in mind?
6pm - Fenerbahce v Ankaragucu - 1.21 home
HEAD TO HEADS
12.12.2010 D1
MKE Ankaragücü
2-1
Fenerbahçe SK
09.11.2010 Cup
MKE Ankaragücü
4-2
Fenerbahçe SK
09.05.2010 D1
MKE Ankaragücü
0-3
Fenerbahçe SK
12.12.2009 D1
Fenerbahçe SK
3-2
MKE Ankaragücü
25.04.2009 D1
Fenerbahçe SK
1-2
MKE Ankaragücü
Thorns in Fener's side historically?
LEAGUE POSITION -1st v 11th. It could not be tighter at the top. 1st and 2nd separated by 3 goals in Fener's favour. A must win therefore today against a side they seem to struggle against bar a 3-0 away win in May 2010 . Must win v season over.
HOME TEAM FENERBAHCE
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWWDWW - emphatic at home. Recent draw was 0-0 v 3rd placed and was one of 3 draws at home, the rest were wins. Have scored 4,2,3,4 against teams 10th -14th inclusive at home and Ankar are 11th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWWWWWWWWDWWWWW – again emphatic recent form.
GOAL TRENDS – 38% over 2.5 goals at home only because they score 2.18 and concede only 0.5 on average – 3 of last 4 matches have been under 2.5 goals so largely unpredictable goals trends. Have kept 69% clean sheets at home. Have scored 35 and conceded only 8 goals at home. Have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches and have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 16 matches. Have failed to score in only 3 matches all season.
STREAKS – no defeat in 16 at home and 16 overall.No draw in 5 overall and 5 match current winning streak. 15 wins and a 0-0 draw in last 16 matches. Fener have kept a clean sheet in the last 8 home matches.
AWAY TEAM - ANKARAGUCU
ANKARAGUCU RECENT AWAY FORM – LDDLLWDLWD – inconsistent away from home. Have not beaten any of the top 8 away from home, but 1-1 draw v 2nd, 0-0 draw v 3rd, losses against 4th, 5th, 6th, 0-0 draw with 7th, and 5-1 loss to 8th. Do Ankara raise their game away to the big boys?
ANKARAGUCU RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLWLLWWDDLWWDD – decent enough form includes a 1-0 home win against 6th placed.Recent loss was 3-2 away to 4th placed.
ANKARAGUCU GOAL TRENDS – 56% over 2.5 goals. Last 2 matches under 2.5 goals , and the matches prior to those saw 4 over 2.5 goals. Mixed bag away to top 8, 4 losses saw them concede 3,2,4,5, and there were 3 draws, a 1-1 and 2 0-0’s What will it be today? Have scored in 18 of last 20 matches.
ANKARAGUCU STREAKS – 4 overall without defeat.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – how important is the 2 draws Ankara have managed against 2nd and 3rd, for a draw today should end Fener’s chances of winning the title ( if Trab win)
Form wise, Fenerbahce are in the winning groove both at home and overall. In head to heads, it is a mixed bag with no team ultra dominant. Over 2.5 goals has come in in head to heads. Fener are 1.21 today simply because this is the MUST win to end all must wins. They win, and this should be the title unless Trab score a silly amount of goals without conceding. Fener have conceded only 8 at home all season so if they score they should win it is hoped. Ankara have scored in 18 of last 20 matches though.
6pm - Trabzonspor v Buyuksehir - 1.22 home
HEAD TO HEADS
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 12th – 2nd only by 3 goals to fenerbahce, so Trab must simply match Fenerbahce and enough to overtake in the goals for column.Istanbul have nothing to play for,. This again is a must win for Trab, and makes for an exciting end to the Turkish season ( there is one match to go but that is an away match.
HOME TEAM - TRAB
RECENT HOME FORM – WWDDDWWWW – draws against 5th, 11th and 14th.11 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat at home all season. 3 of last 4 home scorelines have been 1-0 – perhaps a 0-0 cover incase Trab struggle again. Have lost and drawn against 10th and 11th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL- WWDWWWWWWDWW – great recent form –draw was a 3-3 home draw against 5th and a 0-0 v 7th ( 0-0 home and away against this team)
GOAL TRENDS – have kept a clean sheet in last 4 matches at home. 44% over 2.5 goals is generally low because Trab have kept 62% clean sheets at home , and conceded 11 at home ( and scored 31) all season. Identical home and away goals scored/conceded stats. Last 2 matches over 2.5 goals but only 2 of last 6 over 2.5 goals. 5 clean sheets on the trot prior to last match.Have scored in 11 of last 12 matches.
STREAKS – 4 match home winning streak. 13 at home without defeat. 13 overall without defeat. 4 matches on the trot at home without conceding.
AWAY TEAM – BUYUK (ISTANBUL)
RECENT AWAY FORM – LLLWDDLWL – recent win against 8th placed and recent draws were against 2nd bottom and 1-1 with 3rd placed Bursaspor. . Have beaten 6th and 8th away from home but lost 2-0 to Fener, drew 1-1 with 3rd, lost 4-1 to 4th, lost 3-2 to 5th, , lost 1-0 to 7th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM – WDLLWLWLLD – last loss was a 2-0 away to Fenerbahce and this should ideally be what Trab are capable of.
GOAL TRENDS – 44% over 2.5 goals away from home.3 of last 4 matches under 2.5 goals.Have conceded in 9 of last 10 matches
STREAKS – 3 away without a draw. 3 overall without a win. Have not beaten the top 5 away from home.conceding 2,4 and 3.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
8pm - Atl Madrid v Hercules - 1.33 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 10.01.2011 | D1 | Hércules CF | 4-1 | Atlético Madrid |
I suspect Madrid are in better shape now.
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 19th - looks like Hercules face an, erm, Herculean task to stay up - it does not look mathematically possible - Madrid going for 5th place
HOME TEAM - MADRID -
RECENT HOME FORM - WDWLLDWLWWL - against the bottom 10, Madrid have won convincingly against 11th -15th inclusive, scoring 3 or 4, have scored 2 against 16th and 17th, won 1-0 v 3rd from bottom Zaragoza, and drew 1-1 with Almeria. - the draw was back in October 2010 and anomolous in the context of the other matches. Ideal expectation would be for a 2,3 goal scoreline in Madrid's favour.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDDWDLWWDWWLL - losses against 9th and 10th
GOAL TRENDS - 67% over 2.5 goals at home. 33 scored , 19 conceded. Clean sheets in 44% of matches at home. 9 of last 10 matches over 2.5 goals. Have conceded in 10 of last 12 matches. have failed to score in 1 of last 14 matches.
STREAKS - 5 at home without a draw, 4 overall without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - HERCULES
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLLLLWLL - recent win away was against Sociedad ( 14th placed) Away to top 13, lost the lot except a win against Barca ( forget that one) and a 0-0 draw v Racing.
RECENT OVERALL FORM- LLLLWDLWLLD - recent draw-win-draw is at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 44% over 2.5 goals away from home. have failed to score in 72% of away matches. Have scored only 8 away from home. Against top 13 away from home, have conceded 3 goals in 5 matches, 2 in 3 matches, and 1 in 2 matches.
STREAKS - 10 away without a draw - win or lose away? And if they have only won 1 away from home, then what do you think is the most likely outcome today?Opponent scores first in 55% of matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - On form ( and I keep repeating that phrase as we enter this part of the year) Hercules have had no draw in 10 away and , having only won 1 away, it seems logical that Ath Madrid will win. Tend to concede 2/3 away to top sides, and have scored only 8 away, failing to score in 73% of away matches. Win to nil perhaps for Ath Madrid?
430 MARKET RASEN
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Bob Hall, 12/1 Locksmith, 14/1 Divine Intavention, 25/1 Blandings Castle, 33/1 Beau Traveller, 50/1 Jimmys Duky.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BOB HALL (nap) ran his best race of the year last time at Cheltenham and looks the one to be on. Last night's Uttoxeter winner Eleazar, Locksmith and Divine Intavention are the pick of the rest.[Richard Young]
Huge price gapper in this hunter chase.
Now 6 runners and 3 places - only 2 places
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http://www.cliveoneaday.com
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