27/11

Patience the key yesterday - waiting until the 720 wolves - the other race was a 6 runner 2 the place race and the fav was a faller.

Preference always for 3 the place over 2 the place especially when the former is a probability race

850 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Remember Ramon, 3/1 Action Impact, 13/2 Indian Skipper, 7/1 Yankee Storm, 8/1 Dream Of Fortune, 12/1 Resplendent Ace, 14/1 War Anthem, 25/1 Mount Usher, 33/1 Prince Zafonic.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: From a stable finally going great guns after being struck down by a bug, REMEMBER RAMON (nap) is taken to follow up his recent win off a mark that - despite his penalty - is still well below what he was rated at one time. Action Impact seems sure to run well, while Dream Of Fortune could also go well.[
Prince Zafonic at 12/1! Watch out for this one if remaining at 12/1 or any price up to 20/1 at the off - worth a sly shilling each way!

1225 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Over Sixty, 100/30 Carole´s Legacy, 5/1 Mewstone, 8/1 Tara Two Hills, 10/1 Easter Legend, 12/1 Cornelia, 16/1 Delays Expected, 33/1 Cool Friend, 50/1 Braybrooke Lady, Kentford Serotina, 100/1 Gone Cloudy.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Useful bumper performer Carole's Legacy may be open to improvement on her fair first effort over hurdles upped in trip now but OVER SIXTY sets a useful standard on her latest second against male opposition in a Cheltenham Grade 2 and has to be preferred. Judged on both racing performance and on pedigree, Over Sixty should find this longer trip within range. Carole's Legacy is still next best, ahead of Mewstone.

Choc Thornton returns on an odds on shot Over Sixty for Alan King in a race where 5 runners are 40/1 or bigger 1.94 / 1.16

1255 NEWB
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Straw Bear, 5/4 Pasco, 15/2 Isn´t That Lucky, 50/1 Thenford Trout, 100/1 Hi Blue.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With the small field, flatter track and forecast less testing ground all in his favour, STRAW BEAR may be able to banish the memory of a tame effort against Arkle favourite Tatenen at Cheltenhasm last time and instead build on the promise of an eye-catching chase debut second at Exeter the time before. Tatenen's stablemate, Pasco, doesn't have that much to find with Straw Bear on that Exeter form and should be ready to take full advantage if the selection blows out again.

A 2 horse race I hope in prospect pays 2 the place, but like yesterday if there is a 3 the place race then preference would be for that
1.26 Pasco
1.33 Straw Bear

130 NEWB
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Parlesotho, 5/1 Cavallini, 8/1 Tuskar Rock, 9/1 Cootehill, Karasakal, 12/1 Edgbriar, 16/1 Haldibari, Maree Hall, 20/1 Inchloch, Sovereign Spirit, 25/1 Agoodun,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This is a better-contested race than the modest one PARLESOTHO (nap) won at Leicester last week but she absolutely scooted up there and, despite her penalty, she makes strong appeal for her top stable. With a doubt about the suitability of this ground for Cavallini, Tuskar Rock may be the best alternative.

Again a King horse heads the market but why is Tusker Rock 28/1 - a kind of reverse 16/1 - there have been big priced winners this week whose prices were doubled or greater than their betting forecast prices. Edgebriar is the traditional market mover 2 / 1.28

205 NEWB
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Tartak, 2/1 The Tother One, 4/1 Gone To Lunch, 11/2 Hold Em, 10/1 Crescent Island, 33/1 Ouste.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This may be between TARTAK and The Tother One, with preference for Tartak, who has made a big impression in winning both of his starts for Tom George, particularly so in a decent event at Huntingdon last time.

3 in with a shout paying out 2 the place -The Tother One and Gone to Lunch are the market movers
Tother One 2.52 / 1.59
Gone to Lunch 4 / 1.95
Tartack 4.8 / 2.3


105 TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Shamari, 4/1 Nearby, 7/1 Erdeli, 10/1 King Brex, 12/1 Roodolph, 14/1 King Ozzy, 20/1 Come On Jonny, 25/1 One To Follow, Phamtom Du Lac, 50/1 Meohmy, National Petition, Prudent Phoebe, 100/1 Evening Class, New Rackheath.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The ex-French pair SHAMARI and Nearby have long absences to overcome but they represent top yards and have the potential to do well over jumps. Preference is for Shamari, but it is probably worth checking the market before getting too heavily involved.[

Debutants here and NAtional Petition quite a mover 2.554 / 1.46 National PEtition at 50 is worth £2 for me !

140 TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Deep Purple, 3/1 Laredo Sound, 13/2 Mister Watzisname, 8/1 Mon Michel, 10/1 Dominican Monk, 12/1 Quillan Hill, 14/1 Bon Temps Rouler, 20/1 Tritonville Lodge, 25/1 Like A Duke, Soprano.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: No surprise to see improvement from Deep Purple but his jumping was not good enough at Wetherby last time and with Charlie Mann's string in great order, LAREDO SOUND is preferred

Laredo Sound is now favourite here 2.64 / 1.35

215 TAUNTON
BETTING FORECAST: 1/5 The Nightingale, 10/1 Calusa Crystal, Sassanias, 20/1 Patsy Finnegan, 25/1 Thomondgate, 33/1 Puccini, 66/1 Alfie Rose.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This should be a straightforward task for THE NIGHTINGALE, who was in the process of showing smart form before slipping up with the race at his mercy on his hurdle debut.

A Nicholls horse at a short price should hopefully be trusted here in a quite obvious choice
BUT only 2 the place 1.19 / 1.08

1245 UTTOX
BETTING FORECAST: 2/7 Zed Candy, 9/2 Baskerville, 12/1 Burnbank, 14/1 Crazy Bold.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The useful and consistent ZED CANDY was impressive here last month and, with less to beat, he ought to take this with ease.[BDO]
1/5 now is a positive
Will there be a place only market here? 1.25 / 1.08

120 UTTOX
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Gypsy George, 13/8 Starburst Diamond, 11/2 Cast Cada, 8/1 Comhla Ri Coig, 25/1 Another Winnie, Stran Millis, 33/1 Gagarin, Legal Joy, 50/1 Where´s Trigger, 100/1 Henbeck Lady.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Starburst Diamond sets a good standard over hurdles but he may struggle to give weight to useful staying chaser GYPSY GEORGE, who will be hard to beat if proving anywhere near as adept over hurdles

A clear 4 horse race here -Cast Cada a market mover

Gypsy 2.82 /1.22
Starburst 3.5 /1.37
Cast Cada 4.4 /1.5
Comhla Ri Coig 7.6 / 1.95

Clear probability race here if the perceived outsiders run to their prices ( ie BADLY!)

120 UTTOXETER looks between 4 horses with 3 to place so is clearly better for me than a sub 8 runner event with only 2 places. I will stick with the fav here at 1.22 as my one a day