4/4

Sing along with me "DROY - L -SDEN, DROY - LS-DEN FC THEY'RE BY FAR THE GREATEST TEAM THE WORLD HAS EVER SEEN" -bagged a goal against Exeter City (1.27 on BEtfair, Droylsden 14.5!) in the 49th minute and held on for dear life before succumbing to the inevitable equaliser alas with a 76th minute penalty of all things! Dreams of a nice payout at 14.5 bit the dust but layers of Exeter left with small liabilities and a nice payout . Bayern found life difficult against Getafe only managing the one goal at home for Getafe to eventually secure the draw I craved for the lay of 1.51 to come in!

So those who fancied the lays of the shorties to cover the draw cleaned up yesterday - happy days indeed!

Elsewhere the Aintree dutches went like a dream - an Elusive Dream ( yes I'm available for the Summer season!) - you see the power of dutching in high quality races! All wins yesterday at Aintree apart from Kauto who lost by a NOSE! - Gutted! This does signal , though, an underperformance of the Cheltenham big boys at Aintree and reiterates what I said about poor performance of the shorties in competitive high class fields ( Binocular not withstanding!)

Menchikov placed and the 3 into 1's were rubbish in rubbish races (bar Kauto's)

All in all a class day and a profitable day for me .Yet again these techniques should be familiar to you from the newsletter and it's not that difficult is it?

Another superb day today with a couple of standout horses via form lines ,none more so that Mr Cee bee, given Binoclar's comfortable victory yesterday

AINTREE

So nice to deal with proper race horses for a change rather than the dross we've had to endure recently

200
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Albertas Run, 7/2 Big Buck´s, 5/1 Battlecry, Roll Along, 10/1 Starzaan, 14/1 Cedrus Libani, 16/1 Joe Lively, 500/1 Monzon .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not a particularly strong renewal. It may well lie between ALBERTAS RUN and likely improver Big Buck's, with preference for the first-named, who enhanced his excellent strike-rate when a comfortable winner of the SunAlliance Chase at Cheltenham last time.

Again ground is not a concern today. Betting forecaster makes this a 4 runner affair with Starzaan the fly in the ointment.
The straight 8 here allows for each way thievery if you are not taken by Alberta run as a win only propostion - looks nailed on for a place though albeit at restrictive odds.
Big Buck's is close enough to make Alberta's Run, strictly, NOT a price gapper. He's 4/1 and good each way potential to return our stakes if placed but ready to take advantage of a poor show from another Cheltenham short priced fav

235
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Tazbar, 4/1 The Tother One, 6/1 Nenuphar Collonges, 8/1 Gone To Lunch, Souffleur, 10/1 Pettifour, 16/1 Middleton Dene, Quickbeam, 33/1 Logans Run, 40/1 Sound Accord, 50/1 Bonnie Rock, 66/1 Bulwark, La Vecchia Scuola .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TAZBAR (nap) makes plenty of appeal, having made a fine start to his hurdling career and with the form of his last-time-out Haydock win when upped to 3m broadly on a par with the best on offer here but with the strong promise of more to come. With the form of Cheltenham's Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle looking distinctly ordinary by Grade 1 standards, Souffleur, back to form on the Flat last time, may well emerge as best of the rest. [MCu]

I had Souffleur flagged up after a wonderful win under Paddy MErrigan late last year, coming from last to first in a matter of strides. Interestingly this horse has beaten Elusive Dream, a winner yesterday, but since I was so excited by Souffleur, he has gone off the boil since beaten a toal of 90 lengths in 2 outings in 2 class 1 novice hurdles this year. He gave a good beating to yesterday's winner Elusive Dream on 29th December, but which Souffleur will trn up today. I would have preferred to see Paddy Merrigan on board.
A 9/1 chance currently, he is priced to be competitive for a place but is a non too confident selection, although those looking for speculatives may want to chance him.

We have a price gapper here in Tazbar, who beat Souffleur by 40 lengths in their last clash. Not an ideal templated price gap though with The Tother One breathing down his neck. - top RPR - top topspeed, interestingly Souffleur is the postdata selection. I'm unconvinced and may well plump for Souffleur each way in the hope the horse places at least

310

BETTING FORECAST: 2/7 Master Minded, 5/1 Voy Por Ustedes, 8/1 Tamarinbleu, 12/1 Monet´s Garden, 25/1 Mister McGoldrick, 66/1 Newmill, 100/1 Yes Sir .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The outcome depends very much on whether Master Minded is in the same imperious form he was at Cheltenham and whether he will last home over this extra half-mile. His record in France suggests there has to be a doubt about his stamina and, with a truly run race virtually assured, he may be worth opposing at cramped odds. Voy Por Ustedes also has to prove he stays and it is possible TAMARINBLEU will be able to run the finish out of his rivals if he is back on song after a lacklustre display at Cheltenham Masterminded - should win easily if his demolition job at Cheltenham can be upheld. Voy por estedes was 16 lengths behind in 2nd . I can't get an angle in, and think MAsterminded is one to buy on the sports spread betting 50 index. Simply backing at 1.34 should return but the odds are restrictive. Spreadbetting the horse can increase returns for a £1 per point bet to about £8 depending on the spread 420 BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Captain Cee Bee, 9/2 Pierrot Lunaire, 11/2 Greenbridge, 8/1 Blue Bajan, 10/1 Pigeon Island, 11/1 Khyber Kim, Songe, 12/1 Salford City, 16/1 Alsadaa, 28/1 Lazy Darren, 33/1 Marsam, 80/1 Sir Arthur, 100/1 Frank Crow, Gloucester . SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CAPTAIN CEE BEE's performance in winning the Supreme Novices' at Cheltenham last month was boosted significantly by runner-up Binocular here yesterday and despite the 8lb penalty, a reproduction of that form will set a stiff standard for the others to surpass. Greenbridge is an interesting alternative and may well be next best When I've listened to trainers in the past and followed their advice, it's gone tits up, but Binocular's trainer was very bullish about Captain Cee Bee who must have an outstanding chance if Binocular's win is taken into account. I won't desert Captain Cee Bee here and the bet is simply based on Binocular's win yesterday. Yes, Captain is carrying a penalty but will that anchor him? Hope not DUNDALK - Ireland's all weather 810 BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Flying Clarets, 7/2 Truly Mine, 4/1 Simawa, 5/1 Allicansayis Wow, 7/1 Queen Of France, 20/1 Nora Chrissie, Via Mantua. Why is Simawa 15/8 currently from 4/1 betting forecast? Got eyebrows Kinane on board (extra weight alas for the eyebrows) and with Flying clarets he shares favouratism. Straight dutch? - we can't tell - the markets are not formed ( this kicks off 810 this evening) but if so this is the option. If Simawa remains a positive in the betting at the off, the horse looks a good back bet in the win only market. SOUTHWELL 330 BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Dodaa, 11/2 Taboor, 7/1 Bentley, 8/1 Russian Rocket, 12/1 Maktavish, Rann Na Cille, 14/1 Ducal Regancy Red, Limonia, 16/1 Jilly Why, Montzando, 20/1 City For Conquest, 25/1 Missus Molly Brown, Polar Force , SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Thriving trailblazer DODAA recorded a personal best when routing the opposition at Lingfield last week and, even with a penalty, will be hard to catch on this suitable surface. Russian Rocket and Bentley can fill the minor placing Possible price gapper - 7/4 - - - 11/2 - "will be hard to catch" - top RPR - top topspeed - 13/14 tips - postdata selection - 8 day course and distance winner-jockey has ridden the horse to a few wins and places and at the course - NEGATIVES - 5 furlong class 6 (0-60) race - hardly the cream of the crop - form 361121 indicates a winning sequence and they do end eventually - 2/1 in the live betting indicating the hint of a price drift. - 14 runners One of those multiple handicap winner conundrums - to lay or not to lay. ?2/1 I'll chance the win today I think even though the winning sequence will end. Should the price drift at the off, this will indicate to me that perhaps it's not Dodaa's day today but as things stand, I'll chance him, particularly at 2/1 Wolves looks a card where you follow the money in the live betting to ascertain the confidence behind the many short priced favourites (betting forecast short priced favourites) 3 into 1 3 bad races yesterday and only the one win 310 AINTREE - MASterminded - albeit at odds too short 355 LINGFIELD - Rollin and Tumblin 430 LINGFIELD - Mr Aviator 540 LINGFIELD - Scarlet Flyer 920 WOLVES - First Order A motley all weather crew to be honest in races where 2 -3 can be given chances but we'll see. It'll be interesting as I update my spreadsheets how the profit/loss looks with the new staking plans FOOTY I was well pleased yesterday with my selections as a layer, but backers of Droylsden and Getafe would have been unable to cover the draw - a lesson there? Laying allows us 2 bets, backing allows us only one option . It's Friday, so what does that mean? -yes i wear a beret and a hooped jumper and ride around on a bicycle with a string of onions around my neck shouting " Sacre Bleu and Zut alors" Yes it's my weekly foray into Ligue 2 and my 2 niche teams Nantes and le Havre are both at home and priced 1/3 and 4/9 . Blindly backing these 2 most weeks will leave me unstuck eventually but the odds we've got on these teams over the season has produced superb profit. Highly restrictive back odds These can be enhanced by the 2.26 and 2.46 half time/full time in both matches - BUT I am suspicious that the odds are so big for teams priced 1/3 and 4/9 - I was expecting odds on for half time/full time victories. Nantes beat current opponents 1-0 last time so this is perhaps the reason why? The double Le Havre and Nantes pays out 1.92 and while they both should win, I am not too confident that both sides with win in the first half and 2nd half The possibility is there on both half time/full time bets for dutching of Nantes/Nantes ; Draw/nantes and similar LE HAvre but you'll have to fiddle with the stakes unless you want to chance a big payout on draw/Nantes and Draw/Le Havres I much prefer the 2/1 about Nantes away last week!