Thursday 30 October 2008

30/10

Job done yesterday on either Levera or the football treble at an enticing 1.6. The mug punter acca was undone in the Panathanaikos game where, interestingly enough, there were 2 separate posts on the Betfair forum before the game screaming out "fixed game". Oh well!

650 GREAT L:EIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Veloso, 4/1 Zuwaar, 8/1 Looks The Business, Shenandoah Girl, 10/1 Fantasy Ride, Fateful Attraction, 20/1 Mighty Kitchener, 33/1 Allahor, Missie Baileys, 50/1 Amicus,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With Zuwaar having something to prove after his last two starts, this is probably best left to VELOSO. Proven under the conditions, he didn't do much wrong in defeat at Wolverhampton at the weekend and has plenty in his favour here

A class 6 seller so a note of caution and note too the start time - as things stand a decent enough price gap and 4 likely outsiders make life easier for the market leader to place

1240 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 West With The Wind, 7/2 Silk Trail, 11/2 Kouloura, 7/1 Freepressionist, 12/1 King´s Siren, Novastasia, 14/1 Diamond Til, 16/1 Salybia Bay, 20/1 Downstream, Stellarina, 25/1 Moggy, 33/1 Arty Crafty, Clodoline.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: WEST WITH THE WIND looks to shade Kouloura, Freepressionist and the others that have already been seen out, but Goldolphin's well-bred newcomer Silk Trail could obviously throw a spanner in the works

An interesting market with 3 standout market leaders

100 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Houston Dynimo, 4/1 Harrison´s Star, Woody Waller, 7/1 La Fortalesa, 10/1 Banquet, 14/1 Agglestone Rock, 16/1 Victorias, 20/1 Bulas Boy, 25/1 Cashmere Jack, Pequeno Dinero, 40/1 Recoil, 50/1 Midnite Blews, 66/1 Magnushomestwo.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Harrison's Star is the most appealing of those with experience, but a couple of the newcomers are interesting and HOUSTON DYNIMO gets the vote over Woody Waller.It should be revealing to see how both trade in the betting.


Juvenile novices hurdle and a lack of form among many 3.15 / 1.42 for Wooly Waller - money for him!

130
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 That´s Rhythm, 7/2 Role On, 13/2 Mill Side, 8/1 High Bird Humphrey, 10/1 The Shy Man, 12/1 Belon Gale, 14/1 Jass, 16/1 Andijan, Sir Monty, 25/1 Nile Moon, 33/1 Industrial Star, Teerie Express, 100/1 My Friend Paul.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Providing That's Rhythm doesn't bounce from his latest effort, he looks a serious player but he could be worth taking on with chasing debutant ROLE ON, who admittedly has something to find on hurdles form but looks the type to do better over fences

Beginners chase! 2.24 / 1.26

150 STRATFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Predateur, 7/2 Crescent Island, 6/1 Kia Kaha, 7/1 Kawagino, 8/1 Chiaro, Masked Man, 11/1 Mount Sandel, 33/1 Paradise Regained, 50/1 Country Affair, Just A Thought, Wasntme, 66/1 Musical Chairs.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Paul Nicholls is expecting better things of PREDATEUR this season, though the 5yo earns the vote anyway on the pick of last term's form. There are plenty of interesting newcomers to fences for him to deal with, as well as Crescent Island and Kawagino, both of whom have shown enough to suggest they can win an ordinary novice chase, but he should cope provided his troubles are behind him.

powerful Nicholls yyard on the hot pot 2.32 / 1.21 - Cresent island close in the ebtting
420 STRAT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Bakbenscher, 6/1 West End King, 7/1 Master Darcy, 8/1 Supreme Keano, 10/1 National Petition, 12/1 Rockiteer, 14/1 Springfield Gunner, 16/1 Forty Five, 20/1 Anthony´s Road, 25/1 Avec Moi Ce Soir, Le Toto, 33/1 Wessex King, 100/1 Florindalus, Ikorodu Road, Where Now Madame, 150/1 Theseainttoys.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of dead wood. West End King is a potential fly in the ointment but basically this looks an ideal launch pad for BAKBENSCHER's hurdling caree

Now 4/6 but a very big field over jumps 1.73/1,24

ONE A DAY - Bakbenscher for me today for the Thornton/King combination

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