Speculative on St Nicholas abbey to place in a 50/50 race in France. Galikova in France too should be competitive.
Pre Champions League for Barca. But really at 2-0 up these bets should be layed off on betfair to guarantee your stake is returned. 2-0 is the bare minimum. 2-0 up to an hour so the odds to lay off were minimal.
A winning trade for me, but an official losing bet in a day of plentiful opportunities.
1130am - Juventus v Parma - 1.51 home - 1st match of the season so all we have to go on is 1) last season 2) head to heads 3) transfer news.
15.05.2011 | D1 | Parma FC | 1-0 | Juventus FC | |
06.01.2011 | D1 | Juventus FC | 1-4 | Parma FC | |
09.05.2010 | D1 | Juventus FC | 2-3 | Parma FC | |
06.01.2010 | D1 | Parma FC | 1-2 | Juventus FC |
Plenty of activity in the transfer window might make this match a watching brief as the team might change considerably.
8 wins, 6 draws, 5 defeats at home for Juve last season. 74% of matches over 2.5 goals last season at home.
Parma only won 4 away last seasn ( once against Juve).
Parma a little less obvious in the transfer market - lots of loans and freebies.
against top 11 last season, they lost 7, drew 2 and won 2.
Watching brief advised on first match of the season especially to see Juve team.
1245pm - Esbjerg v Roskilde - 1.47 home
HEAD TO HEADS
no head to heads
130pm - Norwich v West Brom - 2.66 home
no head to heads of relevance here
15th v 19th so far and 2 "championship" teams.
Norwich youngster Declan Rudd will deputise for suspended goalkeeper John Ruddy.
Centre-half Zak Whitbread (hamstring) is a doubt, but striker James Vaughan, a summer signing from Everton, could make his debut after recovering from a knee injury.
However, defenders Daniel Ayala and Elliot Ward (knee) remain out.
Midfielder Zoltan Gera is in contention to make his first appearance since rejoining the club.
The Hungary international was suspended for the opening three games while also recovering from ankle surgery.
Albion are optimistic striker Peter Odemwingie will be available after his recent ankle setback but his strike partner Shane Long is rated only 50-50 to recover from a calf injury by Baggies head coach Roy Hodgson who is seeking a first league win of the campaign.
Norwich City: Rudd, Tierney, de Laet, Barnett, Naughton, Pilkington, Crofts, Johnson, Hoolahan, Morison, Holt, Matthews, C Martin, Bennett, R Martin, D Fox, S Jackson, Whitbread, Vaughan.
West Bromwich Albion: Foster, Fulop, Reid, Dawson, Tamas, Jara, Olsson, Shorey, Mattock, Scharner, Mulumbu, Thorne, Thomas, Morrison, Dorrans, Brunt, Gera, Odemwingie, Long,DDL so far for Norwich this season. - 1-1 draws against Wigan and Stoke and I would lump WBA in this those 2 sides as "championship" style teams.
Sole loss 3-1 away to Chelsea where they were let down by conceding 2 late goals.
LLL for WBA but no tougher starts than Man Utd and Chelsea , albeit very unlucky not to have come away from those 2 matches with something. 3rd loss a very very very unlucky 0-1 v Stoke - 90th minute goal.
I expect a tight match but a hint perhaps that the nouse of Woy might see WBA win a very tight match.
Norwich still an unknown aren't they - only 3 matches in - LET'S BE AVENUE!!
130pm - VVV v PSV - 1.25 away
HEAD TO HEADS
23.01.2011 | D1 | VVV Venlo | 0-3 | PSV Eindhoven | |
03.10.2010 | D1 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-0 | VVV Venlo | |
28.03.2010 | D1 | VVV Venlo | 2-4 | PSV Eindhoven | |
02.08.2009 | D1 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-3 | VVV Venlo |
2pm - Roma v Cagliari - 1.54 home
22.01.2011 | D1 | AS Roma | 3-0 | Cagliari Calcio | |
11.09.2010 | D1 | Cagliari Calcio | 5-1 | AS Roma | |
09.05.2010 | D1 | AS Roma | 2-1 | Cagliari Calcio | |
06.01.2010 | D1 | Cagliari Calcio | 2-2 | AS Roma | |
10.05.2009 | D1 | Cagliari Calcio | 2-2 | AS Roma |
Roma have won the 2 recent home matches.
5 new players £10 million or bigger includes the capture of the excellent Bojan - a lethal goal scorer from the Barcelona mould. Vucinic the big name out.
Top 6 finish for Roma last season.
Only 3 losses at home last season against 3rd , 7th and 8th.
Matri out for 15 mil must be a significant player for Cagliari last season.
7 losses and 2 draws against top 9 away last season.
4pm - Anorthosis v Nea Salamis - 1.17 home - looks like only 1 match so far this season 4-4-5-2-4 scored by Anorthosis in their last 5 head to heads.
4pm - FK Jablonec v Slavia Prague - 1.56 home
HEAD TO HEADS
21.05.2011 | D1 | FK Jablonec | 2-2 | Slavia Praha | |
05.11.2010 | D1 | Slavia Praha | 0-3 | FK Jablonec | |
08.05.2010 | D1 | Slavia Praha | 0-3 | FK Jablonec | |
28.04.2010 | Cup | Slavia Praha | 2-1 | FK Jablonec | |
21.04.2010 | Cup | FK Jablonec | 1-0 | Slavia Praha |
4pm - Fulham v Blackburn - 1.72 home
HEAD TO HEADS
05.03.2011 | PR | Fulham FC | 3-2 | Blackburn Rovers | |
18.09.2010 | PR | Blackburn Rovers | 1-1 | Fulham FC | |
17.01.2010 | PR | Blackburn Rovers | 2-0 | Fulham FC | |
25.11.2009 | PR | Fulham FC | 3-0 | Blackburn Rovers | |
11.03.2009 | PR | Fulham FC | 1-2 | Blackburn Rovers |
Jones a £19 million sale for Blackburn to United and they really have not bought any household names.
5pm - Anderlecht v KV Kortrijk - 1.35 home
HEAD TO HEADS
29.12.2010 | D1 | KV Kortrijk | 0-2 | Anderlecht | |
19.09.2010 | D1 | Anderlecht | 3-0 | KV Kortrijk | |
05.05.2010 | D1Ch | KV Kortrijk | 1-3 | Anderlecht | |
14.04.2010 | D1Ch | Anderlecht | 1-0 | KV Kortrijk | |
27.11.2009 | D1 | Anderlecht | 1-0 | KV Kortrijk | |
01.08.2009 | D1 | KV Kortrijk | 0-2 | Anderlecht |
I like clean sweeps, especially when 5/6 matches had clean sheets.
5pm - Braga v Gil Vicente - 1.52 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.07.2011 | CF | Gil Vicente FC | 0-3 | Sporting Braga | |
23.04.2011 | CF | Sporting Braga | 0-1 | Gil Vicente FC | |
14.07.2010 | CF | Gil Vicente FC | 1-4 | Sporting Braga | |
25.07.2009 | CF | Gil Vicente FC | 0-0 | Sporting Braga | |
17.01.2009 | CF | Sporting Braga | 0-3 | Gil Vicente FC |
5pm - Brondby v HB Koge - 1.41 home
HEAD TO HEADS
08.02.2011 | CF | Brøndby IF | 1-0 | HB Køge | |
04.04.2010 | D1 | HB Køge | 1-2 | Brøndby IF | |
25.03.2010 | D1 | Brøndby IF | 1-3 | HB Køge | |
23.08.2009 | D1 | Brøndby IF | 6-1 | HB Køge | |
23.01.2009 | CF | Brøndby IF | 2-1 | HB Køge |
5pm - Valerenga v Start - 1.43 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.06.2011 | D1 | IK Start | 0-2 | Valerenga | |
02.08.2010 | D1 | Valerenga | 8-1 | IK Start | |
05.04.2010 | D1 | IK Start | 5-3 | Valerenga | |
01.11.2009 | D1 | IK Start | 2-0 | Valerenga | |
03.05.2009 | D1 | Valerenga | 2-3 | IK Start | |
30.01.2009 | CF | Valerenga | 0-1 | IK Start |
530pm - Anzhi Makhachkala v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - 1.21 home - this home side is the side who are snapping up some big names such as Samuel Eto'o
HEAD TO HEADS
07.05.2011 | D1 | Volga N.Novgorod | 1-2 | Anzhi Makhachkala | |
19.09.2009 | D2 | Anzhi Makhachkala | 2-2 | Volga N.Novgorod | |
22.05.2009 | D2 | Volga N.Novgorod | 1-1 | Anzhi Makhachkala |
530pm - Dinamo Kiev v Illychivets - 1.18 home
HEAD TO HEADS
21.05.2011 | D1 | Illichivets | 3-2 | Dynamo Kiev | |
31.10.2010 | D1 | Dynamo Kiev | 9-0 | Illichivets | |
06.03.2010 | D1 | Illichivets | 1-1 | Dynamo Kiev | |
08.08.2009 | D1 | Dynamo Kiev | 3-1 | Illichivets |
630pm - Panathinaikos v Giannina - 1.26 home
18.04.2010 | D1 | PAS Giannina | 0-1 | Panathinaikos | |
07.04.2010 | Cup | PAS Giannina | 0-0 | Panathinaikos | |
24.03.2010 | Cup | Panathinaikos | 3-1 | PAS Giannina | |
19.12.2009 | D1 | Panathinaikos | 4-0 | PAS Giannina |
Only 1 match for Pana sees them win 0-2 away at Kerkira.
Well fancy that! A 0-0 for Giannina in their sole match this season at home to Aris.
Pana only lost 1 at home last season. Giannina are newcomers to the top flight.
Hard to tell what will happen here -typical unders matches the last 2 but at home in the league in 2009 Pana won 4-0. In any case, they must win in order to keep tabs on runaway winners last year Olympiakos.
7pm - Molde v Brann - 1.57 home
HEAD TO HEADS
25.04.2011 | D1 | SK Brann | 1-3 | Molde FK | |
01.08.2010 | D1 | SK Brann | 1-1 | Molde FK | |
05.04.2010 | D1 | Molde FK | 3-2 | SK Brann | |
12.07.2009 | D1 | Molde FK | 5-2 | SK Brann | |
28.05.2009 | D1 | SK Brann | 2-0 | Molde FK |
745pm - Palermo v Inter - 2.08 away
29.05.2011 | Cup | Inter Milan | 3-1 | US Palermo | |
30.01.2011 | D1 | Inter Milan | 3-2 | US Palermo | |
19.09.2010 | D1 | US Palermo | 1-2 | Inter Milan | |
20.03.2010 | D1 | US Palermo | 1-1 | Inter Milan | |
29.10.2009 | D1 | Inter Milan | 5-3 | US Palermo | |
11.04.2009 | D1 | Inter Milan | 2-2 | US Palermo |
Inter have not lost in last 6 head to heads.
5 losses and a draw v top 7 away for Inter last season, but generally they had a degree of solidity outside the top 7.
Palermo at home last season did not draw against top 13.
Only 5 draws overall for Palermo last season.
Pannizzi , Alvirez and Ranocchia new signings for Inter.
Eto'o the big absentee and what a miss he will be upfront!
Again not much to go on, and we need to see how Inter have replaced Eto'o.
240 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Yellow Rosebud, 4/1 Rubina, 5/1 Princess Sinead, 8/1 Coral Wave, 8/1 Lady Wingshot, 8/1 Soon, 9/1 Devotion, 14/1 Lady Rochford.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Using Maybe, who perhaps tends only to do enough, as a form yardstick may not be entirely bulletproof. Even so, YELLOW ROSEBUD (nap) showed in getting to within 2 1/2l of that brilliant filly here last time that she is high-class and, having had only two runs, ought to have more progress in her. Lady Wingshot and Coral Wave are both interesting at their envisaged odds, while Rubina and Princess Sinead have the form to figure. [Johnny Ward]
8 runners, 3 places and a Weld/Smullen favourite -interesting. - now 7 runners so increased probability of finishing in the first 3.
415 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Cityscape, 7/1 Future Generation, 7/1 Wild Wind, 9/1 Emiyna, 10/1 Hujaylea, 10/1 Taameer, 14/1 Across The Rhine, 33/1 One Spirit.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CITYSCAPE has never won at a higher level than this but the form he has showed in better races renders him a standout and it is hard to oppose him. The remainder are quite closely matched, with the admirable Hujaylea given the nod to chase home the selection, just the sixth runner Roger Charlton has brought to Ireland in the past five seasons. [Johnny Ward]
Now 6 runners adn the huge price gapper remains - easy probability chance for Cityscape reflected in the odds alas - 1.09 to place
305 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Grumeti, 11/2 Loyaliste, 13/2 Aktia, 8/1 Mariners Lodge, 8/1 Ramona Chase, 10/1 Choral Festival, 10/1 Ken´s Girl, 12/1 Effigy, 14/1 African Cheetah, 14/1 Persian Herald.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GRUMETI (nap) has been steadily progressive this term and may have more to offer, particularly now he's returned to a forecast easy surface. Loyaliste may build on his recent course success, while Aktia is on her last winning mark and in the right hands to get her career back on track.[Steve Boow]
Price gapper here in this handicap.
300 LISTOWEL
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Plan A, 5/2 Salute Him, 4/1 Takeyourcapoff, 9/2 Definite Class, 10/1 Knockcroghery.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The four-year-old PLAN A might not be a certainty to do justice to an official rating of 134 but could still have an edge over course winner Salute Him and Takeyourcapoff who share a mark of 123. [Alan Sweetman]
I used to live a short drive from Listowel and it is " fierce craic". Ruby Walsh returns today and his first ride is Salute him.
1pm LONGCHAMP
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This is very much being used as a prep for Sarafina, and the two Japanese runners have a bit to prove for one reason or another, so it's hard to get away from ST NICHOLAS ABBEY. A slow pace seems assured, so it's hoped his new rider is alert to that fact and allows him to stride on. [Mark Brown]St Nicholas Abbey 1.75 to place in a 50/50 race.
315 LONGCHAMP
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Testosterone could be dangerous if allowed an easy time on the front and Olivier Peslier will need to be alive to that fact aboard GALIKOVA. However, the selection is expected to come into her own now upped to 1m4f and can announce herself a legitimate Arc contender with victory here. [Mark Brown]
10/11 - - -4/1
SHORTLIST
130pm - VVV v PSV - 1.25 away - Twente slip up yesterday MUST be exploited by PSV in such a tight league.
5pm - Anderlecht v KV Kortrijk - 1.35 home - I like the head to heads 5/6 feature clean sheets for Anderlecht. This is a must win really to end an irritating draw sequence which is leading to leaking points.
530pm - Anzhi Makhachkala v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - 1.21 home - the next Russian revolution, care of a cheque book? eto'o to debut with a few goals?
530pm - Dinamo Kiev v Illychivets - 1.18 home - only 1 loss in 46 home matches should help Kiev here - the odds as ever point to a 3/4 goal win.
240 CURRAGH - Yellow Rosebud out as I write and this becomes 6 horses and 3 places - default to the Murtagh/Oxx Rubina?
415 CURRAGh - Cityscape excellent place only chances alas reflected in the odds.
1pm LONGCHAMP - St Nicholas Abbey must have a chance in a 4 horse race for 2 places - likely trial for Sarafina? Value today on the Abbey
315 LONGCHAMP - Galikova 10/11 - - -4/1 price gapper and around 1.3 to place - must run well in order to be considered Arc material - only 2 places.
--------------------
NB Please note that these email advices are duplicated via the blog at the following address.
http://www.cliveoneaday.com
------------
Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
----------------
One A Day
oneadayclive@canonburypublishing.com
Subscription Line: 0208 597 0181
-------------------------
Canonbury Publishing Ltd
Unit 1, Hainault Works, Hainualt Road, Little Heath,
Romford, RM6 5SS
Registered office address:
Canonbury Publishing Ltd, Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ
Registered in England No: 193 7374 Vat No: GB 629 7287 94
No comments:
Post a Comment