HEAD TO HEADS
| 21.02.2011 | |||||
| 03.11.2010 | |||||
| 15.07.2010 | |||||
| 26.04.2010 | |||||
| 22.02.2010 | |||||
| 14.09.2009 |
A bogey team perhaps?Although Albirex have not lost, the matches have been very tight.last 2 winning goals were 86th minute and 93rd minute for Albirex which brings a 0-0 trade into play?
LEAGUE POSITION 6th v 11th/12 in the league.
HOME TEAM ALBIREX
ALBIREX RECENT HOME FORM – LLDWLWLLWDW – have scored 3 and 6 in those last 2 wins.
ALBIREX RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWLLLWWWDLW – recent losses against 7th, 5th, 2nd and 1st so not entirely unexpected.
ALBIREX GOAL TRENDS – average 2.33 at home scored and 1.17 conceded. 5 clean sheets overall, 2 clean sheets in 6 home matches.
ALBIREX STREAKS – 3 home without a loss.
AWAY TEAM - WOODLANDS
WOODLANDS RECENT AWAY FORM – LLWDLLLDLLL – losses generally will be 1-0 or 2-0
WOODLANDS RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLLLLDLLL
WOODLANDS GOAL TRENDS – Woodlands have not scored in their last 7 away matches and have scored only 2 in their last 12 away matches. Concede an average of 2 per match away. Have been unable to score in the first half hour of matches and have scored no goals in the 40-60th minutes.
WOODLANDS STREAKS – 16 games without a win overall.8 away matches without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Woodlands’ form makes them immediately opposable. Head to heads point to a 0-0 back initially and a probable win for Albirex eventually. Woodlands have not scored in their last 7 away matches and have only scored 2 in their last 12 away matches,
HEAD TO HEADS
| 02.03.2011 | |||||
| 16.10.2010 | |||||
| 17.07.2010 | |||||
| 04.05.2010 | |||||
| 13.03.2010 | |||||
| 21.11.2009 |
Last 4 head to heads equally shared but market makers expect Red Bull dominance despite being beaten at home last time.
LEAGUE POSITION – 3rd v 8th, Red Bull go joint top with a win, albeit inferior goal difference.
HOME TEAM – RED BULL
RED BULL RECENT HOME FORM – WWDW (winter break)DWDLLW – losses at home against 6th and 10th ( bottom sides ) makes them unappetising betting medium at present.
RED BULL RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDLWWDDDLWLWW – 3 wins in last 4 and 3 losses since Winter Break.
RED BULL GOAL TRENDS – 31% over 2.5 goals at home. Scored 26, conceded 13. Last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Beat 7th at home last match 4-0 , playing 8th today.2 clean sheets in last 4 matches. Have scored in 16 of last 18 matches.
RED BULL STREAKS – 3 at home without a draw. 5 overall without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - KAPFENBERG
KAPFENBERG RECENT AWAY FORM – LW ( winter break) LLDDLWD – reasonable form away Have lost 2-0 to 1st, 2nd and 5th away, have drawn 1-1 with 6th, 7th and 9th away.
KAPFENBERG RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLLDDDWLDWLDD – Only 2 wins have come against 4th at home and bottom side away.
KAPFENBERG GOAL TRENDS – 31% over 2.5 goals .Last 2 matches 1-1’s
KAPFENBERG STREAKS – 3 overall without a win, 2 1-1 draws on the trot.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – I cannot see why Red Bull are so short , and fully admit that my knowledge of Austrian football is somewhat nil.
I would be laying Red Bull here I think at such a short price as this could be a tight match and a 1-1 is conceivable. At such short odds, liability will be very small indeed ( change stake to reflect shortness of the odds)
HEAD TO HEADS
| 14.08.2010 | PR | Tottenham | 0-0 | Manchester City | |
| 05.05.2010 | PR | Manchester City | 0-1 | Tottenham | |
| 16.12.2009 | PR | Tottenham | 3-0 | Manchester City | |
| 16.05.2009 | PR | Tottenham | 2-1 | Manchester City |
Tight last 2 encounters.
LEAGUE POSITION -
HOME TEAM - MAN CITY
MAN CITY RECENT HOME FORM - WLWWWWDWWW - formidable recent home form has gone under my radar! Only losses at home have come against 3rd and 7th.
MAN CITY RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDWLDWLWLWWL - no draw in last 7. Last 5 losses, of course, have all come away from home. 12 matches home and away against the top 8 see 2 wins only and they were home to Everton and Chelsea.
MAN CITY GOAL TRENDS - 53% over 2.5 goals. 59% clean sheets at home is an impressive stat.Have scored 30 and conceded 12 only at home. 4 of the last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score recently only in last 4 away matches,
MAN CITY STREAKS - 8 at home without defeat - 3 without a draw at home.3 match home winning streak - 7 matches without a draw overall.
AWAY TEAM - SPURS
SPURS RECENT AWAY FORM - WDWLDWWLDDL - recent losses against Chelsea , Blackpool and Everton.
SPURS RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDWWWLDDDWDDLD - 6 draws in last 8 matches , 4 of them coming at home.
SPURS GOAL TRENDS - 59% over 2.5 goals away from home. 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. 8 of last 11 matches over 2,5 goals. SPurs have conceded in 9 of the last 11 matches.Opponents score first in 51% of matches so in one of every 2 matches, the Spurs will concede first - enhanced bettors take note, expecially with the recent draws.
SPURS STREAKS - 4 away without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Spurs lost to 1st and 2nd, the question is whether we lump City in with United and Chelsea? if so another 2 goals loss is on the cards. City have a superb recent home record and the absence of Gareth Bale might help with a potential lay of Spuds ( especially as we have a true 51% chance of Man City scoring first) .This is another of those matches which I am afraid does not grab me personally.
745pm - Rangers v Dundee United - 1.22 home - Celtic win keeps Rangers on their toes.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 19.04.2011 | PR | Dundee United | 0-4 | Glasgow Rangers | |
| 02.04.2011 | PR | Glasgow Rangers | 2-3 | Dundee United | |
| 18.09.2010 | PR | Glasgow Rangers | 4-0 | Dundee United | |
| 01.05.2010 | PR | Dundee United | 1-2 | Glasgow Rangers | |
| 14.04.2010 | PR | Dundee United | 0-0 | Glasgow Rangers |
Rangers most emphatic but sandwiched between a shock Dundee United win at Rangers
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st 4 4th Rangers now have a point in hand on equal footing matches wise, so must consolidate Celtic's feck up against Inverness. A win will surely help wrap up the title.
HOME TEAM - RANGERS
RANGERS RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWLWDW - loss was the infamous one against today's opponents and draw was Celtic - 8 out of 11 home matches over 2.5 goals.
RANGERS RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLWWWWWDWW - solid recent form overall and the only 2 aberrations were at home .
RANGERS GOAL TRENDS- 67% over 2.5 goals. 50% clean sheets at home.41 scored 14 conceded at home. 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in 14 of last 18 matches and in last 4 matches. have scored in 11 of last 12 matches.
RANGERS STREAKS - 3 at home without defeat, 8 overall.
AWAY TEAM - DUNDEE UNITED
DUNDEE UNITED RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLDDWWLL - last 2 losses were against Celtic and Motherwell. The 4-1 loss to Celtic augurs well for Rangers .
DUNDEE UNITED RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWWWLWLWLW - no draw in 12 matches.Beat Rangers away, lost 4-1 away to Celtic and lost 2-1 to Hearts.
DUNDEE UNITED GOAL TRENDS - 44% over 2.5 goals away from home.Last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. 6 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored in 12 of last 13.Dundee United have scored in their last 5 matches.
DUNDEE UNITED STREAKS - 4 away without a draw, 12 overall without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 12 overall without a draw, and a Rangers side at home should put things in Rangers favour. The 2-3 loss last time these 2 met at Rangers was put to an end by a 4 goal thrashing at Dundee and is further put into its place by a 4 goal win by Celtic lately. As this is the time of the season for shocks, perhaps a neutral over 2.5 goals trade might be the safer route, although Rangers know that if they lose this match , then Celtic are back in it.
8pm - Paris St-G v Nancy - 1.51 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 22.12.2010 | D1 | AS Nancy | 2-0 | Paris St. Germain | |
| 13.02.2010 | D1 | AS Nancy | 0-0 | Paris St. Germain | |
| 03.10.2009 | D1 | Paris St. Germain | 1-1 | AS Nancy | |
| 01.03.2009 | D1 | Paris St. Germain | 4-1 | AS Nancy |
LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 18th - a win takes paris 3rd and a win takes nancy as high as 15th dependent on other results so a match of great importance to both sides.
PSG RECENT HOME FORM - WDWDWDDWW - no defeat in 11 at home. Have only lost 2 at home against 9th and 13th. Both those matches were before the end of November 2010.0-0 draws against 17th and 19th at home might suggest a 0-0 insurance bet if you fancy PSG today.
PSG RECENT FORM OVERALL -LDWWLDLDWWDWD - unbeaten in last 6 overall. last 2 draws have come away.
PSG GOAL TRENDS - 71% over 2.5 goals at home. 7 of last 11 matches over 2.5 goals.
PSG STREAKS - 11 at home without defeat - 6 overall.
AWAY TEAM - NANCY
NANCY RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLDWDLL - against top 6 away, loss 3-0 1st, 1-0 2nd, 4-0 3rd, playing 4th today, not played 5th , 1-0 loss to 6th. Have not beaten any of the top 9 away.
NANCY RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLLDWWDDLDLL - recent wins against 13th, 15th and 16th hints that they should not trouble the top sides.
NANCY GOAL TRENDS - 53% over 2.5 goals. 7 of last 8 matches under 2.5 goals including 3 0-0's and 3 1-0's. Lost recently only 1-0 to league leaders. Nancy have failed to score in their last 3 matches. Have failed to score in the 5 matches away to top 7 .
NANCY STREAKS - 6 overall without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - no defeat in 11 at home for PSG. They have not lost to bottom 7 at home, but 2 0-0's against teams either side of Nancy in the league may suggest a cover bet. Nancy have not won against top 7, and have failed to score in 5 matches against top 7. Mixed messages with goals bet suggests perhaps a back of PSG and a 0-0 cover or a correct score bet to nil for PSG, 1-0 or 2-0.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 03.01.2011 | D1 | Getafe CF | 2-3 | Real Madrid | |
| 25.03.2010 | D1 | Getafe CF | 2-4 | Real Madrid | |
| 31.10.2009 | D1 | Real Madrid | 2-0 | Getafe CF | |
| 21.04.2009 | D1 | Real Madrid | 3-2 | Getafe CF |
Goals please?
LEAGUE POSITION 2nd v 16th and with Getafe on 40 points ( and 3rd bottom on 39 points) this match is more of a must win than it is for Real madrid who cannot catch barca ( unless Real win their remaining 3 matches and Barca lose all of their remaining matches.
HOME TEAM - REAL MADRID
REAL MADRID RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWWWLDL - inconcievable that a Mourinho side would lose one home match in the league , but 2 in the space of 3 games! Slight distraction of the Champions League but still the last 3 matches signal a mental switching off by Real Madrid who cannot win the title now and are safe in 2nd place.
REAL MADRID RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWLWDWLW - those wins recently saw Real score 6 in both matches and away from home to 3rd and 7th in the league. Higuan heralded his return with 3 away to Valencia and how Real have missed him with little alternatives to the superb striker.
REAL MADRID GOAL TRENDS - suprising 47% over 2.5 goals at home down to conceding only 0.64 per match at home - 53% clean sheets at home.Last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Only 1 clean sheet in last 7 matches. Have only failed to score in 6 matches this season.
REAL MADRID STREAKS - 3 at home without a win. Wonderful streaks of early season disappeared with recent losses.
AWAY TEAM - GETAFE
GETAFE RECENT AWAY FORM - DLDDLLLLL - we can see where Getafe's problems lie.2 wins away all season came in a 4 match winning streak which came 27th November to 19th December.Against top 11, the away win v Sevilla stands out like a sore thumb, as Getafe have lost the others convincingly, 5 scorelines have been 2-0, 2 scorelines have been 2-1, one 3-0 and a 3-1 and the anomolous 3-1 win v Sevilla. Logic tells us then that the Sevilla match was erroneous and Getafe are likely to lose by 2 goals minimum.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLDDLDLLLWLLW -recent wins have come at home against Sevilla and bottom side Almeria.
GOAL TRENDS - 53% over 2.5 goals away from home.3 of the last 4 matches under 2.5 goals, but 2 scorelines of 2-0 hint at successful over 2.5 goals trade. Prior to those 4 matches, 4 on the trot were over 2.5 goals.
STREAKS - 9 away without a win, 5 match losing streak away. 7 matches overall without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Goals anyone? The head to heads point that way, even if the % from both sides is average. Getafe have conceded 2 minimum against 9 of the 10 away matches against top 11. Their 3-1 win over Sevilla looks well out of place and if we look at that stat above, it suggests 2 goal minimum scored by Real Madrid.
Real suddenly look invincible away from home, and vulnerable at home. They have scored 12 goals in their last 2 away matches yet have lost 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 matches at home. Chance a 2-0, 2-1, 3-0 correct score trade? Speculative as Real could really let loose here. Over 2.5 goals is tempting and a closer look at Getafe's last 4 matches may show 3 under 2.5 goals, but 2 of those were 2-0 scorelines and the 4 matches prior to those were over 2.5 goals. One final factor is the unpredictability of real Madrid -on a par with the Celtics of this world.
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Fulbright, 5/2 Superplex, 9/2 Caspar Netscher, 8/1 Beechey´s Beauty, 14/1 Last Bid, 14/1Whisky Bravo, 16/1 Valley Of Hope, 33/1 Mad For Fun, 100/1 Johnny Cavagin.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The pick of those with experience is clearly Superplex but he had to play second fiddle to a Mark Johnston newcomer over C&D last week and may find another debutant from that yard, the Group 1 entered FULBRIGHT, too good for him.[Adrian Cook]
4 under 16/1 and this is a 2 year old maiden with a short priced Mark Johnston/Fanning debutant in Fulbright. Superplex, as I write is odds on fav and has the experience.
615 SEDGEFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Rain Stops Play, 5/2 Takaatuf, 13/2 Glaced Over, 10/1 Bonnie Baloo, 14/1 Andy Vic, 25/1 Byron Bay, 33/1 Kayaka, 50/1 Balwyllo, 50/1 Simhal, 50/1 The Bravetraveller, 50/1 Train Spotter, 66/1 Over The Clyde.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: RAIN STOPS PLAY isn't one for a great deal of faith but has to be given the chance to gain a first success over hurdles, with Takaatuf the most obvious danger.[Jonathan Neesom]
4 under 20/1 but an amateur riders novices hurdle
815 SEDGEFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Simply Smashing, 7/1 Elusive Swallow, 10/1 General Grey, 12/1 Benwell, 12/1Tyrrhenian.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SIMPLY SMASHING, a thorough stayer who likes a sound surface, should outclass his rivals.[Jonathan Neesom]
Obvious price gapper in this hunter chase has to complete of course and a hope for a reasonable place only price as there are 2 places.
700 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Faithful Ruler, 7/4 Bolodenka, 7/2 Rudegirl, 12/1 Kathindi.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Bolodenka was found a good opening to score at Musselburgh last time and should make another bold bid, but his former stablemate FAITHFUL RULER's proven ability on the surface gets him the nod this time.[Paul Smith]
Course experience is key at Southwell's fibresand surface and Faithful ruler has that experience. This is a 50/50 race - 4 horses and 2 places.
830 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Koo And The Gang, 6/1 Gold Story, 6/1 Meydan Style, 8/1 Elusive Warrior, 8/1 Jamarjo, 8/1 Tomintoul Star, 14/1 Cookie Galore, 25/1 Deferto Delphi, 25/1 Moon Lightning, 25/1 Vogarth.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: KOO AND THE GANG (nap) did well to win here last week and the performance was backed up by a good time. He shouldn't have any problem with the shorter trip and most of his rivals come here with something to prove.[Paul Smith]
Price gapper in a 0-60 class 6 handicap and these usually place. A time of 830pm for this race means a look and interpretation of the betting market so early would not be accurate.
440 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Anoint, 2/1 Musnad, 14/1 Dunseverick, 25/1 Another For Joe, 33/1 Media Hype, 33/1 Vizean, 50/1 Coupland Lass, 100/1 Ellielusive, 100/1 Heart Felt, 100/1 Hertford Street, 100/1 Polly Mcginty.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a three-horse war and, with Ryan Moore always a significant booking by William Haggas, ANOINT is just preferred ahead of Musnad and Dark Isle.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
2 horses under 12/1 here and obviously a hope these 2 will dominate.Musnad and Anoint have both had 185+ day absences which is not ideal in this maiden and their wellbeing has to be taken on trust. Anoint a "winner in waiting" apparently. Ryan Moore booked and if the absence is not a factor, should finish top 3.
420 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Piano, 6/1 Shamardal Phantom, 8/1 Satwa Pearl, 10/1 Countess Comet, 10/1 Snow Magic, 16/1 Fashionable Gal, 20/1 Ela Gorrie Mou, 20/1 The Blue Dog.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Rock My World is open to improvement off an opening mark of 77 but PIANO (nap) should at least have finished a deal closer on her comeback and is the one to beat.[Graham Wheldon]
Piano is a price gapper here The field is now down to 7 runners and there are 4 under 14/1 Shamardal Phantom has moved most significantly in the odds into 3/1. Greater probability now though that Piano will place in a 7 runner race for 3 places where 3 horses are 14/1 and over ( and a hope they run to their prices)
Analysis of Piano's last race "She was finishing best of all and won´t have any problem winning another handicap or two, not least back among her own sex or back on Polytrack."
And she has that today - a fillies handicap.
520 YARMOUTH
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Tobernea, 5/2 Sancho Panza, 5/1 Sheila´s Castle, 6/1 Alubari, 16/1 No Time For Tears.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TOBERNEA and Sancho Panza, who could probably both use some rain, look the pair on which to focus, with the former preferred.[Graham Wheldon]
Fallon/Johnston on the favourite Tobernea in what looks a 4 horse race for 2 places.
SHORTLIST
745pm - Rangers v Dundee United - 1.22 home - lightning does not strike twice surely - since that 3-2 win , Dundee have conceded 4 against Rangers and Celtic - 1.18 over 1.5 goals is a safer bet which covers any shocks re Dundee leading.
9pm - Real madrid v Getafe - 1.25 home - Real madrid about as trustworthy recently at home as a car lot run by Messrs Arfur Daley, Frank Butcher, and Derek Trotter. Getafe are generally poor against the top sides away, regularly conceding 2. Perhaps another neutral over 1.5 goals bet to cover any potential shocks. 1.37 over 2.5 goals and 1.12 over 1.5 goals.
200 BEVERLEY - maidens are not ideal but I think should be approached from a race by race standpoint. Superplex has the requisite experience and although meeting a Johnston/Fanning Group 1 entered debutant in Fulbright, should place at least. Around 1.25 to place in a currently illiquid market. 6 debutants adds greater risk ( could be anything of course!) but I am hoping their chances are adequately summed up by the market - 4 under 20/1
815 SEDGEFIELD - Simply smashing is an obvious price gapper but a hunter chase over 3 mile 3 may require the prayer mat to make sure he finishes. 1.12 to place
830 SOUTHWELL - Koo and the gang is still a price gapper in this class 6 handicap just below 1.2 to place.
440 WARWICK - will the market leaders dominate and is Anoint, under Ryan Moore today, a "winner in waiting" - 1.15 to place gives nothing away.
420 YARMOUTH - 7 runners and still 3 places for Piano -a greater probability chance of placing? - about 1.22 to place - I hope it involves the 4 under 14/1 which will give Piano a great place only chance.
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
745pm - Rangers v Dundee United - 1.22 home - surely must take advantage but an over 1.5 goals bet safer 1.18 over 1.5 goals - 3 red cards have me worried about the veracity of rangers 4-0 away win last time out.
440 WARWICK - Anoint, if ok after a long lay off, and if the market is accurate, must have an outstanding chance of placing under Ryan Moore.
420 YARMOUTH- Piano is now in a 7 horse race for 3 places and has a greater chance of placing than before, especially if this race is dominated by the 4 horses under 14/1
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