HEAD TO HEADS
| Sat | 20/11/10 | ||||||
| Fri | 16/04/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 28/11/09 | ||||||
| Fri | 02/05/08 |
Huge step up for Greuther last time out with a more than convincing away win after 3 previous very tight matches in head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION – 4th v 14th. 4 points off 3rd place but 1st and 2nd looks out of reach. I suspect furth’s season is still alive, Paderborn 5points above 3rd from bottom with a game in hand. With bottom on 15 and 2nd bottom on 24, Paderborn will have to be unlucky to be dragged into relegation or relegation play off spot.
FURTH HOME TEAM
FURTH RECENT HOME FORM – only 2 defeats at home all season. WDWWDLW – recent loss against league leaders and only 2 defeats against top 5 sides at home. Against 9th to 13th, we see 4 1-0 wins and a 1-1 ( Paderborn are 14th)
FURTH RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWDDWWDWLDWD – a few too many draws probably scuppered Furth’s season.Have only lost 2 matches in last 18, all losses have been against top 8 sides.
FURTH GOAL TRENDS – only 1 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals.36% overs at home , scoring 20 and conceding only 10 at home. 43% clean sheets at home. Furth have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches ( albeit 2 were away matches 0-0 and the 3rd was against league leaders). Have the ability to keep clean sheets (CS) – here is clean sheet (CS )count for last few matches
CS, CS, no, CS, no, no, CS, no, CS, no, CS, no, CS, no, CS, no, CS - alternating between clean sheets and conceding, so against the right opponents and with home advantage we could expect a clean sheet?Interestingly, last 5 clean sheets were away from home, and have conceded in last 4 home matches.
FURTH STREAKS – 2 at home without a draw, 3 without defeat overall.
AWAY TEAM
PADERBORN RECENT AWAY FORM – LDWLWLDDL – recent away wins against 11th and 9th. Lost all away matches against top 6.
PADERBORN RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWLLDLDDLD – 4 draws in last 6 matches, 3 of them score draws could hint at a natural over 1.5 goal trade?
PADERBORN GOAL TRENDS – in direct contrast to Furth at home, Paderborn away have scored only 10 and conceded 22.33% over 2.5 goals away from home.3 of last 4 matches under 2.5 goals. Only 1 clean sheet in last 8 matches.
PADERBORN STREAKS – 4 away without a win, 8 overall without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – looks one of the more readable matches today in a day of many dead rubbers which are the curse of the trader. Furth look to have a clear advantage and seemingly still have a season worth battling for. Only 2 defeats at home all season against top 5 sides should make Paderborn layable. Furth have had tight scorelines against teams around Paderborn ( 4 1-0’s and a 1-1). All losses all season for Furth have come against top 8 sides so we should expect Furth to manage against Paderborn. 36% home overs and 33% away overs suggest a tight match, and Furth have been keeping clean sheets of late ( but only in last 5 away matches). Paderborn have lost away to all top 5. Maybe back to lay of Furth in match odds?
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sat | 04/12/10 | ||||||
| Wed | 04/03/09 | ||||||
| Sun | 08/02/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 27/09/08 |
Twente scored first in the 2-2 draw .Not really enough head to heads to determine Twente’s performances away from home.
LEAGUE POSITION – 15th v top. De Graaf are 4th from bottom so desparately need points. Twente are letting PSV and Ajax in with a shout with every match they draw or lose so desparately need a win with only 2 points separating them and PSV, and only 3 points between them and Ajax.
HOME TEAM
DE GRAAF RECENT HOME FORM – WDDDDWWL – not bad recent home form. 0-0 at home to PSV and lost 5-0 to Ajax but have beaten AZ 2-1, ADO 1-0, and Roda 3-1. Is the trip to the top 3 though a step too far?
DE GRAFF RECENT FORM OVERALL – DLWDLDLDWWLLD – only 3 recent wins against 12th, 18th and 5th ( 1-0).Overall against top 3, 3 away defeats, 5-0 home loss and a 0-0 draw with PSV ( December 2010)
DE GRAFF GOAL TRENDS – 53% overs at home. Only 3 of last 16 matches over 2.5 goals. Only 2 clean sheets in last 9 matches. Have failed to score in 2 of last 3 matches.
DE GRAFF STREAKS – 3 without a draw at home.
AWAY TEAM
TWENTE RECENT AWAY FORM – WWLWLWDLW – considering only 3 defeats all season away, all 3 defeats have come in last 7 away matches. Only 2 wins in last 5 matches not good enough.
TWENTE RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWDWDLWWWWD – losses recently against 4th and 10th. Clean sweep of wins home and away against bottom 5 sides.
GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs inconclusive away from home. Only 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals BUT last 7 matches all over 1.5 goals. Have kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 matches. Last failed to score 24 matches ago. Have scored 28 goals in the last ½ hour.
STREAKS – 5 overall without defeat. 2 away without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Twente have won home and away against bottom 5 so the onus is on them to continue today , especially with PSV and Ajax within easy reach. De Graaf cannot beat the top 3, although a good 0-0 v PSV in December. Both sides desparately need points. Twente have failed to score only 2 times this season and have scored in all of last 24. Speculate on them scoring first? It should be within their capabilities but remember bottom v top clashes at this time of the season may surprise.
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sat | 04/12/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 14/02/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 22/11/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 25/04/09 |
Away match exactly what PSV do not need in their hopes of toppling Twente. Clean sweep though for PSV could make their near evens price quite enticing.
LEAGUE POSITION – 9th v 2nd Heracles will not be relegated and are unlikely to break into the top 7 so this could be season over for them against a PSV side who go top with a win, IF Twente lose. If Twente draw and PSV win, both will be top with PSV provisional pole on goal difference.
HOME TEAM
HERACLES RECENT HOME FORM – only 1 defeat at home makes them formidable opponents at the wrong point in the season. LWWDDWWWW – solid home form. Against top 4 at home, have struggled with 0-0 against Twente, 4-1 loss to Ajax and 0-0 against AZ. This hints that perhaps PSV will not lose today and thus Heracles become layable?
HERACLES RECENT FORM OVERALL – DLDDWLDWWWWLW – 5 wins in last 6 matches against teams 6th and below.
GOAL TRENDS – 71% over 2.5 goals at home may be the angle today given PSV’s motivation to win.BUT Heracles have scored only 1 against top 3 so the onus would be on PSV scoring.Last 6 matches all over 2.5 goals. 7 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. Have conceded in all of last 8 matches but held 2 of the top 4 to 0-0’s at home. Only failed to scored 1 in last 10 and that was a 3-0 loss to Ajax ( one of the top 4) at Ajax.
STREAKS – 4 match home winning streak, 8 without defeat at home, 6 without a draw overall.7,5,5,6,3,8 the total goals in their last 6 matches.
AWAY TEAM
PSV RECENT AWAY FORM – only 2 defeats all season away and one was against Twente.DLDWWWDL – loss against Twente most recent.
PSV RECENT OVERALL FORM – Have won 2-1 and 3-1 against 8th and 10th away ( Heracles are 9th)
PSV GOAL TRENDS – 64% overs away from home. Last 5 PSV matches have had 3,4,5,4,2 goals in them.Have scored a massive 50 goals in the 2nd half this season.
PSV STREAKS – 2 without a win.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – PSV’s need is by far the greater here. They are clear in head to heads . Although only 1 defeat at home for Heracles, they have only scored 1 goal at home to 3 of the top 4. If you fancy PSV today, then a 0-0 cover may do the trick as Heracles have drawn 0-0 against 2 of the top 3 at home.
Heracles struggle home and away against top 6 and their recent solid form has come against other than top 6. Indeed a recent loss was 3-0 away at Ajax which was a timely reminder, Back PSV and hope they score first ( given Heracles only 1 goal in 3 against top 3) for a back to lay trade? Both Heracles and PSV matches home and away respectively have had plenty of goals.
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sat | 04/12/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 02/05/10 | ||||||
| Wed | 27/01/10 | ||||||
| Fri | 11/12/09 | ||||||
| Sun | 18/01/09 | ||||||
| Sun | 26/10/08 | ||||||
| Sun | 20/01/08 |
A degree of dominance from Ajax – they scored first in last head to head.A late first goal.
LEAGUE POSITION – 11th v 3rd. Again we have an NEC side in limbo with nothing to play for and nothing to run away from! Ajax, on the other hand, have a very real chance for the title . I think all of the top 3 are playing away today so there is a distinct chance of dropped points from some of the top 3.
HOME TEAM
NEC RECENT HOME FORM –DDLWDDWDDW – against top 6, though, LDLD so expected to struggle against the top sides at home.
NEC RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDDDWDDLDWLW – only 2 losses recently both away from home. Overall against top 6 and again NEC have failed to win,but have posted 6 draws and 4 wins - all of the draws are score draws so enhanced bettors who see NEC score first should get stuck in as an equaliser may be imminent.
NEC GOAL TRENDS – 47% overs – toss of a coin really.against first and 2nd at home, though, a total of 6 and 4 goals. 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have conceded in 6 of last 7 matches. Have scored in 14 of last 15 matches.
NEC STREAKS – 7 at home without defeat.
AWAY TEAM
AJAX RECENT AWAY FORM – WLWWLWDDWL – not very solid away form.3 recent losses the only losses away and all against top 8 sides. Away from top 8, it’s 7 wins and a 2-2 draw.
AJAX RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWDWDWWLWW – good solid recent form at the right time for AJAX in the run in for the title.
AJAX GOAL TRENDS – 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals , the exception a 2-0 home win.Ajax have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 matches and in 5 of their last 7. Ajax have scored in all of their last 5 matches and 13 of last 15 matches.Ajax have not conceded in the first 15 minutes of the 2nd half all season., and scored 12, and have scored 41 in the 2nd half all season. If 0-0 half time, Ajax should make the inital breakthrough up to the hour marker in the game.
AJAX STREAKS – 2 away without a draw, 5 in total.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – must win for Ajax and they are facing a side who cannot win against the top 6 so Ajax should not lose today.Only losses away are against top 8 sides and they pretty much win away against other than top 8. NEC have nothing to play for as far as I can see so the motivation is with AJAX.
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sun | 28/11/10 | ||||||
| Tue | 18/03/08 | ||||||
| Sat | 20/10/07 | ||||||
| Mon | 12/03/07 |
Cesena are newcomers to the top flight, along with Bari it would seem. Ultra tight head to heads is typically Italian.
LEAGUE POSITION – 18th v 20th - bari are finished.21 points with next best at 30 means it’s Arrivaderci.A win for Cesena today takes them out of the bottom 3 so their season is very much alive with 6 teams between 31 and 36 points.
HOME TEAM
CESENA RECENT HOME FORM – LWDLDLWD – 4 of the 5 home wins have been 1-0’s . Cesena have not played 2nd from bottom or bottom yet at home. They have beaten Brescia 2-1 and drawn 1-1 with bari away so this should augur well for the home fixture.
CESENA RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLLDDLLDWWDLDD – 3 draws in last 4 matches - last 6 draws have all been score draws. Last 4 draws have all been 2-2 draws.
CESENA GOAL TRENDS – 31% over2.5 goals at home. Against bottom 9, home scorelines have been 0-0, 1-0, or 1-1.
CESENA STREAKS – 2 home drawing streak ( 2 -2 scorelines), 3 at home without defeat. 4 overall without a win includes 3 2-2 scorelines.Only 1 loss in last 7 was 1-0 away. Jiminez and Bogdani key players for Cesena at home.
AWAY TEAM
BARI RECENT AWAY FORM – only 2 wins away all season.LLLWLLLLLDW - - 1-1 draw away to AC Milan and a 1-2 win over Parma. Have Bari resigned themselves to the inevitable and just gone out and played ? You would not expect an away draw and win for a side clearly bottom. Ample warning for a complacent Cesena?The winner against Parma did come in the 90th minute so a 1-1 could be on the cards today?
BARI RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLLLLLDLDLDLWD – 3 of last 4 draws have been at home. Bari have played 2 of the bottom 4 away and lost 3-0 and 2-0. The Brescia match was tight with a penalty and a 90th minute Brescia winner perhaps allowing a flattering scoreline.
BARI GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs so dependent really on opponents.Have failed to score in 50% of away matches Only 2 wins away have come against 15th and 16th.
BARI STREAKS – 2 without defeat away from home.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – what do we make of Bari’s last 2 away matches where they held the mightly AC Milan to a 1-1 draw and beat Parma 2-1? Anomolies?
Cesena are still with a chance of survival. Bari are not. I suspect this will go the way of the most needy but in a tight match. 0-0 back initially just incase it takes a while to warm up? 1-1 insurance bet if you are considering Cesena? Bottom 3 sides are by definition inconsistent – remember that!!
| 19.09.2010 | D1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4-1 | Tavriya | |
| 04.07.2010 | SC | Shakhtar Donetsk | 7-1 | Tavriya | |
| 09.05.2010 | D1 | Tavriya | 2-3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
| 28.11.2009 | D1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3-0 | Tavriya | |
| 23.05.2009 | D1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2-0 | Tavriya | |
| 08.11.2008 | D1 | Tavriya | 0-2 | Shakhtar Donetsk |
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sun | 21/11/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 14/08/10 | ||||||
| Mon | 05/04/10 | ||||||
| Wed | 24/03/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 18/07/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 09/05/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 04/04/09 |
Copenhagen have con the last 3 head to heads scoring a minimum of 2, and including one match at Nordsj.
LEAGUE POSITION 10th v 1st – 3rd from bottom Nordsj need the points and Copenhagen can afford a few slip ups, being as they are 21 points clear.
HOME TEAM
NORDSJ RECENT HOME FORM – WDLWDWL – inconsistent home form. Lost 4-1 against 2nd placed Odense and 1-1 at brondby so perhaps the top teams are a bit too far?
NORDSJ RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDLLLWLDWLDLDW – all wins have come against teams outside the top 5.
NORDSJ GOAL TRENDS - 73% home matches over 2.5 goals. 6 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. Last 2 matches under 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in last 2 matches , both away from home.
NORDSJ STREAKS – 2 at home without a draw
AWAY TEAM
COPENHAGEN RECENT AWAY FORM – only one loss away was 2-0 v 4th WWWWDWLWD
COPENHAGEN RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWDWWWLWWDW – last 3 matches dropped points have all been away. Tight away against 11th and 12th with a 1-1 and a 1-0 loss.
COPENHAGEN GOAL TRENDS – 73% overs away from home.Last 3 away matches under 2.5 goals. 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals. Have only failed to score once this season.
COPENHAGEN STREAKS – 2 away without defeat, 4 in total.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS-I questioned Copenhagen’s motivation last week and they came good with a 3-1 home win. 1.71 away replicated Chelsea yesterday and it would be great if Copenhagen could replicate the 3-1 Chelsea away win.
Again, no need for Copenhagen to win and they are playing a side who need points. Nordsj have not won against top sides and the minimum they should hope for is a draw.
HEAD TO HEADS
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| Sat | 19/12/09 |
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Willem II a bogey side perhaps? Feyenoord have to battle to get anything against Willem II Not really the head to head dominance that makes the 1.25 immediately backable for Feyenoord.
LEAGUE POSITION 12th v 18th and bottom. And Willem II on 12 points are down, and season over –simple. With 3rd bottom on 29 points and Feyenoord on 37 points, it looks as if Feye are safe and will not be able to break into the top 6. This is a dead rubber match? A win could take Feye into the top 10.
HOME TEAM
FEYENOORD RECENT HOME FORM – WDDWWLWWWL – 5 wins at home in last 7 is good form. 2 recent losses were 1-0’s against 4th and 15th. Against bottom 6 at home, 2-1 win, 4-0 win, 0-1 loss, 1-0 win, 3-0 win. They have the requisite strengths to score 2+ but by the same token can throw in the odd shocker! 3 of the 4 losses though are against top 4 sides meaning this loss to 15th place would seem to be anomalous.
FEYENOORD RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLLDWDWWWLLW – 4 wins overall in last 6 – last 3 wins all home wins.
FEYENOORD GOAL TRENDS – 64% overs at home. Scored 26, conceded 13 –score 2 times concession rate. 6 of the last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. – have only kept 2 clean sheets in last 13 matches. Have failed to score in 2 of last 3 matches. Concede a massive 17 goals in the last ¼ hour of matches.
FEYENOORD STREAKS – 7 home matches without a draw ( 6 overall) – is this an angle in today?
AWAY TEAM
WILLEM II RECENT AWAY FORM – LLLLLLLD – no win away from home for Willem II this season.
WILLEM II RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLWLLDLWLLDLL – wins have come at home, and the recent one was a 4-3 win over Heerenveen when Heerenveen were 2-0 up ( the joys of trading if you were a Heerenveen backer initially)
WILLEM II GOAL TRENDS – 80% of away matches over 2.5 goals. Scored 8 and conceded 40 this season away.Have failed to score in 53% of away matches. 10 of last 12 matches over 2.5 goals .Impressive total goals figures recently – 4,3,1,3,8,6,4,7,3,4,0,9,8 . Those of you who like a risk will note the average total goals in last 10 matches is 5.2 - speculate on over 3.5, over 4.5 goals? ( But remember this has the look of a dead rubber and historically these 2 have been tight in head to heads, but as this is silly season........) .Willem have kept only 3 clean sheets all season. Have failed to score in only 2 of last 14 suggesting they are resigned to relegation and having some fun on the pitch. A massive 54 goals conceded in 2nd half.
WILLEM II STREAKS –15 without a win away from home - 5 without a win overall.Opponent leads at half time in 50% of matches. In the last 4 matches with goals, Willem II have scored first so enhanced traders to the ready!!
CONCLUSIONS – this looks like a dead rubber which might allow for an open goal. Look at the total goals for Willem II. Average 5.2 goals per match in last 10 matches signals a free spirit? Last 2 head to heads very tight but this is a different context? This should be over 2.5 goals( speculate over 3.5 goals?) but I reiterate for those getting involved that both sides have nothing to play for . Willem have conceded 40 away from home and scored only 8 which is some stat.
HEAD TO HEADS
Sun | 15/08/10 | ||||||
Wed | 10/02/10 | ||||||
Sun | 13/12/09 | ||||||
Wed | 28/10/09 | ||||||
Tue | 21/04/09 |
Most recent encounters are tight. 3 1-1’s , a 2-1 and a 1-0 the scorelines at Arsenal.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 6th and definitely 2 sides who would like the points. Arsenal have a game in hand over Man Utd and a 7 point gap to close so must win today or kiss the title goodbye. Liverpool could threaten 5th and 4th places with City and Spurs falter. Liverpool have played a game more than Tottenham so realistically are out of the chase this season , but it is still mathematically possible.
HOME TEAM
ARSENAL RECENT HOME FORM – WLLWWDWWWWDD – last 2 scorelines were 0-0’s at home. At home to top 7, well they struggle certainly against top 4 ( 3-1 win Chelsea, 0-0 Man City, 2-3 loss Spurs) and win 2-1 against 7th placed Everton.
ARSENAL RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWDWWWDWWDDDW – no defeat in 14 overall .
ARSENAL GOAL TRENDS – 56% overs at home Only 2 of last 6 matches have been over 2.5 goals.Have kept a clean sheet in 4 of last 6 matches. Have failed to score in last 2 matches at home. Average 10 goals per quarter of an hour in the first half.Score first in 61% of matches. The opponents lead at halftime in only 16% of matches. Have only conceded 12 at home all season, 3 of them were against Spurs and West Brom.
ARSENAL STREAKS – 9 home matches without defeat – 4 matches at home without conceding. 14 overall without defeat
AWAY TEAM
LIVERPOOL RECENT AWAY FORM – LLLLLWWLWL – not a draw in sight recently.Against top sides.
3-2 loss away to Man Utd, 0-1 win away at Chelsea,3-0 loss Man City, 2-1 loss Spurs. We must remember the new manager factor into this .Laying the draw might be the way here?
LIVERPOOL RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLDWWWWDLWWLW – 3 wins in last 4 matches and against City and United! Good stuff! Liverpool have also recently beaten Chelsea away. It is away from home that Liverpool struggle against top sides
LIVERPOOL GOAL TRENDS – 56% overs away from home. 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.Andy Carroll factor important to a change in fortune? Have conceded in 4 of last 6 and bar the Chelsea 1-0 away win, have conceded 3,3,2,2 away against top 7 sides.
LIVERPOOL STREAKS –10 away matches without a draw very interesting. 5 without a draw overall. We must factor in the pre and post Dalglish era as concerns these draws.
CONCLUSIONS – difficult to weigh up as there have been significant changes at Liverpool.
The opponents lead at halftime in only 16% of matches which might hint at a lay of Liverpool for the first half? |No defeat for Arsenal in 14 overall. 10 matches for Liverpool away without a draw. Bar the anomalous 1-0 Chelsea win away, Liverpool have conceded 2 or 3 away to top 7.
We must mention Dalglish, Suarez and Carroll as they could make head to heads redundant.
HEAD TO HEADS
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| Sat | 20/11/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 08/05/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 19/12/09 | ||||||
| Fri | 29/04/05 | ||||||
Long absence hints that Freiburg are newcomers. I think we have a difference Dortmund from the team who lost 3-1 on 8th May.
LEAGUE POSITION 1st v 8th. A degree of safety now for Freiburg. Dortmund are 5 points clear and I suppose still need points so the onus will be on them.
HOME TEAM
DORTMUND RECENT HOME FORM – WWWDDWWDW – only 1 loss at home all season.2 draws at home against 9th and 10th ( Freiburg are 8th)
DORTMUND RECENT FORM OVERALL – WDWDDWWWLDWD – too many draws and losses of late – pressure telling on this young side? May make this game even more important. Home form is obviously superior to overall form.
DORTMUND GOAL TRENDS – only 2 of the last 9 matches over 2.5 goals.Have conceded in all of their last 4 matches. Have only failed to score once in last 8 matches. Amazingly 21% home matches over 2.5 goals must indicate, therefore, a solid defence.Indeed, Dortmund have scored 27 and conceded 7 at home this season. 57% clean sheets at home. Have scored a whopping 38 2nd half goals this season and conceded only 3 in the first half hour of the 2nd half.
DORTMUND STREAKS – 13 without defeat at home.
AWAY TEAM
FREIBURG RECENT AWAY FORM – LDDWLLLD – 2 draws and 2 defeats against top 5 away from home.
FREIBURG RECENT FORM OVERALL – DDDWDLWLLLLDW – only 3 wins recently against 16th, 14th and 9th.
FREIBURG GOAL TRENDS – 57% overs away from home. 5 of the last 7 matches have been over 2.5 goals.Have conceded in all of last 8 matches. Have scored in all of last 5 matches, 2-2 draw away Leverkusen, 3-0 loss Hannover and 4-2 loss Bayern is away from v top 4.
FREIBURG STREAKS – 4 without a win away from home.
CONCLUSIONS – I was amazed at Dortmund’s unders % for home matches but that is explained NOT by an inability to score but by an ability to defend, 7 only conceded and today playing a side who are safe from harm and have no European pretensions i.e. their season is over. Dortmund’s season is far from over. I would expect a Dortmund win to nil if the motivation is there , and note they have slipped up a lot of late ( look at form overall) - perhaps safer with a back to lay match odds bet? Freiburg have scored 2 twice away against top 3 – coincidence?
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sun | 19/12/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 10/01/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 30/08/09 | ||||||
| Sun | 12/04/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 13/12/08 | ||||||
| Sun | 06/04/08 |
LEAGUE POSITION – 1st v 15th and another top v bottom affair where both sides need points. Oly are 10 points ahead at the top so failure to win is tolerable today.A win for Larissa will keep them 2nd bottom on goal difference.
HOME TEAM
OLY RECENT HOME FORM – WWWWWWWW – have won all 14 at home this season.Scored 2,2,3,4 against bottom 5 sides at home.
OLY RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWWWWWWDWLWWL – dropped points naturally are away matches.
OLY GOAL TRENDS – Have scored 3,6,3 in last 3 home matches. In 12 of 14 matches at home, have scored 2 or more goals.71% overs at home. 64% clean sheets at home. Last 5 matches all over 2.5 goals. 7 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. Scored 40 and conceded 6 at home all season.
OLY STREAKS – 14 match winning streak at home.Only 1 draw all season.
AWAY TEAM
LARISSA RECENT AWAY FORM – no wins away from home – LLLLLDDDL – 1-1 away to 2nd placed, 4-0 loss to AEK away, 1-0 loss to POAK sends out mixed messages. This could as easily be a 3 or 4 goal Oly win, as a 1-0 or 1-1 traditional Greek match.
LARISSA RECENT OVERALL FORM – WLWDLDDWDDLL – recent wins have come at home , but apart from a 2-0 home win over Panathanaikos, Larissa have not won any other of the 14 matches they have played home and away.
LARISSA GOAL TRENDS – 29% overs away from home hint more at a 1-0, 1-1 scoreline for Oly today? Indeed against top 8 away, there have been 3 1-1 draws and 2 1-0’s - 3 of last 4 matches have been over 2.5 goals which bucks the trend a little with Larissa.Have conceded in all of their last 4 and scored in 9 of their last 10 matches.
LARISSA STREAKS – 14 away without a win plays 14 at home all wins!! Have conceded 22 away and scored only 9 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – not a must win for Oly, they have a 10 point gap at the top. Oly have won all at home and scored 3,6,3 in last 3 home matches which makes over 2.5 goals an obvious trade here, but there have been 3 1-1 draws and 2 1-0’s in Larissa’s encounters away to top 8 sides and their 29% over 2.5 goals in a standout stat.
A match of mixed messages goalswise.
Enhanced bettors watch out. Larissa could score first.
1-1 and 1-0 scoreline of you think Larissa’s unders stat will overcome Oly’s impressive recent home goalscoring stats? Over 1.5 goals therefore covers the scorelines and 1-1 has a trader’s chance if Oly score a latish goal.
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sun | 19/12/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 04/03/07 | ||||||
| Fri | 03/11/06 |
Only one head to head of any relevance sees the newcomers win 2-1 at home.
LEAGUE POSITION – 4th v 12th No chance of 1st or 2nd placed but a chance for 3rd place. 3rd from bottom on 28 points and Kerkira on 33 means they too need something from remaining matches in order to stay safe.Indeed a win today could take them as high as 8th.
HOME TEAM - PAOK
PAOK RECENT HOME FORM – LWWWLLWWW – includes a 2-1 win over Olympiakos.No draw in 12 at home. 1 1-0 loss, 2 1-0 wins and a 3-2 win against bottom at home for PAOK have been tight enough.
PAOK RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWWDLLLLWWDWD – unbeaten in last 5.
PAOK GOAL TRENDS – 36% over 2.5 goals at home 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.
PAOK STREAKS – have won 6 of last 8 at home -12 without a draw at home.5 without defeat overall.
AWAY TEAM
KERKYRA RECENT AWAY FORM – LDLDLWLL – 7 losses and a 0-0 against top 9 away from home should put the ball in PAOK’s court.
KERKYRA RECENT OVERALL FORM – LWWLLLLLW – no draw in 9 consists of 6 losses. Kerkyra have beaten both 3rd and 4th 2-1 at home which is interesting.
KERKYRA GOAL TRENDS – 29% over 2.5 goals away from home. Have scored only 10 goals away from home.5 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. Only 1 clean sheet in last 6 matches. Have scored in all of their last 8 matches.
KERKYRA STREAKS – No draw in 4, and in 9 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – no draw in 9 overall for Kerkyra and no draw in 12 at home for PAOK – lay the draw anyone? Low over 2.5 goals counts at home for PAOK and away for Kerkyra. Kerkyra have not won away to any of the top 9 they have played so far. In fact, 7 losses and a 0-0 draw. PAOK’s to lose?
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sat | 13/11/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 07/08/10 | ||||||
| Mon | 15/02/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 30/08/09 | ||||||
| Sun | 17/05/09 |
Trab have not lost recent head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 3rd yet clear leaders in the betting market. Trab could go on top with a win today by 2 points and Bursaspor could consolidate 3rd place with a win but are unlikely to challenge for the title.
HOME TEAM
TRAB RECENT HOME FORM – only one defeat at home all season. WDWWDDDWW – no defeat in 11 at home. Have not played 3rd or 4th at home but beat leaders 3-2 at home.
TRAB RECENT FORM OVERALL – DLD WWDWWWWW – 3 1-0’s in the last 4 just doing enough but showing Fernerbahce that they will fight for the title. A great winning mentality at present.
TRAB GOAL TRENDS – 43% over 2.5 goals at home. Have scored27 and conceded only 11 at home. 3 of the last 4 matches under 2.5 goals because of the 3 1-0 wins. Prior to that, 4 matches on the trot were over 2.5 goals. 3 of last 4 matches clean sheets. Have scored in last 8 matches
TRAB STREAKS – 5 match winning streak – no defeat in 11 at home, 9 overall. No goal conceded in 3 of last 4 matches.
AWAY TEAM - Bursaspor
Bursaspor - RECENT AWAY FORM – have only lost 1 away all season and that was against 5th placed Besiktas 1-0.LWDDWDD – 4 draws in last 5, 2 1-1’s and 2 0-0’s – against top 5 away, 0-0 with FEnerbahce, 3-0 win over Gazientepspor and 1-0 loss to Besiktas.
Bursaspor RECENT OVERALL FORM – DWWDLWDDDDL – no win in last 4. 3 of 4 losses all season have come against top 5 sides.
Bursaspor GOAL TRENDS- 29% over 2.5 goals away.Only 1 match in last 6 over 2.5 goals.
Bursaspor STREAKS – 6 away without defeat includes 4 draws in last 5 away matches. 2 0-0’s in last 3 matches. Only conceded 7 goals away all season.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Formidable home and away stats meet ( Trab only lost 1 all season at home, Burs lost only 1 away all season.) Conceded only 11 at home versus conceded only 7 away from home. Could this be another 1-0 ground out win for the home side? May be worth speculating the correct score. Not a game that springs to mind as clearcut because this is 2nd v 3rd and good stats each.
Trab’s motivation may push them forward as they will lead with a win. Expect a tight encounter?
EAD TO HEADS
| Sun | 19/12/10 | Xanthi Defaulty | |||||
| Wed | 17/02/10 | ||||||
| Wed | 10/02/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 31/01/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 26/09/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 14/03/09 |
Xanthi have won last 2( in the league) yet are still underdogs today?
LEAGUE POSITION – 9th v 6th – a win could take Aris into the top 4 ( based on other results)xanthi are pretty safe now and I think they have little to play for.
XANTHI RECENT HOME FORM – WDLLLWDWW – 3 wins in last 4 matches Only won 2 ( 1-0’s) at home v top 10 sides..
XANTHI RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLLLWDDWLWLD -
XANTHI GOAL TRENDS – 29% over 2.5 goals only at home.15 scored, 14 conceded at home.3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.Only 2 clean sheets in last 12 matches.
XANTHI STREAKS – 4 at home without defeat – 2 match home winning streak.
AWAY TEAM
ARIS RECENT AWAY FORM – LDLDWDDWW – unbeaten in last 6 aways. Have lost all matches played home and away against 9th, 10th and 11th ( Xanthi are 9th) – coincidence?
ARIS RECENT OVERALL FORM – DDWLDDLWWWW – recent losses against 1st and 11th.
ARIS GOAL TRENDS – last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. 5 of last 6 over 2.5 goals Not in keeping with 29% overs away from home. In fact, 7 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals.Aris have failed to score in 50% of away matches but recently have scored 2,0,2,4,2 in last 5 away matches..
ARIS STREAKS – 4 match winning streak, 6 without defeat , 5 without a draw and it seems they are making an effort to climb the table in the run in.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – I don’t like this – at first we see a 29% home overs and 29% away overs which signals an under 2.5 goals, then Aris go and spoil it all by going over 2.5 goals in all of last 4 matches and 7 of last 9 matches. Which stat will out? 1.36 the away side signals their intent with the bookies at least. A match I shall leave alone personally.
HEAD TO HEADS
| Sun | 28/11/10 | ||||||
| Sun | 07/02/10 | ||||||
| Sat | 19/09/09 | ||||||
| Sat | 31/01/09 |
Napoli favs yet conceded 6 and scored only 2 in last 3 head to heads?
LEAGUE POSITION – 2nd v 5th – game in hand over leaders for Napoli and must win to bridge the gap to 3 points. Plenty to play for for Udinese with a win taking them 4th.
HOME TEAM
NAPOLI RECENT HOME FORM – only 2 defeats at home all season – WWWDWWWDWW – no defeat in 12 at home.One defeat at home v top side
NAPOLI RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWLWWWLDWWWW – 7 wins in last 9. Loss was against AC Milan and draw was 0-0 v Brescia most recently.Have lost away to all of top 5 and once at home to AC with a win against 4th placed Lazio 4-3.
NAPOLI GOAL TRENDS – 50/50 overs at home. 3 of the last 4, and 4 of the last 6 matches all over 2.5 goals. Napoli have scored 3,2,4,2,in their last 4 matches.
NAPOLI STREAKS – 12 at home without defeat, 5 in total.
AWAY TEAM
UDINESE RECENT AWAY FORM – LLDWWWWWL away recently excellent form. Away to top 6 though, 4-4draw with AC Milan, 2-1 loss to Inter, 3-2 loss to Lazio and 2-0 loss to roma.
UDINESE RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWDWWDWWWWLL -
UDINESE GOAL TRENDS – udinese have scored 2,4,4,2,3,7,4,0 away from home recently.62% over 2.5 goals away.Have kept a clean sheet in 38% of matches away.Have scored 28 and conceded 13 in the first half.Udinese kept 7 clean sheets in a row before 2 losses recently. Against top 3, all over 2.5 goals.The opponent leads at half time in only 12.5% of matches.
UDINESE STREAKS – 6 away without a draw.2match losing streak.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – top of table clashes can always be difficult to read.Neutral goals bet as Napoli lost last 2 head to heads 3-1 yet are favourites today. What do we make of Udinese’s most recent 2 defeats which stopped a 7 match clean sheet sequence. Against top 3 , all over 2.5 goals.
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Torphichen, 5/2 See U Bob, 3/1 Tawaagg, 14/1 Darceys Dancer, 14/1 Sounds Of Jupiter, 14/1 Un Hinged, 20/1 Pretty Happy, 25/1 Idarah, 33/1 Conrich, 50/1 Andrews Pet, 66/1 Lapse Of Reason.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TORPHICHEN gets the vote, with his third at Leopardstown over Christmas representing a persuasive piece of form in most company and he should be on good terms with himself after a comfortable win on the Flat. See U Bob andTawaagg stand in his way.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
Only 3 under 14/1 here should dominate with clear rounds ( this is a chase). Tawaag represents Mullins/Walsh .
405 NAVAN
BETTING FORECAST: 1/4 Fame And Glory, 8/1 Sense Of Purpose, 10/1 Fictional Account, 10/1 Unity, 14/1 Nebula Storm, 20/1Syann, 25/1 Table Mountain.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This should be easy for FAME AND GLORY despite the faint doubt occasioned on his odds-on defeat first time out last season. For the forecast Sense Of Purpose may get the better of Fictional Account. [Alan Sweetman]
196 day absence and the mighty Frank Spencer onboard. First run beyond 1 mile 4 and a losing odds on shot on comeback last year but should win easily all things being equal in a field with 2 non runners now in it.
545 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Red Merlin, 9/2 Little Hercules, 7/1 Jack The Gent, 14/1 Toledo Gold, 33/1 Seam Of Diamonds, 50/1Provost, 50/1 Wicked Streak, 66/1 French Seventyfive, 100/1 Exit To Freedom, 100/1 Fred Grass.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With Jack The Gent disappointing the last twice and promising Little Hercules having plenty to find on the book it is difficult to oppose RED MERLIN who should complete the hat-trick.[Frank Carter]
McCain and MAguire on a shortie - appealing! Only 3 under 20/1 makes Little and Jack possible each way players.
1215pm - Nadal v Ferrer - 1.17 Monte Carlo masters. Won the last 6 at this Tournament and , although Ferrer beat Nadal in Australia, Nadal was carrying an injury.
SHORTLIST
1230pm - G Furth v Paderborn - 1.59 home - I don't normally venture into these leagues but the research makes Furth of interest here.
245pm - Aberdeen v Celtic - 1.39 away - form dictates a Celtic win in this Cup clash.
130pm - De Graafschap v Twente - 1.51 away - must win for the away side
130pm - Heracles v PSV - 1.92 away - only 1 defeat at home makes PSV a good price. I would back PSV and cover the 0-0. Heracles have struggled against top 4 sides
2pm - Tavriya v Shakhtar - 1.38 away - Shaktar have scored 17 in last 4 head to heads. Last 4 matches saw 3 at home and 3-2 away Shaktar win in head to heads.
415 GOWRAN PARK - although a chase race, 3 only under 14/1 should be considered for the places.Torphincen the default choice?
405 NAVAN - another strong horse like Frankel yesterday - Fame and Glory should win with ease if tuned up after 160+ day absence.1.28 to win and 1.09 to place. Interesting to note yesterday that Frankel drifted to 1.18 to place which was huge relative to the task in hand.
1215pm - MONTE CARLO MASTERS - Nadal v Ferrer - 1.17 nadal in a tournament he has farmed recently
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
245pm - Aberdeen v Celtic - 1.39 away - Celtic should win if form is anything to go by, but this is a Cup match.
2pm - Tavriya v Shakhtar - 1.38 away - again based on head to heads this should be a cake walk for Shaktar. Slight risk with recent Winter Break.
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