Well Bold Punt was "ominously close" shortening to 2/1 and for those following the live markets this should have been noted - 4/6 (60%) and 2/1 (33.33%) made up 93.33% of the book. The value of a flexible attitude.
You must remember, as yesterday was a great example, that it ain't over until...... and not taking advantage of price drops through trading ( when a trading opportunity is available) will result in greater losses ( as I know to my cost in the past)
Chelsea still DON'T lose at home!
I didn't notice Nantes were playing and presumed they wouldn't be having played on Friday but they won easily - pity about that
EXETER
210
BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Rawdon, 5/1 Dovedale, 6/1 Sovereign Spirit, 8/1 Back To The Wind, 10/1 Bon Viveur, 12/1 Global Strategy, 14/1 Captain Tidds, Mungo Jerry, Winsley Hill, 16/1 Donatessa, Emile Zola, 20/1 Gallant Hero, Ganymede, Lord Adonis, Petrus De Sormain, 33/1 Plume D´Oudairies .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A whole host to consider in an open affair. EMILE ZOLA is one of the more speculative options as his form figures imply, but the drying conditions could make a big difference to him and he's worth chancing in the first-time headgear. |
" a whole host to consider in a wide open affair" - well my previous each way lucky dips have fallen short so this time I'll chance Captain Tidds and Donatessa each way at 14/1 and 16/1 not with any confidence as I'm only chosing them based on their position in the betting forecast
310
BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Nacadour, 6/1 Mister Apple´s, Potts Of Magic, 7/1 Iris De Balme, 9/1 Yann´s, 10/1 Even More, Ibberton, Ironside, 12/1 Henry´s Pride, 14/1 Amazing Valour, Special Conquest, 20/1 Zimbabwe, 25/1 Noble Buck, 50/1 Good Man Again .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Mister Apple's is expected go well back from a break but preference is for strong traveller IRIS DE BALME (nap), who isn't yet fully exposed over marathon trips. Nacadour and Potts Of Magic should also be involved. |
Iris De Balme is the shortest priced distance winner over this 3 mile 6 furlongs and I'll chance each way
NOTTS
320
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Azeer, 9/2 Fosool, Modernist, 5/1 Andaman Sunset, 8/1 Master Spy, 14/1 Born Tobouggie, King´s Alchemist, Sir Royal, 16/1 Staten, 50/1 Jordi Roper, 66/1 Lady Florence .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Azeer must take plenty of beating but FOSOOL is bred to be useful and may be the answer if there's any confidence behind her in the betting.[PJ] |
"must take plenty of beating" - very confident words from Spotlight but there is a "but"
Place only on Azeer for me
With soft ground and maidens elsewhere it's best to look at the live betting market for clues with these. A day where I don't really expect much at all from the racing.
3 into 1
Winner and pulled up yesterday
None today
No real football opportunities for me today
A very quiet day - racing like today's is ideally suited to live market monitoring especially with the maidens. Soft ground is a sticking point stopping my involvement.
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