Friday, 9 September 2011

10/9

i am afraid I have run out of time to do later research ( 5pm onwards) in the football - if it interests you go to www.back-lay-trade-horses-football.blogspot.com where I will post it for you at 430pm

*****ONE A DAY - 5pm - Sociedad v Barcelona -back Barca in the match odds at 1.19 - should be ultra reliable this season. There are numerous extremely strong candidates today with football and especially at the Curragh


12pm - Fortuna Dusseldorf v Karlsruhe - 1.48 home
HEAD TO HEADS
29.04.2011 D2 Karlsruher SC 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf
05.12.2010 D2 Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Karlsruher SC
27.03.2010 D2 Karlsruher SC 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
30.10.2009 D2 Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Karlsruher SC
13.01.2009 CF Karlsruher SC 3-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Last 4 head to heads very tight.
LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 12th after only 6 games.

HOME TEAM - DUSSELDORF

RECENT HOME FORM - WWW - 2-0 , 4-1 , 3-1 - pretty emphatic and scoring 2 or more at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDWD - one of those Jekyll and Hyde sides home and away - winning all at home and drawing all away.

GOAL TRENDS - all overs at home , all unders away from home. Have scored in all bar the last match.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak at home.

AWAY TEAM - KARLSRUHER

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWL - losses against current 4th and 5th ( but again only 6 games played)

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWLLL - no draw in 6 overall.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 over 2.5 goal match away from home - the other 2 were 2-0 results.

STREAKS - 3 match losing streak - no draw in 6.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Dusseldorf have not lost in last 4 head to heads, and have won 1-0 in last 2 at home. This scoreline does not tally with today's 1.48 quote, which reflects Dusseldorf's ability to score 2 or more at home in their 3 matches so far. Dusseldorf only lost 3 at home last year. Karlsruher only won 1 away match last year. make of that what you will and remember this is only 6 matches in. Still Dusseldorf at home look comfortable.

1230pm - Dundee Utd v Rangers - 1.59 away
HEAD TO HEADS
10.05.2011 PR Glasgow Rangers 2-0 Dundee United
19.04.2011 PR Dundee United 0-4 Glasgow Rangers
02.04.2011 PR Glasgow Rangers 2-3 Dundee United
18.09.2010 PR Glasgow Rangers 4-0 Dundee United
01.05.2010 PR Dundee United 1-2 Glasgow Rangers
14.04.2010 PR Dundee United 0-0 Glasgow Rangers
2-3 Dundee win amply compensated for with last 2 matches with clean sheet rangers win. 0-4 last time they visited Dundee. Last 5 head to heads all hint at a neutral goals bet.
LEAGUE POSITION - 8th v 1st

HOME TEAM DUNDEE UNITED

RECENT HOME FORM - DDL - conceding 1 in each home match, hence loss was 0-1 ( 85th minute goal) - 4 of the 5 goals in Dundee's home matches have come in the 2nd half which might hint at an early frustration tactic v Rangers.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWDLLD - importantly lost 5-1 to Celtic and this is what Rangers should be capable of.

GOAL TRENDS - 2 of last 3 matches over ( both away ) and overs v one of Old Firm


STREAKS - no win at home.

AWAY TEAM - RANGERS

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWW - scoring 2 or more and not conceding.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWWW -only conceding 1 this season and 4 clean sheets in 4 consecutive wins.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 match over 2.5 goals because of the prevalence of 2-0 scorelines.

STREAKS - no loss in 5, 4 match winning streak.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - good defensive record for Rangers so early and an emphatic Celtic win already makes this 1.59 of some appeal. expect early tight exchanges here and the prospect of a concerted period of 0-0 before a most likely Rangers first goal.

2pm - Lyngby v FC Copenhagen - 1.35 away
HEAD TO HEADS
21.04.2011 D1 Lyngby BK 1-2 FC København
30.10.2010 D1 FC København 3-2 Lyngby BK
21.08.2010 D1 FC København 3-0 Lyngby BK
11.02.2009 CF FC København 4-0 Lyngby BK
goals and a degree of comfort for Copenhagen in head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th of 12 v 1st - 7 matches played this season so far, so we are getting there slowly as regards a build up of previous matches to work with.

HOME TEAM - Lyngby

RECENT HOME FORM - LWD - lost to 3rd, beat 12th and drew with 7th - have conceded in all home matches so far.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLWLDLL - poor season thus far.Have conceded in all matches so far.

GOAL TRENDS - 33% overs at home but only 3 matches. All bar 2 matches overall over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 4 match losing streak currently.

AWAY TEAM - COPENHAGEN

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWW - 2 of the 3 matches had clean sheets

RECENT OVERALL FORM -WDWWWW - Copenhagen were 2-1 up in the draw match - in all bar one match, Copenhagen have scored 2 or more goals

GOAL TRENDS - irrelevant from only 3 matches but note above, scored 2 or more in 5 of 6 matches.

STREAKS - 4 match winning streak

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - relentless march domestically if a little subdued against Plzen. There is nothing to suggest anything other than an away win.


230pm - B Munich v Freiburg - 1.17 home - we know about sub 1.2's now don't we?
HEAD TO HEADS
19.03.2011 D1 SC Freiburg 1-2 Bayern München
29.10.2010 D1 Bayern München 4-2 SC Freiburg
13.03.2010 D1 Bayern München 2-1 SC Freiburg
17.10.2009 D1 SC Freiburg 1-2 Bayern München

Freiburg have managed to score against Bayern in their last 4 head to heads. This might hint at an over 2.5 goals trade and will alert any enhanced reactive traders incase Freiburg score first.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 13th after 4 matches.

HOME TEAM BAYERN

RECENT HOME FORM - LW - unexpected 0-1 loss v Mgladbach and gained retribution with a 5-0 home win next time.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWW - 3 consecutive clean sheets and only the anomolous Mgladbach goal the only concession. Warming up nicely with 8 goals in their last 2 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - last 2 matches over 2.5 goals. 3 consecutive clean sheets. again only 4 matches hardly conclusive evidence.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak - 3 without conceding

AWAY TEAM - FREIBURG

RECENT AWAY FORM - DL - conceding 2 and 3 and imagine if Bayern click at home. It could be nasty!

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLW - all comfortably over 2.5 goals. Win was 3-0 at home to Wolfsburg

GOAL TRENDS - all over 2.5 goals, have conceded 2,2,5 0 this season and 2-5 away from home

STREAKS - n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - if Bayern click this afternoon this could be carnage. Freiburg's concession rate this early away from home is a cause for concern. Speculators might look to over 3.5 goals for starters and the possibility of a hatrick ( Gomez is on fire of late - although he did recently score a hatrick so unlikely to repeat the dose so quickly)

230pm - Dortmund v H Berlin - 1.46 home - champs last season .
HEAD TO HEADS
27.03.2010 D1 Hertha BSC Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund
30.10.2009 D1 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hertha BSC Berlin
04.04.2009 D1 Hertha BSC Berlin 1-3 Borussia Dortmund
Anomolous 0-0 in March 2010.
LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 11th but only 4 matches in.

HOME TEAM - Dortmund -

RECENT HOME FORM - WW - 3-1 and 2-0 - key man seems to be grosskreutz, scoring plenty in those 2 wins. Big sale post transfer looks to have been Sahin to Real Madrid for £10million. Last season Dortmund only lost 1 at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWD - early on yes, but struggling away.

GOAL TRENDS - have scored 2 or more in 2 home matches. Have failed to score away from home.Grosskreutz has scored 3 times at home already.

STREAKS n/a

AWAY TEAM - HERTHA BERLIN

RECENT AWAY FORM - DD - both draws salvaged by 83rd and 88th minute Hertha equalisers. Not compelling! Both score draws. Traders note that Dortmund could lead at some stage in this match so backing them pre match and hoping for them to lead at some stage will allow a trade.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDDW - 3 goals for Hertha have been scored in the 88th, 83rd and 86th minutes.

GOAL TRENDS - Hertha have scored in all of last 3 matches. Last 2 away score draws.

STREAKS - 2 score draws away

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - tough to decipher with only 4 matches gone. This Sahin sale to Real Madrid - how important was he last season for Dortmund? Barrios was the key man for Dortmund last season. Strong home form this season in stark contrast to away form. yes, only 2 matches to go on at home. a tendency for Hertha to score late could ensure that if there were an early goal, Dortmund would be the scorers.

3pm - Arsenal v Swansea - 1.38 home - some dodgy moments last season at home for the Arse. To be repeated against what are unknowns!
Arsenal v Swansea

Swansea are still searching for their first goal in the Barclays Premier League but have one more point than the Gunners.

Arsenal will be looking to bounce back from their 8-2 hammering at Old Trafford as they chase a first league victory of the campaign.

The sides have not met since the 1982/83 campaign when Arsenal did the double over their Welsh rivals in the old First Division.


Arsenal team news

Arsenal are hopeful South Korea captain Park Chu-young will receive his visa to be available for Saturday's Barclays Premier League match.

The Gunners' other deadline-day signings - defenders Per Mertesacker and Andre Santos as well as midfield pair Yossi Benayoun and Mikel Arteta - are all expected to be involved.

Emmanuel Frimpong returns from suspension, but Carl Jenkinson must sit out after his red card in the 8-2 defeat at Manchester United, and Alex Song and Gervinho are still banned. Tomas Rosicky (knee) is sidelined along with Ryo Miyaichi (calf) while Jack Wilshere and Abou Diaby (both ankle) are longer-term absentees.

Swansea team news

Manager Brendan Rodgers will be without deadline-day signings Darnel Situ and Rafik Halliche when Swansea travel to the Emirates Stadium.

The south Wales club are waiting for international clearance from FIFA before they can field the duo, although fellow new signing Federico Bessone is available.

Defender Alan Tate is beginning his lengthy rehabilitation after breaking his leg in a golf buggy crash, while captain Garry Monk is once again absent with an ongoing foot injury. Craig Beattie is another absentee as the Swans go in search of a first win and goal of the season, the striker out with an ankle injury.

squads

Arsenal: Szczesny, Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs, Arshavin, Ramsey, Frimpong, Arteta, Walcott, Van Persie, Fabianski, Santos, Park, Benayoun, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Chamakh, Miquel.

Swansea City: Vorm, Williams, Taylor, Britton, Orlandi, Graham, Sinclair, Dyer, Dobbie, Routledge, Cotterill, Lita, Moore, Bessone, Moreira, Rangel, Agustien, Gower, Butler, Tremmel.

This is a match where we are unsure how Arse will play with all of their new recruits. There is clearly a palpable lack of confidence.

HEAD TO HEADS - no relevant head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 17th v 15th after 3 matches

HOME TEAM -ARSENAl

RECENT HOME FORM - 0-2 loss v Liverpool

RECENT FORM OVERALL - 0-0 away at Newcastle, 0-2 loss v Liverpool and 2-8 away loss to Man Utd

GOAL TRENDS - scored in only 1 match this season.

STREAKS - n/a

AWAY TEAM -Swansea

RECENT AWAY FORM - L 0-4 v Man City - 0-0 at half time

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDD - 2 0-0 draws both at home

GOAL TRENDS - failed to score so far this season

STREAKS - N/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Arsenal has a new looking squad post transfer so there are question marks there. There are also question marks re newcomers Swansea - an unknown! Will Swansea continue to fail to score? Arsenal have looked good in patches and the longer they go without winning, the nearer they are to said first win. Clichy, Fabregas, nasri, Eboue, Bendtner all out. In comes Artete, Benayoun, Mertesacker, Oxlade-Chamberlain and gervinho amongst others. Logic dictates that Arsenal must win. They have not won this season. Only 4 losses at home last season and comfortably beat the bottom 5 . Remember Swansea are yet to score - what chance they score today?

3pm - Celtic v Motherwell - 1.28 home.
HEAD TO HEADS
21.05.2011 Cup Motherwell FC 0-3 Celtic FC
15.05.2011 PR Celtic FC 4-0 Motherwell FC
27.02.2011 PR Motherwell FC 2-0 Celtic FC
29.12.2010 PR Celtic FC 1-0 Motherwell FC
29.08.2010 PR Motherwell FC 0-1 Celtic FC
01.05.2010 PR Celtic FC 4-0 Motherwell FC
Celtic at home have scored 4-1-4 without conceding.

LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 2nd but game in hand for the Bhoys and if they win, they go top.

HOME TEAM - CELTIC

RECENT HOME FORM -WL - 0-1 loss v St Johnstone - missed 3 min penalty from Celtic and this sums them up. the one day you place faith in them is the one day they feck it up. Emphatic 5-1 win v Dundee United.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLW -3 clean sheets.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 match so far over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - n/a

AWAY TEAM - MOTHERWELL

RECENT AWAY FORM - DWW - one of the wins a 90th minute 0-1 v St Mirren

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDWWLW - the loss? V Rangers 0-3 and stands out like a sore thumb. Who are they playing today? Another of the Old Firm!

GOAL TRENDS - Motherwell kept a clean sheet in their first 4 matches of the season, but their last 2 matches were over 2.5 goals. They failed to score against Rangers ( at Motherwell)

STREAKS - n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - an emphatic Rangers win is the sole loss for Motherwell this term, and it signals what they should expect away to Celtic today. Celtic are a team who are so frustrating. I picked them v St Johnstone and they did not deliver. I don't pick them and they win easily!! Angles in? Motherwell have failed to score at Celtic in their last 3 head to heads , and Celtic have scored4-1-4 in those matches.

3pm - Everton v Aston Villa - 2.16 home - remember Gefle v Malmo. Over evens for the fav makes the match difficult to decipher but as it is a Premier League match, hopefully there is an angle in.

Everton have not won in their last 10 league meetings with Villa since their 4-1 success in March 2006.

Five of the last seven league encounters have finished all-square although the Toffees did enjoy a 3-1 success in the FA Cup in February 2009.

Villa are unbeaten so far under new manager Alex McLeish while Everton are chasing a first home success of the campaign.


Aston Villa put their unbeaten record on the line at Goodison Park.

Everton team news

Defender Seamus Coleman returns to Everton's squad after recovering from an ankle ligament injury which had sidelined him for a month.

Forward Magaye Gueye has recovered from a broken toe while Leighton Baines is fit after a hamstring problem ruled him out of England's win over Wales on Tuesday

New loan signings Denis Stracqualursi and Royston Drenthe are short of match fitness but are likely to be in the squad.

Aston Villa team news

Striker Darren Bent is on course to face Everton after returning to training following the groin injury which forced him out of England's Euro 2012 qualifiers with Bulgaria and Wales.

Defender Richard Dunne had four stitches in a facial wound suffered when on duty for the Republic of Ireland in Russia but was available.

Manager Alex McLeish included transfer deadline-day signings Alan Hutton and Jermaine Jenas in his squad as Villa looked to maintain their unbeaten start to the campaign.

squads

Everton: Howard, Neville, Distin, Jagielka, Baines, Coleman, Barkley, Fellaini, Osman, Rodwell, Drenthe, Cahill, Stracqualursi, Mucha, Hibbert, Baxter, Gueye, Bilyaletdinov, Vellios.

Aston Villa: Given, Guzan, Hutton, Herd, Dunne, Collins, Warnock, N'Zogbia, Petrov, Jenas, Bannan, Delph, Petrov, Ireland, Albrighton, Bent, Heskey, Agbonlahor, Delfouneso.

HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011 PR Everton FC 2-2 Aston Villa
29.08.2010 PR Aston Villa 1-0 Everton FC
14.04.2010 PR Aston Villa 2-2 Everton FC
31.10.2009 PR Everton FC 1-1 Aston Villa
12.04.2009 PR Aston Villa 3-3 Everton FC
4 score draws in their last 5 meetings.
Beckford, Arteta, Pienaar some of the big names out. Drenthe in on loan from Real Madrid along with 2 other players I have never heard of.
Compare to Villa and their signings Bent, Hutton, N'Zogbia, Given, Jenas amongst others. good signings.
LEAGUE POSITION - 11th v 7th

HOME TEAM - EVERTON

RECENT HOME FORM - 0-1 loss to QPR

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LW 0-1 loss and 0-1 win so far - 90th minute penalty !!

GOAL TRENDS - only 2 matches in but clearly there will be problems for Everton.

STREAKS n/a

AWAY TEAM - VILLA - good looking side with plenty of attacking options

RECENT AWAY FORM - 0-0 draw

RECENT OVERALL FORM - 0-0 draw away to Fulham, 3-1 home win v Blackburn, 0-0 home draw v Wolves - the Mcleish defensive effect taking hold?

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 conceded so far.

STREAKS - n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - tough to call this one based on 2/3 games but instinctually I would say Villa have the upper hand. Their signings are very good and in Shay Given they have a world class goalkeeper who will ideally fit into McLeish's defensive philosophy. Upfront they could really let loose against the right opponents and look the value call here, perhaps with a 0-0 cover. Unders looks obvious early on but Everton do look weakened.

3pm - Man City v Wigan - 1.19 home - Goals Goals Goals seem to be an obvious trend for a City side clicking upfront. And reinforced by a sub 1.2 quote.

Something has to give at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City have won every match this season while Wigan Athletic are unbeaten.

City have won four of the last five meetings without conceding a goal and will be looking for another success to put them top of the Barclays Premier League table, at least for a couple of hours.

The Latics have so far played only newly-promoted opposition this season, winning one and drawing two.

Manchester City aim to maintain their winning start to the season against unbeaten Wigan Athletic.

Man City team news

Samir Nasri is in contention to play for Manchester City's Barclays Premier League match against Wigan on Saturday despite breaking a bone in his hand on international duty.

Micah Richards (hamstring) is fit to play but Gareth Barry (ankle) will be assessed and Nigel de Jong (foot) could be out for another two weeks.

Defender Kolo Toure is available again after completing a six-month ban for failing a drugs test, but new signing Owen Hargreaves is not yet considered match fit.

Wigan team news

Wigan's three new signings Shaun Maloney, Albert Crusat and Patrick van Aanholt are in contention to make their debuts against Manchester City on Saturday.

Defenders Steven Gohouri (calf) and Antolin Alcaraz (thigh) are the only major absentees for the Barclays Premier League clash at the Etihad Stadium.

Manager Roberto Martinez reports no fresh injury concerns after all nine of his international players appeared to return from duty unscathed.

squads

Man City: Hart, Richards, Kompany, Lescott, Clichy, Zabaleta, Savic, Kolarov, K Toure, Barry, Milner, Johnson, Y Toure, Silva, Nasri, Aguero, Dzeko, Balotelli, Tevez, Pantilimon, Taylor.

Wigan: Al Habsi, Caldwell, Boyce, Figueroa, Lopez, Watson, Diame, Moses, Gomez, Rodallega, Di Santo, Jones, Stam, Van Aanholt, McArthur, McCarthy, Thomas, Sammon, Maloney, Crusat, Kirkland.


HEAD TO HEADS
05.03.2011 PR Manchester City 1-0 Wigan Athletic
19.09.2010 PR Wigan Athletic 0-2 Manchester City
29.03.2010 PR Manchester City 3-0 Wigan Athletic
18.10.2009 PR Wigan Athletic 1-1 Manchester City
17.01.2009 PR Manchester City 1-0 Wigan Athletic
City have only conceded one goal in their last 5 matches.

LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 8th

HOME TEAM - CITY

RECENT HOME FORM - 4-0 win v Swansea.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWW - have scored 4-3-5 in their last 3 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - all over 2.5 goals - and they are scoring over 2.5 goals themselves.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak

AWAY TEAM - Wigan

RECENT AWAY FORM - 0-0 draw away v Swansea.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDW - have played Norwich , Swansea, QPR - all of the promoted siddes.

GOAL TRENDS - all unders

STREAKS - n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the way City are performing they can get the over 2.5 goals themselves. Head to heads point to City winning to nil. Sub 1.2 suggests 3/4 goal wins. Wigan lost away to all top 4 last season without scoring - 1-0 v Chelsea and City last year.

3pm - Stoke v Liverpool - 2.32 away - due deference to Stoke and post transfer set up there.
HEAD TO HEADS
02.02.2011 PR Liverpool FC 2-0 Stoke City
13.11.2010 PR Stoke City 2-0 Liverpool FC
16.01.2010 PR Stoke City 1-1 Liverpool FC
19.08.2009 PR Liverpool FC 4-0 Stoke City
10.01.2009 PR Stoke City 0-0 Liverpool FC
Liverpool have taken nothing from Stoke in their last 3 visits there. Good recent signings for Stoke includes Crouch to take advantage of the hit and hope long ball.
LEAGUE POSITION - 9th v 3rd

HOME TEAM - STOKE

RECENT HOME FORM - 0-0 draw with Chelsea epitomises Stoke at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDW - all under 2.5 goals, 2 under 1.5 goals. Only 1 goal conceded

GOAL TRENDS - all under 2.5 goals - clean sheet in 2 matches.

STREAKS - unbeaten in 3

AWAY TEAM - LIVERPOOL

RECENT AWAY FORM - 0-2 away at Arsenal - a tad lucky with the first goal.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWW - have scored 5 in last 2 matches , albeit 3 at home.

GOAL TRENDS - Liverpool have scored in all matches this season, albeit only 3.

STREAKS - unbeaten in 3.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - defence v attack this afternoon - I suspect we might get some leverage out of an early 0-0, but remember post transfer this has the makings of a new Stoke City outfit which might suddenly provide a goal threat above what we normally expect. This is what makes these matches tricky. Cameron Jerome and Peter Crouch are signings in significant positions.Stoke at home last season, lost 1-2 to United, drew 1-1 with Chelsea and City, beat Arse 3-1 and beat Liverpool 2-0. They will be a tough nut to crack. But then Liverpool are also much changed from last season , especially in key areas again ( up front and with manager)

3pm - Sunderland v Chelsea - 1.74 away - ultra defensive ex defender Steve " Brucey" Bruce has made prominent, erm, defensive signings this transfer window. Hence the quote for Chelsea.
HEAD TO HEADS
01.02.2011 PR Sunderland AFC 2-4 Chelsea FC
14.11.2010 PR Chelsea FC 0-3 Sunderland AFC
16.01.2010 PR Chelsea FC 7-2 Sunderland AFC
18.08.2009 PR Sunderland AFC 1-3 Chelsea FC
24.05.2009 PR Sunderland AFC 2-3 Chelsea FC
These 2 love their goals but remember again Sunderland have made defensive signings, most significantly John O'Shea and Wes Brown.. Muntari, Larrson, Bentner other signings.
LEAGUE POSITION - 13th v 4th

HOME TEAM - SUNDERLAND

RECENT HOME FORM - 0-1 loss to Newcastle

RECENT FORM OVERALL - 1-1 away to Liverpool, 0-1 at home v Newcastle and 0-0 v Swansea City away. Are Sunderland still having scoring issues since Bent's departure. Bentner is not quite in the same calibre.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 goal so far.

STREAKS - yet to win

AWAY TEAM - CHELSEA

RECENT AWAY FORM - 0-0 v Stoke

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWW - 3 of Chelsea's goals have been scored in the last 10 minutes. Typical of them. And something to note away today if it is 0-0 coming to the 80th minute.

GOAL TRENDS - 5 scored at home, yet to score away. All scorers of the 5 goals are different hinting at an increased team wide threat?

STREAKS - yet to lose.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - again another post transfer conundrum. Sunderland look to have strengthened defensively, but the issue remains who will take over from Bent? Bentner? hardly in the same ballpark!! Some outstanding signings for Chelsea -who will play? How will they gel? This is what makes getting an angle in here so difficult

3pm - West Ham v Portsmouth - 1.68 home - predominantly premiership signings in the transfer window and big Sam wants an immediate return.
HEAD TO HEADS

26.01.2010 PR Portsmouth 1-1 West Ham
26.12.2009 PR West Ham 2-0 Portsmouth
26.12.2008 PR Portsmouth 1-4 West Ham
Pretty redundant head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 12th

HOME TEAM - WEST HAM

RECENT HOME FORM - 0-1 loss 2-2 draw -trouble with home expectation? Unlucky not to win last home match v Leeds - did score first.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWDW - away from home they have scored 4 goals twice. Another jekyll and Hyde side home and away

GOAL TRENDS - have succumbed to 2 90 minute goals which lost a match and snatched a draw from the mouth of victory. away team's goals at the Hamsters are scored so far in the 2nd half. So look for West Ham defensive solidity in the first half ( yes I keep repeating that we are only dealing with 2 matches so far so these 2nd half goals could simply be coincidental.)

STREAKS - no win at home yet, and that cannot be tolerated for too long.

AWAY TEAM - PORTSMOUTH

RECENT AWAY FORM - DD - 2-2 and 0-0 and in the 2-2 they scored a 90th minute goal.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLWDD - sole win a 1-0 home win.

GOAL TRENDS - last 4 matches under 2.5 goals. Pompey scored their 2 away goals in the 2nd half.

STREAKS - n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - I expect a Hamsters win soon at home . It seems this early on though that the weight of expectation is too high at home, as they seem to let loose away from home. Like last week, Hammers could score first again for a trade. Look for a to nil at half time if small trend re away teams's away goals continues ( scored in 2nd half). Perhaps a back of overs if it is 0-0 at half time in expectation of 2nd half goals?

3pm - Wolves v Tottenham - 2.64 away
HEAD TO HEADS
06.03.2011 PR Wolverhampton 3-3 Tottenham
18.09.2010 PR Tottenham 3-1 Wolverhampton
10.02.2010 PR Wolverhampton 1-0 Tottenham
12.12.2009 PR Tottenham 0-1 Wolverhampton
Wolves enjoying meeting Spuds it would seem?
Parker and Adebayour the 2 big signings. Crouch the major exit. Johnson and O'hara the 2 big signings for Wolves.

LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 20th

HOME TEAM - Wolves - last season at home they were superb against top sides.

RECENT HOME FORM - 2-0 home win v Fulham

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWD - draw 0-0 v Villa.

GOAL TRENDS - n/a too early

STREAKS - unbeaten this season - only conceded 1 this season.

AWAY TEAM - SPURS

RECENT AWAY FORM - L - 3-0 v man UTD

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LL - 3 and 5 conceded v Utd and City

GOAL TRENDS - only scored 1 so far but tough start to the season.

STREAKS - yet to win but yet to play anyone outside the top 4.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - remember the Wolves of last year. this could make tottenham layable. We have not seen the true Spuds yet as they have not played anyone from the top 4. latest first goal in last 3 matches came on the 20 minute mark. Risk an early 0-0 back to lay trade ?

5pm - Sociedad v Barcelona - 1.19 away - goals galore in this purring away side.
30.04.2011 D1 Real Sociedad 2-1 FC Barcelona
12.12.2010 D1 FC Barcelona 5-0 Real Sociedad
05.05.2007 D1 Real Sociedad 0-2 FC Barcelona
By the look of the Barca goalscorer, it would seem barca were playing with a weakened side. And bear in mind the time of year in which this match was played - crunch time - Champions League, and a Sociedad side on a 3 match home winning run , all 2-1 scorelines in a bid to avoid relegation.
5-0 for Barca home match saw them win halftime/fulltime.
2-1 away win for Soceidad
Only 1 match to go on, but a feeling this could be another comfortable overs night for Barca.Sociedad at home last season did not have a draw against the top 13. Very interesting stat that!They lost against 2nd, 3rd, 6th and 7th.
Barca lost only 1 away match last season and that was against this lot!!
The watching brief last week told us Barca are getting better and better. Although making decisions based on one match is folly, logic dictates that with probably 70% possession and that forward line, this could be another big score.
530pm - Bolton v Man Utd - 1.45 away
A degree of solidity for Bolton at home last season with only 4 losses, Chelsea , City and Liverpool 3 of the teams.
19.03.2011 PR Manchester United 1-0 Bolton Wanderers
26.09.2010 PR Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Manchester United
27.03.2010 PR Bolton Wanderers 0-4 Manchester United
17.10.2009 PR Manchester United 2-1 Bolton Wanderers
17.01.2009 PR Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Manchester United
Stern opponents the last 2 head to heads.
Lucky 2-1 away win v WBA and 2 emphatic home wins against Spurs and Arsenal - likely to be another hard luck story tonight for Bolton ? Bolton have conceded 3 against Liverpool and City so expectation is for a similar United display today?
530pm -W Bremen v Hamburg - 1.64 home - overs kings Werder duly obliged last week.. It is cavalier of me to think every Werder match will be overs but they are worth investigating as is their opposition . Last 2 matches over 2.5 goals for Werder but a slight concern that they are scoring a lot of late goals which are not ideal for traders.
WLWW this season for Werder. They have won their 2 home games, scoring 2 and 5. 5 of those 7 goals were scored after the 60th minute.
Hamburg have conceded 3-2-5-4 this season in their LDLL 4 matches so represent ideal candidates to help along another over 2.5 goals?
19.02.2011D1Hamburger SV4-0Werder Bremen
25.09.2010D1Werder Bremen3-2Hamburger SV
08.05.2010D1Werder Bremen1-1Hamburger SV
20.12.2009D1Hamburger SV2-1Werder Bremen
10.05.2009D1Werder Bremen2-0Hamburger SV
07.05.2009UCHamburger SV2-3Werder Bremen
















245 BATH

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Kathleen Kennet, 11/2 Fair Breeze, 15/2 Indefinite Hope, 8/1 Homebrew, 8/1 Raghdaan, 10/1 Corrib, 12/1 Madame Boot, 12/1 My Sister, 14/1 Illustrious Forest, 16/1 Present Story, 18/1 Signora Frasi, 20/1 El Libertador, 25/1 Nina Rose, 40/1 Jody Bear.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: In-foal veteran KATHLEEN KENNET (nap) has proved a revelation with demolition jobs at this track on her last two runs. She goes well for Katia Scallan and looks well treated under a penalty on her hat-trick bid. The main dangers are Fair Breeze, who can prove that her shock win at Warwick was not a fluke, and prolific Italian winner Indefinite Hope, who shaped well at Chepstow last time. [David Moon]

Class 6 0-60 handicapper here and on a hatrick

230 CHESTER


BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Mabaany, 7/1 Chelsea Mick, 7/1 Zammy, 16/1 Beckfield Point, 16/1 Latenfast.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This should be straightforward for Dewhurst entry MABAANY, who shaped well in a much stronger race than this on his debut and is open to plenty of improvement. Chelsea Mick may give him most to do. [Richard Young]

obvious contender

240 CURRAGH

BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 An Ghalanta, 3/1 Experience, 9/2 Crusade, 5/1 Bible Black, 6/1 Born To Sea, 8/1 Pearl In The Sand, 10/1 Pierre D´or, 12/1 Gush, 12/1 Lanett Lady.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: EXPERIENCE acted on soft ground before when winning a Group 3 event over this C&D back in June and, although there isn't much between her and An Ghalanta on form this season, she is marginally preferred with underfoot conditions likely to be more iin her favour. Bible Black and C&D maiden winner Crusade are others capable of getting involved. [Brian Fleming]

i must say I have been impressed with An Ghalanta this season and the horse looks an obvious each way chance.

315 CURRAGH

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Power, 5/2 Talwar, 11/4 Dragon Pulse, 9/1 David Livingston, 10/1 Furner´s Green, 14/1 Tough As Nails, 20/1 Vault, 25/1 Strait Of Zanzibar, 33/1 Whip Rule.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Such immortals as Sinndar, Hawk Wing, George Washington and Teofilo have won this great race and, in that context, the 2011 renewal perhaps lacks a superstar. Even so, a race to savour and preference is for POWER (nap), who is ultra-tough and looks certain to be suited by this extra furlong. Talwar's true worth is put to the test but he has plenty going for him, as does Futurity winner Dragon Pulse. [Johnny Ward]

4 under 14/1 here and Aidan O'Brien's Power could be the obvious call here.

350 CURRAGH

BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Fame And Glory, 4/1 Jukebox Jury, 9/2 Duncan, 12/1 Red Cadeaux, 16/1 Fictional Account, 50/1 Waydownsouth.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FAME AND GLORY can be expected to take a notable step forward from his recent surprise defeat on his return from a mid-season break and if returning to his Ascot Gold Cup-winning form, he will be very difficult to beat. Duncan appeals as being the best option for the forecast. [Kevin Blake]

He has been a price gapper 2 or 3 times and yet to let me down

310 DONCASTER

BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Sea Moon, 7/2 Blue Bunting, 5/1 Census, 7/1 Masked Marvel, 8/1 Seville, 10/1 Brown Panther, 50/1 Genius Beast, 100/1 Buthelezi, 200/1 Rumh.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Although there is a dual Classic-winning filly in the field in Blue Bunting, it is hard to oppose SEA MOON (nap) who looked a top-notcher in the way he destroyed the opposition, including Seville and Genius Beast, in the Great Voltigeur. Census responded well to more positive tactics at Newbury and may claim third spot.[Adrian Cook]

9 runners, 4 under 14/1 and Sea Moon an obvious place candidate

220 GOODWOOD

BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 French Navy, 5/1 Slumber, 6/1 Nationalism, 13/2 Ceilidh House, 8/1 Opera Gal, 10/1 Measuring Time, 12/1 Mac Love, 16/1 Karam Albaari.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Far from the strongest of races for the level and a good opportunity for FRENCH NAVY (nap) to make it five wins from six starts. He has the best form, with a real chance he can progress further too. Slumber may be next best, ahead of Nationalism. [Mel Cullinan]

8 runners, price gapper French Navy priced to place in this 8 runner 3 place race.

SHORTLIST

1230pm - Dundee Utd v Rangers - 1.59 away - rangers did the business at this price last week and last 2 head to heads have seen wins to nil

2pm - Lyngby v FC Copenhagen - 1.35 away - ultra reliable but only 1-2 last time.

230pm - B Munich v Freiburg - 1.17 home - getting there at home and a sign that bayern could let go against the right opposition.

3pm - Celtic v Motherwell - 1.28 home. - safe enough I hope

3pm - Man City v Wigan - 1.19 home - formidable front line beginning to click

5pm - Sociedad v Barcelona - 1.19 away - no research done but expect an away win. Time is pressing alas.

7pm - Real Madrid v Getafe - 1.12 home - as above - no research but expect that 1.12 to translate into 3.5 goals or more.

315 CURRAGH - Power has a great chance of placing, albeit in a high class renewal

350 CURRAGH - fame and glory yet to let me down in the place market.

310 DONCASTER - Sea Moon should place.






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NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.

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