| 19.09.2010 | D1 | Zorya Lugansk | 1-2 | Dynamo Kiev | |
| 03.04.2010 | D1 | Zorya Lugansk | 0-2 | Dynamo Kiev | |
| 25.09.2009 | D1 | Dynamo Kiev | 2-0 | Zorya Lugansk | |
| 03.05.2009 | D1 | Zorya Lugansk | 0-1 | Dynamo Kiev |
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sat | 28/08/10 | ||||||
| Tue | 23/03/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 24/10/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 17/01/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 27/09/08 |
Over 1.5 goals immediately apparent in head to heads.Derby were 2-0 up in the last match. Only one recent QPR result perhaps not enough to base an argument on.
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 19th - 7 points and a game in hand at the top see QPR with some comfort zone. Derby are 19th on 48 points, and with 3rd placed Scunthorpe on 30 points you would expect Derby to be safe.
HOME TEAM – QPR
QPR - RECENT HOME FORM – DWWDWWWW – solid home form.Only 1 defeat at home all season. Have won easily at home against bottom 9, scoring 2,4,3,3,2,2,3,3.
QPR - RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDWWWLWWWLW – recent losses away from home
QPR - GOAL TRENDS – 60% overs at home. 55% clean sheets at home. Average 2.05 at home per match. Scored 41, conceded 12 at home. 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept 3 cleansheets in last 4 matches. Have only failed to score once in last 13 matches. Have scored at least one goal in each of last 14 home matches. 5 of the 6 home matches against bottom 7 sides have been over 2.5 goals. QPR have scored 43 goals in the 2nd half of matches this season . QPR score first in 64% of matches and their opponents lead at half time in only 12.2% of matches.
QPR – STREAKS – 9 without defeat at home. 4 match winning streak at home. 9 matches overall without a draw. Taarabt and Helguson key to QPR at home.
AWAY TEAM
DERBY RECENT AWAY FORM – LLWLDDWLDL – only wins away recently against bottom 2 sides.Have only played away against 1 of top 4, losing 4-1.
DERBY RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDLWLDLWDLDW – inconsistent -2 recent wins have come at home against 5th and 6th. Interesting.
DERBY GOAL TRENDS – last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. 7 in last 8 matches over 2.5 goals.Have conceded and scored in all of those 6 matches. 50/50 overs in away matches .
DERBY STREAKS – 3 away without a win. 2 matches overall without defeat. 5 of the matches played against top 4 sides have resulted in 4 losses and a draw, and all matches over 2.5 goals.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Derby’s overs in last 6 matches is interesting against a QPR side who have scored an average 2.05 at home per match. Have lost 4 of their 5 matches against top 4 teams but only played onetop 4 team away.
QPR have kept 3 clean sheets in last 4 matches – expect them to score first perhaps? Not really a must win but will go an awful long way to securing promotion for QPR. Derby recently lost 4-1 away to Cardiff ( 2nd in the league) and this should be something QPR could replicate.
Derby have conceded 2,2,4 in their last 3 away matches – carry on the over 2.5 goals trend today?
HEAD TO HEADS
| Fri | 15/10/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 05/06/05 |
Only one head to head of relevance.
LEAGUE POSITION – 11th v 2nd . Sparta are safe from harm it would seem but Zwolle are 2nd ,on the same number of points as Waalwijk and have a game in hand yet, like PSV, they are nearly evens.
HOME TEAM – SPARTA
SPARTA RECENT HOME FORM – DDDDWLLWL – the wins saw Sparta score 4 in each match. Have only lost 3 matches at home, once against Waalwijk, once against 7th placed Caambuur and against Telstar 2-0.
SPARTA RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLWLLWLLLW – no draw in 11 matches.
SPARTA GOAL TRENDS – 73% of home matches over 2.5 goals.Average 3.13 at home. All home matches over 1.5 goals. 11 of last 13 matches over 2.5 goals. Against top 6 at home, 3-4 loss to Waalwijk, 1-1 draws against 3rd, 5th and 6th and a 4-2 win over 4th placed Veendam.
SPARTA STREAKS – 11 without a draw overall. 5 without a draw at home.
AWAY TEAM – ZWOLLE
ZWOLLE RECENT AWAY FORM – WWWWDLDWWD – good away form - only losses away against 1st and 4th. Only 3 losses overall!
ZWOLLE RECENT OVERALL FORM – LDWWWWDDDD – 3 0-0’s and a 1-1 in last 4 matches a worry - where have all the goals gone?
ZWOLLE GOAL TRENDS – 53% overs away from home. 47% of away matches over 2.5 goals. Last 4 matches only scored 1 and conceded 1.Zwolle have kept clean sheets in 6 of their last 7 matches. And have failed to score in 3 of their last 4.
ZWOLLE STREAKS – 4 away without defeat, 9 in total.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – on form Zwolle should not lose. They have conceded only 1 goal in their last 7 matches , but recently have only scored 1 in their last 4. Will a trip away end this poor run from an attacking perspective. Perhaps a 0-0 back and a back of Zwolle who must win to go top.
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sat | 27/11/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 15/05/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 24/01/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 16/03/08 |
Comprehensive goalscoring from Villareal in head to heads 2010.
LEAGUE POSITION – 4th v 17th. Villareal I don’t think can get into the top 3 and have a game in hand and 6 points over 5th place. Zaragoza are 4th from bottom on goal difference only .They have a game in hand over 3rd from bottom Malaga so really need 3 points or even 1 point to take them out of the bottom 3 proper.
HOME TEAM - VILLAREAL
VILLAREAL - RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWLDWDL – only 1 win in last 5 at home but have played 3rd, 1st and 5th and 6th in those matches. At home to bottom 5, 4-2 win, 1-1 draw Malaga, 1-0 Win Hercules, and 2-0 win Almeria.
VILLAREAL - RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLDDWLDWLL – again inconsistent overall. The 2 recent wins have been 1-0 wins against 2nd from bottom Hercules at home and away at Bilbao.Only losses at home though have been 1-0’s against barca and Levante.
VILLAREAL - GOAL TRENDS – 31% over 2.5 goals at home. So 2/3rd chance of unders. Only 3 of last 11 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in only 2 of last 10 matches. Have failed to score in last 2 matches. Recently, Villareal have scored 1,0,0,1,2,1,1,1,1,0,0 – finding life difficult. At home in last 5, Villareal have scored 0,1,1,1,0,
VILLAREAL – STREAKS – 2 at home without a win.Opponent leads at half time in only 12.9% of matches.
AWAY TEAM - ZARAGOZA
ZARAGOZA RECENT AWAY FORM – DDLWLDLLL – poor away form. Win was against 3rd from bottom.That is the only away win. 6 losses and a 1-1 draw against top 10 away.
ZARAGOZA RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWDLLDWLWLLW – last 3 wins were at home.
ZARAGOZA GOAL TRENDS – 33% of away matches over 2.5 goals. 4 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals but lost only 1-0 away to barca and 1-0 away at Mallorca. Have only scored 5 goals in the first half hour all season and conceded 17 goals. Zaragoza score first in only 29% of matches.
ZARAGOZA STREAKS – 5 matches without a win. 6 matches without a draw. Have lost 4 of last 5 away matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Villareal are not scoring many goals but then Zaragoza are poor overall. You would expect Villareal not to lose. 31% and 33% over 2.5 goals signals an under 2.5 goals bet surely today? I am not too comfortable about Villareal though.
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Midnight Opera, 2/1 Laustra Bad, 3/1 Forest Rhythm, 20/1 Shardakhan.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: bLaustra Bad was a comfortable winner here in March but is fully exposed and could find life tough off his new mark. Midnight Opera has a bit of scope and is respected but FOREST RHYTHM peaked at about this time of year in 2009 and 2010 and could be the answer.[Chris Wilson]
Should be a simple 3 horse race for 2 places.
400 EXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Lady Hillingdon, 11/8 Rebel Du Maquis, 16/1 Chase Gate, 40/1 Another Puzzle.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Rebel Du Maquis is a useful performer at his best but comes here under a cloud and may struggle to concede weight to the Irish-trained mare LADY HILLINGDON.[Chris Wilson]
Novices chase - 2 under 16/1 -clear round and these 2 should dominate.
500 EXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Mauritino, 7/1 Allformary, 7/1 That´lldoboy, 9/1 Kiama, 12/1 Special Cuvee, 14/1 Risk Challenge.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MAURITINO (nap) was well backed before returning to form on his favoured ground recently and got the job done in good style. He makes obvious appeal off the same mark today.[Chris Wilson]
7 runners and 2 places.McCoy onboard - 8 day distance winner.
450 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Dolly Parton, 5/2 Frequency, 6/1 Winning Draw, 10/1 William Wainwright, 12/1 Neytiri, 12/1 Uddy Mac, 16/1 No Quarter, 20/1 Du Plessis, 25/1 Royal Blade, 33/1 Chardonnay Star, 33/1 Isle Of Ellis.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The 3yo DOLLY PARTON has a dodgy draw but could still be too good for Frequency on these terms.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
A tough card and this is an apprentice claimer - 2 under 10/1 and Frequency has the better draw?
410 TOWCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 1/5 Lifestyle, 4/1 Omokoroa, 12/1 Red Whisper, 50/1 Gordy Bee, 66/1 Diamond Twister, 66/1 Rebel Flag.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: LIFESTYLE is the only realistic choice with Omokoroa proving so disappointing since falling on his hurdle debut at Catterick in January.[Emily Weber]
Only 2 under 20/1 makes Omokoroa interesting from an each way perspective. Lifestyle's place price might increase with 2 places only.
A hurdles race.
550 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Pretty Diamond, 3/1 Ilissos, 13/2 Breton Star, 7/1 September Draw, 12/1 Brilliant Barca, 12/1Echos Of Motivator, 14/1 Dubai Glory, 16/1 Cuban Piece.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Some of these already have a bit to prove but PRETTY DIAMOND showed the right spirit when winning over a similar trip at Beverley and, although this easier track might not suit her stout staying style as well, she looks a lot more convincing than those rivals who have had an outing this year. Ilissos may be best of them with Breton Star a possible danger now handicapping.[Emily Weber]
Huge price gapper at time of writing but bear in mind the time of this race.10/11 - - - -6/1 - 12 day distance winner.
720 WINDSOR
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Purification, 9/2 Communicator, 5/1 Dressing Room, 10/1 Tiger Webb, 14/1 Planetoid, 20/1Canaveral, 33/1 Short Takes, 50/1 Igitur.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Dressing Room took a step forward in a C&D handicap last week but he faces a tough opponent inPURIFICATION if that one is in anything like the form he showed at Haydock in September.[Emily Weber]
9 runner maiden and Purification is the horse coming back from a 205 day absence yet installed as market leader. 5/6 currently and one of 4 under 20/1 and Dressing Room is another johnston horse who ran well in a handicap last time out.
SHORTLIST
5pm - Dinamo Kiev v Zorya - 1.21 home - have scored 2 in each of last 3 head to heads and won the last 5 head to heads, Kiev should do the biz at home having scored 2 and 3 in their last 2 home matches. Always a slight concern with lack of ready form after the winter break.
745pm - QPR v Derby - 1.51 home - all head to heads over 1.5 goals a good starting point. All matches with Derby against top 4 home and away over 2.5 goals. QPR have scored 2,3, or 4 at home against bottom 9 sides. 1.3 over 1.5 goals given 7 of derby's last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. Back QPR perhaps with a 0-0 cover?
400 EXETER - simple race dominated by 2 horses - novice chase though.Rebel du Maquis is 1.11 to place and lady Hillingdon is 1.17 to place. 217 day absence for Lady Hillingdon though. Rebel is a Paul Nicholls horse.
500 EXETER - Mauritino is 1.3 to place because it is a 2 place race. McCoy onboard
410 TOWCESTER - 1.2 for Lifestyle to win and 1.08 to place .
550 WINDSOR - Pretty Diamond to place for Mark Johnston - big price gapper. 1.25 to place but illiquid market this early.
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