Thursday 9 October 2008

9/10

240 NEWBRY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Palavicini, 13/2 Sopranist, 8/1 Hilbre Point, Holberg, 10/1 Conclusive, 11/1 Border Patrol, 12/1 Canton Road, Lasso The Moon, 14/1 Great Western, 16/1 Bin End, 20/1 Mystic Prince, 25/1 Saborido, Zulu Moon, 28/1 Pagan Flight, 33/1 Directorship, 50/1 Sermons Mount, 66/1 Spinning Joy, 100/1 Ditzy Diva.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Some interesting newcomers in a race likely to unveil some decent prospects for next year. However, with regard to winning today PALAVICINI ought to be tough to beat if handling the slower ground, as he has already shown useful form in his two races and that previous experience has to be an advantag
Race full of debutants

350
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Tactic, 7/1 Gibb River, 8/1 Decorum, Roman Republic, 12/1 Skanky Biscuit, Whisky Galore, 14/1 Advisor, Hope Junior, 16/1 Clinging Vine, Mehendi, 20/1 Bothy, Brunston, Going For Gold, 25/1 Final Victory, Lava Steps, 33/1 Eastern Warrior, 50/1 Cousin Charlie, Rowan Tiger.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of interest among the newcomers, notably Decorum and Roman Republic, but TACTIC looked a promising prospect when the penny finally dropped on his debut and he can take full advantage of the extra furlong this time

17 ruunner maiden with large number of debutants - Shanky Biscuit and Roman Republic big market movers - the latter now 13/8 and Tactic ot to 5/1 - can we trust the market with so many debtants and such a big field - I'll be leaving this one well alone!

220 WINCANTION
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Art Trend, 5/2 Nampour, 11/4 Cosmea, 8/1 Bathwick Man, 20/1 Wise Hawk, 33/1 King Bathwick, 50/1 Balata, Red Bishop, Tamrai Dancer, 100/1 Clovis, Gainsborough´s Art.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks booked for a newcomer and the market should offer some guidance as to how the schooling has been going. NAMPOUR signed off for his French connections with a career-best effort and gets the call ahead of Art Trend and Cosmea.
4 horses in it? BUT a lot of newcomers so betting forecaster is speculating
Live market makes it between 3 with Bathwick Man out to 12/1
I am taken by Ruby Walsh coming over for Mr Nichoills but is this enough for me to wade in with so many nknowns?

255
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Orchard House, 7/1 Rudivale, 8/1 Patsy Bee, 10/1 Title Deed, 14/1 Hail The King, Pure Magic, Quil Est Beau, 16/1 Bite Un Fight, Nomad, 20/1 Mistified, 25/1 Brown Fox, Fairlight Shadow, Sir Bumble, 33/1 Etendard Indien, Kourosh.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A weak handicap and one booked for ORCHARD HOUSE (nap) if he's in the same form as at Huntington on Sunday. Rudivale is the best alternative.

Now 5/6 the market leader - augurs well?

ONE A DAY
A very difficult day today where we must place trust in the live market as an indicator IF we are to bet.
220 WINCANTON interest from a probability perspective - 6 horses at 100/1 or bigger brings the field down to 5 to hopefully fight ot the finish.
WIN MARKET

2

Art Trend
R. Walsh
» £0.00
2.42

10

Cosmea
Robert Thornton
» £0.00
3.5

7

Nampour
Richard Johnson
» £0.00
4.6

1

Bathwick Man
J. W. Farrelly
» £0.00
16.5
PLACE MARKET

2

Art Trend
R. Walsh
» £0.00, £0.00
1.27

10

Cosmea
Robert Thornton
» £0.00, £0.00
1.37

7

Nampour
Richard Johnson
» £0.00, £0.00
1.56

1

Bathwick Man
J. W. Farrelly
» £0.00, £0.00
2.64

Difficult here - Ruby Walsh and Choc Thornton are men to be trusted on market leaders.
I will go for the LIVE MARKET LEADER here nearer the off which will capture any market movers. Probably be Walsh/Nicholl's Art Trend

No comments: