SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The recent form of Royal Rationale and Postmaster pales into insignificance compared to the potential of Champion Bumper fourth SHOREACRES, who should prove a decent recruit to hurdling
A standout price gap here but a big field 1.78/1.19
With Royal Rationale out, this could be a straight fight between the front 2
445
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Runshan, 5/1 Pauntley Gofa, 7/1 King Diamond, 8/1 Urban Tiger, 10/1 Classic Role, Good Old Days, Zorro De La Vega, 16/1 Cheeky Lad, 25/1 Rooster´s Reunion, 33/1 Nawow.
| | SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: RUNSHAN (nap) is very much on the upgrade and may well be capable of defying a hike in the handicap, possibly at the main expense of Pauntley Gofa. |
Doesn't interest me today this one - clas 4 - the wins have come in class 5 races - up 13 lbs - cold very well place and very progressive but might find weight a bit much?
KEMPTON
High class card
220
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Maxwil, 2/1 Saticon, 7/1 Fr Dominic, 10/1 Kashmina, 14/1 Doctor Robert, Ray Diamond, 25/1 Karky Schultz, 33/1 Aim, 50/1 I Certainly May, Keepholdin, 66/1 Clovis.
| | SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Maxwil has the best hurdling form on offer but SATICON was arguably his superior on the Flat and is an interesting recruit for a trainer who is always worthy of respect in these contests |
Martin Blakey has told me Saticon is fancied - novice hurdle - key word being novice - and no form in this sphere for a number of horses - short price on reputation of Choc Thornton and Alan King
Ruby on Maxwil
1.82/1.17
325 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Woolcombe Folly, 5/1 Levera, 7/1 Maslak, Oceana Gold, 12/1 Desert Abbey, 20/1 Fire And Rain, 100/1 Princely Ted.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Levera, Maslak and Oceana Gold are all open to improvement but WOOLCOMBE FOLLY will be a tough nut to crack.
I like those words " a tough nut to crack" -decent price gap but, yes you're ahead of me I hope - only 2 places in this sub 8 runner event
1.93 / 1.34
Money for Oceana Gold but I might be enticed by the 1.34 (against my better judgement - should really stick to 8 runners and 3 places!)
435 KEMPT
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Katchit, 5/1 Snap Tie, 7/1 Sporazene, 8/1 Katies Tuitor, 9/1 Pigeon Island, 25/1 Alph, 200/1 Petrosian.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Champion Hurdler KATCHIT is unlikely to be fully wound up at the start of a long campaign but he would be giving all of his rivals 14lb or more if this was a handicap and cannot be realistically opposed. Katies Tuitor is the suggestion for the forecast
Yes, another 7 runner 2 the place race, but hey this is Katchit ( not to be confused with Cat Shit )
1.69 / 1.27
A big price relatively for the place but that could be becuase its only 2 the palce
140 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Manchestermaverick, 5/2 My Mate Mal, 7/1 Isabella´s Fancy, 12/1 Vogarth, 14/1 Rub Of The Relic, 20/1 Lechero, 25/1 Sheik´N´Knotsterd, 66/1 Avatea, Frill A Minute, Savanna´s Gold, Ugly Betty.
| | SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hughie Morrison has a healthy level-stake profit at the track and although MANCHESTERMAVERICK has yet to reward his backers' faith, he won't be found many better opportunities than this to get off the mark. |
A couple of places and a chance for the fav to place at least again in what looks like a 3 horse race ( barring any market moves which might be prevalent in a maiden race) 1.94/1.29
SHORTLIST
Will include MAnchestermaverick in the hope the horse places again ( 140pm), Shoreacres ( 3pm) because of Royal Rationale's absence, Woolcombe Folly ( 325pm) and Katchit( 435pm)
Again, stop at a winner to start with Manchestermaverick. If he doesn't place, then I will move to next horse ONLY if I am happy with the live market conditions as this will be loss retreival mode - I might even move to a footy game as with loss retreival I don't want to go more than 1 without a winner
Check out footy at www.soccerbettingmoneymaker.blogspot.com
Research the key yesterday - Liverpool bet had to be changed with Amir Zaki in the squad and playing - I was told he would be absent and Benitez read my blog and decided to play Kuyt upfront instead of on the wing thus allowing him to actally score goals!
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