Sunday, 30 November 2008

1/12

Yesterday's selection Brook no argument placed well
Making a shortlist now incase the Racingpost.co.uk changes with the new month to the bad racingpost.com

FAKENHAM
120
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Afsoun, 13/8 Kings Quay, 25/1 Silvo, 66/1 Boscall Hill, Peak Seasons.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Afsoun was well ahead of KINGS QUAY over hurdles but there were signs at Warwick that he may lack the bottle for chasing and, given a tendency to hit flat spots in his races, this track might not be tailor-made for him. John Quinn's charge, on the other hand, has done all his winning over jumps on sharp tracks and, if taking to the challenge, is not without hope of surprising the favourite.[

3 clear outsiders and a 2 horse race - barring accidents the front 2 should fill the places - prices remain as is in the earely market with a move for Silvo to 18/1 -probably each way thievery 1.14 place / 1.48 win

150
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Little Shilling, 5/1 Orchard House, 8/1 Blueland, 10/1 Goscar Rock, 14/1 Nessen Dorma, 16/1 The Iron Giant, 20/1 Supa Tramp, 25/1 Little Task, 33/1 Riccardo, The Masters Lesson.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Today's softer ground is a slight issue but LITTLE SHILLING still looks very well handicapped and there's no great temptation to take him on

On a 4 timer on soft ground - will he place again? 2nd and 3rd are non runners making Little Shillings job a lot easier 1.36 / 1.09

250
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Freeze The Flame, 4/1 Spare Me, 7/1 Pairc Na Gcapall, 15/2 Iron Hague, 33/1 Finnegans Rainbow.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The 'bounce' factor rears its ugly head second time out after a long break but FREEZE THE FLAME showed enough at Kempton to suggest all of his old ability remains and, if running his race, should have too much class for these. Pairc Na Gcapall may offer the most resistance

Beginners chase here and only 2 the place - liver market tomorrow imperative -again as is in the live market 1.68 / 1.24

320
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Friendly King, 5/2 Lord Brunello, Nordwind, 14/1 Dance Island, 20/1 Call Me Alfie, Dark Planet, Ramvaswani, 25/1 Marlyn Ridge, 100/1 Alloro, Ashover Rock.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The ground will help but this still might not be a sufficient test of stamina for Lord Brunello and FRIENDLY KING looks the one to be on after running so well at Warwick. Nordwind may prefer better conditions

3 are sub 14/1 bt I need to see the ground conditions tomorrow incase they worsen from soft - Nordwind the market mover here which interests but Dance Island And Ramvaswani are significant early market movers 3.5 / 1.38

FOLKSTONE
100
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Just Poppytee, 13/8 Portrait Royale, 7/2 Don´t Be Bleu, 12/1 Miss Doublet.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Portrait Royale looked the likely winner when falling on her chase debut at Lingfield last month and should go close if avoiding errors, but marginal preference is for JUST POPPYTEE who has heavily backed and travelling enthusiastically in front when coming down at Plumpton last time.[

2 vying for 2 places? BUT soft and 3 miler - don't be bleu the market mover 1.59 place

130
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Awesome George, 7/4 The Old Pretender, 5/2 Martys Mission, 66/1 Achieved, Optimum Asset.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Martys Mission was not disgraced behind the very useful Diamond Harry last time and has to be respected, but AWESOME GEORGE took a major step forward winning in similar conditions last time and may be more progressive. The one to watch closely in the market is The Old Pretender who showed smart form in bumpers and makes his hurdle debut after nine months off


3 vying for 2 places again -heavy ground on the hrdle course means caution required - the old pretender has kept his price - Awsome George is the Thornton/King horse

1.45 / 1.48

200

BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Spanchil Hill, 7/2 Elliott, 7/1 Enroblim Trop, 11/1 Lutin Collonges, 12/1 Auburn Grey, 14/1 No Telling, 25/1 Rock Captain, 33/1 National Diploma.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With three of his rivals out of the weights and a few others with questions to answer, SPANCHIL HILL (nap) should be hard to beat in his hat-trick bid and he can add to his trainer‘s excellent record at this track. The main danger is Elliott.


3 sub double figure odds Enroblim Trop the market mover with Rock Captain significant too 6.2 / 2.1

Looks a very difficult day today with soft and heavy ground at the 2 jumps courses. Consult live markets tomorrow for a clearer indication

Chance on Little Shilling in the win market at 1.38? _Place is quite obviously preferred but a far worse price


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