Saturday 10 September 2011

11/9

****ONE A DAY - 130pm - VVV v PSV - back PSV in the match odds at 1.25 ***** Europa LEague match on the 15th but shouldn't necessitate team changes today. Hope they can replicate recent head to heads. Others to consider today? Anzhi - new signings could help with already impressive home record. Dinamo Kiev one loss in 46 at home.
Speculative on St Nicholas abbey to place in a 50/50 race in France. Galikova in France too should be competitive.




Pre Champions League for Barca. But really at 2-0 up these bets should be layed off on betfair to guarantee your stake is returned. 2-0 is the bare minimum. 2-0 up to an hour so the odds to lay off were minimal.
A winning trade for me, but an official losing bet in a day of plentiful opportunities.





1130am - Juventus v Parma - 1.51 home - 1st match of the season so all we have to go on is 1) last season 2) head to heads 3) transfer news.
15.05.2011 D1 Parma FC 1-0 Juventus FC
06.01.2011 D1 Juventus FC 1-4 Parma FC
09.05.2010 D1 Juventus FC 2-3 Parma FC
06.01.2010 D1 Parma FC 1-2 Juventus FC
Parma a royal pain in the Old Lady's backside! They have won the last 3 head to heads which hints immediately at a lay of Juve at 1.5.
Plenty of activity in the transfer window might make this match a watching brief as the team might change considerably.
8 wins, 6 draws, 5 defeats at home for Juve last season. 74% of matches over 2.5 goals last season at home.
Parma only won 4 away last seasn ( once against Juve).
Parma a little less obvious in the transfer market - lots of loans and freebies.
against top 11 last season, they lost 7, drew 2 and won 2.
Watching brief advised on first match of the season especially to see Juve team.


1245pm - Esbjerg v Roskilde - 1.47 home
HEAD TO HEADS
no head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 5th after 4/5 matches

HOME TEAM - ESBJERG

RECENT HOME FORM - WW - scoring 5 and 3.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLWW scoring 5-2-3-2 - loss v current 8th - 9-5-3-2 goals in total.

GOAL TRENDS - Esjberg have scored 8 goals in the 70th+ minute of matches so traders fear not if they have not scored up to 70th minute

STREAKS - no draws

AWAY TEAM - ROSKILDE

RECENT AWAY FORM - DL - 1-1 and 1-0 scorelines.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWLW - wins have come at home and seen plenty of goals.

GOAL TRENDS - n/a

STREAKS - no win away yet.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Esjberg have been impressive at home, scoring plenty and this league has the feel of a goal laden league but Roskilde are not pulling rank away from home as regards scoring goals. If Esjberg gave scored 5 and 3 in 2 at home, it hints at a capability to at least get the first goal here?

130pm -
Norwich v West Brom - 2.66 home
no head to heads of relevance here
15th v 19th so far and 2 "championship" teams.
Norwich team news

Norwich youngster Declan Rudd will deputise for suspended goalkeeper John Ruddy.

Centre-half Zak Whitbread (hamstring) is a doubt, but striker James Vaughan, a summer signing from Everton, could make his debut after recovering from a knee injury.

However, defenders Daniel Ayala and Elliot Ward (knee) remain out.

West Brom team news

Midfielder Zoltan Gera is in contention to make his first appearance since rejoining the club.

The Hungary international was suspended for the opening three games while also recovering from ankle surgery.

Albion are optimistic striker Peter Odemwingie will be available after his recent ankle setback but his strike partner Shane Long is rated only 50-50 to recover from a calf injury by Baggies head coach Roy Hodgson who is seeking a first league win of the campaign.

squads

Norwich City: Rudd, Tierney, de Laet, Barnett, Naughton, Pilkington, Crofts, Johnson, Hoolahan, Morison, Holt, Matthews, C Martin, Bennett, R Martin, D Fox, S Jackson, Whitbread, Vaughan.

West Bromwich Albion: Foster, Fulop, Reid, Dawson, Tamas, Jara, Olsson, Shorey, Mattock, Scharner, Mulumbu, Thorne, Thomas, Morrison, Dorrans, Brunt, Gera, Odemwingie, Long,

DDL so far for Norwich this season. - 1-1 draws against Wigan and Stoke and I would lump WBA in this those 2 sides as "championship" style teams.
Sole loss 3-1 away to Chelsea where they were let down by conceding 2 late goals.
LLL for WBA but no tougher starts than Man Utd and Chelsea , albeit very unlucky not to have come away from those 2 matches with something. 3rd loss a very very very unlucky 0-1 v Stoke - 90th minute goal.
I expect a tight match but a hint perhaps that the nouse of Woy might see WBA win a very tight match.
Norwich still an unknown aren't they - only 3 matches in - LET'S BE AVENUE!!
130pm - VVV v PSV - 1.25 away
HEAD TO HEADS
23.01.2011 D1 VVV Venlo 0-3 PSV Eindhoven
03.10.2010 D1 PSV Eindhoven 3-0 VVV Venlo
28.03.2010 D1 VVV Venlo 2-4 PSV Eindhoven
02.08.2009 D1 PSV Eindhoven 3-3 VVV Venlo
PSV have scored 3-4-3-3 in their 4 recent head to heads - similar to what is expected I suppose of a 1.25 quote.
LEAGUE POSITION - 15th v 3rd and with Twente winning yesterday, PSV must take advantage when expected to win.

HOME TEAM - VVV

RECENT HOME FORM - DD- includes 2-2 draw with Ajax which saw VVV leading 2-0.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLDL - losses away from home. lost 4-1 v Twente. This is what PSV should be capable of.

GOAL TRENDS - clear overs away from home.

STREAKS - no win yet

AWAY TEAM - PSV

RECENT AWAY FORM - LW - 3-1 loss to AZ unexpected but beat ADO Den Haag 3-0.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWW - back on track scoring 1-3-6 in last 3 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 3/4 matches over 2.5 goals

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - PSV should replicate the 2 and 4 goals that Ajax and Twente scored against VVV. Look for over 3.5 goals as most speculative

2pm -
Roma v Cagliari - 1.54 home
22.01.2011 D1 AS Roma 3-0 Cagliari Calcio
11.09.2010 D1 Cagliari Calcio 5-1 AS Roma
09.05.2010 D1 AS Roma 2-1 Cagliari Calcio
06.01.2010 D1 Cagliari Calcio 2-2 AS Roma
10.05.2009 D1 Cagliari Calcio 2-2 AS Roma
All over 2.5 goals.
Roma have won the 2 recent home matches.
5 new players £10 million or bigger includes the capture of the excellent Bojan - a lethal goal scorer from the Barcelona mould. Vucinic the big name out.
Top 6 finish for Roma last season.
Only 3 losses at home last season against 3rd , 7th and 8th.
Matri out for 15 mil must be a significant player for Cagliari last season.
7 losses and 2 draws against top 9 away last season.
4pm - Anorthosis v Nea Salamis - 1.17 home - looks like only 1 match so far this season 4-4-5-2-4 scored by Anorthosis in their last 5 head to heads.

4pm -
FK Jablonec v Slavia Prague - 1.56 home
HEAD TO HEADS
21.05.2011 D1 FK Jablonec 2-2 Slavia Praha
05.11.2010 D1 Slavia Praha 0-3 FK Jablonec
08.05.2010 D1 Slavia Praha 0-3 FK Jablonec
28.04.2010 Cup Slavia Praha 2-1 FK Jablonec
21.04.2010 Cup FK Jablonec 1-0 Slavia Praha
Jablonec have won 2 and drawn 1 of last 3, and scored 3-3-2 in the process
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 12th .

HOME TEAM - JABLONEC

RECENT HOME FORM - DWW - the wins are emphatic - 5-0 and 4-0.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLWWW - scoring 4-5-5 in those wins. Loss was against league leaders.

GOAL TRENDS - last 4 matches have been over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak scoring a minimum of 4 goals

AWAY TEAM - SLAVIA

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLD scoring only 1 goal.0-0 draw v 4th

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWDD - poor form , sole win 3-1 against current 8th in the league.

GOAL TRENDS - no real trend.

STREAKS - n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - what were the quality of the teams jablonec have recently scored 4-4-5 against? And how strong are they compared to today's opponents. 1.56 does not indicate a 4 goal win, but might be a good price.

4pm -
Fulham v Blackburn - 1.72 home
HEAD TO HEADS
05.03.2011 PR Fulham FC 3-2 Blackburn Rovers
18.09.2010 PR Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Fulham FC
17.01.2010 PR Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Fulham FC
25.11.2009 PR Fulham FC 3-0 Blackburn Rovers
11.03.2009 PR Fulham FC 1-2 Blackburn Rovers
Toss a coin it seems. Shared head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 20th of 20 signals a poor start to the league campaign. Is there any sign with new signings of improvement/ let's see. B Ruiz from Twente is the most significant signing for Fulham.Kakuta on loan from Chelsea - talented but inexperienced.
Jones a £19 million sale for Blackburn to United and they really have not bought any household names.

HOME TEAM - FULHAM

RECENT HOME FORM - 0-0 v Villa.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLL - losses away to Wolves and Newcastle - only one goal scored ( 88th min) for Fulham this season - is B Ruiz a centre forward?

GOAL TRENDS - only scored 1 all season ( albeit only 3 matches)

STREAKS n/a

AWAY TEAM -Blackburn - have been sparce with their spending in the transfer window.

RECENT AWAY FORM - 3-1 loss v Villa.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLL V Wolves, Villa and Everton - v unlucky - 90th minute Arteta penalty

GOAL TRENDS - 2 goals scored this season.

STREAKS - 3 losses

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - tough to call this one . Fulham only lost 4 at home last season and won against 11th to 17th inclusive at home. Blackburn away last season lost 8 and drew 2 v top 10.

5pm -
Anderlecht v KV Kortrijk - 1.35 home
HEAD TO HEADS
29.12.2010 D1 KV Kortrijk 0-2 Anderlecht
19.09.2010 D1 Anderlecht 3-0 KV Kortrijk
05.05.2010 D1Ch KV Kortrijk 1-3 Anderlecht
14.04.2010 D1Ch Anderlecht 1-0 KV Kortrijk
27.11.2009 D1 Anderlecht 1-0 KV Kortrijk
01.08.2009 D1 KV Kortrijk 0-2 Anderlecht

I like clean sweeps, especially when 5/6 matches had clean sheets.
LEAGUE POSITION 10th v 9th after 5 matches.

HOME TEAM - Anderlecht - Lukaku a £22 million purchase by Chelsea must have been an influential player with that price tag.

RECENT HOME FORM - WD - scoring 3 and 2 - Anderlecht down to 10 men for the draw and also scored one of Mons goals.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWDD - shock defeat to newcomers and 2 score draws. Anderlecht must address this leaking in points. 2 matches with a draw -this sequence must end.

GOAL TRENDS - both home matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 2 match score draw streak

AWAY TEAM - KORTRIJK

RECENT AWAY FORM - DL - 0-0 draw and 3-1 loss - only scored 1 so far away from home.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDWLW - Kortrijk have 2 draws and a win against those occupying the bottom 3, but remember only 5 matches played.

GOAL TRENDS - Kortrijk have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 4, but lost 3-1 to Standard Liege, a side which should be on a par with Anderlecht.

STREAKS - no draw in 3

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - if I was the Anderlecht coach, I would target this match to end the draw sequence which is hurting Anderlecht. I cannot view last year's table on soccerstats for the Belgian leagues so cannot get an idea re Anderlecht at home. this match could replicate head to heads and be a win to nil for the home side.

5pm -
Braga v Gil Vicente - 1.52 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.07.2011 CF Gil Vicente FC 0-3 Sporting Braga
23.04.2011 CF Sporting Braga 0-1 Gil Vicente FC
14.07.2010 CF Gil Vicente FC 1-4 Sporting Braga
25.07.2009 CF Gil Vicente FC 0-0 Sporting Braga
17.01.2009 CF Sporting Braga 0-3 Gil Vicente FC
All friendlies in head to heads suggest Gil Vicente are newcomers.
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 7th after 3 matches

HOME TEAM - BRAGA - only 4 losses for 4th placed last year at home.Scored 3-2-2-5-3-3 at home v bottom 6, and I know I am being a little presumptuous, but as newcomers gil Vicente might find themselves in the bottom 6. Nuno Gomes in on loan this season - a good signing. Braga have sold 2 players to Ath Madrid for £5 million and £8 million, but are cashstrapped as far as spending is concerned.

RECENT HOME FORM - 2-0 win against Maritimo.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWW - yet to concede but hey let's not get carried away - only 3 games.

GOAL TRENDS - yet to concede. All matches under 2.5 goals. All Braga goals so far are 2nd half goals but again 3 matches to go on makes for weak trends.

STREAKS -unbeaten so far.

AWAY TEAM - GIL VICENTE

RECENT AWAY FORM - 3-1 loss to Porto - welcome to the top flight!

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLW - already played Benfica and Porto so meeting the big boys early on. Have conceded 2 and 3 against top 2 of last year

GOAL TRENDS - have scored in all matches so far. Gil Vicente generally late goal scorers bar an early penalty v Porto.

STREAKS - n/a

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 2-2 and 3-1 v 2 of the big guns ( Porto 84 points, Benfica 63 points, Braga 4th on46 points last season). Can Gil Vicente continue to score as they have done? Braga should not lose at home this afternoon and could conceivably score 2 minimum if their performances against bottom 6 last season at home are a guide.

5pm -
Brondby v HB Koge - 1.41 home
HEAD TO HEADS
08.02.2011 CF Brøndby IF 1-0 HB Køge
04.04.2010 D1 HB Køge 1-2 Brøndby IF
25.03.2010 D1 Brøndby IF 1-3 HB Køge
23.08.2009 D1 Brøndby IF 6-1 HB Køge
23.01.2009 CF Brøndby IF 2-1 HB Køge
last 2 head to heads tight enough.
LEAGUE POSITION 9th v 12th of 12

HOME TEAM - BRONDBY

RECENT HOME FORM - DLD -draws both 2-2 against 2nd and 4th - 4 dropped points.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWLLDDL - no win in 5.

GOAL TRENDS - 5/7 matches over 2.5 goals. Only failed to score in 1 match.

STREAKS - no win in 5.

AWAY TEAM - KOGE

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLL - only scored 1 and conceded 8.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLLLWL - sole win 3-0 v 10th

GOAL TRENDS - 6/7 matches over 2.5 goals, the exception a 2-0 loss.

STREAKS - 7 without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - still early in the season here but still a surprise to see Brondby where they are. Down really to the draws I suspect. Koge look opposable all hands down and safety might be achieved by involving both sides in an over 2.5 goals trade.

5pm -
Valerenga v Start - 1.43 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.06.2011 D1 IK Start 0-2 Valerenga
02.08.2010 D1 Valerenga 8-1 IK Start
05.04.2010 D1 IK Start 5-3 Valerenga
01.11.2009 D1 IK Start 2-0 Valerenga
03.05.2009 D1 Valerenga 2-3 IK Start
30.01.2009 CF Valerenga 0-1 IK Start
A sudden turn around by Valeranga last 2 matches.
LEAGUE POSITION - 9th v 15th

HOME TEAM - Valeranga

RECENT HOME FORM - WDLWLDWDW - 2 losses at home have come against top 3 - against the bottom 2 ( of which Start is one) Valeranga have posted 3 2-0 winning scorelines. Coincidence?

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDWWWLDWLLDDWW - inconsistent as you can tell by the L D W following each other. 4 losses have come away to top 7 again suggesting Valeranga should not lose outside the top 7. 5 draws this season all score draws.

GOAL TRENDS - 33% overs at home down to 3 2-0 score lines and 2 1-1 score lines. Only 1 on last 4 matches over 2.5 goals but again 2 1-1 scorelines and a 2-0 scoreline. Have failed to score in only 3 matches this season -2 of those were away.

STREAKS - No defeat in 4 at home. No defeat in 4 overall.

AWAY TEAM - START

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLLLLLLLL - not a draw in sight away. Have scored 1 goal in 4 of the 6 losses against top 7 away. Sole win away against 14th ( or 3rd from bottom)

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLLLDLLLLLW - recent win against bottom side perhaps tells you Start's current capabilities. Both wins v bottom 3 sides. Only 2 draws this season, both at home and both 1-1.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from home.Have failed to score in half away matches.Average scored away a poor 0.60 and conceded a poor 2.30. Recent run of 4 matches over 2.5 goals ended with last 2 matches unders. Have kept a clean sheet in only 3 matches this season, 2 of those were at home.

STREAKS - 10 without a draw away, 6 overall. Current losing streak of 9 away

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - what has happened to Start? They seems competitive up until 2 head to head matches ago? Now it seems they are in decline, only able to beat bottom 3. This suggests valeranga could win 2-0 and keep their under 2.5 goals tally at home. They won 2-0 against bottom 2 home and away.

530pm -
Anzhi Makhachkala v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - 1.21 home - this home side is the side who are snapping up some big names such as Samuel Eto'o
HEAD TO HEADS
07.05.2011 D1 Volga N.Novgorod 1-2 Anzhi Makhachkala
19.09.2009 D2 Anzhi Makhachkala 2-2 Volga N.Novgorod
22.05.2009 D2 Volga N.Novgorod 1-1 Anzhi Makhachkala

LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 12th

HOME TEAM - ANZHI - Zirkov and Eto'o 2 big signings for the City of Russia!

RECENT HOME FORM - DWWWDWLWW - solitary loss 1-0 v 2nd placed Zenit.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLDWDLWWLWD - only 3 losses recently v 2nd 3rd and 5th indicate potentially easier assignments outside of the top 5.

GOAL TRENDS - 6 wins, 1 loss, 2 draws, 6 clean sheets,1.11 scored, 0.33 conceded on average at home.

STREAKS -4 at home without a draw.

AWAY TEAM - VOLGA

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLLDLLLWLL - wins v 13th and 14th - failed to score in 7 matches away.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLWLLLLDLW - wins v 10th and 13th

GOAL TRENDS - 2 wins, 8 losses, 1 draw, 1 clean sheet - 0.82 scored, 1.73 conceded on average away.

STREAKS - lost 5 of last 6 matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - expectation rife with the splashing of the cash and especially the arrival of Samuel Eto'o who should fill his boots. Solid home form for Anzhi should help with the win. Only loss at home was v 2nd.

530pm -
Dinamo Kiev v Illychivets - 1.18 home
HEAD TO HEADS
21.05.2011 D1 Illichivets 3-2 Dynamo Kiev
31.10.2010 D1 Dynamo Kiev 9-0 Illichivets
06.03.2010 D1 Illichivets 1-1 Dynamo Kiev
08.08.2009 D1 Dynamo Kiev 3-1 Illichivets
Kiev were 2-0 up in last head to head, and like Barca last night, should be traded out at that scoreline.

LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 10th. A win takes Kiev top albeit lesser goal difference unless they can score 8 today!

HOME TEAM - KIEV

RECENT HOME FORM - only 1 loss and 4 draws in last 46 home matches - imperious at home.(WWWWW)DWWW - draw, 1-1 v 3rd. 7/9 home matches feature clean sheets but only 4 played this season

RECENT FORM OVERALL - (WLDWWD)WWWW - loss v today's opponents 3-2 but Kiev 2-0 up -4 wins away this season

GOAL TRENDS - 3 wins . 1 draw at home - 3 clean sheets - 2 scored, 0.25 conceded on average.

STREAKS - 5 match winning streak in all competitions.

AWAY TEAM -ILLICHIVETS

RECENT AWAY FORM - (LLLLL)DLL - 3 matches away - no goal scored and conceded 3 in each of losses.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDLLLDLW - wins v 14th and 6th 4-1 against 6th somewhat out of the blue.

GOAL TRENDS - 2 losses, 1 draw, 1 clean sheet away.0 scored , 2 conceded on average.

STREAKS - 2 match losing streak away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Dinamo Kiev should win easily. A superb home record over nearly 50 matches means morelikely to win. Over 2.5 goals includes both sides. Possible to push to over 3.5 goals.?

630pm -
Panathinaikos v Giannina - 1.26 home
18.04.2010 D1 PAS Giannina 0-1 Panathinaikos
07.04.2010 Cup PAS Giannina 0-0 Panathinaikos
24.03.2010 Cup Panathinaikos 3-1 PAS Giannina
19.12.2009 D1 Panathinaikos 4-0 PAS Giannina
2 most recent meetings typify all that is Greek in football. Drab goalless defensive drivel.
Only 1 match for Pana sees them win 0-2 away at Kerkira.
Well fancy that! A 0-0 for Giannina in their sole match this season at home to Aris.
Pana only lost 1 at home last season. Giannina are newcomers to the top flight.
Hard to tell what will happen here -typical unders matches the last 2 but at home in the league in 2009 Pana won 4-0. In any case, they must win in order to keep tabs on runaway winners last year Olympiakos.
7pm - Molde v Brann - 1.57 home
HEAD TO HEADS
25.04.2011 D1 SK Brann 1-3 Molde FK
01.08.2010 D1 SK Brann 1-1 Molde FK
05.04.2010 D1 Molde FK 3-2 SK Brann
12.07.2009 D1 Molde FK 5-2 SK Brann
28.05.2009 D1 SK Brann 2-0 Molde FK
Last 4 see Molde infront.

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 3rd

HOME TEAM - MOLDE

RECENT HOME FORM - DWLWWWWWWW - only 1 loss at home v rosenborg 0-2 somewhat flattering as they scored their 2nd in the 93rd minute.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLWWLWWWLWWWWWLWW - solid overall form sprinked with the odd losses v 7th 8th , 14th, 16th away. ( yes lost to 2 of bottom 3 away).

GOAL TRENDS - 70% overs at home.2.5 scored, 1.2 conceded on average at home. 7 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. Have only kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.

STREAKS - 7 match home winning streak. No draw in 9 at home and 18 overall.

AWAY TEAM -BRANN

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDWLLLWLWD - I was just going to comment on no away draw in 7 until the final away match. Have lost against 2nd and 4th away. Mixed bag from Brann away makes them tough to read - inconsistent teams are a nightmare for anyone trying to find an angle.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLDWWWLWWDDD - a team who have drawn their last 3 meet a team without a draw in 18!! What will give? Only 1 loss in last 9 was away to 11th in the league - again inconsistency!

GOAL TRENDS - 70% overs away from home tallies with Molde's home stats - congruency here.2 scored, 2.2 conceded on average away from home. Last 3 matches under 2.5 goals and also draws. recent draws v 2nd, 4th and 5th. Significant as they are playing 1st today and they haven't drawn in 18.

STREAKS - No defeat in 5 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it looks as if both teams are pulling in the same direction with 70% stats for over 2.5 goals. Standout stat for Molde - no draw in 18 matches but today they play a team who have drawn last 3 against 2nd, 4th and 5th.

745pm -
Palermo v Inter - 2.08 away
29.05.2011 Cup Inter Milan 3-1 US Palermo
30.01.2011 D1 Inter Milan 3-2 US Palermo
19.09.2010 D1 US Palermo 1-2 Inter Milan
20.03.2010 D1 US Palermo 1-1 Inter Milan
29.10.2009 D1 Inter Milan 5-3 US Palermo
11.04.2009 D1 Inter Milan 2-2 US Palermo
5/6 head to heads over 2.5 goals.
Inter have not lost in last 6 head to heads.
5 losses and a draw v top 7 away for Inter last season, but generally they had a degree of solidity outside the top 7.
Palermo at home last season did not draw against top 13.
Only 5 draws overall for Palermo last season.
Pannizzi , Alvirez and Ranocchia new signings for Inter.
Eto'o the big absentee and what a miss he will be upfront!
Again not much to go on, and we need to see how Inter have replaced Eto'o.


240 CURRAGH

BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Yellow Rosebud, 4/1 Rubina, 5/1 Princess Sinead, 8/1 Coral Wave, 8/1 Lady Wingshot, 8/1 Soon, 9/1 Devotion, 14/1 Lady Rochford.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Using Maybe, who perhaps tends only to do enough, as a form yardstick may not be entirely bulletproof. Even so, YELLOW ROSEBUD (nap) showed in getting to within 2 1/2l of that brilliant filly here last time that she is high-class and, having had only two runs, ought to have more progress in her. Lady Wingshot and Coral Wave are both interesting at their envisaged odds, while Rubina and Princess Sinead have the form to figure. [Johnny Ward]

8 runners, 3 places and a Weld/Smullen favourite -interesting. - now 7 runners so increased probability of finishing in the first 3.

415 CURRAGH


BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Cityscape, 7/1 Future Generation, 7/1 Wild Wind, 9/1 Emiyna, 10/1 Hujaylea, 10/1 Taameer, 14/1 Across The Rhine, 33/1 One Spirit.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CITYSCAPE has never won at a higher level than this but the form he has showed in better races renders him a standout and it is hard to oppose him. The remainder are quite closely matched, with the admirable Hujaylea given the nod to chase home the selection, just the sixth runner Roger Charlton has brought to Ireland in the past five seasons. [Johnny Ward]

Now 6 runners adn the huge price gapper remains - easy probability chance for Cityscape reflected in the odds alas - 1.09 to place

305 GOODWOOD

BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Grumeti, 11/2 Loyaliste, 13/2 Aktia, 8/1 Mariners Lodge, 8/1 Ramona Chase, 10/1 Choral Festival, 10/1 Ken´s Girl, 12/1 Effigy, 14/1 African Cheetah, 14/1 Persian Herald.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GRUMETI (nap) has been steadily progressive this term and may have more to offer, particularly now he's returned to a forecast easy surface. Loyaliste may build on his recent course success, while Aktia is on her last winning mark and in the right hands to get her career back on track.[Steve Boow]

Price gapper here in this handicap.

300 LISTOWEL

BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Plan A, 5/2 Salute Him, 4/1 Takeyourcapoff, 9/2 Definite Class, 10/1 Knockcroghery.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The four-year-old PLAN A might not be a certainty to do justice to an official rating of 134 but could still have an edge over course winner Salute Him and Takeyourcapoff who share a mark of 123. [Alan Sweetman]

I used to live a short drive from Listowel and it is " fierce craic". Ruby Walsh returns today and his first ride is Salute him.

1pm LONGCHAMP

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This is very much being used as a prep for Sarafina, and the two Japanese runners have a bit to prove for one reason or another, so it's hard to get away from ST NICHOLAS ABBEY. A slow pace seems assured, so it's hoped his new rider is alert to that fact and allows him to stride on. [Mark Brown]

St Nicholas Abbey 1.75 to place in a 50/50 race.

315 LONGCHAMP
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Testosterone could be dangerous if allowed an easy time on the front and Olivier Peslier will need to be alive to that fact aboard GALIKOVA. However, the selection is expected to come into her own now upped to 1m4f and can announce herself a legitimate Arc contender with victory here. [Mark Brown]

10/11 - - -4/1

SHORTLIST
130pm - VVV v PSV - 1.25 away - Twente slip up yesterday MUST be exploited by PSV in such a tight league.

5pm - Anderlecht v KV Kortrijk - 1.35 home - I like the head to heads 5/6 feature clean sheets for Anderlecht. This is a must win really to end an irritating draw sequence which is leading to leaking points.

530pm - Anzhi Makhachkala v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - 1.21 home - the next Russian revolution, care of a cheque book? eto'o to debut with a few goals?

530pm - Dinamo Kiev v Illychivets - 1.18 home - only 1 loss in 46 home matches should help Kiev here - the odds as ever point to a 3/4 goal win.

240 CURRAGH - Yellow Rosebud out as I write and this becomes 6 horses and 3 places - default to the Murtagh/Oxx Rubina?

415 CURRAGh - Cityscape excellent place only chances alas reflected in the odds.

1pm LONGCHAMP - St Nicholas Abbey must have a chance in a 4 horse race for 2 places - likely trial for Sarafina? Value today on the Abbey

315 LONGCHAMP - Galikova 10/11 - - -4/1 price gapper and around 1.3 to place - must run well in order to be considered Arc material - only 2 places.









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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.

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