HEAD TO HEADS
A couple of 1-0's mask an impressive dominance from SAF. 1-0 is always a scary scoreline.
LEAGUE POSITION - 12th v 4th - 12th is bottom !
HOME TEAM - WOODLANDS WELLINGTON
RECENT HOME FORM - LLLLLLLDLLL - draw was 2-2 v 10th placed Geylang and when your luck's not in, your luck's not in. The equalising goal for the opponents was an 89th minute own goal! Oh man!! TO be a WW fan! 2 1-0 losses in last 3 home matches against 7th and 11th.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLLDLLLLWL - recent win against 10 man Young Lions saw a late winner for WW. Nothing to worry SAF backers I warrant.
GOAL TRENDS - score an average 0.71 and concede an average 2 at home.Have conceded in last 7 home matches.
STREAKS - 19 at home without a win. 6 overall without a draw
AWAY TEAM -SAF
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWWWDWLWWWLD - draw was 2-2 against Tanjong and really they should have murdered them as they were similarly priced to today. I don't expect any slip ups surely if SAF want to maintain some kind of title push.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWLWWWDLDW - slight slip ups recently
GOAL TRENDS - 1.71 scored and 1.57 conceded away .
STREAKS no major streaks.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - a little worry re the slight slip ups of late for SAF - DLDW especially a draw 2-2 against 2nd bottom. Psychologically it would be a great blow if SAF fail to score 3 or more and win well today. 1.16 always signals goals so look to over 3.5 onwards
BETTING FORECAST: 1/4 Bubbly Ballerina, 4/1 Rooknrasbryripple.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The unorthodox course is the main concern for supporters of BUBBLY BALLERINA who has plenty in hand on form. Rooknrasbryripple has shown she handles the track but evidently has her limitations.[Frank Carter]
Obvious contender here in a win only market.
240 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Celestial Girl, 9/4 Filun, 11/2 Lauberhorn.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: None of these would usually make the running and a tactical affair looks on the cards.CELESTIAL GIRL might not be entirely straightforward but she was miles clear of the third here last week and will be higher in future handicaps - this looks a good opportunity for her to enhance her record at the track.[Paul Smith]
3 horses and 2 places
440 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Dysios, 13/2 Cathcart Castle, 10/1 Maggie´s Treasure, 12/1 Titan Diamond, 16/1 Robber Stone.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: DYSIOS looked a different performer when running away with a competitive Kempton handicap last week and the money for him in the morning suggests it wasn't a surprise. He looks thrown in under a penalty - he will be another 9lb higher in the future - and should follow up with the minimum of fuss. Cathcart Castle could be the one to chase him home.[Paul Smith]
2 under 14/1 and Cathcart Castle looks the obvious alternative to the obvious!
230 FOLKSTONE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Gentlemans Code, 11/4 Bear Behind, 16/1 Joe M.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The betting should give an idea of expectations for the newcomers but probably just an ordinary maiden and it should be well within range of the American challenger GENTLEMANS CODE if he has realistic Royal Ascot ambitions. Bear Behind is likely to pose most problems.[Frank Carter]
3 horses and 2 places
550 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Lexington Spirit, 6/4 Princess Banu, 12/1 Island Bird, 33/1 Vieira Da Silva.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Likely this will be dominated by the previous winners. Princess Banu's form is arguably the stronger but she disappointed last time and, although eased in grade, is up against a potential big improver in impressive Thirsk debut winner LEXINGTON SPIRIT.[Frank Carter]
should be a 2 horse race for 2 places !
730 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Caraboss, 6/1 Shuhra, 8/1 Al Mayasah, 12/1 Bint Nas, 12/1 Brook Star, 25/1 Alemaratiya, 50/1 Tobetall, 100/1 Chickini.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Sir Michael Stoute, who won this race in 2008, can strike again with CARABOSS, who was just denied at Newbury last time. Bint Nas could be the one for the forecast.[Andrew Mount]
3 under 16/1 presently but a while til race time. Still 8 runners and 3 places.
740 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Workforce, 11/2 Jan Vermeer, 13/2 Elusive Pimpernel, 7/1 Afsare, 12/1 Cavalryman, 14/1Black Spirit, 14/1 Sri Putra, 20/1 Distant Memories, 25/1 Poet.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Only a Group 3 but a better field than for many a European Group 1. Despite conceding 7lb all round over a trip shorter than ideal on his reappearance, WORKFORCE stands out on his Derby and Arc-winning form, especially as there ought to be more to come as a 4yo this year after just five career starts. Jan Vermeer, who should be suited by the drop back from 1m4f, can pose most problems, ahead of Elusive Pimpernel. [Mel Cullinan]
6/4 - - - 6/1 price gap presently puts Workforce in with a cracking place only chance albeit in a high quality race. Ryan Moore takes the rise, superb jockey. - 235 day absence.
540 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 1/5 Sounds Of Thunder, 6/1 Landenstown Pearl, 14/1 Searree, 25/1 Grey Locker, 25/1 Phoenix Lady, 50/1 I Feel Fine.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a very good opportunity for SOUNDS OF THUNDER to gain a third win over hurdles.[Chris Wilson]
2 only under 16/1 here
SHORTLIST
1230 - Woodlands Wellington v Singapore Armed Forces - 1.16 away - turgid recent display against Tanjong cannot be repeated here surely? Must beat bottom side to have any realistic title hopes and to not get full points against both bottom sides would be a great concern.
5pm - Asane v Brann - 1.42 away - my knowledge of the Norwegian Cup is precisely nil but Division 3 v Division 1 and a price around 1.4 appeals.
210 BRIGHTON - Bubbly ballerina at 1.14 - concern is 2 year olds and the unique aspects of Brighton's course. " race like this should be a formality"
440 BRIGHTON - Dysios should win and around 1.12 to place is reasonable.
730 NEWCASTLE - 3 under 16/1 will hopefully dominate here with Caraboss obvious and Shuhra the value alternative.
740 SANDOWN - on reputation alone Workforce is the one to be with - around 1.4 to place acknowledges 200+ day absence and competitive field.
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
1230 - Woodlands Wellington v Singapore Armed Forces - 1.16 away - opportunity for retribution over recent shock 2-2 draw with 2nd bottom away. Surely lightning cannot strike twice against even worse opposition.
210 BRIGHTON - Bubbly ballerina 1.14 -2 horse race.
730 NEWCASTLE - Carrabos obvious but Shuhra is 3/1 how and one of 3 under 16/1
740 SANDOWN - class should out and a place at least well within Workforce's grasp.
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