Saturday 1 November 2008

1/11

Nice place for Carruthers - another probability race - watch out for these - 8 runners reduced to 6 but Betfair still pays out 3 the place
315 ACOT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Ringaroses, 5/2 French Saulaie, 4/1 Psychomodo, 17/2 Russian Around, 10/1 Poker De Sivola, 12/1 Swordsman, 14/1 Slash And Burn, 20/1 Padalko, 50/1 Rock Captain, 80/1 Peak Seasons, 100/1 Finnegans Rainbow .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This may be between RINGAROSES and French Saulaie. The latter has the chasing experience but Ringaroses was at least his equal over hurdles and is preferred, with Henrietta Knight likely to have been very thorough in preparing one of her brightest prospects

fRENCH sALUE THE ONE FOR MONEY ON THE EXCHANGES EARLY doors 3.35 / 1.41

Heavy ground at Ayr - leave well alone
230 DOWNPATRICK
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Kauto Star, 3/1 The Listener, 10/1 Knight Legend, 14/1 Turpin Green, 40/1 Light On The Broom .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a perfect starting-off point for KAUTO STAR, while Knight Legend makes some appeal as an alternative to The Listener for the forecast on the basis of race-fitness.

Kauto returns - only 2 the palce and soft bordering on heavy grounf 1.5 / 1.24/
920 great leighs
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Serhaaphim, 6/1 Lady Traill, Tapaellya, 8/1 Blushing Hilary, 10/1 Bonzo, Simple Jim, Sleepy Mountain, 12/1 Intensifier, 20/1 Aura, Peas ´n Beans, 50/1 Daarth ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SERHAAPHIM has kept some useful company over hurdles since she was last seen on the Flat and can take advantage of a potentially lenient mark, particularly if market signals are positive after her absence. Tapaellya and Lady Traill are also shortlisted.

Now 2/1 but ages to go to race start -need to check earer race time

355 NMKT -
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Bankable, 9/2 Virtual, 5/1 Lucky Find, 6/1 Alexandros, 10/1 General Eliott, 12/1 Dijeerr, Don´t Panic, 20/1 Calming Influence, Captain Marvelous, 25/1 Without A Prayer, 33/1 Babodana ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With conditions ideal, BANKABLE can silence his detractors on his drop back to Listed company. Alexandros and General Eliott look best of the remainder

Bankable - placed 5 times! BUT this is a competitive race

115 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Glencree, 4/1 Motafarred, 9/2 Billie Magern, 13/2 Horsham Lad, 10/1 Sea Storm, 14/1 Unforgettable, 20/1 Sendali, 40/1 Cadwell, Run Free, 50/1 Saluscraggie, 66/1 Maria Antonia, 100/1 Tip Top Style .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Point winner GLENCREE, who cost a packet and has already been talked up as a good prospect, can give Howard Johnson a hat-trick in this race. Horsham Lad is another with a good home reputation, while Motafarred ran well enough on his hurdling bow, though Johnson should know just where he stands with him.[

Probability race? Look at the prices of the outsiders - 5 at 100/1 or bigger

SHORTLIST - I'll stick with Kauto Star today to place oin the first 2 at 1.25

No comments: