Friday 28 October 2011

28/10

12pm - Oleksandria (Res) v Shakhtar (Res) - 1.14 away - 1 win, 2 draws and 9 losses for home team in last 12, and 9 wins and 3 draws for away team in last 12. Likely illiquid market and on some coupons as under 21's.
1pm - Goverla Zakarpatia v Zirka Kirovohrad - 1.18 home - Ukrainian 2nd division match likely to be very illiquid betting market.
2pm - Rubin Kazan v Rostov - 1.38 home
HEAD TO HEADS
18.06.2011 D1 FK Rostov 1-3 Rubin Kazan
16.10.2010 D1 Rubin Kazan 2-1 FK Rostov
10.05.2010 D1 FK Rostov 0-2 Rubin Kazan
25.10.2009 D1 FK Rostov 1-2 Rubin Kazan
13.06.2009 D1 Rubin Kazan 0-2 FK Rostov
clean sweep last 4 matches and at home, only 1 recent head to head a 2-1 win
LEAGUE POSITION - 6th v 10th after 28 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Rubin Kazan are playing Spurs in the Europa League on 3rd November. Will this impact team news?

RECENT HOME FORM -
Sun20/03/11PRLRubin Kazan' 2 - 0Terek Grozny

Sun10/04/11PRLRubin Kazan' 0 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sun24/04/11PRLRubin Kazan' 1 - 1Amkar Perm'

Sun08/05/11PRLRubin Kazan' 2 - 1Krasnodar

Fri20/05/11PRLRubin Kazan' 0 - 0Lokomotiv Moskva

Fri27/05/11PRLRubin Kazan' 4 - 1Tom' Tomsk

Tue14/06/11PRLRubin Kazan' 3 - 0Dinamo Moskva

Wed22/06/11PRLRubin Kazan' 2 - 0Volga

Sun26/06/11PRLRubin Kazan' 0 - 2Kuban' Krasnodar

Sat30/07/11PRLRubin Kazan' 0 - 3Anzhi Makhachkala

Sat13/08/11PRLRubin Kazan' 1 - 1CSKA Moskva

Sun28/08/11PRLRubin Kazan' 1 - 0Krylya Sovetov

Sun18/09/11PRLRubin Kazan' 2 - 3Zenit

Sun16/10/11PRLRubin Kazan' 3 - 0Spartak Moskva
Recent losses against 1st , 7th and 8th. These 3 losses have all come in last 6 matches.


RECENT FORM OVERALL
Fri22/07/11PRLTerek Grozny 0 - 1Rubin Kazan'

Sat30/07/11PRLRubin Kazan' 0 - 3Anzhi Makhachkala

Sun07/08/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 0 - 1Rubin Kazan'

Sat13/08/11PRLRubin Kazan' 1 - 1CSKA Moskva

Sat20/08/11PRLAmkar Perm' 1 - 1Rubin Kazan'

Sun28/08/11PRLRubin Kazan' 1 - 0Krylya Sovetov

Sat10/09/11PRLKrasnodar 3 - 1Rubin Kazan'

Sun18/09/11PRLRubin Kazan' 2 - 3Zenit

Sun25/09/11PRLLokomotiv Moskva 1 - 1Rubin Kazan'

Sun02/10/11PRLTom' Tomsk 0 - 2Rubin Kazan'

Sun16/10/11PRLRubin Kazan' 3 - 0Spartak Moskva

Mon24/10/11PRLDinamo Moskva 0 - 2Rubin Kazan'
3 match winning streak most welcome and without conceding , came against 4th, 5th, and 16th. Impressive to have scored 3 and 2 without conceding against current 4th and 5th, and should augur well against lowlier opponents?

GOAL TRENDS - Have scored in all of their last 9 matches.3 clean sheets in last 3 matches, all wins. 3 of the last 4 over 2.5 goals matches occured because of goals conceded by Rubin. Rubin have scored in their last 4 at home and were 2-0 up against Zenit before losing 2-3 in 2nd last match.

STREAKS - have won last 3 overall without conceding.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Rostov

RECENT AWAY FORM -
3 0-1 wins in last 5 matches were against 12th, 13th and 15th . Are these teams naturally weaker than playing 6th? Recent loss came against 9th and draw against 11th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM -
Sat13/08/11PRLRostov 1 - 2Kuban' Krasnodar

Sat20/08/11PRLTerek Grozny 1 - 1Rostov

Sat27/08/11PRLRostov 1 - 1Anzhi Makhachkala

Sun11/09/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 0 - 1Rostov

Sun18/09/11PRLRostov 1 - 1CSKA Moskva

Sun25/09/11PRLAmkar Perm' 0 - 1Rostov

Sat01/10/11PRLRostov 1 - 0Krylya Sovetov

Sat15/10/11PRLKrasnodar 2 - 0Rostov

Sun23/10/11PRLRostov 1 - 3Zenit
Last 2 matches were losses against 1st and 9th, prior to a series of very tight matches -1-1-, 1-1, 0-1, 1-1, 0-1, 1-0 against 11th, 8th, 15th, 2nd, 12th and 14th. What to make of 1-1 draw against CSKA which saw Rostov leading?


GOAL TRENDS - 7 of last 8 matches under2.5 goals. Unbeaten in 4 of last 5 away matches.

STREAKS - 2 match losing streak overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - life gets tougher without soccerstats! A 3 match winning streak without conceding may be stimulus enough for Rubin at home? Wins against 4th and 5th quite eyecatching. Recent run of 5 under 2.5 goals for Rostov came against teams 9th or below. 1-0 wins against 12th, 13th and 15th. Have lost their last 2 matches 2-0 and 1-3.
No standout stats for me. I suppose we could look at Rubin continuing their winning streak without conceding?

415pm - CSKA Moscow v Spartak Nalchik - 1.26 home
HEAD TO HEADS
18.06.2011 D1 Spartak Nalchik 0-2 CSKA Moscow
14.11.2010 D1 Spartak Nalchik 1-1 CSKA Moscow
25.07.2010 D1 CSKA Moscow 1-2 Spartak Nalchik
17.10.2009 D1 Spartak Nalchik 1-1 CSKA Moscow
22.07.2009 D1 CSKA Moscow 0-0 Spartak Nalchik
Generally tight head to heads but CSKA asserted in sole 2011 meeting.
LEAGUE POSITION - 2nd v 15th. CSKA have a game in hand over top side and a win takes them within 2 points of Zenit.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - CSKA - champions league match on 2nd November away to Trabzonspor.

RECENT HOME FORM -
Sun15/05/11PRLCSKA Moskva 2 - 1Rostov

Sun29/05/11PRLCSKA Moskva 1 - 1Kuban' Krasnodar

Tue14/06/11PRLCSKA Moskva 3 - 0Anzhi Makhachkala

Wed22/06/11PRLCSKA Moskva 3 - 1Lokomotiv Moskva

Mon25/07/11PRLCSKA Moskva 2 - 1Krylya Sovetov

Sat06/08/11PRLCSKA Moskva 0 - 2Zenit

Sat20/08/11PRLCSKA Moskva 3 - 0Tom' Tomsk

Sat10/09/11PRLCSKA Moskva 0 - 4Dinamo Moskva

Sat24/09/11PRLCSKA Moskva 3 - 1Volga

Sat15/10/11PRLCSKA Moskva 2 - 2Terek Grozny
Losses have recently only come against 1st and 3rd with draw against Terek which saw CSKA 2-0 up.
5 wins in last 8 matches. Apart from losses v top 3, CSKA scored 3-3-2-3-3 and are priced to score at least 2 today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL -
Sun31/07/11PRLKrasnodar 1 - 1CSKA Moskva

Sat06/08/11PRLCSKA Moskva 0 - 2Zenit

Sat13/08/11PRLRubin Kazan' 1 - 1CSKA Moskva

Sat20/08/11PRLCSKA Moskva 3 - 0Tom' Tomsk

Sun28/08/11PRLSpartak Moskva 2 - 2CSKA Moskva

Sat10/09/11PRLCSKA Moskva 0 - 4Dinamo Moskva

Sun18/09/11PRLRostov 1 - 1CSKA Moskva

Sat24/09/11PRLCSKA Moskva 3 - 1Volga

Sun02/10/11PRLKuban' Krasnodar 0 - 0CSKA Moskva

Sat15/10/11PRLCSKA Moskva 2 - 2Terek Grozny

Sun23/10/11PRLAnzhi Makhachkala 3 - 5CSKA Moskva
Very patchy recent form best represented as follows - DLDWDLDWDDW - 5 of the last 6 draws were away draws. The last draw was the 2-2 v Terek ( 2-0 up were CSKA) - a Jekyll and Hyde side it would seem home and away.

GOAL TRENDS - 8 wins, 3 losses, 3 draws, 4 clean sheets at home, averaging 1.71 scored and 1.07 conceded at home. 3 of last 4 matches over 3.5 goals. Away from top 3 recently, scored either 2 or 3 goals.

STREAKS - unbeaten in last 4. Again, if we take out the top 3 teams played most recently at home, we see form of WWWWWD ( again 2-0 up in that draw and scoring 2/3 goals in these matches)

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Spartak Nalchik

RECENT AWAY FORM -
Sat07/05/11PRLRostov 0 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Fri20/05/11PRLKuban' Krasnodar 1 - 1Spartak Nal'chik

Fri10/06/11PRLAnzhi Makhachkala 2 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Tue14/06/11PRLLokomotiv Moskva 3 - 1Spartak Nal'chik

Wed22/06/11PRLAmkar Perm' 1 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sun26/06/11PRLKrylya Sovetov 0 - 2Spartak Nal'chik

Sun31/07/11PRLZenit 1 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sat13/08/11PRLTom' Tomsk 0 - 2Spartak Nal'chik

Sun28/08/11PRLDinamo Moskva 2 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sat17/09/11PRLVolga 1 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sat01/10/11PRLTerek Grozny 0 - 1Spartak Nal'chik

No draw in last 9 matches. 3 wins away came against 11th, 14th and 16th ( bottom 6 sides)

RECENT OVERALL FORM -
Sun31/07/11PRLZenit 1 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sun07/08/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 0 - 1Rubin Kazan'

Sat13/08/11PRLTom' Tomsk 0 - 2Spartak Nal'chik

Sun21/08/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 1 - 1Spartak Moskva

Sun28/08/11PRLDinamo Moskva 2 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sun11/09/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 0 - 1Rostov

Sat17/09/11PRLVolga 1 - 0Spartak Nal'chik

Sun25/09/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 0 - 1Kuban' Krasnodar

Sat01/10/11PRLTerek Grozny 0 - 1Spartak Nal'chik

Sun16/10/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 1 - 1Anzhi Makhachkala

Mon24/10/11PRLSpartak Nal'chik 1 - 2Lokomotiv Moskva
Only 3 wins this season as mentioned in the away section. REcent draws against 5th, 8th and 9th all score draws.

GOAL TRENDS -have failed to score in 9 away matches.

STREAKS - 3 wins, 8 losses and 3 draws, 5 clean sheets, 0.5 scored, 1 conceded.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - maybe Spartak can keep things tight initially, but CSKA should continue scoring 2/3 at home as they have done like clockwork recently in matches where they have not met the top 3 sides.

530pm - SCR Altach v BW Linz - 1.47 home - Austrian 2nd division .
7pm - Breda v VVV - 1.53 home
HEAD TO HEADS
05.02.2011 D1 VVV Venlo 3-0 NAC Breda
23.09.2010 Cup NAC Breda 3-1 VVV Venlo
28.08.2010 D1 NAC Breda 2-0 VVV Venlo
30.01.2010 D1 NAC Breda 2-0 VVV Venlo
30.10.2009 D1 VVV Venlo 1-1 NAC Breda
Breda at home have won convincingly. What to make of the 3-0 away reverse latest?
LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 17th after 10 matches signals a poor start for both sides to the season.

HOME TEAM - BREDA-past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM - LDLWW - sign of a recovery? Losses against 3rd and 4th, wins against 12th and 18th, and playing 17th today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLDLLWWLWL - 2 of wins at home - 4 away losses.

GOAL TRENDS - a mixed bag with overs and unders. Overs caused by concession of 2 and 3 goals. Is this likely to occur against fellow early strugglers VVV? 7 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. Overs, Unders, Overs, Unders last 4 matches. Have failed to score in only 1 match this season.

STREAKS - 7 overall without a draw, have scored in last 9 matches. Have kept a clean sheet in last 2 matches ( both wins at home)

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - VVV

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLL - have only scored 1 away v Twente. Losses against 3rd, 4th, 5th and 10th. Likely to be playing their easiest away match so far this season. It was unlikely they were going to beat 3rd, 4th and 5th away.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLDLDLLLLW - recent win an anomolous 4-1 home win against Waalwijk. It was a rather sudden jump into winning form after 4 consecutive losses.

GOAL TRENDS - 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals, the only exception was a 2-0 which saw the 2nd goal in the 41st minute, and was thus a successful over 2.5 goals trade. VVV have conceded in all bar the first match of the season. VVV have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.

STREAKS - 4 match losing streak. No goal scored in the last 2 matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
Breda - have scored 2-2-3 at home in head to heads, but what of the 3-0 away loss last head to head? Can it be dismissed?
Losses at home against 3rd and 4th no surprise. 2 wins at home against 12th and 18th, keeping clean sheets ( 2/3 head to heads clean sheets at home). Have only failed to score in 1 match this season. last 7 of 9 matches over 2.5 goals but a number down to concessions rather than goals scored. Question. Will VVV score 2 or more? 7 matches without a draw.
VVV - only 1 win this season was last match and totally out of the blue , 4 losses away but were tough matches against 3rd, 4th, 5th for example. Failed to score in 3/4 away. 8 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. All last 9 matches successful over 2.5 goals. 4-3-3-2-3-4-1 conceded in recent matches. So overs caused by concession not by scoring.
Conclusion? Breda should not lose, have head to heads at home and have won their last 2 to nil at home ( against 12th and 18th).Goals trends difficult to read. VVV failed to score in 3 of last 5, potential for correct score speculation of 2-1, 2-0, 3-1 for Breda.



715pm - Plzen v Hradec Kralove - 1.25 home - a likely illiquid goals market precludes any interest here and can free up time for me to research Saturday matches with greater liquidity is better leagues.

745pm - Shamrock Rovers v Galway Utd - 1.06 home - the perennial oppose Galway weekly bet.I am just going to glance over it.1st v 10th so a must win for Shamrock to maintain their position. Shamrock have scored 6-5-5 without conceding against bottom 3 at home this season.They have won 5 of their last 6.
14 match losing streak for Galway and have conceded 4-7-4-6 against top 4 away this season.
Areas to look - correct score to nil markets ( although betfair may end at 3-0) and highly speculative over 5.5 goal market perhaps.
745pm - Sligo Rovers v UCD - 1.14 home
815pm - Porto v Pacos Ferreira - 1.15 home
HEAD TO HEADS
08.05.2011 D1 FC Porto 3-3 Paços de Ferreira
19.12.2010 D1 Paços de Ferreira 0-3 FC Porto
16.01.2010 D1 FC Porto 1-1 Paços de Ferreira
16.08.2009 D1 Paços de Ferreira 1-1 FC Porto
The 3-3 can be dismissed as Porto already wrapped up the title - look at the date this match was played!
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 11th after 8 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - PORTO - Porto have an away fixture in the Champions League against APOEL on 1st November.

RECENT HOME FORM - WWDW - draw was against Benfica so not a shock.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWDDWW - draws against Benfica and Feirense ( again the research pointed to a 0-0 and that is what transpired) Porto have scored 3 goals against 8th and 9th and are playing 11th at home today.

GOAL TRENDS - 6 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals, the exception the 0-0 v Feirense. Porto have scored 3-3-2-5 at home. Porto have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 matches.

STREAKS - unbeaten this season. Draws were both foreseen, the usual expected result is a comfortable win. CLean sheets in 4 of last 5 matches

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team -Pacos

RECENT AWAY FORM - LDLL - sole draw was a 0-0 against guess who? Feirense. It compounds the fact that the 0-0 with Porto was more to do with Feirense than with any Porto inadequacies.Losses against 2nd, 8th and 13th. Loss against 2nd was a 4-1 loss, and this is what Porto should be capable of.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWDLLLLW - both wins at home against current 7th and 14th. Last win ended a 4 match losing run.

GOAL TRENDS - 5/7 matches over 2.5 goals and generally overs because of concession rather than scoring. Have failed to score in 2 matches, both away matches.

STREAKS - 4 away without a win, 5 overall without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - I am going through the motions really. This should be a Porto win all day, and they are reliable enough to be translating sub 1.2 odds into the expected 3/4 goal win possibly to nil. Speculative correct score backers point to Benfica's 4-1 win. 3-0, 4-0, 4-1 possible scorelines. If you want to chance that Pacos will not score then insert a 5-0 perhaps.
Look for over 3.5, 4.5 goals to enhance the match odds.
SATURDAY
12pm - Aberdeen v Rangers - 1.55 away
HEAD TO HEADS
28.08.2011 PR Glasgow Rangers 2-0 Aberdeen FC
13.04.2011 PR Aberdeen FC 0-1 Glasgow Rangers
13.11.2010 PR Glasgow Rangers 2-0 Aberdeen FC
26.09.2010 PR Aberdeen FC 2-3 Glasgow Rangers
07.04.2010 PR Glasgow Rangers 3-1 Aberdeen FC

LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 1st - 9 points clear at the top of the league. Last 3 head to heads have seen clean sheets.Rangers have won all recent head to heads.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - -Aberdeen

RECENT HOME FORM - DLWDWW - only one loss at home was a 0-1 v Celtic. 3 wins have come against bottom 3.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DLLLWLDDLWWL - wins against bottom 3 at home. 5 matches away to top 6 all losses.

GOAL TRENDS - 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals . 2/3rd home matches over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 2 match winning streak at home may relay some confidence but against bottom 3 sides.No defeat in 4. Have scored in last 4 matches.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team -Rangers

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWWWWW against 2nd, 4th, 5th, 10th, 11th, 12th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DWWWWWWWWWDW - unbeaten this season and unlikely this will end today.

GOAL TRENDS - rangers have kept a clean sheet in 9 of last 10 matches and all away matches
5 2-0 scorelines and 2 1-1's knock over 2.5 goals out of kilter.

STREAKS - 6 match winning streak away without conceding.12 without defeat, have scored in all of last 12 matches. Have played bottom 6 home and away without conceding and winning all matches.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - nothing about Aberdeen which leads me towards them winning this. A 0-1 loss to Celtic the only sign they might be trouble for Rangers. 1.55 away is reasonable and of course another clean sheet should ensure Rangers score first. Over 2.5 goals reliant on 2nd goal if this is to be another Rangers 0-2 win. Possible win to nil opens up a decent odds correct score bet perhaps?

12pm - Amkar v Anzhi Makhachkala - 1.54 away
HEAD TO HEADS
18.06.2011 D1 Amkar Perm 0-0 Anzhi Makhachkala
07.08.2010 D1 Anzhi Makhachkala 1-0 Amkar Perm
20.03.2010 D1 Amkar Perm 1-0 Anzhi Makhachkala
07.08.2003 D2 Anzhi Makhachkala 1-1 Amkar Perm

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

12pm - Everton v Man Utd - 1.8 away - United must purge themselves of the late late capitulation against City last weekend. A match where we can make an argument for Man Utd based in this context.
HEAD TO HEADS
23.04.2011 PR Manchester United 1-0 Everton FC
11.09.2010 PR Everton FC 3-3 Manchester United
20.02.2010 PR Everton FC 3-1 Manchester United
21.11.2009 PR Manchester United 3-0 Everton FC
19.04.2009 Cup Manchester United 0-0/p.2-4 Everton FC
31.01.2009 PR Manchester United 1-0 Everton FC
Everton have not dropped points in the last 2 visits of Man Utd. In fact they have scored 3. But remember this match is a post transfer market match .
LEAGUE POSITION - 13th v 2nd

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Everton.

RECENT HOME FORM - LDWL - losses against QPR and Liverpool.Draw v Villa and win against Wigan. Not really overwhelmingly positive form thus far.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWDWLLLW - wins against Blackburn,Wigan and Fulham. Most recent 3 losses against Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea.

GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs at home. No clean sheets at home.

STREAKS - have conceded in last 4 at home. No draw in 2 at home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Man Utd - mid week Champions League match against Otelul is coming up. Possible team changes ? This leg is at home so United should have an easier time of it.

RECENT AWAY FORM - WWDD- wins against West Brom and Bolton and 1-1 draws against Stoke and Liverpool. United have scored first in 3 of those 4 away matches

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWWDWDL - wheels coming off with last 4 matches? Last loss the famous 1-6 loss to City ( 3 90th minute goals puts a gloss on the scoreline)

GOAL TRENDS - 4 over 1.5 goals away. 3 of last 4 matches under 2.5 goals. Have scored in all matches this season.

STREAKS - 2 match drawing streak away.4 without defeat away.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Everton are unbeaten at home in head to heads ( only 2) scoring 3. Sole win v Wigan at home is hardly inspiring and hints at vulnerability .Most recent 3 losses for Everton against Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea hinting that against the top sides , Everton could have trouble.They have lost away to 1st and 3rd - how much of a difference does playing at home do? Man utd are playing a champions league match mid week. Will this engender team changes? 2 score draws away is a sequence United would like to end, and it could be the case. Goal trends difficult to ascertain but United have scored in all matches this season so enhanced bettors take note if Everton score first.

1245pm - Chelsea v Arsenal - 1.68 home - knee jerk? Price a bit short for Chelsea.
HEAD TO HEADS
27.12.2010 PR Arsenal FC 3-1 Chelsea FC
03.10.2010 PR Chelsea FC 2-0 Arsenal FC
07.02.2010 PR Chelsea FC 2-0 Arsenal FC
29.11.2009 PR Arsenal FC 0-3 Chelsea FC
10.05.2009 PR Arsenal FC 1-4 Chelsea FC

LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 7th after 9 matches.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Chelsea have an away match against Genk mid week in the Champions League.

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWW - conceded in all home match. Wins against Norwich and Swansea were expected, as I suppose was the win against WBA. Other win was a 3-1 v Everton. All over 2.5 goals because Chelsea keep conceding one goal at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - DWWWLWWWL - loss against Man Utd and against QPR, unexpected 1-0 loss latest.

GOAL TRENDS - over 2.5 goals in 7 of last 8 matches. Have conceded 1 goal in all of the last 8 matches.Have failed to score in only 2 matches.

STREAKS - 4 match home winning streak.Have scored in all 4 at home and conceded in last 8 matches 1 goal in each match.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Arsenal are playing at home to Marseille mid week. Will that impact team news?

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLLL - lost against 2nd, drawn against 4th, and lost against 5th, and playing 3rd today.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLWLWLWW - 4 wins have come at home against Swansea, Bolton, Sunderland and Stoke.

GOAL TRENDS - last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 6 of last 7 over 2.5 goals. Have scored in last 7 and conceded in last 3.

STREAKS - 3 match losing streak away - unable to beat the top 5 they have played away.No draw in 3 away, and in last 8 overall. Have scored in all of last 7.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Both sides have Champions League matches impending. How much influence will these matches have in team selection. Immediately we see contrasting home and away fortunes this season and a feeling Arse are vulnerable to top 5 sides ( LDL so far. Chelsea have won all bar last match in head to heads. Chelsea have conceded in all home matches and last 8 matches overall this season so Arse could score, and if they score first, enhanced bettors get involved. Tough to gauge with the Champs League due . Form wise, Arsenal look vulnerable away and away to top 5 too. Possible 1-1, 2-1, 3-1 scoreline for Chelsea continues their 1 goal concession.

230pm - B Munich v Nurnberg - 1.19 home
HEAD TO HEADS
09.04.2011 D1 Nürnberg 1-1 Bayern München
14.11.2010 D1 Bayern München 3-0 Nürnberg
20.02.2010 D1 Nürnberg 1-1 Bayern München
19.09.2009 D1 Bayern München 2-1 Nürnberg
Bayern win at home and draw away.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 13th -

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Bayern - 2nd november Champions League match against Napoli - check team news for stars being rested. Gomez for example would be a massive miss.

RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWW - have scored 5-7-3-4 in last 4 home matches without conceding.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWWWWWWDWL - loss not unexpected against Hannover who won this fixture last year.

GOAL TRENDS - 8/10 matches have seen Bayern clean sheets. 6 of last 8 matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score in only 2 mathces this season.

STREAKS - 4 match home winning streak, 5 without a draw at home.Have kept 4 clean sheets at home.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - nurnberg

RECENT AWAY FORM - WLWLL - no draw away .

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLWWDLDLD - no win in last 5 after good start to the season. All draws came at home and last 2 losses were aways and note this, both winning goals for the opponents were penalties. We could infer therefore a degree of bad luck for Nurnberg

GOAL TRENDS - 2/5 overs away from home.Last 3 matches over 2.5 goals.Have conceded in all of last 6 and failed to score in only 2 matches.

STREAKS - 5 away without a draw, 5 overall without a win. Have conceded in all of last 6.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - Bayern win home head to heads. 4 clean sheets at home - 5 at home without a draw plays 5 away without a draw. Bayern's loss and draw could have been foretold - they certainly were threatening to happen if you did the form analysis. I cannot see anywhere where Nurnberg will get the win, bar seeing wholesale changes for Bayern with the Champions league coming in the week.

3pm - Celtic v Hibernian - 1.25 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.10.2011 LC Hibernian FC 1-4 Celtic FC
24.07.2011 PR Hibernian FC 0-2 Celtic FC
06.04.2011 PR Celtic FC 3-1 Hibernian FC
15.01.2011 PR Hibernian FC 0-3 Celtic FC
25.09.2010 PR Celtic FC 2-1 Hibernian FC
17.04.2010 PR Celtic FC 3-2 Hibernian FC
6 wins for Celtic in last 6 head to heads. Last time they were priced like this, Killy scored 3 at half time ( but this was a Celtic away match)
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 9th -a win takes Celtic 2nd but they are a mile behind Rangers at present.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Celtic -Europa League match on 3rd November, but realistically Celtic have little chance of reaching the business end.

RECENT HOME FORM - WLWWW - no draw at home. Loss to St Johnstone 0-1 , Celtic missed a penalty.Celtic have scored 4-2-2 since that loss.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWLWWLWLDW - losses against 1st, 4th and 5th.

GOAL TRENDS - 60/40 overs at home. 3 2-0 scorelines have stopped last 7 matches being over 2.5 goals.

STREAKS - 3 match winning streak at home.5 at home without a draw

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - - Hibs

RECENT AWAY FORM- WLLDL - sole win away against Inverness. Lost 1-0 to Rangers away.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LWLLLDDDWLLW -3 wins against 4th, 6th and bottom sides.

GOAL TRENDS -have kept top 2 to 1-0 losses in last 3 games. 50/50 overs away from home.Have failed to score in 2 of last 3, against top 2.

STREAKS - Have conceded in last 5 away.No draw in 4 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 6/6 in head to heads for Celtic. 4 wins and a loss at home. Losses for Celtic this season against 1st, 4th and 5th.
Hibs have only lost 1-0 to Rangers and Motherwell, but did lose 0-2 v Celtic this season. Possible win to nil for the Bhoys?

3pm - Man City v Wolves - 1.17 home
HEAD TO HEADS
26.10.2011 LC Wolverhampton 2-5 Manchester City
15.01.2011 PR Manchester City 4-3 Wolverhampton
30.10.2010 PR Wolverhampton 2-1 Manchester City
28.12.2009 PR Wolverhampton 0-3 Manchester City
22.08.2009 PR Manchester City 1-0 Wolverhampton
Man City emphatic in the Cup mid week and this bodes well for them with home advantage. 1.17 hints at another 4 /5 goal mauling.
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 16th

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Man City face Villareal away mid week. Will team selection today be influenced. At any rate, the strength in depth is enviable.

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWW - against Swansea, Wigan, Everton and Villa.Only conceded v Villa.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWWDWWWW - 2-2 draw with Fulham and City were 0-2 up.

GOAL TRENDS - 3/4 overs at home. exception a 2-0 v Everton. 8 scored in first half and 25 in 2nd half ( Man Utd result skews this somewhat) but a distinct trend. 8/9 matches over 2.5 goals. Have scored in all matches this season.

STREAKS - unbeaten this season All wins and only 1 draw. No defeat in 9 and have scored in all of last 9.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wolves.

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDLL - 2-1 win v Blackburn and 0-0 v Villa.Lost to West Brom and WBA.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDLLLLLD - wins against 17th and 20th and one draw v 15th.Losses v 4th, 5th,6th.

GOAL TRENDS - 4 of last 5 matches over 2. 5 goals largely because Wolves are conceding.

STREAKS - no win in 7.Have conceded in all of last 6

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it looks rather obvious doesn't it. Possible reasons to oppose the obvious?
1) Mid week champions league and if Dzeko and Aguero are rested , this might compromise goals.
2) beware wounded animal. Teams recently spanked and meeting again could react by shutting shop for as long as they dare. Now if you expect the unexpected, any negative goals bets will be value odds.
Are Wolves capable? 1.17 signals another spanking alas. Team news for City could enhance confidence in over 4.5 goals trade.


3pm - Sheff Utd v Exeter - 1.54 home
HEAD TO HEADS - no recent head to heads.

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

3pm - Sunderland v Aston Villa - 2.2 home.
HEAD TO HEADS
05.01.2011 PR Aston Villa 0-1 Sunderland AFC
23.10.2010 PR Sunderland AFC 1-0 Aston Villa
24.03.2010 PR Aston Villa 1-1 Sunderland AFC
15.12.2009 PR Sunderland AFC 0-2 Aston Villa
27.10.2009 LC Sunderland AFC 0-0/p.1-3 Aston Villa
17.01.2009 PR Sunderland AFC 1-2 Aston Villa

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

3pm - Swansea v Bolton - 2.18 home - like the match above, I would have thought the favs would have been Bolton and Villa!
HEAD TO HEADS - no head to heads

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

3pm - West Ham v Leicester - 1.98 home
HEAD TO HEADS
18.03.2005 LCh West Ham 2-2 Leicester City
07.05.2004 LCh Leicester City 0-0 West Ham

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

3pm - Wigan v Fulham - 2.54 away - poor side Wigan and due deference to Fulham's poor away form that they are priced 2.54
HEAD TO HEADS
15.01.2011 PR Wigan Athletic 1-1 Fulham FC
30.10.2010 PR Fulham FC 2-0 Wigan Athletic
04.04.2010 PR Fulham FC 2-1 Wigan Athletic
08.11.2009 PR Wigan Athletic 1-1 Fulham FC
07.02.2009 PR Wigan Athletic 0-0 Fulham FC

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

5pm - Barcelona B v Gimnastic - 1.45 home
HEAD TO HEADS
12.03.2011 D2 Barcelona B 4-0 Gimnàstic Tarragona
16.10.2010 D2 Gimnàstic Tarragona 1-1 Barcelona B
14.03.2004 D3-3 Gimnàstic Tarragona 0-0 Barcelona B

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

5pm - Valencia v Getafe - 1.53 home
HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011 D1 Getafe CF 2-4 Valencia CF
14.11.2010 D1 Valencia CF 2-0 Getafe CF
22.02.2010 D1 Valencia CF 2-1 Getafe CF
23.09.2009 D1 Getafe CF 3-1 Valencia CF
05.04.2009 D1 Valencia CF 4-1 Getafe CF

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

530pm - Mainz v W Bremen - 2.64 away - as ever check for a possible goals angle.
HEAD TO HEADS
05.02.2011 D1 Mainz 1-1 Werder Bremen
18.09.2010 D1 Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz
27.02.2010 D1 Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
26.09.2009 D1 Werder Bremen 3-0 Mainz

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

530pm - Olympiakos v OFI - 1.21 home
HEAD TO HEADS
09.09.2011 CF Olympiakos Pireus 0-0 OFI Creta
24.01.2009 D1 Olympiakos Pireus 2-1 OFI Creta
21.01.2009 Cup OFI Creta 0-2 Olympiakos Pireus
27.09.2008 D1 OFI Creta 0-0 Olympiakos Pireus

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

530pm - West Brom v Liverpool - 2.08 away - quite a surprise to see Liverpool at over evens against a team such as WBA. It relays something, perhaps, about Liverpool?
HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011 PR West Bromwich 2-1 Liverpool FC
29.08.2010 PR Liverpool FC 1-0 West Bromwich
17.05.2009 PR West Bromwich 0-2 Liverpool FC

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

545pm - Roda JC v Ajax - 1.67 away
HEAD TO HEADS
26.10.2011 Cup Roda Kerkrade 2-4 AFC Ajax
13.02.2011 D1 Roda Kerkrade 2-2 AFC Ajax
21.08.2010 D1 AFC Ajax 3-0 Roda Kerkrade
03.02.2010 D1 AFC Ajax 4-0 Roda Kerkrade
04.10.2009 D1 Roda Kerkrade 2-2 AFC Ajax
05.04.2009 D1 Roda Kerkrade 1-2 AFC Ajax

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

6pm - Paris St-G v Caen - 1.41 home
HEAD TO HEADS
09.04.2011 D1 SM Caen 1-2 Paris St. Germain
20.11.2010 D1 Paris St. Germain 2-1 SM Caen
31.01.2009 D1 Paris St. Germain 2-0 SM Caen

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

7pm - Barcelona v Mallorca - 1.08 home - Barca less than impressive of late but last match I did predict a tough time against Granada. Well the market sees a return to 5+ goals this evening.
HEAD TO HEADS
26.02.2011 D1 Real Mallorca 0-3 FC Barcelona
03.10.2010 D1 FC Barcelona 1-1 Real Mallorca
27.03.2010 D1 Real Mallorca 0-1 FC Barcelona
07.11.2009 D1 FC Barcelona 4-2 Real Mallorca
17.05.2009 D1 Real Mallorca 2-1 FC Barcelona
04.03.2009 Cup Real Mallorca 1-1 FC Barcelona

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

745pm - Inter v Juventus - 2.68 home - out of form v in form.
HEAD TO HEADS
13.02.2011 D1 Juventus FC 1-0 Inter Milan
03.10.2010 D1 Inter Milan 0-0 Juventus FC
16.04.2010 D1 Inter Milan 2-0 Juventus FC
28.01.2010 Cup Inter Milan 2-1 Juventus FC
05.12.2009 D1 Juventus FC 2-1 Inter Milan
18.04.2009 D1 Juventus FC 1-1 Inter Milan

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

745pm - Twente v PSV - draws tend to permeate when the big 3 meet in Holland.
HEAD TO HEADS
02.04.2011 D1 FC Twente 2-0 PSV Eindhoven
26.01.2011 Cup FC Twente 1-1/p.7-6 PSV Eindhoven
30.10.2010 D1 PSV Eindhoven 0-1 FC Twente
20.03.2010 D1 PSV Eindhoven 1-1 FC Twente
09.08.2009 D1 FC Twente 1-1 PSV Eindhoven
08.03.2009 D1 FC Twente 1-1 PSV Eindhoven

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

830pm - Benfica v Olhanense - 1.19 home
HEAD TO HEADS
01.05.2011 D1 SC Olhanense 1-1 SL Benfica
19.01.2011 LC SL Benfica 3-2 SC Olhanense
12.01.2011 Cup SL Benfica 5-0 SC Olhanense
03.12.2010 D1 SL Benfica 2-0 SC Olhanense
24.04.2010 D1 SL Benfica 5-0 SC Olhanense
12.12.2009 D1 SC Olhanense 2-2 SL Benfica

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

9pm - Sociedad v Real Madrid - 1.21 away
HEAD TO HEADS
06.02.2011 D1 Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad
18.09.2010 D1 Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid
15.08.2009 CF Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS


No comments: