Thursday, 13 October 2011

13/10

1230pm - Balestier Khalsa v Albirex Niigata (S) - 1.33 away
28.06.2011 D1 Albirex Niigata (S) 1-0 Balestier Khalsa
06.04.2011 D1 Balestier Khalsa 0-1 Albirex Niigata (S)
26.07.2010 D1 Balestier Khalsa 1-1 Albirex Niigata (S)
03.06.2010 D1 Albirex Niigata (S) 0-1 Balestier Khalsa
08.03.2010 D1 Balestier Khalsa 1-0 Albirex Niigata (S)
03.11.2009 D1 Albirex Niigata (S) 3-0 Balestier Khalsa
Instantly, you would not have any team at 1.33 here based on such tight , and consistently tight, head to heads since 2010.
1st goal generally scored after the 30th minute mark.
Tue15/02/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 1 - 1Home United

Mon28/02/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 0Young Lions

Thu17/03/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 2Armed Forces

Fri25/03/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 1 - 2Gombak United

Wed06/04/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 1Albirex Niigata S

Thu21/04/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 2 - 0Woodlands Well…

Fri13/05/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 4Etoile

Wed25/05/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 3 - 1Geylang United

Thu23/06/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 2 - 4Hougang United

Tue05/07/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 2 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Tue02/08/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 4Home United

Sat06/08/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 1Tampines Rovers

Wed14/09/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 1 - 3Armed Forces

Thu29/09/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 2Gombak United

Thu06/10/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 1 - 0Young Lions

No draw at home in 13 for Balastier. Wins against 8th 9th, 11th , 12th any coincidence these are the bottom sides?
Have lost 4 of last 5 at home against 1st, 2nd , 6th, 7th
No draw in 22 matches overall for Balastier. Quite obviously they either win or lose.
Sun10/07/11S.LWoodlands Well… 1 - 0Balestier Khalsa

Thu14/07/11S.LEtoile 3 - 0Balestier Khalsa

Tue02/08/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 4Home United

Sat06/08/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 1Tampines Rovers

Thu08/09/11S.LGeylang United 3 - 2Balestier Khalsa

Wed14/09/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 1 - 3Armed Forces

Thu29/09/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 0 - 2Gombak United

Mon03/10/11S.LHougang United 2 - 0Balestier Khalsa

Thu06/10/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 1 - 0Young Lions

Have failed to score in 6 of last 9 matches and won only 1 against poor bottom league team. Is this the reason the market has quoted the away side at 1.33 despite quite obvious history of ultra tight matches.
Sat21/05/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 2 - 1Home United

Tue31/05/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 4 - 2Young Lions

Mon06/06/11S.LTanjong Pagar 1 - 2Albirex Niigata S

Fri24/06/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Albirex Niigata S

Tue28/06/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 1 - 0Balestier Khalsa

Mon04/07/11S.LGombak United 1 - 5Albirex Niigata S

Thu07/07/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 5 - 1Hougang United

Wed13/07/11S.LArmed Forces 2 - 1Albirex Niigata S

Thu04/08/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 1 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Mon08/08/11S.LWoodlands Well… 1 - 5Albirex Niigata S

Wed07/09/11S.LEtoile 2 - 7Albirex Niigata S

Sat10/09/11S.LHome United 0 - 4Albirex Niigata S

Wed14/09/11S.LYoung Lions 1 - 1Albirex Niigata S

Wed05/10/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 6 - 1Geylang United
Only 1 draw in last 18 for Albirex came in 2nd last match against Young lions ( who Balastier beat last time out).
Have scored 5-5-1-1-5-7-4-1-6 in recent matches - they have it within them to really batter sides.
Only 1 draw in last 17 away matches came in last match v Young Lions.
1st, 5th, 6th and 8th were the team who recently beat Albirex away.

Form wise, both teams seem averse , generally, to the draw. That is an obvious angle in but the lay price is likely to be big.
This is one of those conundrums. Surely we cannot ignore such strong head to heads trends which points to an ultra tight match, but then what do we make of the fact that Albirex have scored 5-5-1-1-5-7-4-1-6 in recent matches and Balastier have lost 8 of their last 9 matches and failed to score in 6 of them?
A simple case of deciding whether recent form supercedes strong head to heads. Speculative 1-0 away correct score might have legs? Under 2.5 goals might have tradable legs if the first goal trend continues ( generally scored after the first 30 minutes)

1230pm - Geylang Utd v Tanjong Pagar - 1.32 home
01.07.2011 D1 Tanjong Pagar Utd 0-1 Geylang United
04.04.2011 D1 Geylang United 2-0 Tanjong Pagar Utd
29.09.2004 D1 Tanjong Pagar Utd 0-4 Geylang United
08.07.2004 D1 Geylang United 2-2 Tanjong Pagar Utd
30.04.2004 D1 Tanjong Pagar Utd 1-2 Geylang United
13.09.2003 D1 Geylang United 5-0 Tanjong Pagar Utd
Geylang like playing this lot it would seem.Unbeaten in recent head to heads and not conceded in last 3 matches.
Wed25/05/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 3 - 1Geylang United

Tue31/05/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Gombak United

Mon20/06/11S.LHougang United 0 - 2Geylang United

Fri24/06/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Albirex Niigata S

Mon27/06/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Woodlands Well…

Fri01/07/11S.LTanjong Pagar 0 - 1Geylang United

Sun17/07/11S.LGeylang United 2 - 3Etoile

Wed03/08/11S.LTampines Rovers 0 - 2Geylang United

Mon08/08/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 3Home United

Sat13/08/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Young Lions

Thu08/09/11S.LGeylang United 3 - 2Balestier Khalsa

Tue13/09/11S.LGombak United 2 - 0Geylang United

Fri30/09/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 2Hougang United

Wed05/10/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 6 - 1Geylang United

Mon10/10/11S.LEtoile 3 - 2Geylang United

No draw in 16 overall for geylang. They don't seem to like draws in Singapore.
Lost last 4 against 3rd 4th 6th and 7th and playing 11th today.
No draw in 14 at home.
Wed23/03/11S.LGeylang United 2 - 1Hougang United

Mon04/04/11S.LGeylang United 2 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Thu21/04/11S.LGeylang United 0 - 1Tampines Rovers

Tue31/05/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Gombak United

Fri24/06/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Albirex Niigata S

Mon27/06/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Woodlands Well…

Sun17/07/11S.LGeylang United 2 - 3Etoile

Mon08/08/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 3Home United

Sat13/08/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 0Young Lions

Thu08/09/11S.LGeylang United 3 - 2Balestier Khalsa

Fri30/09/11S.LGeylang United 1 - 2Hougang United
Recent home losses against 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 6th
4 of the last 5 home wins have been 1-0. A hint that Geylang might be vulnerable if they concede.
Mon06/06/11S.LTanjong Pagar 1 - 2Albirex Niigata S

Sun19/06/11S.LYoung Lions 0 - 1Tanjong Pagar

Mon27/06/11S.LTanjong Pagar 0 - 2Etoile

Fri01/07/11S.LTanjong Pagar 0 - 1Geylang United

Tue05/07/11S.LBalestier Khalsa 2 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Sat09/07/11S.LTanjong Pagar 0 - 0Gombak United

Thu04/08/11S.LAlbirex Niigata S 1 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Thu11/08/11S.LArmed Forces 4 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Thu08/09/11S.LTampines Rovers 1 - 0Tanjong Pagar

Thu15/09/11S.LTanjong Pagar 0 - 3Home United

Mon26/09/11S.LEtoile 6 - 1Tanjong Pagar

Mon03/10/11S.LTanjong Pagar 3 - 1Young Lions

Thu06/10/11S.LHougang United 4 - 3Tanjong Pagar
Only 1 draw in last 16 for Tanjong was a 0-0 ( like Geylang)
Tanjong have lost 12 of last 15 matches.
15 away matches this season without a draw, 13 losses and 2 wins , both 1-0 against 9th and 12th.
Geylang clearly favoured today but it could be a tight eventual win. Lay the draw again but like the other Singapore match, it looks like the draw price might not be favoured.

430pm - HJK Helsinki v JJK - 1.46 home - clearly dominant and that dominance may relate into complacency with an insurmountable lead in the league.
06.08.2011 D1 JJK Jyväskylä 0-2 HJK Helsinki
29.05.2011 D1 HJK Helsinki 6-2 JJK Jyväskylä
02.10.2010 D1 JJK Jyväskylä 1-2 HJK Helsinki
23.06.2010 D1 HJK Helsinki 1-0 JJK Jyväskylä
16.08.2009 D1 HJK Helsinki 1-1 JJK Jyväskylä
17.05.2009 D1 JJK Jyväskylä 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Have won the last 4 head to heads.
Fri08/07/11VEIHJK 4 - 2Inter Turku

Sat16/07/11VEIHJK 3 - 0VPS

Sat23/07/11VEIJaro 1 - 0HJK

Sat30/07/11VEIHJK 1 - 0Mariehamn

Sat06/08/11VEIJJK 0 - 2HJK

Fri12/08/11VEIHJK 2 - 1Honka

Sun21/08/11VEIHJK 5 - 0RoPS

Mon29/08/11VEIHaka 1 - 3HJK

Thu08/09/11VEITPS 2 - 1HJK

Mon12/09/11VEIHJK 1 - 0KuPS

Sun18/09/11VEIInter Turku 1 - 1HJK

Wed21/09/11VEIHJK 2 - 0VPS

Wed28/09/11VEIHJK 6 - 0Jaro

Sun02/10/11VEIMariehamn 0 - 2HJK
3 losses and a draw recently all come away from home.
5 of last 6 wins have come without conceding a goal.
14 match home winning sequence for HJK is overwhelming.
9 of those wins came without conceding a goal.
Have only conceded one goal in their last 6 home matches.

Playing 3rd in the league today so likely to be a tightish match. BUT note the points difference. HJK have 70 points. 3rd place have 47 points.

Fri15/07/11VEIHaka 0 - 2JJK

Sun24/07/11VEIJJK 1 - 1TPS

Sun31/07/11VEIKuPS 4 - 4JJK

Sat06/08/11VEIJJK 0 - 2HJK

Fri12/08/11VEIVPS 1 - 1JJK

Mon15/08/11VEIJJK 3 - 3Jaro

Sun21/08/11VEIMariehamn 2 - 2JJK

Sat27/08/11VEIJJK 1 - 0Inter Turku

Thu08/09/11VEIHonka 2 - 2JJK

Sun11/09/11VEIJJK 4 - 0MYPA

Sun18/09/11VEIRoPS 3 - 3JJK

Sun25/09/11VEIJJK 2 - 1Haka

Wed28/09/11VEITPS 2 - 2JJK

Sun02/10/11VEIJJK 1 - 2KuPS
What seems to be holding JJK back are the draws. 8 draws in last 13 matches. Last 10 draws all score draws. Have only lost 2 of last 15, one was at home to today's opponents - 0-2 loss and the other 1-2 at home to 6th
Mon13/06/11VEIJaro 1 - 1JJK

Mon20/06/11VEIInter Turku 2 - 0JJK

Mon04/07/11VEIMYPA 2 - 1JJK

Fri15/07/11VEIHaka 0 - 2JJK

Sun31/07/11VEIKuPS 4 - 4JJK

Fri12/08/11VEIVPS 1 - 1JJK

Sun21/08/11VEIMariehamn 2 - 2JJK

Thu08/09/11VEIHonka 2 - 2JJK

Sun18/09/11VEIRoPS 3 - 3JJK

Wed28/09/11VEITPS 2 - 2JJK

They have very definitely caught drawitis away from home. Last 6 matches all draws and all score draws. Last 4 matches all over 3.5 goals . It suggests defensive vulnerability and over 1.5 goals.

Will HJK tolerate a draw after winning all home matches. Perhaps the draw is layable today for JJK against superior opponents? What do you think?
JJK have scored first in last 5 away draws so enhanced bettors take note.
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