Thursday 24 April 2008

25/4

Well he is one ugly fecker but at over 7's as long as he scores a goal - I'd kiss him! ( well maybe not!) Thanks Frank! Laying Bayern also came in as Zenit equalised. Unders in RAngers came in - made up for some each way close shaves and non placements. i could have done with a couple of the bigger prices winning not coming 2nd or 3rd.

615 BANGOR

BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Master Somerville, Mylord Collonges, 7/2 Pop Ahead, 6/1 Double Header, 7/1 Cleymor House, 25/1 Always Baileys, Bynack Mhor, 33/1 Heavy Weather, Red Dawn, Thegalleryman, 50/1 Flying Jody, Making Overtures, 100/1 Ardfry .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MASTER SOMERVILLE proved a revelation when woken up by blinkers latest and, now that connections have found the key to him, he could well go in again. Pop Ahead and Mylord Collonges can fill the minor placings.[BDO]


5 horse race?MAster Somerville a non runner skews the price market - potential market movers include Always Bailey (12/1)and heavy weather (18/1) - these may just be reactions to a short priced non rnner. Mylord Collonges same price and 7/2 early doors looks worth an interest now his similarly priced rival is a non runner.

645

BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Canalturn, 7/2 It´s In The Stars, 8/1 Caheerloch, 9/1 Island Key, 16/1 Radmores Revenge, 20/1 First Boy, General Potter, Lady Bernie, 25/1 Public Esteem, 33/1 Reve D´Ami, 50/1 Celtic Treasure, 100/1 Boston Mondain, Taylor´s Tailor, Youluckyman .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A decent chance for the potentially useful CANALTURN, who only just missed out in a stronger race last month, to gain the success he deserves.[BDO]
Canalturn to place only ( fancy the win but it's a maiden hurdle)

520 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Crescent Island, 3/1 Connak, 13/2 Evelith Echo, 7/1 King Caine, 12/1 The Spieler, 14/1 Bertie May, 16/1 Warrior Drive, 33/1 Mr Nick, 40/1 Just Talking, My Friend Sandy, 50/1 Wide Receiver, 66/1 Java Victory, Just Gold, 100/1 Morgan The Mighty, Perran Bay, The Silent King .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Crescent Island is the one to beat on the evidence of last week's fine Cheltenham run but there are alternatives. KING CAINE was a flop when last seen but his earlier win looks very solid form and he is given the chance to return to that promise

A big field and Elevith Echo (Choc Thornton) and A chance on Bertie May each way.
Both in the price band before the perceived outsiders

605 NEWTON ABBOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Marc Of Brilliance, 6/1 Kofi, 8/1 Benayoun, 12/1 Weet For Ever, 14/1 Gertie, Oceans Grand, 25/1 Shouldntbethere, 33/1 Augustus Caeser, Grand Sefton, 50/1 Hazard Away .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MARC OF BRILLIANCE takes a big drop in class on his return to action and is hard to oppose for a trainer to be feared at this level. Oceans Grand is a possible each-way alternative

HTB selection BUT in a poor seller - long time off but a price gapper - 11/12 tips - top RPR -

705
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Oslot, 3/1 Templer, 10/1 Lancaster Sound, 12/1 Master John, 14/1 Dr Hart, 33/1 Feeling Better, 100/1 Dunbell Boy, El Sueno, Outside Investor, Past Heritage, Springleaze .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: OSLOT's main form rival Templer needs a return to form aftrer two lesser shows, admittedly in much more competitive races than this, and the Nicholls horse is easily the best place to turn. Lancaster Sound could be interesting for another day.

Master John an early price mover to 8/1 - if remaining then each way


420 PUNCHESTOWN - a lay of Sblimity for me with 2 in very clse attendance OR back just HArchibald and Punjabi to level stakes ( 5/2 and 3/1) and try to reduce loss on Sblimity by putting a little on

SANDOWN
115
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Cobo Bay, 5/1 Arctic Cape, Commander Cave, 11/2 Stubbs Art, 7/1 Hawaana, 8/1 Unbreak My Heart, 9/1 Traphalgar, 12/1 Jedediah, 20/1 Dalkey Girl .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There are possibilities every way you look but COBO BAY sets the standard with his win at Ripon last week

I know Cobo Bay - a bay in Guernsey opposite my old local the Rockmount - I was going to back him last time based on that and he scooted home at 9/1 - d'oh - I'll chance him each way here around 4/1

410 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Captain Webb, 6/1 Colony, Conduit, 9/1 Pacifism, 10/1 Trenchtown, 12/1 City Of The Kings, 14/1 Dona Alba, 16/1 Safari Sunup, 18/1 Cossack Prince, 20/1 Harry Gee, 25/1 Midships .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CAPTAIN WEBB faces weak opposition at Brighton last time but looked very good and can continue his unbeaten run under today's penalty. Lots of the others could improve as middle-distance three-year-olds, with the Stoute-trained pair Conduit and Colony in particular catching the eye.[RA]

Conduit and Colony each way against the multiple winner

3 into 1 - none today

2 2nd's - one at over evens, one odds on - another fecking odds on loser! I'm keeping track of all bets not just evens and above

FOOTBALL
Again a great night and today it's Beaujolais, Beaujolais with Nantes and Le havres at home , but I am a little concerned by their recent "bottling it" in games.3 draws on the trot for Le Havre - there is a form line through AMien who Le HAvre beat easily, BUT who beat Riems 1-0. We have a sequence to break tonight and that's 3 draws on the trot. What is the likelihood of a 4th? So it points to the win for Le Havre who have dropped 6 points in their last 3 - still 4 points ahead of Nantes so if NAntes win tonight and Le Havre draw then it will be tight.

Nantes - draw win loss draw last 4 - the draw and win came at home and they are priced 4/7 tonight against Montpellier. I can't see them losing this match and they will be keen to win. If they draw or lose and Le Havre win, then the gap may become unassailable at the head of the league.
Both teams at home - both teams priced to win by 1 at least and the urgency and need for a win -I'll back both and hope for a return to early season form

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