10/10

Art Trend placed - actually the first 3 in the market placed in the first 3 - a good example of a probability bet

405 CARLISLE
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Astarador, 7/2 Bougoure, 6/1 The Duke´s Speech, 8/1 Master Nimbus, Tell Henry, 14/1 All For The Cause, 20/1 Cavers Glen, 25/1 High Stand Lad, 33/1 Art Historian, 66/1 Earl Sigurd.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A couple of these have shown enough over fences to suggest they can win races, but this looks a good opportunity for useful hurdler ASTARADOR to open his chase account at the first time of asking

A novices chase - a maiden for chasers really!

		Astarador Denis O'Regan
» £0.00

2.48

	Astarador Denis O'Regan
» £0.00, £0.00

1.38

215 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Musleh, 6/1 The Fonz, 7/1 Test Match, Ysing Yi, 9/1 Dr Valentine, 16/1 Ateeb, Royal Diamond, 33/1 Eastern Empire, Lady Lu, Silverglas, 50/1 Pedasus, 100/1 Music In The Glen.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The outside draw could make things tricky, but Dewhurst/Racing Post Trophy entry MUSLEH has an obvious chance on his debut second here. The Fonz could give him most to do.

Nice price gap but another maiden with an outside draw and the Fonz in close attendance - Dr Valentine a non runner makes life easier.

Musleh L. Dettori » £0.00	1.72
9 (5) The Fonz Ryan Moore » £0.00	4.2

Musleh L. Dettori » £0.00, £0.00	1.15
9 (5) The Fonz Ryan Moore » £0.00, £0.00	1.42

420
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Charm School, 8/1 Grand Vizier, 12/1 Alfresco, Elysee Palace, Formation, Salient, Saltagioo, The Which Doctor, 16/1 Amazing Star, 20/1 Bazergan, 33/1 Kayak,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The handicapper looks to have taken a real chance in allocating CHARM SCHOOL a mark of 89, with the three horses he split at Sandown on his second start now rated 108, 100 and 93. Given it was only his inexperience that cost him on that occasion, it will be disappointing if he isn't too strong for some exposed handicappers. Formation may prove best of the rest.

Some price gap and another handeicap good thing?

	Charm School Jimmy Fortune
» £0.00

2.56

	Charm School Jimmy Fortune
» £0.00, £0.00

1.43

1.43 tells us that this is a handicap and to me this price is suspiciously high for an 8/5 shot in the win market.

720 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Dance The Star, 4/1 Factotum, 6/1 Houghton, 9/1 Laurel Creek, My Mate Max, 11/1 Pass The Port, 14/1 Look To This Day,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: DANCE THE STAR (nap) is from a decent American family and his win at Kempton last week suggested he has a bright future. He can follow up at the chief expense of My Mate Max and Factotum

8 runners - 3 the place -an ideal place only situation but is the candidate strong enough - 14/1 the outsider signifies a tight race

Dance The Star Marc Halford

» £0.00

	Dance The Star Marc Halford
» £0.00, £0.00

1.25

3 the place and only 7 runners

850
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Anne Of Kiev, 5/1 Promise Of Love, 8/1 Human Touch, 10/1 Rathmolyon, 14/1 Firewalker, Slim Jim Phantom, 16/1 Socceroo, 20/1 Rightcar Dominic, 25/1 Titus Gent, 33/1 Rindless, Rosies Dawn, 100/1 Rare Old Bird, Rightcar Lewis.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A decent chance for the capable ANNE OF KIEV, who has produced more than enough on the AW to suggest she can get the job done at this level for her thriving yard.

A place only choice previously Anne of Kiev delivered then

Anne Of Kiev Jimmy Fortune

» £0.00

1.52

Anne Of Kiev Jimmy Fortune

» £0.00, £0.00

1.06

ONE A DAY
Astarador would be a no for me today given the race type.
The Fonz and Musleh interests me today - how much of an effect will a negative draw have on Musleh?
Charm School - again this is an eye popping price gap but 1.42 does emphasise this is not a penalty kick even for the place

Despite my reservations, Charm School for me to place given the huge prtice gapo in the betting forecast. NExt best would be The Fonz ( taking a risk) but it's Charm School as my one a day