31/10

Profit yesterday, winning by a head to a 100/1 shot - not a bother as they say over here because the horse was back to placed
150 NMKT

BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Penny´s Gift, 8/1 Art Princess, Miss Eze, Qalahari, 9/1 Caranbola, 12/1 Happy Forever, Oasis Breeze, 16/1 Coconut Shy, Flame Of Ireland, 20/1 Calahonda, 50/1 Albertine Rose.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PENNY'S GIFT has plenty in her favour and, although the fact she is coming to the end of a longish campaign is something to bear in mind, she is expected to be equal to the task. Miss Eze is the least exposed and a likely improver but the most viable each-way alternative may be Qalahari.[FC]

big price gap 2.58 / 1.38

BUT class 1 listed race - yes you know the drill - all horses in this field are good!

200 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Carruthers, Pancake, 7/2 What A Friend, 6/1 Carnival Town, 8/1 Hopkins, 10/1 Double Intruder, 33/1 Tarsus, The Accordion Man, 66/1 Plum Pudding,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CARRUTHERS looked the part when able to boss things from the front last season and will be tough to collar on his chasing debut if finding some early rhythm. Not that it's going to be easy, as half the field have potential to go a fair way over fences

10 runner field down to 6 = possible probability bet if Betfair still pay 3 the place 3.6 / 1.36 ( 3 horses share 1.36 odds in the place market!)

320 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Sergheyev, 7/2 Border Reiver, 8/1 Almond Court, Bobtante, 12/1 Desert Stag, 16/1 Keene Spirit, 33/1 Calm Seas, Newsham Glory, 40/1 Lady Hazel, 50/1 Solar Rock, 100/1 Bridging Loan.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Border Reiver could be open to improvement now he steps up in trip but the unpenalised SERGHEYEV (nap) has been found a good opportunity to add to his Newton Abbot maiden win.[

No early price market, but there are only 4 horses sub double figure odds 1.96 / 1.16

Tricky day today with Pennys Gift in a competitive top class race and ? marks over tiredness after a long campaign?
The 200 Uttoxeter is interesting from a probability perspective and I'll chance Carruthers here