Thursday 21 April 2011

21/4

Chelsea won and Celtic won.


The REal Article is a winner in a maiden ( albeit in a different discipline) and Taste the Wine is the only horse left under 10/1 after the favourite has left and must have a great chance of placing 6 horses and 2 places and 1.56 to place is a little suspiciously high but has a great chance of finishing in the top 2 if his original betting forecast assessment is accurate.



***** 500 CLONMEL - THE REAL ARTICLE TO PLACE ONLY - if illiquid take Betfair SP. Faith in Murtagh to steer this one into the places - a 4 time winner running in a maiden - 3 wins in bumpers ( national hunt flat races at around 2 miles *****




500 CLONMEL


Problems with cut and paste today I am afraid - at internet cafe


THe real article and Greenbelt star are the 2 to focus on with the latter a big price mover into 2/1





635 CLONMEL - Dominantion now 2/5 and a disqualified winner - chance again?





200 FOLKSTONE - Stone of Folca so short and such a long absence. Win only on this one. WElsh Inlet the each way obvious horse





320 LUDLOW - 3 horses and 2 places here.





210 WINCANTON - Miss Overdrive 1/3 now in this novices hurdle -only 2 places bust Spotlight recounts a "golden opportunity"





340 WINCANTON - Mauritino and Taste the wine are the only 2 under 10/1 in the betting forecast and now Mauritino is a non runner leaving Taste the Wine surely with an outstanding chance of placing.











1pm - Slavia Sofia v Pirin - 1.46 home - Bulgairian cup match and that ends that!


2pm - Vejle v Kolding FC - 1.3 home - Danish 2nd flight so info not comprehensive


3pm - Lyngby v FC Copenhagen - 1.48 away


30.10.2010
D1
FC København 3-2 Lyngby BK
21.08.2010
D1 FC København 3-0 Lyngby BK
11.02.2009
CF FC København 4-0 Lyngby BK
12.11.2008
Cup Lyngby BK 0-0/p.2-4 FC København
02.07.2008
CF FC København 3-1 Lyngby BK
24.05.2008
D1 FC København 3-1 Lyngby BK


Pretty comprehensive head to heads.


8th v 1st and 23 points clear at the top.


recent away form - DLWDLLW - 2 1-0 wins recently. Copenhagen should outgun them IF motivated enough.


Home team recent form overall - WLDDDLLDLWD - doesn't seem to be much here to trouble Copenhagen


Goal trends - 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have conceded in 6 of last 7 matches.


Scored in all of last 5 matches.


STREAKS - no draw in 3 at home


COPENHAGEN


REcent away form - WWDWLWDW - away loss 2-0 against 4th the only loss this season -recent draw was away as well


REcent form overall - WWDWWWLWWDWW - 3-1 wins last 2 matches - 3-1 scorelines in 3 of last 4 matches.


Goal trends - 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. 11 of last 14 matches over 2.5 goals. 75% away matches over 2.5 goals


STREAKS - 3 away without defeat - 5 in total without defeat.



Looks Copenhagen's to lose if motivated - no need to win of course with such a cushion.


730pm - Standard v Lokeren - 1.5 home - 6th v 5th and not for me today - I think Anderlecht are the only really readable side in Belgium


SHORTLIST
500 Clonmel - the market hints that Greenbelt star is fancied, but The Real Article is a winner in a maiden.

340 WINCANTON - Taste the wine surely must take advantage of original fav's withdrawal and be booked for a place?

3pm - Lyngby v FC Copenhagen - 1.48 away - I keep dismissing Copenhagen on motivation grounds and they have responded with 3 3-1 scorelines in their last 4 matches. Another possibility they will deliver today, BUT THEY DO NOT HAVE TO!!






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