Monday 31 October 2011

31/10

1130am - Geylang v Singapore Armed Forces - 1.41 away
HEAD TO HEADS
19.05.2011 D1 Singapore Armed Forces 3-1 Geylang United
27.02.2011 D1 Geylang United 2-0 Singapore Armed Forces
20.07.2010 D1 Singapore Armed Forces 0-2 Geylang United
01.06.2010 D1 Geylang United 0-3 Singapore Armed Forces
03.02.2010 D1 Singapore Armed Forces 1-1 Geylang United
07.01.2010 CF Singapore Armed Forces 5-1 Geylang United
A mixed bag in recent head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 8th v 3rd

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Geylang

RECENT HOME FORM
Thu21/04/11S.LGeylang United 0 - 1Tampines Rovers

Tue31/05/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Gombak United

Fri24/06/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Albirex Niigata S

Mon27/06/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Woodlands Well…

Sun17/07/11S.LGeylang United 2 - 3Etoile

Mon08/08/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 3Home United

Sat13/08/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Young Lions

Thu08/09/11S.LGeylang United 3 - 2Balestier Khalsa

Fri30/09/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 2Hougang United

Thu13/10/11S.LGeylang United 2 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Tue25/10/11S.LGeylang United 0 - 2Tampines Rovers
No draw in 16 home matches. Recent home losses against 1st, 2nd 5th ,6th may make then vulnerable to 3rd in the league?

Have lost 5 of the last 7 matches against 2nd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th - and what number ends this sequence? 3rd placed who they are playing today.
GOAL TRENDS - 5 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals, the exceptions 2-0 scorelines.Geylang have scored in 5 of the last 6.

STREAKS - lack of draws is a huge streak as mentioned.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - SAF

RECENT AWAY FORM
Only 2 draws in 22 home matches enough to side with a lay the draw? Recent losses at home came against 1st, 4th and 5th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM -
Sat25/06/11S.LArmed Forces 2 - 1Gombak United

Wed06/07/11S.LHome United 3 - 2Armed Forces

Sun10/07/11S.LArmed Forces 0 - 1Hougang United

Wed13/07/11S.LArmed Forces 2 - 1Albirex Niigata S

Wed03/08/11S.LEtoile 1 - 0Armed Forces

Sun07/08/11S.LArmed Forces 3 - 0Young Lions

Thu11/08/11S.LArmed Forces 4 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Sun11/09/11S.LArmed Forces 7 - 0Woodlands Well…

Wed14/09/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 1 - 3Armed Forces

Tue27/09/11S.LArmed Forces 1 - 3Tampines Rovers

Sun16/10/11S.LArmed Forces 0 - 4Home United

Wed19/10/11S.LHougang United 1 - 3Armed Forces

Tue25/10/11S.LArmed Forces 3 - 0Young Lions

Fri28/10/11S.LArmed Forces 4 - 1Etoile
No draw overall in 18 matches .7 wins in last 9. Only 2 losses against 1st and 2nd .

GOAL TRENDS - Last 9 matches overall have been over 2.5 goals. 8 of last 9 home matches have been over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - again the draw streaks really stand out.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - mixed bag last 2 head to heads could make this a difficult game to predict.
No draw in 16 and home and 19 overall for Geylang may hint at either home or away win ( logically).And performances away against 1st, 2nd, 5th, 6th ( all losses) makes SAF the logical choice. REcent losses against 2nd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th and playing 3rd today.
Only 2 draws in SAF's last 22 home matches may make this a lay the draw match? nO draw overall for SAF in 18 matches.
Obvious conclusions? Lay the draw and hope its scarcity continues. Infer from a lack of a draw that this is either a home/away win and go with the market and the fact SAF have only lost against 1st and 2nd recently, and Geylang have lost against 2nd , 4th, 5th, 6th and 7th and are playing 3rd today.

6pm -
FC Midtjylland v SonderjyskE - -1.57 home
HEAD TO HEADS
18.09.2011 D1 FC Midtjylland 2-0 SønderjyskE
09.05.2011 D1 FC Midtjylland 2-1 SønderjyskE
21.03.2011 D1 SønderjyskE 2-1 FC Midtjylland
19.09.2010 D1 SønderjyskE 0-2 FC Midtjylland
02.07.2010 CF SønderjyskE 1-0 FC Midtjylland
05.04.2010 D1 SønderjyskE 0-2 FC Midtjylland
Mid have won 3 of the last 4.

LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 9th after 13 matches. Copenhagen are not a distance clear as is normally the case so teams with a chance , such as Mid, must win their home matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Mid

RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWWWW - no draw at home this season.Loss came against 8th and playing 9th today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWLWLWWLWWWWD - sole draw of season 1-1 v bottom of the league away from home. Losses came away against 1st, 4th and 6th.

GOAL TRENDS - 57% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. 4 of last 5 matches under 2.5 goals.Have kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 3 matches and in 3 of last 5 matches.Have failed to score in only 2 matches, both away matches.

STREAKS - 6 match winning streak at home. Have scored in last 7 at home.No goal conceded in the last 3 home matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sonder

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDDWLLW - losses away against 2nd and 3rd ( yes have already lost away this season to Mid away 2-0) - wins away against 7th, 11th and 12th ( bottom 2) so possibly flatter Sonder.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWDWDDWLLDLWL - only 1 win in last 6 includes losses against 2nd, 3rd and 5th ( twice) - so again vulnerable to Mid, who they lost to only recently?

GOAL TRENDS - 43% overs away from home. 2 of 3 clean sheets this season kept at home. Have failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches.

STREAKS - no draw in 4 away. Have conceded in last 6 away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS latest 2 head to heads see Mid winning, the last was this season a 2-0 win . Are they going to repeat this ? 6 match winning streak at home, and have won 6 of last 8 overall, Mid are in the winning groove. Although 57% overs at home, 3 of last 5 matches saw clean sheets for Mid which might scupper the overs. This is supported by the fact Mid have not conceded in last 3 home matches, all wins.
Recent away losses for Sonder against 2nd and 3rd ( yes today's opponents) - recent history obviously puts match in Mid's favour.Recent losses overall against 2nd, 3rd and 5th home and away again signals vulnerability against the better sides.
For me, this has the look of a 2-0 home win or something around that for Mid. We must acknowledge though that recent meetings can affect how the losing side reacts in the 2nd match.


6pm -
Fenerbahce v Karabukspor - 1.3 home
HEAD TO HEADS
08.05.2011 D1 Kardemir Karabükspor 0-1 Fenerbahçe SK
05.12.2010 D1 Fenerbahçe SK 2-1 Kardemir Karabükspor
Tight head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 16th after 8 matches. Top 4 all on 18 or 17 points so matches, at home and when expected, should be turned into 3 points.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team- fenerbahce

RECENT HOME FORM - WDWD - wins against 3rd and 5th, draws against 7th and 17th.Draw against 17th was 0-0 and playing 16th today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWWWDD - last draw was 2-2 away at Besiktas and not altogether unsurprising.

GOAL TRENDS - 3/4 home matches under 2.5 goals. 3 of last 4 matches overall over 2.5 goals. Have only failed to score in one match this season.

STREAKS - unbeaten this season.4 at home without defeat.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Kardemir

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLD - drew 0-0 against the same side who Fener drew 0-0 to - inference that opponents excellent defensively? 2-1 twice and 3-1 once for the losses against 5th, 7th and 10th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLDLLLWD - wins at home only. Have played 2nd and 3rd and home, drawing and winning, but away have not yet met any of top 4.

GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs away largely because they score and concede away, and concede more than they score!

STREAKS - no win in 4 away, have kept a clean sheet in last 2 matches but lost 3-1 away to 5th and 2-1 v 7th.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - head to heads are tight but Fener have got off to such a fine start to the season that they could be capable of an easier win today. Unbeaten at home and this season. One draw 0-0 seems to be against a team doing the 0-0 against others. General trend towards the win. 3 of last 4 matches overs but at home general unders trend. Fener have only failed to score once this season.
Kardemir have scored and conceded in all losses this season and this trend may lead to a naturalised over 2.5 goals. It also proves they can score, so if they score first, reactive traders take note.
Could lost 2-1, 3-1 today?

7pm -
Den Bosch v Emmen - 1.45 home
HEAD TO HEADS
22.04.2011 D2 FC Emmen 0-3 FC Den Bosch
01.10.2010 D2 FC Den Bosch 3-1 FC Emmen
02.04.2010 D2 FC Den Bosch 4-4 FC Emmen
21.08.2009 D2 FC Emmen 0-0 FC Den Bosch
The last 3 head to heads are what we expect from this league. Den Bosch have scored 4-3-3 in those 3 head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION -- 14th v 17th after 10 matches indicates poor starts to the season for both.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Den Bosch.

RECENT HOME FORM - DDLDL =no win at home yet still short priced fav. Have played 4 of the current top 8 at home though so maybe that is the reason. Looks like easier opposition today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDDWDLDLLW - wins against 3rd and 16th were away from home.Have not played any of the bottom 6 at home yet.

GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs at home.

STREAKS - 5 at home without a win.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Emmen

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLLW - win against bottom side was a 0-1.Have conceded 3-2-4-3- against the other sides, including 4 and 3 against 13th and 16th,

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLLLLLLWD - -signs of a recovery?

GOAL TRENDS - 7/10 matches over 2.5 goals. 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals.Have only kept a clean sheet in one match this season.

STREAKS - 5 away without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - so you want me to back a 1.45 shot which has not yet won at home, and has 2 wins all season. But this is Emmen they are playing. A 0-1 win against bottom side the only win this season, and conceded 3 and 4 against bottom sides away ( around Bosch's position in the league). If in doubt in Holland, overs normally comes in.

8pm -
Sevilla v Granada - 1.41 home
HEAD TO HEADS - no head to heads

LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 20th and the same price as Spurs v QPR ( 3-1) so we have an inkling re what to expect.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - -Sevilla

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWD - 2-1 v Malaga, 2 1-0 wins against Valencia and Sociedad, and 2-1 win over Gijon. 2-2 draw latest saw Sevilla equalise in the 90th minute. Have played 16th, 17th and 18th at home and are playing 20th ( bottom) today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDWDWDD - unbeaten this season and unlikely that will end today. 3 0-0 draws away from home.

GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches.

STREAKS - 5 without defeat at home, scoring in all.No defeat in 9 overall.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Granada

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLL - 0-1 and 0-4 losses to teams either side of Sevilla.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWLDLDLL - 4 1-0 loss scorelines indicate the potential for an ultra defensive set up .

GOAL TRENDS - have failed to score in 7 matches this season. Have kept a clean sheet in only 2 matches and they were both at home. All bar one match this season under 2.5 goals again recounts defensive attitude. Have conceded in all away matches.

STREAKS - no goal scored in 4, 4 match away losing streak.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - we have potential here, without going too indepth, for a Sevilla win to nil. Granada's defensive set up might limit the scoreline to 1-0, 2-0. 0-0 is also backable, we could argue, as a back to lay trade for as long as you dare, in the hope Granada park the bus for a good while in the first half.

8pm -
Stoke v Newcastle - 2.24 home
HEAD TO HEADS
19.03.2011 PR Stoke City 4-0 Newcastle Utd
26.09.2010 PR Newcastle Utd 1-2 Stoke City
11.04.2009 PR Stoke City 1-1 Newcastle Utd
Unlikely to be 4-0 again I feel! Stoke unbeaten in recent head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION -11th v 4th after 9 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Stoke

RECENT HOME FORM - DWDW - fortress Stoke indeed. 0-0 v Chelsea, 1-0 win over Liverpool. 1-1 v Man Utd and 2-0 win over Fulham with 2 80th+ minute goals. Positive results against 2nd, 3rd ( both draws) and 6th, and now playing 4th today. Any reason to expect a change from the successful home formula?

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDWWLDLWL - Jekyll and Hyde home and away.

GOAL TRENDS - all unders at home, Stoke predominantly scoring a single goal and trying to keep a clean sheet. Only 2 matches overs all season were away from home against Sunderland and Arse.
Stoke have kept clean sheets in 3/4 home matches.
Stoke have failed to score in only 1 home match, and have scored in last 3 matches at home.


STREAKS - 4 without defeat at home. Have scored in last 3 home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Newcastle howay the lads

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDDW - 0-1 win over Sunderland, 0-0 v QPR, 1-1- v Aston Villa and 1-2 win over Wolves. 3 under 2.5 goals ties in with Stoke at home.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWDDWWDW - unbeaten this season hence the heady heights of the top 4. All wins have come across the current bottom 7 - a case of an easy early season fixture list?

GOAL TRENDS - 3/4 away matches under 2.5 goals. 3 of last 4 matches overall over 2.5 goals. Newcastle scored 2 in each match. But Stoke are a different proposition surely at home?

STREAKS - No defeat in 4, and in 9 overall.Prior to last 1-0 win, had scored and conceded in previous 4 matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it doesn't take a nuclear physicist to tell you this has a big chance of finishing under 2.5 goals, and a likely 0-0, 0-1 ( either side) or 1-1.
Unbeaten runs will end eventually, and I suppose against a team such as Stoke, there is every chance Stoke will do a trademark shut out and nick it off Crouch's arse from a Rory Delap throw in the 96th minute.
0-0 back to lay trade seems an obvious starting point.

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