Friday 28 October 2011

3pm - Sheff Utd v Exeter - 1.54 home
HEAD TO HEADS - no recent head to heads.

LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 20th after 15 matches so hopefully more matches equals better trends

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sheff Utd

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWLWLDW - losses at home have come against current 1st and 2nd and draw came against 3rd. An inference that Utd can cope with the rest of the teams.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDLWLLDWDW - the other loss came away to lowly Wycombe 1-0 ( 2nd from bottom).

GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs at home. The only matches which weren't overs were 2-0 scorelines.Away from top 3, have scored 2,2,3,4,3 at home.

STREAKS - have scored in the last 4 matches and conceded in the last 6 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Exeter

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLLLLLW - recent win against 17th placed Walsall.Ominously lost 2-0 and 3-0 against 1st and 3rd away and playing 4th today.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLLWLLDLLWLLWW - first time Exeter have put together a winning sequence of 2 - these wins against 17th and 18th.Wins have come against 12th, 17th, 18th and 22nd. Have played 7 matches home and away against top 10 , losing 6 and drawing 1.

GOAL TRENDS - another side with low overs away from home, why? Because of 3 2-0 losing scorelines. exeter are most vulnerable in the quarter hour before halftime, conceding 8 goals in this period. Last 3 matches overs.Last 7 matches would have been over 2.5 goals bar the 3 2-0 scorelines. Exeter have failed to score in 6 of 7 away matches.

STREAKS - 6 away without a draw, 7 overall.Have conceded in all of the last 6 matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the kind of match which presents quite straightforward stats.And the kind of match I would prioritise as it seems easy to read, and clear cut. It would seem that Exeter have problems scoring away, and this has been shown by 2-0 and 3-0 losses to 1st and 3rd ( playing 4th today).Sheff Utd have scored from 2-4 goals at home when not playing top 3. Only really dropped points against top 3 sides.exeter have lost 6 and drawn 1 of the 7 matches they have played home and away against top 10 sides.
Like I say this is the kind of match to prioritise, despite being in a league I know little about.

3pm - Sunderland v Aston Villa - 2.2 home.
HEAD TO HEADS
05.01.2011PRAston Villa0-1Sunderland AFC
23.10.2010PRSunderland AFC1-0Aston Villa
24.03.2010PRAston Villa1-1Sunderland AFC
15.12.2009PRSunderland AFC0-2Aston Villa
27.10.2009LCSunderland AFC0-0/p.1-3Aston Villa
17.01.2009PRSunderland AFC1-2Aston Villa
Sunderland a bogey side in last 3 matches? Very tight head to heads.

LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 11th so as tightly matched as the odds suggest.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - SUNDERLAND

RECENT HOME FORM - LLWD - wins against Stoke and draw v West Brom. Losses to Newcastle and Chelsea.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLDLWLDLW - inconsistent form overall.All losses have come against current top 8 sides.

GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs at home. 5 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals Have scored in all of last 6.

STREAKS - no strong streaks.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM - Villa

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDDL - 4-1 loss v Man City.Draws against Fulham, Everton and Villa.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs away from home. Have scored in last 6.Only 4 matches over 2.5 goals this season.

STREAKS - 4 away without a win. Have scored in last 6.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - head to heads point to defenses dominating? 5 draws in 9 matches for Villa hints at defense on top.Sunderland are wholly inconsistent and so dangerous for the trader. Not a match I can get any angles into bar the possibility of a tight match goalswise.

3pm - Swansea v Bolton - 2.18 home - like the match above, I would have thought the favs would have been Bolton and Villa!
HEAD TO HEADS - no head to heads

LEAGUE POSITION - 15th v 18th - a win takes Bolton out of the bottom 3 ( albeit only 9 matches in)

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - SWANSEA

RECENT HOME FORM - DDWW 0-0's against Wigan and Sunderland and 3-0 and 2-0 wins against West Brom and Stoke. These teams are what I call " championship type sides" - Bolton have been in the Premiership for a while now.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDDLWLWLD - losses all away to 1st, 3rd, 7th and 8th. Wins against 9th and 12th.Draws against 14th, 16th and 19th. A pattern of sorts? And Bolton fall into the draw category.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 of 4 matches over 2.5 goals.4 of the last 5 matches over 2.5 goals.Have scored in last 5 matches.

STREAKS - Swansea have kept a clean sheet in 4 matches.Have won their last 2 home matches.Have scored in all of last 5.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - BOLTON

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLW - win v QPR , losses v Liverpool and Arsenal and win v Wigan ( hardly unexpected). Admittedly tough opening to season.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLLLLLWL - no draw this season. Losses against 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 6th, 7th, 8th and 14th.

GOAL TRENDS - 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. , but remember they have played City, United, Arsenal, Chelsea , Liverpool. Have conceded in last 8 .

STREAKS - 9 without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - another match tough to call as Bolton have been poor but have played the traditional top 5. Swansea are now scoring in their matches and this might be the angle in - a goals angle? Bolton's nouse would normally see them get something out of these matches. THey are difficult to weigh up currently. Hint at a possible draw. Swansea are losing against top sides, beating middle and drawing with lower league sides.

3pm - West Ham v Leicester - 1.98 home
HEAD TO HEADS
18.03.2005LChWest Ham2-2Leicester City
07.05.2004LChLeicester City0-0West Ham

LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 14th after 13 matches - another masterful job from Sven conman Eriksson.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - West Ham

RECENT HOME FORM - LDWWLW - some hard luck stories at home, West ham have conceded 4 goals in the 89th and 90th minutes. Last 2 home matches have seen wins to nil.Has Big Sam addressed this? 3 wins now in last 4.Wins against 11th, 12th and 16th and playing 14th today. West Ham have only really dropped points against top 10.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWDWWDWLDWLW - losses have come against 1st , 9th and 10th

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs at home.West Ham are strong starters, scoring 10 in first halfhour - inference they could open the scoring? 5 under 2.5 goals in last 7 matches. 4 1-0's in last 6 matches.

STREAKS - 4 without a draw at home. -7 wins and a 0-0 draw against other than top 10.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Leicester

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDDDDL - sole win away against 21st . Draws killing Leicester's chances.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLDWDWDDWLWL - only 2 losses in last 10.

GOAL TRENDS - 6 of the last 8 matches under 2.5 goals. Have kept clean sheets in 5 of the last 7 matches.Have failed to score in 4 of the last 6 matches.Leicester have failed to score in last 3 away matches.

STREAKS - 5 away without a win.No goal scored away in 3.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - I mentioned some weeks ago that this 89th/90th minute concession at home had to be addressed by the Hamsters, and indeed it has.3 wins at home in last 4, and last 2 matches without conceding a goal. Only 3 losses against 1st, 9th and 10th and playing 14th today.Hammers have scored 10 in first half hour - speculate on them opening the scoring? A transitional Leicester without that "money manager" Eriksson who banks another pay off for being shite. No win in last 5 away, 4 draws.Leicester have kept clean sheets in 5 of last 7 and failed to score in 4 of last 6. What to make of that?
For me, it seems West Ham have purged the concession of late goals. A rudderless Leicester could be vulnerable, and West Ham could be speculated on to score the first goal.Goals trends are incongruous - what to make of Leicester's inability to score and ability to keep clean sheets?

3pm - Wigan v Fulham - 2.54 away - poor side Wigan and due deference to Fulham's poor away form that they are priced 2.54 - another match which falls into the category of not interested from me, but as it is a Premiership match I will do the research.
HEAD TO HEADS
15.01.2011PRWigan Athletic1-1Fulham FC
30.10.2010PRFulham FC2-0Wigan Athletic
04.04.2010PRFulham FC2-1Wigan Athletic
08.11.2009PRWigan Athletic1-1Fulham FC
07.02.2009PRWigan Athletic0-0Fulham FC
Wigan, as my theory goes, lose to established Premiership sides. But then again, established Premiership sides with away records like Fulham's is another matter.
LEAGUE POSITION - 19th v 17th after 9 matches.2 sides with poor starts to the season.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wigan

RECENT HOME FORM - DWLL - draws against Norwich, win against QPR, losses to established Premiership sides Spurs and Bolton.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DDWLLLLLL - 6 match losing streak generally against established Premiership sides.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs at home.Wigna have scored in all home matches.4 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals, the others were 2-0 and 1-0 - the 2-0 was a successful over 2.5 goals match. Have conceded in last 6 matches. Have failed to score in 2 of the last 3 matches.

STREAKS - 2 match home losing streak - 3 without a draw at home.Have conceded in all of last 6 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Fulham

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDL - typically Fulham away.Draw was 0-0 v WBA.Have conceded 2 goals in the 3 other matches.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLDDDWLL - sole win at home 6-0 v QPR. The drawitis a hangover from Sparky's days.

GOAL TRENDS - 2 2-0 losses end the over 2,5 goals bias away from home.

STREAKS - 4 without a win away, no goal scored in 2 away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - a team on a losing streak playing an away team used to losing. What will give today? Under 2.5 goals perhaps the only salvageable angle, but to be fair not a match for me to get involved in.


5pm - Valencia v Getafe - 1.53 home
HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011D1Getafe CF2-4Valencia CF
14.11.2010D1Valencia CF2-0Getafe CF
22.02.2010D1Valencia CF2-1Getafe CF
23.09.2009D1Getafe CF3-1Valencia CF
05.04.2009D1Valencia CF4-1Getafe CF

LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 16th after 9 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - valencia have a champs league match v Leverkusen on the 1st Nov

RECENT HOME FORM - WWDWD - draws against 3rd and 10th.Wins against 12th, 19th and 20th ( bottom 2 sides)

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWDLWDDW - all draws score draws.Only 1 loss all season a 1-0 v Sevilla.

GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs at home.Only 2 over 2.5 goals matches this season.4 1-0's, 2 1-1's and a 2-2 last 7 matches.Have failed to score in only 1 match this season.

STREAKS - 5 without defeat at home. Have scored in last 5 at home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Getafe

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLD - Losses against 2nd, 6th and 7th hints at vulnerability against valencia.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLLWLDDD - only 1 win this season. 2 of last 3 draws 0-0.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 away from home overs.2 of only 3 matches over 2.5 goals were away matches.Have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 5.

STREAKS - 4 away without a win.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Valencia have been winning at home against teams around Getafe's.Valencia have won the last 3 head to heads.Only 1 loss this season for valencia plays only 1 win this season for Getafe.Goal trends not really congruous as Getafe have had 2 0-0's in last 3 matches.away losses against 2nd, 6th and 7th for Getafe hint that valencia could win this as Getafe have trouble away to top 10 away.

530pm - Mainz v W Bremen - 2.64 away - as ever check for a possible goals angle.
HEAD TO HEADS
05.02.2011D1Mainz1-1Werder Bremen
18.09.2010D1Werder Bremen0-2Mainz
27.02.2010D1Mainz1-2Werder Bremen
26.09.2009D1Werder Bremen3-0Mainz

LEAGUE POSITION - 15th v 6th after 10 matches. - quite a gap in league positions and still Werder are2.64 away.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Mainz

RECENT HOME FORM - WLLLL - sole win against 8th was in first match of the season.Losses against 2nd, 3rd, 9th and 16th.

RECENT FORM OVERALL- WWLDLLLDLD - no win in 8 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs at home. 4 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. Last 2 matches unders.Draws all came away .

STREAKS - 4 match losing streak at home.No win in 8 overall.Have conceded in last 4 at home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Werder Bremen

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDL - last 3 matches over 2.5 goals trades ( 1-1 scoreline saw 2nd goal in 63rd minute so successful trade) 1-1 draws v 13th and 16th and playing 15th today. Possibility of a score draw.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLWWWDWLLD - 9/10 matches over 1.5 goals. Against bottom 9, Werder have won 4 at home and drawn 1-1 in 2 away.

GOAL TRENDS - 9/10 over 1.5 goals and recent 2 goal matches were successful over 2.5 goals trades.This season for Werder has seen 2 unders, 2 overs, 2 unders, 2 overs, 2 unders - very inconsistent. 8 of last 9 matches have seen Werder concede. Have failed to score in only 2 matches this season.

STREAKS - Have conceded in last 5 away. Have scored in last 4 away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - there does seem to be a congruency with over 2.5 goals.Werder have scored 7 goals in last 1/4 hour of matches which might lean us towards staying in an overs trade until the end of the match.Mainz have conceded 7 goals in last 1/4 hour of matches.

530pm - Olympiakos v OFI - 1.21 home
HEAD TO HEADS
09.09.2011CFOlympiakos Pireus0-0OFI Creta
24.01.2009D1Olympiakos Pireus2-1OFI Creta
21.01.2009CupOFI Creta0-2Olympiakos Pireus
27.09.2008D1OFI Creta0-0Olympiakos Pireus

LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 7th after 5 matches. No recent league head to heads.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Olympiakos - Champions League match coming up but realistically no chance of getting to business end.

RECENT HOME FORM - WW - 2 2-1 scorelines.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWDW - draw was 1-1 against 5th away.

GOAL TRENDS - 4/5 matches over 2.5 goals, the alternative was 1-1.Have scored in last 5 matches and kept only 1 clean sheet.

STREAKS - 2 match winning streak and have scored and conceded in those matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - OFI

RECENT AWAY FORM - LD - 3-1 loss and 0-0 draw.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLWDW - recent win at home was 3-1 v AEK.Other 1-0 win was at home and 1-0.Only 1 loss this season

GOAL TRENDS - only 2 matches over 2.5 goals.Have kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 3.Have failed to score in only 1 match.

STREAKS - 2 without a win away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - only 5 matches played so not much to go on.0-0 in recent friendly head to head? Oly have a general trend towards over 2.5 goals and worse case today could be 1-1. if the head to head is accurate , then back 0-0 initially ( after all this is Greece).
Weak trends temper enthusiasm

530pm - West Brom v Liverpool - 2.08 away - quite a surprise to see Liverpool at over evens against a team such as WBA. It relays something, perhaps, about Liverpool?
HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011PRWest Bromwich2-1Liverpool FC
29.08.2010PRLiverpool FC1-0West Bromwich
17.05.2009PRWest Bromwich0-2Liverpool FC

LEAGUE POSITION - 12th v 6th after 9 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - West Brom

RECENT HOME FORM - LLDW - losses v Man utd and Stoke - very unlucky v Man Utd and Stoke.Draw against Fulham and win v Wolves.

RECENT FORM OVERALL- LLLWLDDWW -only 1 loss in last 6 matches.2-1 losses have come against United and Chelsea. Liverpool, I suspect,are not quite at these 2's levels, which infers that WBA could be hard to beat.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 match over 2.5 goals at home was the 1-2 loss to Man Utd. WBA have scored 2 goals in last 3 matches.

STREAKS - 2 clean sheets in last 2 home matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Liverpool

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLW - win against Arsenal, losses v Stoke and Spurs, and win against Everton.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWLLWWDD - only losses were away to Stoke and Spurs. Now WBA could " do a Stoke " and win 1-0 if on their defensive game.

GOAL TRENDS - the only matches Liverpool failed to score in , they lost.In all the matches Liverpool scored in, they scored first.Last 3 matches under 2.5 goals but all 2 goal matches.Liverpool's 2 clean sheets have come away from home in 2 0-2 wins.

STREAKS - 4 away without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - WBA's 2 2-1 scorelines against Chelsea and Man Utd may give them a glimmer at home against Liverpool. Yes, this Liverpool forward line is good, and Gerrard has returned.Only 1 loss in last 6 for WBA.And WBA have scored 2 in last 3 matches ( albeit against weaker teams than Liverpool's) 2 clean sheets in last 2 home matches might help WBA to keep Liverpool at bay initially.
The only matches Liverpool failed to score in , they lost. I would look at Stoke's 1-0 win and see this as something WBA are capable of. 1-0 could be a speculative scoreline. WBA have kept 2 clean sheets in last 2 home matches.
Liverpool, though, have scored in all bar the 2 away losses.

545pm - Roda JC v Ajax - 1.67 away
HEAD TO HEADS
26.10.2011CupRoda Kerkrade2-4AFC Ajax
13.02.2011D1Roda Kerkrade2-2AFC Ajax
21.08.2010D1AFC Ajax3-0Roda Kerkrade
03.02.2010D1AFC Ajax4-0Roda Kerkrade
04.10.2009D1Roda Kerkrade2-2AFC Ajax
05.04.2009D1Roda Kerkrade1-2AFC Ajax
All head to heads over 2.5 goals.
LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 6th

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - RODA

RECENT HOME FORM - WLWWW - no draw at home yet - have beaten 2nd, 9th, 10th, 11 at home. yes, beat Twente. Gives them a chance against Ajax?

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLLLWLLWWL - losses have come away to 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th.Loss at home against RKC and away v 13th. Jekyll and Hyde side.

GOAL TRENDS - 80% over 2.5 goals home and away. Have conceded in every match this season.6 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals, the exception a 1-0 loss to in form AZ,

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak at home includes scalp of Twente.No draw this season and conceded in all matches this season.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - AJAX

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDWDL - draw against PSV not unexpected, loss v Groningen 1-0 was unexpected, 2-2 draw with VVV saw Ajax 2-0 down.Wins against De Graaf and Heracles.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDWWDDLDD - 4 draws in last 5 matches. 4 of those 5 matches against top 4 sides home and away so inference is that Ajax should win/lose other matches? Only 1 loss this season

GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs away from home. Have conceded in all matches this season.

STREAKS - no win in 5 must end soon. 4 draws in last 5

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - all head to heads over 2.5 goals is an angle in for neutral bettors.
RODA - no draw at home yet. No draw at all this season an angle in? Jekyll and Hyde side home and away. 4/5 wins at home and 5 losses away. yes I know they were away, but lost to 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th. Potentially vulnerable therefore to better Dutch sides? Roda have conceded in all matches this season.
AJAX- only one loss away -2 draws were both 2-2 scorelines 5-4-5-4 total goals away apart from the 1-0 loss away. All draws for Ajax really against top 4 sides.Only 1 Ajax loss this season. No win in 5 must end soon.
GOAL TRENDS - all head to heads overs. 80% overs overall for Roda, 80% overs away from home for Ajax.Both sides have conceded in every match this season.This is a neutral bet.
If Roda score first ( and they scored 2 v Twente,) I would lay them. Possible sequence to end? Ajax losing sequence could make them a speculative punt.

6pm - Paris St-G v Caen - 1.41 home
HEAD TO HEADS
09.04.2011D1SM Caen1-2Paris St. Germain
20.11.2010D1Paris St. Germain2-1SM Caen
31.01.2009D1Paris St. Germain2-0SM Caen

LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 9th after 11 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - PSG - forthcoming Europa league match v Bratislav on 3rd Nov.

RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWWW - sole loss was first home match of season 1-0.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDWWWDWWWWW - solid recent form, draws recently away against 4th and 17, both score draws.

GOAL TRENDS - 33% overs at home - last 2 matches 2-0 help knock the unders % down.

STREAKS - 5 match winning streak.10 without defeat and have scored in last 10.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Caen

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLDWD - have only played one of the top 9 away, losing 3-2 to 4th.Wins away against 10th and 17th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLLLDWWDDL - wins against 5th, 10th, 15th and 17th. against top 6, Caen have lost 4 and beat Lyon 1-0. 3 of the losses were at home. So will caen be even more vulnerable away?

GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs away from home.2 of last 7 under 2.5 goals. Have scored and conceded in last 4 matches.Only failed to score in 1 match and kept a clean sheet in 2 matches this season.

STREAKS - have scored and conceded in last 5 away matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
PSG - apparent big spenders - could this account for change in fortunes?
Even before this big spending, PSG won last 3 head to heads, scoring 2 on each occasion. 5 match winning run at home and overall. Only 1 loss was the first match of the season, and apparently anomolous? Another side who may scupper over 2.5 goals trade with a 2-0 scoreline ( again dependent on the time of the 2nd goal).Caen have lost 4 and beat Lyon 1-0 in the matches they have played against top 6. Sole away loss was 3-2 v Rennes. Potentially vulnerable therefore against top 5.
Caen have scored and conceded in last 5 away matches but 5 of last 7 matches unders.
1-1, 2-0, 2-1 potential correct scores?

7pm - Barcelona v Mallorca - 1.08 home - Barca less than impressive of late but last match I did predict a tough time against Granada. Well the market sees a return to 5+ goals this evening.
HEAD TO HEADS
26.02.2011D1Real Mallorca0-3FC Barcelona
03.10.2010D1FC Barcelona1-1Real Mallorca
27.03.2010D1Real Mallorca0-1FC Barcelona
07.11.2009D1FC Barcelona4-2Real Mallorca
17.05.2009D1Real Mallorca2-1FC Barcelona
04.03.2009CupReal Mallorca1-1FC Barcelona

LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 13th

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Barcelona - tough to beat head to heads put to bed by 0-3 Barca win latest. 1st November, Barca have an away match against Plzen which should not really worry Guardiolia. But beware team changes in what is perceived to be an easy win

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWD - readers of my research last week would not have been surprised by the 0-0 v Sevilla. 5-8-5-3 scored in matches prior to that shut out.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWDWWWDW - unbeaten this season. Scored 8 and 5 against 11th and 12th at home, and hosting 13th today.

GOAL TRENDS - Have scored 9 in the first 1/4 hour and 5 in the last 1/4 hour.Overs ended with 0-0 latest at home.7 of 9 matches barca have kept a clean sheet. Have failed to score in only that 0-0

STREAKS - unbeaten this season.No defeat in 5 at home. No goal conceded in 5 at home.No defeat in 9 overall.No goal conceded in 5 overall.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Mallorca

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDD - last 2 goals scored by Mallorca have both been penalties. Failed to score in the defeats.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLLWDDDL - 2 wins both came at home.

GOAL TRENDS - 3/4 matches away under 2.5 goals.Have only kept a clean sheet in 1st match of the season.Have scored and conceded in all of the last 5 matches.Have not played the top 8 away so we cannot gauge how Mallorca set up against the big boys.

STREAKS - have conceded in last 8 away. Have not win in 4 away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - will Barca really change the team ahead of a match against Plzen? Look out for team news. This should be a return to 5+ goal matches. the 0-0 v Sevilla is not the sign of any concerns, it was foreseen by me last week. mallorca have conceded 4 max historically against Barca, and maybe that is the correct score to start from?

745pm - Inter v Juventus - 2.68 home - out of form v in form.
HEAD TO HEADS
13.02.2011D1Juventus FC1-0Inter Milan
03.10.2010D1Inter Milan0-0Juventus FC
16.04.2010D1Inter Milan2-0Juventus FC
28.01.2010CupInter Milan2-1Juventus FC
05.12.2009D1Juventus FC2-1Inter Milan
18.04.2009D1Juventus FC1-1Inter Milan

LEAGUE POSITION - 16th v 1st - wholly contrasting start to the season. Inter are unbeaten in 2 head to heads at home.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Inter Milan - have a match against Lille on 2nd November 2011 in the Champions League.,

RECENT HOME FORM - DLW - questionable form.1-0 win v chievo.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDLWLLWD - wins against Bologna and Chievo.Inconsistencies thanks to changes in management and injuries to key players.

GOAL TRENDS - last 2 matches under 2.5 goals. prior to that 4 consecutie over 2.5 goals matches.Have failed to score in only 2 matches this season and have kept a clean sheet in only 2 matches.

STREAKS - no draw in 2 at home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Juventus

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDD - last 2 draws against 10th and 14th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDDWDDW - unbeaten this season.Have failed to score in only 1 match this season.

GOAL TRENDS - only 3 over 2.5 goals matches this season, last 2 were overs.

STREAKS - 2 match drawing streak away. - 3 without defeat away, and 8 overall without defeat.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - logic dictates that Inter are opposable today - only 1 win in last 4 for Inter and inconsistent, which is a bad sign for traders. Juve are unbeaten this season . Lay Inter Milan?
Reactive traders? Lay Inter if they score first.

745pm - Twente v PSV - draws tend to permeate when the big 3 meet in Holland.
HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011D1FC Twente2-0PSV Eindhoven
26.01.2011CupFC Twente1-1/p.7-6PSV Eindhoven
30.10.2010D1PSV Eindhoven0-1FC Twente
20.03.2010D1PSV Eindhoven1-1FC Twente
09.08.2009D1FC Twente1-1PSV Eindhoven
08.03.2009D1FC Twente1-1PSV Eindhoven

LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 2nd - identical points and identical goals difference.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team -Twente - 3rd nov sees a europa league match against OB

RECENT HOME FORM - twente - WWWD - have beaten AZ at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWLWDDWD - sole loss this season unexpected defeat v Roda.3 draws have occured in the last 4 matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 75% overs at home.6 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. The 2 exceptions were 1-1's, one of which was a successful over 2.5 goals trade. Have scored in all matches this season.

STREAKS - 4 without defeat at home.Have scored in last 4 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - PSV

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDW - Twente beat AZ, AZ beat PSV. 3-3 draw with PSV saw PSV 0-2 up.Draw against Vitesse was 1-1 and against PSV scored first.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWWWDDWWWD - only 1 win this season and this match has the feel of an epic. Who will falter?Loss against 1st, and draws v 5th and 6th might hint at another draw being the best PSV can hope for?

GOAL TRENDS - 60% overs away from home.Have scored in all matches this season.Have kept a clean sheet in 2 of the last 3 matches.Last 3 matches under 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - have scored in 10 this season.No defeat in 9.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS 2-0 Twente win last time out in head to heads.Very tough to call and nothing in the form for me to get an angle in.A draw is obvious, and if one team scores first, maybe they are worth laying.

830pm - Benfica v Olhanense - 1.19 home
HEAD TO HEADS
01.05.2011D1SC Olhanense1-1SL Benfica
19.01.2011LCSL Benfica3-2SC Olhanense
12.01.2011CupSL Benfica5-0SC Olhanense
03.12.2010D1SL Benfica2-0SC Olhanense
24.04.2010D1SL Benfica5-0SC Olhanense
12.12.2009D1SC Olhanense2-2SL Benfica
1-1 last recent league head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 6th - same points as Porto and 2nd on goal difference.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Benfica - Benfica have a champions league match against Basel next week.

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWW - have conceded in all home wins scoring 3-2-4-4.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWWDWW - draws 2-2 v 1st and 9th, both away matches.

GOAL TRENDS - 6 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored in all matches this season

STREAKS - 4 match winning streak, have scored and conceded in last 4 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Olhanense

RECENT AWAY FORM - DWDL - not much to go on.Sole win against current 15th

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDWLDWLW - last 2 wins were at home.Have only played one of the top 7 home and away so we cannot gauge performance against the better teams this season.All wins have come against current bottom 3.

GOAL TRENDS - all matches under 2.5 goals away from home.Only failed to score in 1 match this season.

STREAKS - no strong streaks.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - put the 1-1 head to head into context -1st may was the end of the season.Benfica are clearly firing and at home should be capable of 2/3 minimum.All wins for Olhenanse against bottom 3 sides. Another match with one eye on Champions League perhaps? Maybe the manager sees this as a gimme and will rest his best players.All matches for Olhenanse away from home were unders so this does not make a congruent goal trend, but with so few matches played, any trend is very weak.

9pm - Sociedad v Real Madrid - 1.21 away
HEAD TO HEADS
06.02.2011D1Real Madrid4-1Real Sociedad
18.09.2010D1Real Sociedad1-2Real Madrid
15.08.2009CFReal Sociedad0-2Real Madrid

LEAGUE POSITION - 15th v 2nd - a win takes Real top provisionally .

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Real Madrid - have a fixture on 2nd november away to Lyon in the Champions League. Previously the Special One has changed the team prior to Champions League matches and really struggled in the league matches real were expected to win. So take note.

RECENT HOME FORM - DWLD - drew 2-2 with Barca but Barca threw it away.Loss v 10th, draw v 16th and win v 20th.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDLWLLLDL - poor run of form of late.Wins against current 17th and 20th of 20.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs after only 4 at home.Have failed to score in 2 of last 3.

STREAKS - no win in last 5 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Real Madrid

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLDWW - have conceded only 1 goal , of course in that loss, away this season.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWLDWWWW - loss against current leaders came away 0-1 and 0-0 was away too.

GOAL TRENDS - Bar those 2 LD matches, all others over 2.5 goals.Clean sheets in 4 of 5 away matches.3 of last 4 matches without conceding.Have scored 6-4-0-0-6-4-4-4-3

STREAKS - 2 match winning streak away, both 0-4 scorelines.5 match winnings streak overall.Only 1 defeat this season.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 1-2 and 0-2 in head to heads away for Real.Any involvement needs team news with Champions League match impending.
1.21 relays a 2/3 goal win but I would watch for team news.

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