SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these are hard to predict or difficult to win with but that's not the case with ALONSO DE GUZMAN (nap), a regular scorer and a reliable type who has gone well fresh and who has the services of Frankie Dettori.
Looks a 2 horse race? BUT always warning signs when the perceived outsider is only 14/1
Alonso's good runs though have come on turf
120 HUNT
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Tuanku, 11/4 Starluck, 4/1 Golden Bishop, 10/1 Metal Madness, 14/1 Joshua, 33/1 Abfabfong, 40/1 Boomtown, 50/1 Janet´s Delight, 66/1 Hellfire Bay, Magpie, 100/1 Seven Stars.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Golden Bishop and Starluck are interesting newcomers to be monitored for market confidence but TUANKU may make his previous experience count.
Another King/Thornton combo on a market leader - always good to see - race type - juvenile novices hurdle tells you they are all relatively new to this aspect of jumping
5 newcomers - 2 of which are 2nd and 3rd in the betting - could be ominous for the market leader
250
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Levera, 4/1 Bolodenka, 11/1 Trachonitis, 16/1 Most Definitely, Mugs Game, Outlandish, 20/1 Crosby Jemma, Erdeli, Overrule, 25/1 Desert Star, Okoum, Prince Des Marais, Wester Ross, 66/1 Panadin, 200/1 Cnidos, Feeling.
| | SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: LEVERA is proving a hit over hurdles, as he should be given his old level of ability on the Flat, and can take care of interesting newcomer Bolodenka.[PJ] |
Deja vu - another novices hurdle -another King/Thornton hot pot - certainly an interesting price gap between the front 2 and the rest of the field - market move for Outlandish now 15/2 -significant?
750 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Film Set, 4/1 Go Go Green, 5/1 Rowayton, 6/1 Tropical Paradise, 12/1 Via Mia, 14/1 Dakota Hills, My Sweet Georgia.
| | SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Only a small field but it's unlikely to be tactical, with several having made the running before. Go Go Green is drawn to attack in stall 7 but has more on his plate up another 5lb against the likes of FILM SET, who's made a good impression in both of his starts. |
Frankie takes the trip to Kempton - significant? BUT 7 runner race pays only 2 the place
240 NOTT - HEAVY GROUND - BE CAREFUL
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Affluent, 7/2 Silent Wonder, 7/1 Breakevie, 8/1 Mister Tinktastic, 16/1 Solis, 20/1 You´relikemefrank, 25/1 Oceanic Dancer, 50/1 Louie´s Lad.
| | SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Silent Wonder has the best form of those with experience but he's only rated 73 and the well-bred AFFLUENT may well be up to the task, particularly if the market gives the right signals |
Interesting that the early market has Silent wonder at 11/8 and Affluent at 2/1
3 horses at 40/1 or bigger make place betting easier on one of the market leaders as long as these outsiders run to their prices in this maiden
340
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Cara´s Request, 3/1 Shamali, 7/1 Supaverdi, 12/1 Fancy Footsteps, Manere Bay, 14/1 Highland Relish, Wing Diva, 16/1 Gargano, 25/1 Antillia, 33/1 Timewatch, 66/1 Benitez Bond, Peedee,
| | SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CARA'S REQUEST, an Australian-bred colt who receives a hefty weight allowance as he's a September foal, is taken to enhance the solid form of his second here earlier in the month. Shamali should be thereabouts, while Supaverdi is the most interesting newcomer |
The heavy ground has meant many non runners but still 3 the place and Shamali a noticeable non runner - will this make life easier for Caras Request? - has run on soft
315 PUNCH
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Forpadydeplasterer, 11/2 Your Sum Man, 6/1 Narquois, 10/1 Derravarra Eagle, Fond Of A Drop, 12/1 Clarified, Decoy Daddy, Major Sensation, 14/1 Hidden Agent, Kingsmaster, 20/1 Fortis Et Fidelis, Le Sparnacien, Stewarts House, 25/1 City Beach, Gundagai, The Hoodoo Remains, 50/1 Inoma James, Jason Bourne,
I remember the fav from last year and some hefty punts on him
Big field mind in this one and a new trip
SHORTLIST
In loss retrieval mode I become ultra cautious as I want this to be a winning bet. So I do tend to look at the football as well for an "obvious" bet
Looks like European Cups abound tonight with some minnows versus giants
Diagoras Rodou v Olympiacos - Olympiacos at 1.23 make appeal
Portugalete v Valencia - VAlencia at 1.4
Chelsea are following a defeat at home with an away game (wounded animal?) to title contenders ( clears throat) Hull City who are brimming with confidence. 1.48 is reasonable.
Man Utd 1.21 at home to the hammers who they could, ahem, hammer
On the horse racing front - heavy ground at Nottingham precludes that venue
Levera would be my one today and from a footballing perspective, a treble on
pays 1.60
As an aside, with these European cup games it is always interesting to compile a mug punter acca incase all of the mismatches go the way of the shorties ( I had 16 from 17 last time and only failed because I inserted a halftime/fulltime bet instead of match odds bet on a team who won 5-0!) This acca pays 22.26 ! Fingers crossed! I would like to include more but there's a limit at Ladbrokes
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