Sunday, 18 September 2011

19/9

530pm - Banik Ostrava v Sparta Prague - 1.46 away
28.02.2011 D1 Banik Ostrava 0-2 Sparta Praha
08.08.2010 D1 Sparta Praha 4-0 Banik Ostrava
02.05.2010 D1 Banik Ostrava 1-1 Sparta Praha
31.10.2009 D1 Sparta Praha 1-1 Banik Ostrava
04.05.2009 D1 Sparta Praha 1-0 Banik Ostrava
Czech top flight here and Sparta remain unbeaten, indeed 2 clean sheet wins last 2 head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 16th v 1st and the 1.46 suddenly looks value.

HOME TEAM - BANIK

RECENT HOME FORM - LLL conceding 4-4-1 conceded in those games. If Sparta hit their stride, surely Banik are vulnerable. Remember this is home form conceding 4 goals in 2 games.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLLLD - appalling early concession of 4-3-4-4 suddenly ends with concession of only 1 and then a 0-0 draw. So is this the penny dropping in defence? 3th, 7th, 5th and 8th are the teams who managed the 3/4 goals against Banik .What will top of the league do?

GOAL TRENDS - 3 losses at home - 1.33 scored , 3 conceded on average at home.

STREAKS -3 match losing streak at home.

AWAY TEAM - SPARTA PRAGUE

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWW - -clean sheets in last 2

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWWW - have won their last 10 overall.

GOAL TRENDS - 3 wins, 2 clean sheets, 2.67 scored, 0.67 conceded away from home.

STREAKS - won all league matches so far this season.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - conceding 4-4-1 at home Banik should be concerned with meeting a team with a 2.67 goal average away from home, winning all their league matches this season. Seems a little obvious this match doesn't it? Even the head to heads are congruent here.

6pm - Besiktas v Ankaragucu - 1.41 home - only 1 match played so far sees Besiktas lose 2-1 away and ankar lose 1-2 at home.
13.02.2011 D1 MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 Besiktas JK
11.09.2010 D1 Besiktas JK 4-0 MKE Ankaragücü
02.04.2010 D1 MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 Besiktas JK
31.10.2009 D1 Besiktas JK 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü
17.05.2009 D1 MKE Ankaragücü 1-3 Besiktas JK
besiktas tend to win at home, but what of the final head to head? A match with more questions than answers so early in the season and of no appeal for me .
6pm -
Rosenborg v Start - 1.26 home
HEAD TO HEADS
19.05.2011 D1 IK Start 1-1 Rosenborg BK
29.08.2010 D1 IK Start 2-3 Rosenborg BK
14.08.2010 Cup Rosenborg BK 4-3 IK Start
22.03.2010 D1 Rosenborg BK 3-3 IK Start
04.10.2009 D1 Rosenborg BK 2-3 IK Start
08.04.2009 D1 IK Start 1-2 Rosenborg BK

looks like cracking games between these 2, and a relatively dull 1-1 last time out, as near as May 2011. A 90th minute Rosenborg penalty did for them in that match. Is this over 2.5 goals trend likely to continue today.
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 15th of 16. Rosenborg still playing catch up with 20 games played to some team's 21,22,23 games, so they are in an unnatural league positions not reflective of their true abilities this season.

HOME TEAM - ROSENBORG

RECENT HOME FORM - LDWLWWWWW - good recovery after a spluttering start.Losses against 6th and 7th and beat 16th 4-0 - playing 15th today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWWLDWDWW - 7 and 6 goals scored in last 2 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 66.7% overs at home may be skewed by the 13 in last 2 matches. Last 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Last 2 matches clean sheets.

STREAKS - 5 match winning streak - 7 at home without a draw.

AWAY TEAM - START

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLLLLLLLL - says it all really.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLLDLLLLLLWL - both recent wins against 14th and 16th may indicate vulnerability against a team likely to be in a position higher than their unnatural 5th.

GOAL TRENDS - 54.5% of away matches over 2.5 goals.2.04 conceded away on average.

STREAKS - no draw in 11 away, no draw in 7 overall.Current losing streak of 10.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - looks like the odds are spot on here.And if Rosenborg are on their mettle as they were last 2 matches, this could be another rout. Head toheads point to goals as a safe neutral bet I suppose - over 3.5 goals a speculative bet?

6pm -
Sundsvall v IK Brage - 1.3 home - Swedish 2nd division match of no real interest to me.

No comments: