Thursday, 20 November 2008

20/11

Piece of piss for the diva who was Swiss yestersday - do watch out when the betting forecast price appears considerably shorter in the live market
750 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Fosool, 3/1 Bullet Man, 6/1 Lyceana, 10/1 Ibbetson, 16/1 Kipchak, 25/1 Gun For Sale, 33/1 Celtic Gold, Roleplay, 50/1 Ashton Heights, 66/1 Billy Cadiz, Rumline .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Bullet Man should be monitored closely in the betting on his belated reappearance but FOSOOL looks the one to beat on her second to a subsequently useful filly at Nottingham, particularly if the market signals are positive after her absence

Fav based on one run 200+ days ago in a maiden - live market required here given race type 2.18 / 1.11

120 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Solar Max, 7/2 Akarshan, 8/1 Bosamcliff, 10/1 Coral Shores, 12/1 Dinarius, 16/1 London Times, No To Trident, 20/1 Drumalee Lass, 50/1 Slayer, 66/1 Barney Again, 100/1 Amouretta, Miss Mozart, Poppy Gregg, 200/1 Keepholdin .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Akarshan looks sure to go well but he may struggle to concede weight to SOLAR MAX, who had the misfortune to bump into a talented French import last time. Bosamcliff is the most interesting newcomer

Juvenile novices hurdle - signfificant price gap between front 2 and rest of field in live market 2/1.18

320 HEREFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Ring Bo Ree, 5/2 Little Shilling, 9/1 Havenstone, 12/1 Abutilon, Mr Maxim, 16/1 Diktatorship, 20/1 Bolton Hall, 25/1 Abfabfong, Whitewater Dash, 33/1 Aymard Des Fieffes, Sandy´s Legend .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Little Shilling and RING BO REE (nap), both of whom look well ahead of the handicapper, can dominate. Little Shilling's win, albeit gained with great ease, at Fakenham came in a seller and preference is for Ring Bo Ree who had every chance at the time of his unfortunate exit in a stronger race at Ludlow.

Little Shilling was a market mover 2 days ago - the money was down for this one then
With Little SHilling out now, surely this opens the ace up to Ring Bo Ree? 2.08 / 1.31


350
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Tokahy, 5/1 Ellen Tilley, 7/1 All The Fashion, 9/1 Edgevine, 14/1 Barton Lora, Russian Angel, 16/1 Bella Haze, 20/1 Mrs Fawlty, 25/1 Jaunty Dove, Skipalong Breeze, Waste Not Want Not, 33/1 Kay For Karbia, 40/1 The Kiwi Matriarch, 50/1 Arctic Flow, 66/1 Elegant Olive, 100/1 Steprow .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A fair mares bumper in which TOKAHY looks the one to beat following her promising debut third in a decent race at Warwick (with three of these rivals behind). The betting should provide additional clues, most notably in the case of the selection's half-sister Edgevine.[

BUMPER - live market imperative 3.4 / 1.59 - not for me

130 WINCANTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Definity, 9/2 Orion D´Oudairies, 7/1 Jaunty Journey, One Cool Knight, 12/1 Tir Gra, 14/1 More The Merrier, 16/1 Master Cobbler, Might As Well, 25/1 Alfatrix, 40/1 Quoin, Well Green, 200/1 Delightful Touch, Judicial Flight .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The two previous hurdle winners were bitterly disappointing last time and the vote goes to DEFINITY, who is expected to make up into a decent staying novice hurdler. Jaunty Journey and One Cool Knight are other winning pointers to consider if the market speak well of them

bIG guns head the field - fav now odds on 1.98 / 1.22

200
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Katess, 7/4 Lamanver Homerun, 11/4 Romping Home, 66/1 Kentford Mist .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Katess and Romping Home both have invaluable public chasing experience and provide serious opposition for LAMANVER HOMERUN who is the highest rated of the trio over hurdles after her encouraging recent reappearance in that sphere.

Probability race? 1.42 / 1.47 / 1.69
Back live market leader to place

Ring Bo Ree for me today with a look at the 200 Race as there's only 3 in it vying for 2 places - probability race -selections determined by confidence in the market

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