230 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Roman Glory, 7/2 Repealed, 9/2 Midnight In May, 8/1 Phoenix Enforcer, 10/1 Parc Des Princes, Tottie, 14/1 Celtic Commitment, 20/1 New Adventure, 33/1 Astrobrava, Buddy Marvellous, 50/1 Spring Secret, 66/1 Ain´t Talkin´.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Repealed is an interesting newcomer and should be monitored closely in the market but ROMAN GLORY, who has a BHA rating of 82 after three starts, sets a fairly useful standard and looks to be getting better with experience. |
Tottie now 9/2 - worth monitoring - Roman Glory - apparently getting better with racing but, as with one yesterday, only 3 runs for a 2 year old
400
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Crusoe´s Return, 11/4 Mushtaaq, 9/2 Inquest, 6/1 Crazy About You, 8/1 Hawk Flight, 16/1 Force Tradition, 25/1 Indiana Fox, 50/1 Cadeaux Fax, 66/1 Snake Hips.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There isn't a massive amount between a few of these but Mushtaaq has had plenty of chances, while Inquest has shown his promise on soft ground. CRUSOE'S RETURN (nap), who may benefit from the step up in trip on parts of his pedigree, gets the verdict Not one for me judging by the early market - very tight at the head of the market and Crusoe now 11/4 4.1 / 1.56 - again market too tight 750 GREAT LEIGHS BETTING FORECAST: 2/9 Audemar, 7/1 Captain Carnival, 12/1 Dynamo Dane, 25/1 Clerical, 33/1 Always The Sun, Wunder Strike,
Very obvious candidate here - 3 outsiders but only 2 places - one time only runner open to improvement? 1.28 / 1.08 2 the place - this price will change as there is 8 hours til the race is off 420 LUDLOW BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Karashar, 13/2 Shannersburg, 7/1 Coole Dodger, Joshua, Rock Me, 10/1 Force And Motion, Golden Tokyo, 14/1 Bid Art, Sherbet Lemon, 20/1 Crimsonwing, King Bathwick, 33/1 Magpie, Trempolinas, 66/1 Miss Mozart, Seconditis,
A price gapper but I don't like getting involved in maiden hurdle favourites - it's like a flat maiden BUT over obstacles - YIKES! - 16 runners - 5 debutants 3.4 / 1.6 - tells you that this is no gimme 520 BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Kielder Rise, 13/8 Shenao, 8/1 Poppy Parade, 16/1 Court Lad, Deep Squeeze, 25/1 Fleetwood Magic, Pathian Prince, Rocket Pocket.
A bumper - these are gambling races so live market imperative really - on the bare face of it, looks betwen the front 3 Court Lad now 9/1 from 16/1 - look out for this one if the price indicates a market move - 1.18 / 1.25 places 140 NOTT BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Big Bound, 6/1 Ebiayn, Neuchatel, 7/1 Battle Hero, 10/1 Wee Giant, 14/1 Orbitor, 16/1 Blue Nymph, 20/1 Rogalt, Whatami, 25/1 Gitano Hernando, Play To Win, 50/1 Pezula, 66/1 Mythical Thrill.
Changeable ground and a big field and a one time out favourite - not a betting medium for me - too much can go wrong in ground where a juvenile hasn't experience on 1.75 / 1.18 240 BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Recession Proof, 5/1 Digger Derek, 12/1 Mawjaat, Musical Maze, Security Joan, 14/1 Deal Clincher, Very Distinguished, 16/1 Hip Hip Hooray, Yeoman Of England, 20/1 Johnny Rook, Meydan Groove, Mykingdomforahorse, Tepmokea, 33/1 Kilsyth, Mekong Miss, Order Order,
"if handling this grond" - enough of a question mark to put me off! 3.2 / 1.42 340
On a hatrick and a 6lb penalty - priced to be comeptitive - eye catching price gap 1.74 / 1.19 SHORT LIST Expresso star is certainly priced to follow up - as a multiple handicap winner, I do tend to be keen to oppose after a concerted winning sequence. Good to doft ground - I am always concerned that the grond may soften further as the day progresses Audemar - 1.08 certainly enticing BUT 2 the place 520 LUDLOW - looked initially like a 2 horse (stretch 3) race but the possibility that Court Lad has been gambled means that potential places ( 3) will be fought out between these 4) LIVE MARKET imperative I'm afraid with bumpers so a look nearer 520 will make my mind up for me. I will go for Audemar today at 1.08 to place- to win my target profit requires £35 or thereabouts when 2% compounding on £100 bank. As this race goes off at 750, if I can achieve the 2% target elsewhere beforehand I will shelkve this, expecially if I can realise my target with a lower stake. 520 will be the race to focus on and a probable place only on the market leader Perhaps dutching the first 2?
and ONLY A STAKE OF £11 compared to the £35 for Audemor! |
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