As most will want something with a betfair market then it is to the other shortlisters that I must make my selection.
Standout today for me is the 820 Tramore - a long wait alas but in Apt Manor we find a horse with proven bumper form , running for the Mullins operation who are killer in Ireland, and in a race where currently 4 only are under 20/1
Needs looking at nearer the off as you can appreciate so expect an update at 745 - 810pm via the blog and email provider.
***** ONE A DAY - 820 TRAMORE - APT MANOR TO PLACE - prevalent upon market inspection nearer race time*****
1.1 for Big issue at the off was welcome.
Wales won and Iceland scored first for a successful trade as advised. There were many enhanced football trades last night, from England, Spain under 21, Estonia and many more.
530pm - Holstebro vs AGF Arhus - 1/7 away. Danish Cup and I have been watching the scorelines come up these past few days and the favourites have all won convincingly. This in not on Betfair though but is with some online bookies.
745pm - Siena v Ternana - 1.41 home - italian cup match and head to heads are from 2003. Seria A v LP1B Girone B and home advantage, you would think Siena have the edge.
TENNIS
3rd round Roger's Cup
 | Berdych v Dolgopolov |
6pm - Llodra v Federer - 1.13 away - faith in Federer although he has not been as dependable as usual
00.30-Nadal v Anderson - 1.11 Nadal
220 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Book Keeper, 5/2 Pigeon Hollow, 9/2 Zakon, 6/1 Il Battista, Swift Alhaarth, 8/1 Orange Ketchup, 14/1 Time To Work, 25/1 Swaninstockwell, 33/1 Suzy Wong, 50/1 Seas Of Sorrow, Will Barrow.
| DIOMED VERDICT: BOOK KEEPER can make amends for his latest unfortunate run here. |
From his last race - "With a clear run he would surely have won."
Godolphin maiden has had 2 runs already
305 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Barq, 7/2 Danehill Sunset, 11/2 Warm Memories, 8/1 Magic Jack, 12/1 Supa Seeker, 16/1 Brewers Boy, Far View, 25/1 Kargarann, 50/1 Miss Tenacious.
| DIOMED VERDICT: With Danehill Sunset and Warm Memories yet to fulfil early promise, this looks a good opportunity for BARQ. |
8 runners, only 3 under 16/1 here and a short head 2nd last time out, this looks a goo opportunity for Barq to place at least for Godolphin
435 EPSOM
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Fork Lightning, 11/4 Shamardal Phantom, 11/2 Child Of Our Time, 13/2 Sasheen, 12/1 Mexican Deb, Treasure Way, 20/1 Bill´s Story, 66/1 Hotfoot.
| DIOMED VERDICT: FORK LIGHTNING sets a good standard and the return to a longer trip is a bonus |
Straight 8 and 3 places and a Prescott fav now odds on and up in trip as seems the tradition with this trainer.
555 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Lunar Victory, 6/1 Priors Gold, 7/1 Ahaazeeg, 9/1 Pursuit Of Reason, 33/1 Voysey, 40/1 Bravo Bravo, 66/1 Pivotal Express.
| DIOMED VERDICT: LUNAR VICTORY probably has a golden opportunity. |
2 debutants here but obvious place chance in fav - only 2 places though - neck 2nd last time out augurs well.
730 LEOPARDSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Beethoven, 7/4 Akdarena, 5/1 Emulous, 7/1 King Jock, 12/1 Dandy Boy.
Should be the front 3 for 2 places
820 TRAMORE
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Apt Manor, 6/1 Pat And Joe, Quenzo Pierji, 7/1 Dancing Bird, 20/1 First Morning, 25/1 Dohora Lady, 33/1 Mary With The I, Pampered Jack, Soaked Right Thru, 50/1 I Might Surprise.
Apt manor has the form to win this bumper or at least place
830 LEOPARDSTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Truth Seeking, 9/2 Fedora, 5/1 Mount Abora, 6/1 Pinnk, 8/1 Twinkling Ice, 10/1 Annakeen, 14/1 Party Whip, 16/1 Daisy Mountain, 20/1 Countess Salome, 33/1 Angel Stevens.
Weld/Smullen fav should be interesting.
SHORTLIST
530pm - Holstebro vs AGF Arhus - 1/7 away - The dutch cup matches have tended to go the way of the favourites.
00.30-Nadal v Anderson - 1.11 Nadal - odds down now to 1.08 for the fav for this tournament.
4 maidens highlighted today is perhaps not ideal.
230 EPSOM - Book keeper should have won last time out and with a clear run should be competitive -1.27 to place
305 SALISBURY - another Godolphin horse in Barq was a short head 2nd last time out.
1.1 to place
435 EPSOM - Prescott horses, favs in handicaps, going up in trip have generally run really well - this is an 8 runner race with 3 at 33/1 or bigger leaving 5 for 3 places and the hope for Fork Lightning to finish in the first 3. 1.2 to place
Analysis of last race "Fork Lightning improved switched to turf for the first time and should win before long, be it a maiden or a handicap, as there´s everychance of further progress from this well-bred sort (dam won Nassau and Sun Chariot), particularly back over 1m."
EVENING RACES
Will need looking at nearer race time
555 GOODWOOD - the obvious 1 of the day this Lunar Victory but I would need to review the market as this is a maiden and there are 2 debutants.
820 TRAMORE - Apt manor is the horse that has caught my eye today and will need to be looked at at around 8pm - Mullins/Mullins and 2 solid bumper runs at galway
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
530pm - Holstebro vs AGF Arhus - 1/7 away - 1.14 with Ladbrokes -I would only back given the prevalence of winning favs in this Danish Cup competition
820 TRAMORE - Apt manor - only 4 under 20/1 at present and solid 2nd to Weld hotpot at Galway -this is a bumper and he is likely to run well for Mullins/Mullins -1.13 at present is appealing but as this is bumper and there are some 8 hours til race time, we need to consult the market nearer that race time.
305 SALISBURY - Barq is in a race of 8 runners where only 4 are under 16/1 and he is 8/13 now . 1.1 to place for Dettori and Godolphin
435 EPSOM - the analysis of Fork Lightning's last race hinted that a rise in trip would be a key in securing a win so this is what Prescott is doing today - take the hint? 5 under 25/1 should fight the 3 places.
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