Friday 21 November 2008

22/11

Again I was very pleased with the analysis yesterday which I thought was very accurate

Like yesterday I will do the shortlist now and have to consult the live market tomorrow for final confirmation

120 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Jack The Giant, 9/2 Andreas, 11/2 Bleu Superbe, 7/1 Leslingtaylor, 15/2 Howle Hill, Lord Henry, 9/1 Enlightenment, 25/1 Orpen Wide .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not the strongest of races for the money on offer and it is a decent opportunity for JACK THE GIANT to scoop another big pot at Ascot, having taken the Ladbroke Handicap Hurdle here last December. A smart novice chaser two seasons ago, Jack The Giant almost certainly has more to offer over fences and is fancied to prove too strong for Leslingtaylor, who may be the pick of the others

8 rnners pays 3 the palce - hint of a price gapper BUT this is a competitive Saturday. Again the sight of BArry Geraghty over the water is a positive

155 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Crack Away Jack, 11/4 Chomba Womba, 7/2 Elusive Dream, 8/1 Franchoek, 25/1 Lough Derg, 50/1 Kawagino, 66/1 Alph, 150/1 Bullhill Flyer .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CHOMBA WOMBA was smart last season but looked to have come on again when winning well on her reappearance at Wincanton this month, a performance which sets a high standard here. Crack Away Jack's relentless improvement over hurdles means that he commands considerable respect as the main danger even though winning this will necessitate another step forward. Elusive Dream is best of the rest.

A 4 horse race if the ebtting forecast is accurate - some super jumpers here and the live market imperative to see where the confidence is. If it all goes as per the market I need to choose 1 from 4 to palce in the first 3 - great probability bet

140 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 2/11 Binocular, 8/1 Los Nadis, 9/1 Lazy Darren, 33/1 Chord, 100/1 Crosby Jemma .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There will be some long faces among those holding ante-post vouchers about BINOCULAR for the Champion Hurdle if Nicky Henderson's star novice of last season comes unstuck here, but that is most unlikely. Lazy Darren might just edge Los Nadis out of second.[

Again price is irrelevant when we are not on loss retrieval duty and this looks nailed on (although there is no such thing as a sure thing)

215 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Kauto Star, 7/2 Exotic Dancer, 20/1 Cloudy Lane, 25/1 Tamarinbleu, 33/1 Ollie Magern, 50/1 Snoopy Loopy .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: KAUTO STAR's brilliant performance at Down Royal left little room for doubting that the former Cheltenham Gold Cup hero is back at the top of his game and it's difficult to see any of these rivals preventing him winning this Grade 1 chase for the third year in a row, with super-sub Sam Thomas again doing the steering in place of sidelined Ruby Walsh. Exotic Dancer, narrowly beaten by his old rival here 12 months ago, is the one most likely to chase him home, though Tamarinbleu isn't without hope if his stamina holds out

It gets better! KAuto back after a 19 length demolition for a previous place only bet. Superb to see him minus Ruby though

130 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Albaseet, 11/4 Africa´s Star, 7/2 Sharpener, 13/2 Chimbonda, 12/1 Fantasy Gladiator, 25/1 Contradiktive, 66/1 Abitofaboost, Music In The Glen .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ALBASEET posted arguably the best effort of his career at Kempton last time and can get off the mark. Fantasy Gladiator is a possible alternative at a bigger price

Another posible probability race here

620 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Miss Beat, 3/1 Free Thinker, 5/1 Kimberley Downs, Non Dom, 8/1 Sussex Dancer, 20/1 Big Nige, Bollin Judith, Cumbrian Gold, 25/1 Mile High Lad, 33/1 Broughton Beck, Refuse To Decline, 100/1 Sally´s Swansong .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MISS BEAT ran a race full of promise on her debut and with this longer trip in her favour, she is taken to make it second time lucky. Kimberley Downs and the solid marker Free Thinker look best of the rest.

2 year old maiden ! BUt a chance of a probability bet here - need to look for market movers

750
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Doncosaque, 8/1 Betws Y Coed, 10/1 Dougie Peel, In Step, Precocious Air, 14/1 Miss Kadee, Vodka Shot, 25/1 Jack´s House, 33/1 Coral Point, 66/1 Blushing Dreamer, Franali, Indian Blade, Sytygre .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not much strength in depth and DONCOSAQUE is taken to make an immediate return on the £12,000 his new connections forked out for him after his recent easy win at Great Leighs.

Eye catching price gap here

UPDATES TO APPEAR AROUND 12PM SATURDAY

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