29/11

Nice place yesterday - 2nd in a photo finish but that's all I wanted! Very happy with my analysis of Spinone - Pat Smullen obviously knew something as he ditched his employer Dermot WEld's horse and gave s a nice 6/1 winner!
I can envision problems if having to use www.racingpost.com from 1st December because there are no view all races on one page feature meaning you have to bring up each individual race-this is going to prove difficult for me and my only hope is that www.racingpost.co.uk survives in the interim so just to prewarn you

1225 NEWBRY
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 American Trilogy, 3/1 Cockney Trucker, 9/2 Peppertree Lane, 15/2 Moves Goodenough, 14/1 Norman The Great, Roulez Cool, 16/1 Unfurled, 20/1 Benfleet Boy, Gremlin, 40/1 Brave Quest, 50/1 Lord Oroko, Spanish Cruise.

Again Nicholls heads the market here in what can be viewed as a 5 horse race (Norman the Great represents King/Thornton )

Cockney trucker is the mover here into 6/4 and may have to be heeded 2.46 \ 1.37

135 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Petit Robin, 11/2 Predateur, 7/1 Sou´Wester, 9/1 Its Crucial, 12/1 Bleu Superbe, King Louis, The Wicketkeeper, 14/1 Saintsaire, 16/1 Arumun, 20/1 Brave Villa, 25/1 Oneway .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: He's been off the track for almost a year but PETIT ROBIN (nap) looked very promising when winning here on that second hurdles start and he had even better form over fences in France. This could be an excellent opportunity, with most of the rest having questions to answer. The chief threats could be Sou'wester and King Louis.[

Price gap here- but a long absence - now a shade of odds on is encouraging and the right man on board. Watch out for BRave Villa -now 14/1 in places may be a 16/1 system bet and worth a shilling or 2 each way 1.99/ 1.3

205 NEWB
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Inglis Drever, 7/2 Blazing Bailey, 11/2 Pettifour, 6/1 Duc De Regniere, 8/1 Mobaasher, 16/1 Labelthou, 25/1 Hills Of Aran, Whatuthink, 500/1 Sterling Moll .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Pettifour has rapidly battled his way through the ranks in this division but there is no getting away from the fact that INGLIS DREVER has usually performed to a markedly higher level in his fantastic career and all here depends on whether the reigning champion can resume in the same vein. It is an encouragement that he was better than ever last season. Duc De Regniere is on the up again now that he has been put back to hurdles and is an interesting prospect over 3m for the first time.

Exciting to see Inglis Drever back BUT chosen as a Scoop 6 race tells us the bookies think this is a difficult one to solve
Has the look of a 5 horse race and the market has remained quite static -still looks a decent place only opportunity but as seen with Kauto Star NOTHING is a given over the jumps 2.82 / 1.42

1220 TOWCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Charmaine Wood, 9/2 Flutter Bye, 6/1 White Moss, 10/1 Overdante, 12/1 Happy Fleet, Present Climate, Sisterhood, 14/1 Snake Skin, 20/1 Somerset Rose, 25/1 Coral Shores, 50/1 Bitesize, 100/1 Simplyirresistible .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Flutter Bye, bred to make a jumper, can leave her moderate bumper form behind now she goes hurdling but may find b\CHARMAINE WOOD (nap), who sets a fair standard on the form of her C&D win, too good this time.

Towcester and soft ground do not appeal to me as a betting medium given the killer hill but the fav here hints at a price gap and is a course and distance winner 1.63 \ 1.13

Now odds on with Flutter bye the only real danger if the early market is accurate

1250 TOWCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Quickbeam, 15/8 Overbranch, 2/1 Consigliere, 33/1 Oscar Owen, 50/1 Roseville .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Effectively a three-horse contest. Consigliere has bags of ability but isn't the most assured of jumpers and, while Overbranch is a safe conveyance with good enough form to suggest she'll be thereabouts, QUICKBEAM (nap) is unexposed and may just prove a cut above both in this grade.

I like these races for place only betting - 3 vying for 2 places

Quickbeam is 4/5 1.72 / 1.25

750 WOLVes
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Barkass, 7/2 Kingsholm, 13/2 Putra Laju, 9/1 Climate, Tallest Peak, 14/1 Keepsgettingbetter, 16/1 Broughtons Silk, Seta Pura, 20/1 Flagstone, Roundthetwist, Semah Harold, 50/1 Orchestrator, 66/1 All About Jack .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BARKASS (nap) looks better than the average plater despite his reported physical problems and he can make George Baker's dash up from Kempton worthwhile. Putra Laju looks the best alternative.

iNTERESTING market here with 5 sub double figures

Closer inspection needed as this is a late race time and anything could happen i n the interim 2.72 / 1.3

My one a day I think will be Quickbeam purely from a probability perspective - 5 horse race - 2 clear outsiders and a horse now at odds on with a significant gap developed between the 2 marke t leaders and the rest of the field