Sunday, 9 October 2011

9/10

1130am - Sampdoria v Sassuolo - 1.68 home
HEAD TO HEADS
no head to heads - in a quiet day, Samp are relegated and should, logically, find Seria B a little easier.
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 4th after only 8 matches.

HOME TEAM - Sampdoria.

RECENT HOME FORM - DWDL - -loss 1-2 v Torino. Loss v current top, draw v 2nd.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDWWDWLD - sole loss the above loss. All draws have come against the top 10 ( the current top 10 after 8 matches) . This signals that the match might be tough for Sampdoria.

GOAL TRENDS - 4 of the last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. 3 of 4 matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in only 2 of 8 matches.

STREAKS - 2 without a win. Have scored and conceded in the last 3 matches.

AWAY TEAM - Sassuolo

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLWW - all scorelines 1-0 away -typical Italian set up?

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLWWLWD - losses against 5th and 10th.
All home matches have featured 2 goals. Have failed to score in only 1 match and that was a 1-0 away loss.

GOAL TRENDS - all under 1.5 goals away from home.

STREAKS - have kept a clean sheet in 3 of 4 matches away, and 3 of last 5 matches. 4 away without a draw. Have scored in last 5.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the 1-0's away were against 10th, 14th, 21st and 22nd. Will the 1-0's continue against top 6? This could be a tough match for Samp today ( albeit we are basing on only 8 matches) but then 4 of Samp's last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. What is it to be? Typical Italian match begins tight? Then possibility of over 2.5 goals.?

12pm -
FC Fyn v Kjellerup - 1.21 home - -Danish Division 3W is stretching my trust in lower leagues a tad!
1210pm -
Germany U20 v Switzerland U20 - 1.33 home - this is an international under 20 friendly .
04.09.2011 U20 Switzerland U20 1-2 Germany U20
07.10.2010 U20 Germany U20 2-0 Switzerland U20
06.09.2010 U20 Switzerland U20 2-3 Germany U20
03.03.2010 U20 Germany U20 1-1 Switzerland U20
09.10.2009 U20 Switzerland U20 3-2 Germany U20
28.03.2009 U20 Switzerland U20 2-0 Germany U20
A progression from Swiss wins, to draw, to German wins in head to heads. Another match that stretches my confidence. Motivation in a friendly?
Germany unbeaten in 12 with 10 wins and 2 draws, both 1-1.
Germany have conceded and scored in last 6 matches. Just what happened in 4 of last 5 head to heads.
Swiss have won 4 of last 5 matches. but lost 7 of last 11?
Again, re-iterate that this is a friendly.
3pm - Bray v Shamrock Rovers - 1.45 away - in a quiet day, Irish might be worth investigating.
HEAD TO HEADS
25.09.2011 PR Shamrock Rovers 5-2 Bray Wanderers
26.05.2011 PR Bray Wanderers 1-0 Shamrock Rovers
08.04.2011 PR Shamrock Rovers 0-1 Bray Wanderers
29.10.2010 PR Bray Wanderers 2-2 Shamrock Rovers
20.08.2010 PR Shamrock Rovers 4-1 Bray Wanderers
25.06.2010 PR Bray Wanderers 0-0 Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock have won 1 of last 4 head to heads and are playing Bray away?
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 2nd - a win takes Shamrock top in a ding dong battle against Sligo for the League title. Last 3 matches at BRay have seen 2 draws and a single win.

HOME TEAM - BRAY -

RECENT HOME FORM - WWLLLLLWLW - no recent draw at home. And a poor recent home record which Shamrock will be pleased to see considering the tight head to heads. Sole win at home against top 5 for Bray was a 1-0 against Shamrock!!

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLLLLWLLWDLLLWLD - only 2 wins in last 10 have both been 4-0's against 8th and 10th ( of 10) - only wins have come against bottom 3 sides.

GOAL TRENDS - -75% overs at home.12 matches over 2.5 goals ended with a 1-1 latest.

STREAKS - 14 at home without a draw.

AWAY TEAM - SHAMROCK

RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLWLLWWWWD - 3 losses against 1st, 3rd and 6th saw 2 1-0 losses and a 2-0. Wins against 4th, 7th, 9th and 10th recently and playing 6th today

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWLWWWWWLDWWD - 7 wins, 2 draws and a single loss in last 10 happening at the right time of the season for Shamrock.

GOAL TRENDS - 2 of last 4 over 2.5 goals, the exceptions 2 1-1's - 6 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - no defeat in last 5 away. HAve scored in last 10.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this has the feel of a "one off" match for Shamrock, by which I mean form analysis might be negated by the fact this is a crucial must win if they are to keep their title hopes alive. Both teams have a recent over 2.5 goals trend generally ( if we are to take anything from form analysis). 14 at home without a draw for Bray - hints of course at home/away win. Only wins for Bray this season have come, home and away, against bottom 3 sides only hinting that a draw ( of which there has not been one in 14, see above) is best case for Bray.
Must wins generally do win, right?

3pm -
Esbjerg v Bronshoj - 1.32 home
head to heads from 2000 are irrelevant.

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 10th after 8 matches.

HOME TEAM - Esbjerg

RECENT HOME FORM -
Sun14/08/111SDEsbjerg 5 - 4Næstved

Fri26/08/111SDEsbjerg 3 - 0Hjørring

Sun11/09/111SDEsbjerg 1 - 0Roskilde

Fri23/09/111SDEsbjerg 2 - 1Vejle-Kolding
All wins, 3/4 over 2.5 goals. 2 clean sheets.

RECENT FORM OVERALL
Sun14/08/111SDEsbjerg 5 - 4Næstved

Fri19/08/111SDVestsjælland 3 - 2Esbjerg

Fri26/08/111SDEsbjerg 3 - 0Hjørring

Sun04/09/111SDAB 0 - 2Esbjerg

Sun11/09/111SDEsbjerg 1 - 0Roskilde

Sun18/09/111SDSkive 0 - 4Esbjerg

Fri23/09/111SDEsbjerg 2 - 1Vejle-Kolding

Sun02/10/111SDRanders 0 - 0Esbjerg

sole loss 3-2 away to 6th saw Esb 3-0 down. strong winning sequence ended with 0-0 latest against 2nd.
Only 2 of last 5 under 2.5 goals.


GOAL TRENDS - 3/4 home matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 4 match winning run at home. Unbeaten in 6.

AWAY TEAM - BRONSHOJ

RECENT AWAY FORM -
Sun21/08/111SDVejle-Kolding 4 - 0Brønshøj

Sun04/09/111SDNæstved 0 - 2Brønshøj

Sat10/09/111SDHobro 4 - 1Brønshøj

Sun25/09/111SDViborg 1 - 1Brønshøj
Sole win against current bottom side.

RECENT OVERALL FORM
Sat13/08/111SDBrønshøj 1 - 1Skive

Sun21/08/111SDVejle-Kolding 4 - 0Brønshøj

Sun28/08/111SDBrønshøj 0 - 0Randers

Sun04/09/111SDNæstved 0 - 2Brønshøj

Sat10/09/111SDHobro 4 - 1Brønshøj

Sat17/09/111SDBrønshøj 2 - 1Blokhus

Sun25/09/111SDViborg 1 - 1Brønshøj

Sat01/10/111SDBrønshøj 0 - 0Fredericia
Only 1 win in last 4.

GOAL TRENDS - 1 win, 2 losses , 1 draw, 1 clean sheet away 1 scored 2.25 conceded on average.

STREAKS - 3 without a loss,

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - no goals congruency and little to go on in a league I know little about. Will Esbjerg continue their winning run at home?

3pm -
Monaghan Utd v Wexford Youths - 1.17 home - Irish Division 1 of little interest.
3pm -
Ranheim v Nybergsund - 1.32 home - another of little interest. Norwegian 2nd division.
Relevant info here
http://www.futbol24.com/teamCompare/Norway/Ranheim-Fotball/vs/Norway/Nybergsund-IL-Trysil/
but likely an illiquid betting market

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