*****ONE A DAY - 745pm - Newcastle v Man Utd - back Man Utd in the match odds at 1.72*****
Bit of a risk today but given Newcastle are missing some key attacking players I just hope that United can get a goal or 2.
Dinamo Kiev was the right choice yesterday as I was keen on QPR but luckily swerved that match.Pretty Diamond finished 2nd for the places.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 14.09.2010 | |||||
| 21.07.2007 |
Inconclusive.
LEAGUE POSITION – 11th v 18th - 6th place is 65 points and Burnley could go someway to getting there with a win today ( they are on 60 points currently) Middlesbrough are on 50 points and are safe ( 3rd from bottom on 40 points)
Nothing much for Boro to play for.
HOME TEAM – BURNLEY
BURNLEY RECENT HOME FORM – LWDWWLDLW – inconsistent form at home of late. 3 of the 5 losses at home have come against top 9 teams. 5 wins, a draw and a loss against bottom 8 ( of which Boro are one)
BURNLEY RECENT FORM OVERALL – DWWWLDLLLLW – 3 of the 4 losses have been away from home.
BURNLEY GOAL TRENDS – 70% of home matches over 2.5 goals. 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. Burnley have conceded 25 goals in last half hour.
BURNLEY STREAKS – 2 matches without a draw.
AWAY TEAM - BORO
BORO RECENT AWAY FORM – WDWLWLDWD – inconsistent. Only 1 win away against top 11 sides was a 2-3 win at Millwall. Only won 2 of their away matches against top 21 sides.
BORO RECENT OVERALL FORM – LLWLDLWDWDWDD – a good unbeaten run of late and considering they don’t need the points anymore, will this end this evening.
BORO GOAL TRENDS – Boro’s recent scorelines away make for interesting reading. 1-3 win, 1-1, 0-4, 1-0 loss, 2-3, 5-2 loss, 0-0, 1-2, 3-3
Some huge scorelines there – could that happen tonight? Or will this be a 1-0 or 0-0.
50/50 overs and unders. Have failed to score in 45% of matches. Away.
BORO STREAKS – 3 away without defeat, 7 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – immediately for me Boro are in limbo and will gain and lose nothing in this match. Burnley, on the other hand, will take a step nearer the top 6 ( playoffs?) with a win so their need is greater. Given Boro’s recent trends away, we could risk over 2.5 goals? It is 50/50 with Boro’s overs so if they meet a team like Burnley ( 70% overs at home) perhaps we should expect goals? Not a strong match for me trend wise though.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 02.04.2011 | |||||
| 18.09.2010 | |||||
| 01.05.2010 | |||||
| 14.04.2010 | |||||
| 24.03.2010 | |||||
| 14.03.2010 |
Last 3 head to heads are goal laden.
LEAGUE POSITION – 4th v 1st – Dundee United going nowhere -9 points from 3rd place – rangers must win as Celtic continuously have a match in hand.
HOME TEAM DUNDEE UNITED
DUNDEE UNITED RECENT HOME FORM – WWLWWWWW – rock solid home form and the last team rangers want to meet at this time of the season. The loss was 1-3 against Celtic which may give Rangers some solace. Only home losses against 2nd and 11th.
DUNDEE UNITED RECENT FORM OVERALL – LLDDWWWWWWLW – Dundee United beat rangers at home 2-3 in a match Rangers should have won, and in a match which left Rangers on the back foot.
DUNDEE UNITED GOAL TRENDS – 53% of home matches over 2.5 goals. Failed to score in 7% of matches at home. 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals.
DUNDEE UNITED STREAKS – 8 at home without a draw, 5 match home winning streak, no goal conceded in 3 at home.
AWAY TEAM – RANGERS
RANGERS RECENT AWAY FORM – WDWLWLWWWW – won last 4 aways just at the right time, draws are scarce ( 8 at home for Dundee without a draw – lay the draw today?) Hearts and celtic losses away ( top 3 sides) and won the rest.
RANGERS RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWLWWWLWWWLWWWW – no draw in 17.
RANGERS GOAL TRENDS – 56% over 2.5 goals away from home. 3 of last 4 matches under 2.5 goals with 3 1-0 wins for rangers in last 4 matches. Rangers have kept a clean sheet away in last 4 matches. Rangers have kept clean sheets in 3 of the last 4 matches.
11 of last 12 matches Rangers have scored in.
RANGERS STREAKS – no draw in 8 away, and no draw in 17 matches over all. Won last 4 away from home. No goal conceded in 4 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – Dundee United could conceivably end Rangers title hopes with another unexpected win. Since the 2-3 loss at home, Rangers have been better and won 4 on the trot, and not conceded in 4 away. Mixed messages for me, but laying the draw looks reasonable given the need for Rangers.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 16.08.2010 | |||||
| 04.03.2009 | |||||
| 17.08.2008 | |||||
| 23.02.2008 |
General dominance by United. 2009 and 2010 the most relevant head to heads both United wins.
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 1st – Newcastle on 39 points should now be safe. United are being handed the title without trying by an Arsenal side determined to win feck all this season. 6 points clear for United.
HOME TEAM - NEWCASTLE
NEWCASTLE RECENT HOME FORM – WLWDDDLW – only lost 2 at home recently against Wolves and West Ham ( teams in need?) and facing another team in need ( of points!) today. Against the top 5 at home, Newcastle drew famously 4-4 with Arsenal, 1-1 with Chelsea, 1-3 loss to City, and 1-1 draw with Spurs. They cannot beat the top 5 but have lost only once at home.
NEWCASTLE RECENT FORM OVERALL – WWDDLDDWDLLWL – 4 wins against Wigan, West Ham, Birmingham, and Wolves ( 3 of the bottom 4 will hardly have United quaking)
NEWCASTLE GOAL TRENDS – 69% over 2.5 goals - 2.25 scored on average at home. Scorelines at home recently – 3-1, 1-3, 5-0, 1-1, 4-4, 1-1, 1-2, 4-1. Predominantly over 2.5 goals in Newcastle’s recent home matches. 3 of the last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Conceded in last 5 matches. Newcastle have failed to score in 2 of their last 3 ( albeit those 2 were away).
NEWCASTLE STREAKS – no draw in 2. No draw in last 4.
AWAY TEAM – MAN UTD
MAN UTD RECENT AWAY FORM – DWDWLWLLW – losses have come against Chelsea, Liverpool and Wolves – all not really unexpected – Chelsea at home always tight, Liverpool and the Dalglish factor, and Wolves simply solid against the big boys at home. Against 7th, 8th and 9th, and 11th, 12th, 13th ( Newcastle are 10th), all away matches over 2.5 goals.
MAN UTD RECENT OVERALL FORM – WWWLWWLLWWW – no draw in 11.
MAN UTD GOAL TRENDS – 75% over 2.5 goals away from home. Scored 28 and conceded 23 goals. Only 1 match over 2.5 goals in the last 3 ( the 2 not overs were at home). 9 of last 11 matches over 2.5 goals. United have conceded only 6 in the first half hour.
MAN UTD STREAKS – no draw in 6 away, and no draw in 11 overall. No defeat in 3 matches.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS – this is lack of motivation v wanting to nail the title asap. I cannot see United losing and the draw is a ready option given Newcastle’s form against top 5 at home. Goals though look safer?
530 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Indian Shuffle, 2/1 His Grace, 5/1 Sailing North, 20/1 Waterbury Girl, 25/1 Dancing Tara, 25/1 Make My Mark, 33/1 Lagan Lullaby, 40/1 Pappas Fc, 66/1 Excellence.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: INDIAN SHUFFLE and His Grace ran well last time and stand out on the current evidence, with the former having a bit less to prove under the conditions.[Richard Austen]
Evening races and maidens to boot ideally require a bit of a look nearer race time. Currently though there are only 3 horses under 20/1 here and they should get involved for the places.
220 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Raduis Bleu, 5/2 Rossmore Lad, 3/1 Camden, 4/1 Allerford Jack, 16/1 Bluemoonandstars, 40/1 Trepalo, 66/1 Saltara, 66/1 Semelay.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ROSSMORE LAD did enough on his hurdling debut to suggest he may prove the answer, given that two of his three main rivals ran disappointingly last time and the third, Raduis Bleu, keeps finding success eluding him.[Jonathan Neesom]
8 runners now, 2 are 100/1 , 1 40/1 and one 16/1 leaves 4 horses who should vie for the 3 places in this novice hurdles race ( clear rounds as ever!)
320 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 King Kasyapa, 7/1 Airedale Lad, 10/1 Diamanpeg, 10/1 Insignia, 12/1 Sovereign Spirit, 14/1 Brilliant, 14/1 Keckerrockernixes, 20/1 Body Gold, 20/1 Karingabay Queen, 25/1 Hereditary, 25/1 So Extreme, 33/1 Classic Bavard, 33/1 Fun Guy, 33/1 Kidajo.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: KING KASYAPA (nap) is a handicap snip after his very good effort to finish second from out of the handicap in a better race than this at Wincanton recently and should be hard to beat. Airedale Lad is also ahead of the handicapper and Diamanpeg is an interesting contender.[Chris Wilson]
11/10 - - - - 8/1 in the live betting " a handicap snip" - well certainly priced as one. 16 runners means 4 places in this handicap which makes it even more appealing.
410 PONTEFRACT
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Chiefdom Prince, 5/1 Ippios, 8/1 Alkhawarah, 10/1 Redvers, 10/1 Tilliemint, 14/1 Alive And Kicking, 14/1 Obiter Dicta, 20/1 Colourbearer, 33/1 Daisyclipper, 66/1 Vintage Grape, 100/1 Bygones For Coins, 100/1 Catallout, 100/1 Hardrock Diamond.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The drop down in trip is unlikely to inconvenience CHIEFDOM PRINCE in a maiden like this and it is surely significant that his high-profile connections are persevering with him. In a race with not much strength in depth, Ippios and Alkhawarah may come out best of the remainder.[Adrian Cook]
Alkhawarah is a market mover here into 2nd favouratism against a fav with a long absence but fancied in the market.
SHORTLIST
530 BATH - evening maidens perhaps not the ideal betting medium but if the market is accurate, I would opt for the fav here to place, currently Indian Shuffle
320 FONTWELL - King Kasyapa is a huge price gapper in a race which pays 4 places - looks very obvious doesn't he? Has to complete of course!!
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