Wednesday 26 November 2008

26/11

110 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Thursday´s Knight, 7/2 Java Victory, 5/1 Decree Nisi, 8/1 L´Eau Du Nil, 9/1 Fade To Grey, 12/1 A Few Kind Words, 14/1 Fishguard Filly, 25/1 Huck Finn, 40/1 Quantock Venture .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: If Java Victory's fourth over C&D can be taken at face value, he should be involved dropped to this level on his debut for Evan Williams but THURSDAY'S KNIGHT gets the verdict on his solid recent handicap form.[

I have backed this one before and he reains head of the market 2.36 / 1.26 - first time in a seller

140 CHEPSTOW
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Amble Forge, 3/1 Baseball Ted, 9/2 Great Tsar, 6/1 Sarahs Gift, 12/1 Shampers, 14/1 And Your Point Is, Sumdancer, 20/1 Great Compton .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Amble Forge has won his only race over fences and may be able to confirm his Bangor superiority over Great Tsar if he handles the forecast less testing ground but BASEBALL TED, who remains fairly treated on his best hurdles form, looks worth another chance.

Looks a competitive market 2.9 / 1.14

650 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Freepressionist, 3/1 Our Wee Girl, 7/1 Little Blacknumber, 14/1 Shirley High, 16/1 Nairana, Readily, 20/1 Cash In The Attic, Lady Gem, Madam´X, 33/1 Devon Diva, 50/1 Gracie´s Games, Gwerthybyd, Thumberlina .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Our Wee Girl will be a big factor if back on song after a break but the sixth furlong and outside draw may well count against her and FREEPRESSIONIST is likely to be hard to beat. Little Blacknumber is a likely improver and can get in the money.

2 year old class 6 5 furlong maiden fillies race - YIKES - looks a price gap between first 2 and rest of the field 2.42 / 1.17

720 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 North South Divide, 2/1 Enlightened, 12/1 Alocin, Mr Rev, 14/1 Bilboa, 50/1 Marvin Gardens, 66/1 Rose De Rita, 100/1 Princess Namid .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An obvious opportunity for NORTH SOUTH DIVIDE to finally get his head in front. Enlightened and Mr Rev can follow him home in a weak affai

Looks a 2 horse race here but given race time its worth seeing if there are any market movers
Bilbao is the market mover at the moment

2.06/1.12
3.25/1.35

720 WOLVES looks a good probability race - 8 runners - I cannot put anything forward with the race going off at 720 as anything can happen between now and then. I would be interested I suppose in whichever of North South Divide and Enlightened is the better backed

100 KEMPTON is a 5 runner event with French Opera now odds on which is appealing. Of corse with 5 runners and now debuting over the chase fences, we have to be spot on 1.29 to place is appealing and so high given the 2 places only.
BETTING FORECAST: Evs French Opera, 11/4 Doctor David, 7/1 Ameeq, Beherayn, 8/1 Sea The Light .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A suitable opportunity for the very useful hurdler FRENCH OPERA to make a winning debut over fences before going on to better things

I may actually take a chance on French Opera today, although I have cursed in the past when getting involved in sub 8 runner races over the jumps. 1.29 will not take up much stake.

Those with more patience should wait for the 720 Wolves for a clearer example ofprobability racing and 3 the place

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