Tuesday, 11 November 2008

11/11

My selection a non runner so I went for Albertine Rose yesterday - 4/6 in betting forecast went off 4/11 and 1.12 was perfectly acceptable to hit my target

Heavy at Exeter - not for me over jumps

Heavy at Lingfield - as above

Live market players may find an opportunity if there are late non runners due to the ground

120 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Monsieur Villez, 9/4 Delightfully, 9/2 Gamma Velorum, 6/1 Bonneta, 10/1 Viscount Rossini, 25/1 Just Posh, 33/1 Bawnafaugh, Mariners Way, 66/1 Cadeaux Singer.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Delightfully is weighted to go well on the pick of her form but MONSIEUR VILLEZ also has a decent chance on these terms and, with his reappearance behind him, gets the verdict dropped back down in class

Selling hurdle here but looks to involve 5 runners -good to soft may turn soft

350
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Vivona Hill, 6/1 Finlay, 13/2 Carndonagh, 9/1 Southerness, 14/1 Sharadiyn, 20/1 Brennan, 25/1 Abbey Minster, What´s Occurrin, 40/1 Bitesize,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: VIVONA HILL created a most favourable impression when making a successful debut and, evidently held in some regard, he should be capable of defying a penalty on his return from a break. Carndonagh and Finlay may prove best of the rest.

A bumper and some debitants but Vivona looks worth a second look now at 1/2. ground will have to be checked as will the live market given the newcomers
4 horses at 50/1 or over too make the favs life easier from a place only perspectve

Sharadiyn a possible market mover

A day where heavy groudnd at 2 venues means it is more of a layer that a backers day

I will look again at Vivona Hall as my selection but need to guage the market given the race type (bumper)

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