Wednesday 5 October 2011

5/10

1230pm - Albirex Niigata v Geylang - 1.29 home
HEAD TO HEADS
24.07.2011 LC Albirex Niigata (S) 3-1 AET Geylang United
24.06.2011 D1 Geylang United 1-0 Albirex Niigata (S)
30.03.2011 D1 Albirex Niigata (S) 3-1 Geylang United
30.07.2010 D1 Geylang United 1-1 Albirex Niigata (S)
03.05.2010 D1 Albirex Niigata (S) 1-2 Geylang United
10.02.2010 D1 Geylang United 1-1 Albirex Niigata (S)
Fairly evenly matched in head to heads. Tight apart from one anomolous 3-1 win.
LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 8th

HOME TEAM - Albirex

RECENT HOME FORM -WLLWDWWWWWWW - losses against 3rd and 5th.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLWWWLWWWWD - solid recent league form may justify the odds for Albirex above head to heads. Last draw and last 4 losses have all been away from home.

GOAL TRENDS - 5-5-1-1-5-7-4-1 scored by Albirex in recent matches. oooouou - overs/unders - 2 1-0's recently at home against 10th and 11th.

STREAKS - 9 unbeaten - 7 wins on the trot at home

AWAY TEAM - GEYLANG

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLDLDLLWWWL - wins against 3rd, 7th and 11th saw Geylang win without conceding.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWWWWWLWLWWLL - no draw recently - 3 losses in last 5 against 1st, 6th and 8th

GOAL TRENDS - ouoooooouuuu recent - 3 of the unders have been 2-0's. 3-0-2-2-2 conceded in last 5 matches

STREAKS - no draw in 14 matches overall. No draw in 6 away matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - head to heads are tight and as with the match yesterday, head to heads were a good signal. 7 wins on the trot for Albirex at home , losses against 3rd and 5th and playing 8th today. 2 recent 1-0's against 10th and 11th might signal a tighter match than the odds suggest. An average of 3+ goals scored by Albirex recently.Geylang have won 3 of last 4 against 3rd, 7th and 11th. Enough to suggest they can be competitive? NO draw in 14 overall for Geylang.
These are the standout stats. Lay the draw? Albirex could eventually win and a tight match could be on the cards?Tough to get an angle in .

2pm -
Debrecen v Mezokovesd-Z - 1.08 home - Hungarian League Cup and in 2009, Debrecen have scored 4. Priced to score the same again. Likely very illiquid market.
230pm -
Slovan Nemsova v Spartak Trnava - 1.13 away - Slovakian Cup Division 3 W v Division 1.
705pm -
Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians - 1.59 home
HEAD TO HEADS
05.08.2011 PR Bohemians FC 0-1 Shamrock Rovers
04.07.2011 CF Bohemians FC 2-1 AET Shamrock Rovers
30.05.2011 PR Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Bohemians FC
15.04.2011 PR Bohemians FC 1-1 Shamrock Rovers
05.10.2010 PR Bohemians FC 1-0 Shamrock Rovers
08.08.2010 PR Shamrock Rovers 3-0 Bohemians FC
Check out the last 4 league matches in head to heads - 3 1-0's and a 1-1
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 5th - Shamrock have 2 matches in hand over top side. a win tonight puts them on a par points wise but with a vastly inferior goal difference. BUT they have that precious game in hand.Bohs are 5th and seemingly out of the race for the title.

HOME TEAM - SHAMROCK

RECENT HOME FORM - WWLWWWWDWDWWLWW - have lost 0-1 v Bray and 1-2 v Sligo at home.Draws, both score draws against 3rd and 7th.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDLWLWWWWWLDWW - recent losses against 1st ( twice) and 3rd show that Shamrock are in good form.Recent draw was 1-1 away to 4th. So how do they cope against 5th today?

GOAL TRENDS - 6 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. the exception was a 1-1. 60% overs at home, 2.46 scored on average, 0.69 conceded.


STREAKS - have scored in all of last 12 home matches - 5 at home without a draw - have scored 6-1-5-4 in last 4 home matches.

AWAY TEAM - bOHS

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWLLWWWDWWL - 5 wins in last 7 . 2 of 3 losses away against 2nd and 3rd interestingly enough.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWLWLDWWWWLD - recent losses against 2nd, 3rd and 8th. Only 1 win in 8 matches against top 4 includes 3 1-0's and 2 0-0's - remember we've seen this tightness in head to heads.

GOAL TRENDS - 43% overs away from home. Last 6 matches see 3 overs and 3 unders. No real trend. Have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 5 matches.

STREAKS - 3 away without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - the head to heads hint at a tight match. This is crunch time in the league which might enhance tightness through nerves for the home side. Bohs have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 5 matches and their record against top 4, although poor, sees some tight matches. Generally at home, Shamrock have been vulnerable against top 3 sides. This has the feel of a tight match this evening with a must win at home ( although they do have a game in hand over league leaders). Back 0-0 initially and hold on for as long as you dare? Or simply remember this is Ireland and anything can happen and the big leagues will return after the International break is over.

745pm -
Brescia v Gubbio - 1.42 home
HEAD TO HEADS - no recent head to heads and a feel Brescia are the relegated side here, now into Seria B.

LEAGUE POSITION -3rd v 21st after 7 matches.

HOME TEAM - Brescia

RECENT HOME FORM - WWW - scoring 2 on both occasions and conceding only 1.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWWDWD - unbeaten this season.All draws away from home.

GOAL TRENDS - only 1 match over 2.5 goals was a 2-1 at home. Other 2 were 2-0.Have kept a clean sheet in 3 of last 4 matches.

STREAKS -unbeaten this season. 3 wins from 3 at home, scoring 2 in each.

AWAY TEAM - GUBBIO

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLD - lost 2-0 and 6-0 against current 5th and 6th without scoring

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLLDDD - no win this season. 9th 12th and 19th for the draws. 2 1-1's and a 0-0. Have conceded 2-6-3-3 in the losses.

GOAL TRENDS - last 3 matches under 2.5 goals.Have conceded in all bar one match this season.

STREAKS - 7 matches without a win.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - limited number of matches to go on, but it seems Gubbio might be vulnerable against the better sides ( 2-0 and 6-0 losses against 5th and 6th) Brescia have scored 2 in all home matches, keeping a clean sheet in 2. Sort of fits in with the scorelines mentioned above. 3 match draw sequence for Gubbio could end with a loss this evening. Strong under 2.5 goals sequence albeit with only 7 matches of the season gone.

No comments: